Nov 26, 2022 Freddy Wills
Notre Dame +5 3.3% play I like the Irish here and think they match up very well against USC who is very terrible on first down defense. What does that mean? It means Notre Dame should set themselves up in 3rd and short. They should be able to run the ball as USC ranks 120th in epa run defense. This game reminds me of the game against North Carolina earlier in the year, andNov 26, 2022 Freddy Wills
Southern Miss -3 3.3% play Southern Miss is hunting for their 6th win to get bowl eligible, while LA Monroe has 7 losses and won’t be going bowling. You can’t blindly back these, but this is one that I like. I think we are getting some value, because if you just look at recent results, Southern Miss off 3 losses, including a big loss to Georgia State, while Monroe beat GeoNov 26, 2022 Freddy Wills
Iowa State +10 3.3% play I don't think TCU i really looking ahead to the Big 12 Championship, and this game does have meaning if they want to get to the college football playoff, but this is Iowa State's bowl game. Matt Campbell does not really coach to lose regardless of what is on the line, and he is a great coach in the under dog role. TCU has played in 8 games this season that werNov 26, 2022 Freddy Wills
Wisconsin -3 -115 4% play Wisconsin not having their typical season, but Jim Leonard has a chance to win the Battle of the Axe game and secure the HC job. This Wisconsin team has struggled on the road this season going just 2-3, and suddenly their 1 point escape at Nebraska looks a bit better as Nebraska upset Iowa on the road last night. Wisconsin has won games when they win the passNov 26, 2022 Freddy Wills
Oregon / Oregon State Under 58 5.5% NCAAF POD This is a big game for Oregon who can get to the PAC 12 Championship with a win. Oregon State is just a very hard team to beat on the road. USC was able to do it 17-14, but that’s because Oregon State had costly turnovers. I think with two run heavy teams, and Bo Nix not being 100%, he had 2 rushes last week we could see a loweNov 26, 2022 Freddy Wills
Kentucky -144 3.5% play Kentucky fully motivated at home against Louisville here looking to avoid a 3 game losing streak overall and at home. They want to get to a better bowl game, Will Levis needs to have a good game against a good defense, and I think he’s fully capable. I still value the SEC over most conferences, but definitely over the ACC, which is only 5-14 vs. tNov 26, 2022 Freddy Wills
UTEP +17 1.1% FREE PLAY UTSA already in the conference championship and have nothing to play for here, while UTEP trying to get to a bowl game for the second season in a row, which is a big deal for them. UTSA last year in a similar role with a lot more to play for as they were undefeated fighting for an undefeated season. They were already going to the Conference Championship, went oNov 26, 2022 Freddy Wills
Ohio State / Michigan Under 28 1st half 2.2% play A lot on the line here and I expect a more conservative start for both teams. We have seen Ohio State's offense struggle a bit as well, as their explosive weapons have not been 100% this season. I think this could go over for the game, but hte first half under has some value.Nov 26, 2022 Freddy Wills
Georgia STate +7 -120 2.5% play Georgia State 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games, a role they are more than fine playing in. They’ll make the trip to Marshall for the first time, and with 7 losses have nothing to play for, but I would argue their senior leadership on offense and defense have something to play for, their LAST GAME. This was a team that really was supposed to beNov 26, 2022 Freddy Wills
Ohio State -1.5 / Washington State +7.5 3.3% teaser Ohio State -1.5 – Ohio State’s defense is much improved, and I think we have seen some red flags with Michigan on what they can do on offense. They are very much one dimensional, and that dimension is banged up right now with RB’s not 100% and some of the offensive line banged up. No doubt they’ll likely plaNov 25, 2022 Freddy Wills
Arizona / Arizona St Over 66 2.2% play I think this total is compressed just a little bit after both teams just got done play two top 50 defense in their last two games. I lean to the Arizona State side as the dog as they have the better pass defense, but they are on the road and when they have face da top 50 offense this year they have given up 42, 38, 50, and 31 points. Arizona playNov 25, 2022 Freddy Wills
California +11 1.1% Free Play home team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 matchups here. This play is a fade of UCLA that just played their hearts out with a chance to get to the PAC 12 Championship. DTR was crying on the field in his last home game and now they have to go on the road to face Cal as double digit favorites. Cal themselves off a huge win over Stanford for the first time iNov 25, 2022 Freddy Wills
Arkansas -3.5 3.3% play A lot of people backing Missouri this week simply bc Arkansas has 6 wins and off a big win, and Missouri at 5-6 fighting for a bowl, but Arkansas has plenty to play for here as well. I love that this came down to 3 and show major value on the Arkansas side. Going 7-5 is better than 6-6, and offers more bowl options, this is their DC, Barry Odom return to MissouNov 25, 2022 Freddy Wills
Iowa -0.5 / Florida State +0.5 / Kansas St -1.5 3.3% 10 point teaser Iowa has plenty of motivation here with a win they are in the Big Ten Championsihp game. The emergenc eof Kaleb Johnson should get Iowa a comfortable win here. He ran for 200 yards on 22 carries vs. a much better Purdue run defense. Defensively Iowa is stout and should hold Nebraska to 13 points or fewer.Nov 25, 2022 Freddy Wills
Texas / Baylor Under 56 2.2% play A lot of this is related to wehater and the gneral style of play between these two teams that are run first. I also don't see Sark letting his QB lose this game with a spot in the Big !12 Championship on the line (Need Kansas State loss). Check out my 2% play on the side.Nov 25, 2022 Freddy Wills
Baylor +8.5 2.2% play Texas is just 2-4 this season off a straight up win, and I don’t get the love for them in this spot or on the season. Texas has to run the ball to win the game and run it well to win by margin. They have 6ypc in wins and 3.95 in their losses, and the same was true last year. Baylor is a good run defense ranking 41st in epa run defense. Texas jusNov 25, 2022 Freddy Wills
Tulane +1.5 3.3% play The winner will host the AAC Championship Game. Two things beat Tulane this year. Giving up a ton of rushing yards, and turning the ball over. Cincinnati really struggles running the ball this year 89th in ypc, 95th in EPA and have struggled more of late. They also could be without their starting QB who is ? for this game and if he does play won&rsquoNov 24, 2022 Freddy Wills
Miss State +110 3% play I think the time is finally right for Mike Leach to win the Egg Bowl. I think the biggest problem for this team this year has been the drops from the WR, and when you throw it 70% that’s a big deal, but if they are ever going to have a good game where they’re going to sacrifice their bodies or man up and catch with their hands I would think it would be inNov 24, 2022 Freddy Wills
Dalton Schultz over 38.5 receibg yards 1.2% play at -1.2Nov 24, 2022 Freddy Wills
Josh Allen Over 42.5 rushing yardsNov 24, 2022 Freddy Wills
Bills -2.5 / Cowboys -2.5 4.2% 6.5 point teaser at -120Nov 23, 2022 Freddy Wills
Patriots +3 -120 buy 1/2 5.5% MAX NFL POD Short week definitely is an edge for the more experienced head coach, and Bill Bellechick already admitted that he was preparing for the Vikings during the bye before the Jets game, which I guess makes sense since he's very much familiar with my Jets. Vikings have some injury issues as they lose their LT to anotehr concusion, the secondary is bangedNov 23, 2022 Freddy Wills
We have several special Thanksgiving packages available this week. These packages disappear Thursday morning so make sure you take advantage of them now. We are in the green for the year, and have much more planned. Career +193.57% in November & December. I think I will profit 30-40% the rest of the year, but you can expect at least another 15% or more the rest of the sNov 22, 2022 Freddy Wills
Ball State +3 -120 3% play These are two even teams on paper, and both playing for a lot tonight. The winner becomes bowl eligible and the loser goes to 7 losses. Ball STate is the better team against hte better competition. Their YPP differnetial is -0.2 vs. ypp diff of -0.07, while Miami Ohio is -0.5 vs. -0.59. Miami Ohio 1-2 at home in the MAC, while Ball State is 2-1 oNov 20, 2022 Freddy Wills
Cowboys / Vikings Over 48.5 3.3% play
