Nov 05, 2021 Freddy Wills
Boston College +135 5.5% MAX POD I'm taking BC on the money line here. There are stron grumors that Phil Jurkovec will be back at QB tonight for the Red Bandana Game. Red Bandana game is something that BC players have in their brain all season. They ahve Red Bandana practice drills, and we know we will get a max effort out of Boston College. Boston College has the better rNov 03, 2021 Freddy Wills
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Ohio +7 2.2% playOct 31, 2021 Freddy Wills
Saints +4.5 5.5% MAX NFL PODOct 31, 2021 Freddy Wills
Patriots / Chargers Over 49 3.3% playOct 31, 2021 Freddy Wills
Steelers / Browns Under 21 1st Half -120Oct 31, 2021 Freddy Wills
49ERS -200 / VIKINGS -150 ML PARLAY +150 3% PLAY There is no teaser value this Sunday so we are going to tease these two favorites who I feel will win their games, but don't have as much value at their current lines of 49ers -4, and Vikings -3.Oct 31, 2021 Freddy Wills
Colts -147 4.5% play This line is moving to -3 at some shops or you have -2.5 -120. I think the money line offers more value here, and I like the Colts to get revenge from their earlier season match up. Titans also had back to back A+ effor games against the Bills & Chiefs at home winning outright as a dog, and now go on the road to face a Colts team winning 3 of 4 games. TOct 31, 2021 Freddy Wills
Dolphins +14.5 -120, buy 1/2 1.2% Free PlayOct 30, 2021 Freddy Wills
Fresno State +100 5.5% NCAAF MAX POD Fresno is by far the more balanced team especially on offense, while San Diego State is 105th in ypp, and that has come against an opponent ypp differential of -0.7. Fresno State is 42nd in ypp offense, and 35th in ypp defense, and it has come against an opponent with an average ypp differential of 0.08. Fresno beat UCLA on the road and shut down tOct 30, 2021 Freddy Wills
Virginia +2.5 3.3% play Bronco Mendenhall return to Prov where spent more than a decade coaching BYU. Mendenhall only left, because he wanted the University to join the Big 12 and not remain Independent. Now BYU is going to the Big 12. Whether he holds any animosity, I don’t know, but I know that BYU was near and dear to his heart and had family who played for the BYU.&nbsOct 30, 2021 Freddy Wills
North Carolina +3.5 3.3% play This is the first game North Carolina is not a favorite this year and while it has been a very disappointing year they get a chance here off the bye to have some positive momentum by going into Notre Dame and winning. This is not the same Notre Dame team as last year as they rank 96th in ypp, and North Carolina’s defense is actually improved compared to lOct 30, 2021 Freddy Wills
Michigan / MSU Under 51 3.3% play writeup added later in the week.Oct 30, 2021 Freddy Wills
Auburn -3 3.3% play This is a brutal stretch for Ole Miss, and they have to go on the road to face a very under rated Auburn team that is coming off a bye. Ole Miss is banged up without both their starting Guards, and 3 of their top 5 receivers are either out or questionable for this game. Matt Corral is having a fantastic season, but his QB is 56 points lower in road games, and Ole MOct 30, 2021 Freddy Wills
Boise State -2.5 2.2% PLAY Colorado State has not beaten anyone, and they’re 0-10 vs. Boise State, with an average spread of 17.6 points, but why is the spread only 2.5 points? Boise has lost 4 games this season, but Colorado State lost to Vanderbilt at home for cyring out loud. Boise State has by far played a tougher schedule with BYU, Oklahoma St, and UCF (healthy) in their noOct 30, 2021 Freddy Wills
Florida +14 2.2% play If you don’t look at the records, and blank out the teams the stats are pretty close between these two. Georgia ranks 9th in ypp offense, Florida ranks 3rd. Georgia ranks #1 in ypp defense, and Florida ranks 23rd. Florida’s defensive number surprised me a bit when looking at this match up and they have clearly faced a tougher schedule of offenses.&nbsOct 30, 2021 Freddy Wills
Iowa State -7 2.2% play I backed West Virginia +4.5 last week and they won outright on the road against TCU, a very bad defense. West Virginia will return home to play Iowa State, a defense built to stop the style of offense West Virginia runs. West Virginia under Neal Brown needs to run the ball. This year 4.71ypc in wins, 2.60 in losses, and last year 4.64 ypc in wins, but 2.1Oct 30, 2021 Freddy Wills
Texas +3 -120 3.5% play Baylor had all the momentum with back to back impressive wins over West Virginia and BYU, and that is not when you want to go on a bye. Texas off back to back losses and in a tough three game stretch having faced TCU, Oklahoma and Oklahoma St, and that’s the exact time you want to go on a bye. On paper Baylor look sto have the better run offense and defense, bOct 30, 2021 Freddy Wills
Rutgers -120 3% play This is about as poor of a situation as a team could be in with Illinois off a 9 OT game, and a huge upset over Penn State as a 24.5 point dog facing a team coming off a bye. I also like Rutgers in the match up as Rutgers ranks 25th in epa run defense, and that has come against an average opponent epa run offense ranking 47.8. All Illinois can do is run the ball,Oct 30, 2021 Freddy Wills
Iowa +3.5 1.1% Free Play I feel like we are getting an extra point of value here. Iowa lost to Purdue, and Wisconsin beat Purdue so it seems so easy to just take Wisconsin here. I’m not going to over react to recency bias as Wisconsin has always dominated Purdue, and Purdue under Jeff Brohm has dominated Iowa. I’m sure if Purdue played Wisconsin first then IowaOct 30, 2021 Freddy Wills
Indiana +175 2% play Indiana is down to their 3rd string QB here and the line jumped 3 points, which I don’t think is warranted. Donaven McCulley will take over at QB, and he’s the #2 prospect out of the state of Indiana last year, a 4* QB with dual threat capability and is going to give this offense an added dimension offensively. Maryland in my opinion really does not dOct 28, 2021 Freddy Wills
Packers +7 -125 2.5% playOct 28, 2021 Freddy Wills
South Florida +10 3.3% play I'm not at all impressed with East Carolina's near upset over Houston last week in OT. Houston has played an average opp YPP differential of -0.9. Meanwhile South Florida has had a tough schedule having faced NC State, Florida, BYU And SMU all positive in YPP differential and ranked at one time or another. Houston also had SMU on deck that they were lOct 27, 2021 Freddy Wills
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Saints / Seahawks Under 21.5 -133 1st Half
