Oct 02, 2021 Freddy Wills
Nevada +6.5 2.2% play Boise has been very misleading this year, but this number is not reflecting the fact that Boise has been outgained in 3 of their 4 games. Nevada is off a bye, after they gave up 21 unanswered points on the road at Kansas State to lose in misleading fashion. Honestly both of these teams are fairly similar statistically and have done it against similar strength ofOct 02, 2021 Freddy Wills
South Carolina -6.5 2.2% play In my opinion this is not a good match up for Troy yet the line has dropped 2.5 points with a low total going under the TD here, which I’ll absolutely take. The story is Troy just lost as a 24 point favorite and that’s why they are getting some action here this week as on paper South Carolina’s offense ranks 104th, and Troy’s defenOct 02, 2021 Freddy Wills
Texas Tech +7 3.3% play West Virginia just had two A efforts against VA Tech at home, and then road game at Oklahoma where they came up short losing 13-16. This team has had issues closing out games, and the perception is this team is really good, but I actually felt lucky to win that game against Virginia 2 weeks ago. Texas Tech meanwhile is off a 70-35 beat down by Texas who just loOct 02, 2021 Freddy Wills
Arkansas/Georgia Under 49.5 3.3% play Really wanted to play Arkansas here as I did last week, but last week it was the unknown of the offesnive line. This week it's the unknown of KJ Jefferson at QB, and Treylon Burks at WR who will play here, but will not be 100%. The defense and the running games have carried both of these teams, and Georgia a 17.5 point favorite is very interestingOct 02, 2021 Freddy Wills
TCU +165 1% ML PLAYOct 02, 2021 Freddy Wills
TCU +4.5 2.2% play TCU +4.5 2.2% / TCU +165 1% TCU played their worst game of the season, while Texas played their best. Now the hype for Texas is back after their last 2 games beating Rice 58-0, and Texas Tech 70-35. They have their biggest game of the season next week in the Red River Rivalry. The last 14 seasons Texas has gone 2-10-1 ATS the week before their rivalry gameOct 02, 2021 Freddy Wills
Minnesota +8.5 / Notre Dame +8 3.3% play Minnesota +8.5 - Major value here with Minnesota after losing to a bad Bowling Green team as a 30 pt favorite. Purdue has major injuries to deal with here, and it’s unknown if they’ll get their star WR David Bell back who suffered a concussion in the Notre Dame game. Purdue’s offense is totally different without him, and theyOct 01, 2021 Freddy Wills
Utah State +9.5 2.2% play The Old Wagon Wheel rivalry game here between Utah State and BYU. Utah State was far better than the final against Boise State last week where they lost 27-3, as they drove into Boise territory on their first 4 drives of the game, but came up with 0 points. They had 13 penalties, 3 TO’s, blocked FG and botched a fake punt. Utah State ran the ballOct 01, 2021 Freddy Wills
Iowa -154 4% Play Let’s just start off by saying there are huge advantages for Iowa in the intangibles of coaching and special teams. Two key components that a lot of people just overlook. Mayrland has looked a lot better than they really are, because they have been good in TO margin and have enjoyed a +9.3 net yardage in field position. Iowa is better ranking 17th in TOSep 30, 2021 Freddy Wills
Virginia +185 3% play I believe Manny Diaz is a bit over his head at Miami, and maybe he proves me wrong, but it shoudl be worse than it has, bu the's bene lucky to have D'eriq King bailing out the defense, but this season Diaz took over the play calling duties for the defense, and it has resulted in their defense ranking 83rd in ypp, 109th in qb rating defense, 78th in success rate defense, andSep 29, 2021 Freddy Wills
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Dolphins +170 1% ML Dog playSep 26, 2021 Freddy Wills
Tampa/LAR Over 54.5 3.3%Sep 26, 2021 Freddy Wills
Dolphins +4 3.3% playSep 26, 2021 Freddy Wills
Chiefs -1 / Vikings +7.5 3.3% NFL TeaserSep 26, 2021 Freddy Wills
Washington Football Team +7.5 -115 5.5% NFL PODSep 26, 2021 Freddy Wills
Colts +5.5 3.3% playSep 26, 2021 Freddy Wills
Lions +7.5 1.1% Free PlaySep 25, 2021 Freddy Wills
New Mexico -1 5.5% NCAF POD I think the wrong team is favored here and New Mexico may go off as a favorite. They are 0-3 ATS, and that automatically gives us value, but they are a team that just got shutout by Texas A&M and now face a UTEP team off a bye. Both teams played New Mexico State, and while on paper it looks like UTEP is the better team, New Mexico played a more completeSep 25, 2021 Freddy Wills
FAU/AirForce Over 54 2.2% playSep 25, 2021 Freddy Wills
Nebraska +5 3.3% PLAY Michigan State just 4-16-1 ATS in their last 21 home games, and they host Nebraska at night who is desparate for a big time win. Nebraska has played extremely well since losing to Illinois to start the season and was in that game against Oklahoma last week on the road. I like that Nebraska got to play on the road in a hostile environment and use that to their advSep 25, 2021 Freddy Wills
Stanford/UCLA O58.5 1.1% play Stanford is without 3 RB’s, and I think they’ll be forced to look to pass at least on first down, and I think that’s the way attack UCLA, who has been stout against the run this year ranking 8th in EPA/run defense, Stanford seemed to have found something with Tanner McKee at QB as he has passed for 570 yards 5TD and 0INT’s. On theSep 25, 2021 Freddy Wills
UTSA +135 3% PLAY I gave out Memphis +140 last week, and while it turned out a winner, I am not naïve to think that was not complete luck. Memphis got outgained by 222 yards, and relied on a 49 yard fumble return, and a 94 yard punt return TD that was very controversial and they still nearly lost this game. UTSA on the other hand sits at 3-0, and they just beat MTSU 27-13, but thSep 25, 2021 Freddy Wills
Kent State +14.5 3.3% play I almost go to the window with Kent State last week, but wanted a +24, that never came. They lost at Iowa 30-7, but it was 16-7 at the half, and Kent State had a 1st and goal in the 3rd quarter to cust the game to 16-14 and they fumbled. They were also down 10-3 in week 1 at Texas A&M, so playing on the road against Maryland is not going to phase this teSep 25, 2021 Freddy Wills
Wash St / Utah Under 54.5 2.2% play utah’s defense holds sd st to 248 yards but give up 33pts utah’s offense has struggled, and their defense has been dominant, but the last two games they hav eplaye dthey have given up 26 and 33 points. now they lose their qb charlie brewer who simply leaves the team and quits. nobody likes a quitter. utah had 14 drives, an
