Dec 23, 2021 Freddy Wills
Florida -6.5 1.1% Free play Nappier has been in the building for Florida, and I think this team will care a little bit about playing an instate opponent in UCF. They showed up in a spot against Florida State where I did not think they would, and I would think that the players want to show up here in their bowl game to show their skills to either another FBS team they may transfer to or theDec 22, 2021 Freddy Wills
Army / Missouri Over 56 3.3% play Situationally this is not a good time to play a triple option team. Missouri really didn’t get extra preparation as Drinkewitz admitted they started a game plan this week, because of recruiting, and the players are in finals week, and their DC Steve Wilks hasn’t prepared for triple option as he spent the past decade in the NFL. Missouri aDec 21, 2021 Freddy Wills
UTSA +3 5.5% NCAAF POD I think this game means more to UTSA, they will have the crowd edge in Frisco, TX and I’m a bit surprised they are dogs here, but the Mountain West just gets more respect than C-USA, but they are just 11-10 vs. C-USA in bowl games. We already saw UTEP go toe to toe with Fresno State, and that was much more of a mismatch than this game. In reality on paperDec 21, 2021 Freddy Wills
Kent STate +150 1% playDec 21, 2021 Freddy Wills
Kent State +3.5 2.2% play / Kent State +150 1% play This is a very interesting game, and I think we are getting some extra value here, because the MAC is 0-3 in bowl games, and the Mountain West is 2-0, and then you ad din the fact that Wyoming went 2-0 vs. the MAC, and beat Northern Illinois on the road 50-43, while Kent State lost to Northern Illinois in the MAC Championship. A closer looDec 20, 2021 Freddy Wills
Browns +3 2.2% playDec 19, 2021 Freddy Wills
49ers / Falcons Over 45 2.2% playDec 19, 2021 Freddy Wills
Steelers -120 ML 5.5% MAX NFL PODDec 19, 2021 Freddy Wills
Packers -1 / Bengals +8.5 3.3% playDec 19, 2021 Freddy Wills
Lions +13 1.1% Free PlayDec 19, 2021 Freddy Wills
Panthers +14.5 2.2% playDec 18, 2021 Freddy Wills
Colts -130 3% play Obviously it is tough to go against Bill Belechick, but if you're going to do it you better make sure you have a quality coach on the other sideline, and I think we do with Frank Reich. Patriots have really lucked out they have faced and average EPA pass offense of 18.6, and an average epa run offense of 19.7. The two top offensive teams they faced, Bills and Bucs wDec 18, 2021 Freddy Wills
Patriots / Colts Over 44.5 3.3% playDec 18, 2021 Freddy Wills
Oregon State -7 3.3% play Utah State overachieved this year and won the Mountain West, but it came against a very short handed San Diego State team, and I feel like we may be getting a short line, because of that. Oregon State could win their first Bowl Game in more than a decade, and they’ll get a chance to do it on a very big stage. Jonathan Smith could have gotten the HC jobDec 18, 2021 Freddy Wills
Browns +3.5 1.1% Free PlayDec 18, 2021 Freddy Wills
BYU -6.5 1.1% Free Play I feel like this is a cheap line on BYU here, a team with 2 losses on the season. It sounds square, but with 10,000+ tickets 67% of the money is on UAB. This team has one loss against Boise State, a game they were -4 TO margin in, they were + TO margin in 10 of their 12 games. The other game was on the road for the Big 12 Champion Baylor, a team that hadDec 18, 2021 Freddy Wills
Utep +375 0.5% playDec 18, 2021 Freddy Wills
UTEP +11.5 2.2% PLAY / UTEP +375 0.5% Play Does Fresno want to be here? They just missed out on their conference championship game, their HC Kalen Deboer left for Washington, their OC Ryan Grubb left and they will have a firs time play caller, and interim HC Lee Marks, who is not announcing who will start at QB. I think it will be 5th year Sr. Jake Haener, but it’s a bit alarminDec 18, 2021 Freddy Wills
Western Kentucky +135 3% Money Line Play First of all the spread rarely matters in bowl games, and with such a high total I really don’t think getting a +3 is of any value so we are going with the money line here. These two had common opponents in Marshall, while Western Kentucky went on the road as a 1 point favorite, and were +1.26 YPP, and App State hosted as a 7 point home favoritDec 17, 2021 Freddy Wills
Toledo -10 3.3% play Toledo is a far better team than their record shows. They rank top 25 in YPP offense and defense with +1.6 ypp differential compared to Middle Tennessee who is -0.2 ypp and that margin has come against an average opponent with a -0.38 ypp differential, and MTSU has been outgained on the season. Toledo's 3 conference losses all came by 3 points, and they lost by only 3Dec 16, 2021 Freddy Wills
Chiefs -3 -120 2.5% playDec 13, 2021 Freddy Wills
Rams +3 3.3% play News came out on some covid issues for the Rams with Ramsey being out, and TE Higbee, but teams, and players tend to step up in these situations where stars are out, and we are getting better odds because these players are out. 82% of the money is on the Cardinals here tonight yet this line has not moved to 3.5. It may within the next hour, but it's very telling theDec 12, 2021 Freddy Wills
Bills / Bucs O52.5 2.2% play Both teams play fast, and both have top 10 run defenses. Their pass defenses are top as well, but they are definitely the must vulnerable in this game. We have two of the top QB's in the league, and I think we should see a shootout.Dec 12, 2021 Freddy Wills
Bengals +120 5.5% NFL POD This is a 3-4 point move based off last week, and I just don't understand it so I'm taking the value on the Bengals here and look for them to bounce back. 49ers down several players in the secondary, and Joe Burrow should be able to take advantage. 49ers also down their top 2 RB, and Deebo Samuel is ? and not 100% if he plays. For the 49ers to win it'sDec 12, 2021 Freddy Wills
Giants +10 2.2% Play Chargers will be without their top WR Keenan Allen here, and the Chargers when facing a top 16 pass defense are 0-4 averaging just 18.5 ppg compared 30 against non-top 16 pass defenses. Giants rank 8th in passing defense DVOA. The Giants have gotten blown out by 3 teams all year, Dallas, TB, and Rams, all three are Super Bowl contenders. While, everyone love
