Oct 22, 2022 Freddy Wills
LSU -130 3% PLAY LSU is just a different team at home particularly stopping the run where they only gave up 2.98 ypc last year compared to 4.89 on the road. Ole Miss which is relying heavily on the running game 65% of their play calls are runs struggled on the road running the ball 3.63 ypc compared to 5.84 at home. Their QB play as a result struggled last year on the road with a 40 pOct 22, 2022 Freddy Wills
Oklahoma State +6 2.2% play Spencer Sanders is a go, and the fact that there will be 20mph winds actually gives Oklahoma State +6 more value as the total has come down 5-6 points but the spread has moved in favor of Texas from 3 to 6. Texas has looked great, but are we giving them too much credit already for their close win to Alabama and their blowout of a very bad Oklahoma team? WeOct 22, 2022 Freddy Wills
Oregon -6.5 1.1% Free Play UCLA is the public dog of the week getting 70%+ of the action yet Oregon is a big favorite here at home where they have been dominant. Perhaps it’s the weather, perhaps it’s the strength of schedule UCLA has faced, or their first true road game or the fact that their defense has some red flags. This line seems a bit weird, and Bo Nix is playing gOct 22, 2022 Freddy Wills
Boise State +8.5 / Texas Tech pk 2.2% Teaser of the week Boise has played much better since replacing their QB with Taylen Green, and both teams ruun the ball first now with running QBs but Boise is the better rushing offense and rushing defense. They're on the road here, but this should be a tight game making getting this up over 3, and 7 a huge deal. Texas Tech is the better team than WeOct 22, 2022 Freddy Wills
Wisconsin -120 3% play I think we are getting excellent value here on Wisconsin after a looss coming back home. Purdue is having a great season, but they have been owned by Wisconsin going 0-15 SU and 3-12 ATS thier last 15 meetings with the Badgers. Purdue at the end of the day remains a one dimensional offense, and defensively they are strong against the run, but Wisconsin is actuaOct 22, 2022 Freddy Wills
LA Tech +130 2.5% ML Dog play Rice has been great at 5-1 ATS this season, but now they’re a road favorite to a team they were a 3.5 point dog to just last November, a game La Tech lost due to 3 turnovers. Speaking of turnovers, Rice ranks 131st in percentage of possessions ending in a TO, and Louisiana Tech ranks 33rd on defense in that category. Rice is -7 to margin on the roadOct 21, 2022 Freddy Wills
SMU +3.5 3.3% PLAY Luke Fickell is an excellent coach and his team is coming off a bye, but that’s all in the line here in my opinion. This spread is as if this is last year’s Cinicinnati team, but they lost several players to the NFL, including two starting CB’s in Cobe Bryant and Sauce Gardner. It appears they haven’t skipped a beat ranking 4th in ypp,Oct 20, 2022 Freddy Wills
Saints +3 -120 2.5% play buy 1/2Oct 20, 2022 Freddy Wills
South Alabama -3 1.1% Free Play The winner of this game will likely be the team out of the Sun Belt west. Troy has played the toughter schedule, but South Alabama has the more impressive result losing by only 1 at UCLA now looks quite good. This is also a short week for both teams, but Troy is going on the road while South Alabama was home last game and remains home for this one, whicOct 17, 2022 Freddy Wills
Broncos +4 2.2% playOct 16, 2022 Freddy Wills
Jets / Packers Over 45 3.3% playOct 16, 2022 Freddy Wills
49ers -4.5 1.1% Free PlayOct 16, 2022 Freddy Wills
Giants +6 2.2% playOct 16, 2022 Freddy Wills
Jaguars +7.5 / Chiefs +8.5 3.3% teaserOct 16, 2022 Freddy Wills
Dolphins +3 5.5% NFL PODOct 16, 2022 Freddy Wills
Patriots +3 -120 buy 1/2 3.5% playOct 16, 2022 Freddy Wills
Patriots/Browns Over 43 2.2% playOct 16, 2022 Freddy Wills
FSU +155 1% ML bonusOct 15, 2022 Freddy Wills
Florida State +3.5 2.2% play Florida State +3.5 2.2% play / FSU +155 1% ML Bonus I’m not sold on this Clemson team, and this line tells a true story. How is it that Clemson is only a 3.5 point favorite here? Well a deeper look and these two teams played the same 3 teams the last 3 weeks, and both went 2-1 ATS with similar statistics. Also worth noting that FloridaOct 15, 2022 Freddy Wills
Kentucky +4 5.5% NCAAF POD Classic buy low sell high situation here as Miss State dominated a good Arkansas team without their QB winning 40-17, while Kentucky lost without their star QB Will Levis as a more than a TD favorite. Arkansas with a backup QB actually had 3 trips into Miss State territory with no points, so that final score was a bit misleading. Kentucky is 18-8-1 ATS in thOct 15, 2022 Freddy Wills
LSU +3 -120 4% PLAY Taking points with the team coming off a loss, as LSU got behind early to Tennessee, which has been the story for the Vols. Get out early and hold on. There is no shame to falling victim to the same thing most teams do as Heupel 19-2 in his last 21 first half spreads. This week will be a different story, and a good buy low spot on LSU who is 14-5 ATS after aOct 15, 2022 Freddy Wills
Indiana +340 0.5% playOct 15, 2022 Freddy Wills
NC STATE +3.5 2.2% play This line is the way it is, because NC State will likely be without their star QB Leary, but the back up is a 25 year old with plenty of experience, enough to manage the game and not turn the ball over, which is my handicap here. NC State should be able to establish the running game here when you look at the fact that Syracuse is completely under sized in this matchOct 15, 2022 Freddy Wills
Indiana +11.5 2.2% play Indiana is a well-coached team, and we certainly have the better coach in this spot at home getting double digits. I think it could be a flat spot for Maryland team off the home loss to Purdue. Is it that time for Maryland’s season to unravel or are they mentally strong enough to push through and win by double digits? I know they’ll be in a dog figOct 15, 2022 Freddy Wills
Penn State / Michigan U50.5 2.2% play I like the under here and still see value despite the drop the last few days. We have two teams who perfer to run, and two teams that play with a slow pace. Michigan 119th in seconds per play, and Penn State ranking 80th. Penn State also relies on the explosive plays, but Michigan's defense has been excellent ranking 34th in 20+ play percent
