Dec 12, 2021 Freddy Wills
Panthers / Falcons 1H U21 -130 2.5% playDec 12, 2021 Freddy Wills
Browns -145 2.5% play homerun situational spot for the Browns off a bye, and Ravens significantly banged up. -2.5 -120 or -3 offers less value than the ML here. Browns the desparate team here, and I think they should win the game.Dec 12, 2021 Freddy Wills
Washington +7 -125 buy 1/2 1.25% playDec 12, 2021 Freddy Wills
Titans -2.5 / Falcons +8.5 3.3% play Titans off the bye and off 2 losses will want to get back and win a game. The spread opened at 11 and is now down 8 or 8.5, and that gives us some extra value on the teaser going through all of the key numbers of 7, 4, and 3. I don't see the Panthers winning with margin against a Falcons team whose strength is defending the run. Panthers firDec 11, 2021 Freddy Wills
NAVY +7.5 5.5% NCAAF POD I expect a tight game on a neutral field here. The numbers favor Army, but Navy has faced the tougher schedule with Notre Dame and Cinci on their schedule and their opponent YPP differential are far different. Navy has faced an average opponent YPP diff of +0.65 cmopared to Army -0.2. The YPP differential, and opponent YPP differential leads me to believDec 05, 2021 Freddy Wills
Vikings -1 / Washington Football Team +7.5 3.3% playDec 05, 2021 Freddy Wills
Chargers +3 5.5% MAX NFL PODDec 05, 2021 Freddy Wills
Falcons +11 2.2% playDec 05, 2021 Freddy Wills
Houston Texans +10 1.1% Free PlayDec 04, 2021 Freddy Wills
Pitt -3 2.2% play This game should be fun with two elite QB’s going head to head in Hartman and Picket. On paper it looks like a home game for Wake as it will be played in NC, but Wake doesn’t have a huge fan base to begin with.. I like Pitt to win the game as they have a similar offense, but better defense. Pitt has already seen a better version of this Wake ForestDec 04, 2021 Freddy Wills
Iowa +11 3.3 %play Michigan should win this game by 2TD’s or more, but it’s coming off a win over Ohio State their biggest rivalry and I get they are in the college football playoff, but all that means to me is that they are playing with immense pressure, and Iowa is in a role of spoiler, a role they absolute love. Iowa really is the outlier and will be playing with no pressureDec 04, 2021 Freddy Wills
Houston / Cinci Under 53 5.5% NCAAF POD There is value in this under when you consider the total in last year’s game was 52.5 and Houston’s defense is top 50 vs. the run and the pass, and 10th in ypp. Last year’s team was 77th in yards per play. The defense is far better than it was a year ago, and while Cinci put up 38 points on them a year ago the total still wentDec 04, 2021 Freddy Wills
Alabama / Georgia Under 49.5 2.2% play Cases can be made for both sides here, but I like the under the most in this match up as Georgia is the #1 red zone TD% allowed defense, and #1 explosive plays allowed, and both Alabama and Georgia re top 10 in 20+ yard plays allowed. Georgia is one of the slower tempo teams in the country, and seem to play ultra conservative at times. I do thinkDec 04, 2021 Freddy Wills
SD State -6 1.1% Free Play San Diego State will start their back up QB, but it’s not a bad thing he gave them a jolt coming in relief in the Boise game and is a Sr. who knows this offense. The value of San Diego State is in their defense that can stop the pass and the run. Utah State averaged 38.4 ppg in their wins and 13.3 in their losses. All 3 losses to Byu, Boise, andDec 04, 2021 Freddy Wills
App St -130 2.5% playDec 03, 2021 Freddy Wills
Oregon +3 3.3% play Roles are reversed here. All the pressure is on Utah trying to win their first Pac 12 Championship and their first trip to the Rose Bowl. I think this game should be a pk, but because Utah demolished Oregon 2 weeks ago we have Utah a 3 point favorite on a neutral site. Oregon played their worst game of the season in a challenging environment at altitude at UtDec 03, 2021 Freddy Wills
UTSA +3.5 3.3% PLAY UTSA +3.5 3.3% PLAY Alamo Dome should be rocking Friday night in a rematch that happened at Western Kentucky earlier in the season, in what was an absolute show down 52-46, with Western Kentucky ending at the 1 yard line. UTSA off it’s first loss to a motivated North Texas team last week where HC Jeff Traylor admitted they didn’t have it early after their bNov 28, 2021 Freddy Wills
Rams -1.5 5.5% MAX NFL PODNov 28, 2021 Freddy Wills
Vikings +3.5 1.1% free PlayNov 28, 2021 Freddy Wills
Chargers -2.5 2.2% playNov 28, 2021 Freddy Wills
Dolphins +8.5 / Patriots -1 3.3% NFL TeaserNov 28, 2021 Freddy Wills
Bucs / Colts Over 53 3.3% playNov 27, 2021 Freddy Wills
Cal +7 -115 3.5% play Still some 7’s out there, but this one is going to 6.5. I gave out Cal last week to clients over Stanford and off their bye with all of their players back from COVID they crushed Stanford 41-11. Cal gains momentum from that win as they continue to win their next two games against California schools. Cal is actually the better team number wise overallNov 27, 2021 Freddy Wills
Kentucky +3 1.1% Free Play Louisville’s wins have come against bad teams. Their best win is over Florida State on the road very early in the season before Florida State was good. Their other wins came against Boston College without their QB, and then most recently beat Syracuse, and blew out a bad Duke team. That recency bias has made Louisville a favorite over a very goodNov 27, 2021 Freddy Wills
South Carolina +11.5 3.3% play I can not guarantee that Clemson is going to have max effort here today. Despite Dabo Swinney being that master motivator, I'm not sure how he will be able to get his team completely up for this. After NC State had a miraculous come back yesterday it officially eliminated Clemson from the ACC Championship, and really this game is just for bowl positioni
