Oct 01, 2023
Freddy Wills
Falcons +3.5 -1.20 1.1% Free Play...
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Sep 30, 2023
Freddy Wills
Duke / Ndame Under 53.5 3.3% play
Duke is 99th in pace, Notre Dame is 112th, and both are run first teams. Notre Dame does not seem to want to take the chains of Sam Hartman, and Duke is 1st in explosive defense, 111th in explosive offense. This total is just too high and I expect the pace of this game to be on the slower side. ...
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Sep 30, 2023
Freddy Wills
Iowa State +20 1.1% Free Play
Iowa State has an elite defense, and we have seen Oklahoma sputter on offense a couple times thus far. Oklahoma obviously has a look ahead next week to Texas and Red River Rivalry with playoff aspirations and revenge on their mind after they got their butts kicked a year ago. Iowa State under Matt Campbell has played well on the road in this...
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Sep 30, 2023
Freddy Wills
Ole Miss +3 -115 2.5% play
LSU is a big play for a lot of folks this week, but I don’t understand it. First of all the home team is 8-2 straight up and 9-1 ATS in the series. Ole Miss came off the game against Alabama where they did not cover, but LSU missed covering the spread a week ago by 2 TD’s. I just don’t understand how a team is favored on the road in t...
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Sep 30, 2023
Freddy Wills
Boise State +3 2.2 % play
Memphis has played the far easier schedule than Boise who has faced Washington and Central Florida. Memphis needs to throw the ball to be successful while Boise needs to run it, and both defenses struggle, but Boise’s stats are a bit inflated as their game with Washington’s pass happy offense that is hard for anyone to stop. Memphis just g...
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Sep 30, 2023
Freddy Wills
Indiana +14.5 2.2% play
Indiana getting some extra points here in my opinion after nearly losing to Akron in OT and getting out gained by 200 yards. Indiana has played very good defense against Ohio State and Louisville, while Maryland continues to get hype despite not playing anyone. The average opponent ypp defense that Maryland has has faced ranks 108th in ypp defense, an average 9...
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Sep 30, 2023
Freddy Wills
BC / Virginia O53 2.2% play ...
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Sep 30, 2023
Freddy Wills
Syracuse +7 2.2% play
This line will move to 6.5 or less. Syracuse always gives Clemson issues especailly at home now Clemson has to come up here after a brutal loss with their National Championship hopes gone. The level of focuse this week is going to be very difficult for the coaching staff and players. ...
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Sep 30, 2023
Freddy Wills
Florida Gators +3 3.3% play
My formulas love the Gators to win outright, and with dual revenge after losing the past 2 years I think the Gators have drawn some confidence from the Tennessee game and will win this game. Grabbing it now as this line will certainly dip below 3....
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Sep 30, 2023
Freddy Wills
Akron -2.5 2.2% play
Some value here with Akron who has by far faced a tougher schedule with three road games at Indiana, Kentucky, and Temple, but they return home to face an underwhelming Buffalo team. Akron had a very impressive performance taking Indiana to the brink as a 16.5 point dog losing in OT. QB DJ Irons is real dual threat who will give a Buffalo defense that has ...
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Sep 30, 2023
Freddy Wills
Arkansas /TXAM U54 2.2% play
You have to wonder why Max Johnson the son of an NFL QB has not gotten more opportunities? His college stat line is 42 TD and 7 INT over the past 4 seasons. He is a dink/dunk type QB that’s not going to wow you with his arm, but he’s efficient. He’ll be getting rid of the ball quickly today against an Arkansas defense that ranks #1 ...
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Sep 29, 2023
Freddy Wills
Oregon State -155 1st half...
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Sep 29, 2023
Freddy Wills
NC State +3.5 3.3% play
Everyone is drinking the kook aid for Louisville who has started 4-0 and will head on the road to face a solid NC State defense Friday night. You’d be hard to find someone actually on NC State here tonight, but I think it’s a good spot when you factor in they have an extra day of prep and they don’t have to travel and they are a home dog. Lou...
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Sep 28, 2023
Freddy Wills
Packers +8.5 / Titans +8.5 3.3% Teaser of the week...
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Sep 24, 2023
Freddy Wills
Bills/commanders over 43 3.3% play...
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Sep 24, 2023
Freddy Wills
Jets / Patriots Under 36 1.1% play ...
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Sep 24, 2023
Freddy Wills
Titans +3.5 3.3% play ...
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Sep 24, 2023
Freddy Wills
Brian Robinson WAS - Longest Rush Under 14.5 -115 1.15% play...
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Sep 24, 2023
Freddy Wills
Colts +8 2.2% play ...
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Sep 24, 2023
Freddy Wills
Broncos +6 5.5% MAX NFL POD...
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Sep 24, 2023
Freddy Wills
Falcons +3.5 -1.15 2.5% play ...
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Sep 24, 2023
Freddy Wills
Jets +8.5 / Jaguars -1.5 3.3% play ...
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Sep 23, 2023
Freddy Wills
Ohio State -155 4% play
I think the money line is the way to get after this game. First of all Notre Dame home game won’t be your typical as Ohio State fans travel well and their should be 20K+ Ohio State fans in the building for this one. Notre Dame is also the public dog play here and honestly they have faced a very weak schedule with an average opponent ypp differential of -2...
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Sep 23, 2023
Freddy Wills
Rice -2.5 1.1% Free Play
I expect a bit of a let down from South Florida on Saturday following their strong effort against Alabama at home. You could say the same thing happened to Alabama after a loss against Texas as they went through the motions holding on late to a 17-3 win. Rice on the other hand has back to back strong performances upsetting Houston and putting up 59 against Tex...
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Sep 23, 2023
Freddy Wills
Temple / Miami Under 47 2.2% play
The weather is going to be a real issue here for both teams with 20 mph sustained winds and 30+mph gusts with rain added to the forecast. This total has been bet down, but I believe there is still value under 47. I honestly don't know how Temple is going to score here when Miami knows Temple is going to have to run due to teh weather and Temple averaged les...
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