Oct 28, 2023
Freddy Wills
Cincinnati +7.5 5.5% NCAAF POD
Oklahoma State has been a dog in their last 4 games pulling the outright upset in their last 3, by running the ball, and forcing turnovers. That has been the difference, meanwhile Cinci is -5 TO margin over their last 3 games, but on the season they actually rank 45th in % of possessions ending in a turnover. Their run defense has also been excel...
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Oct 28, 2023
Freddy Wills
Kentucky +4.5 2.2% play
Tennessee played a great first half last week on the road against Alabama, and then got exposed 27-0 in the second half. Now they are back on the road where they are 0-2 in conference play to take on a Kentucky team play at home in the dog role at night, and off a bye. Kentucky has double revenge here after getting their doors blown off a season ago on the road and losing ...
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Oct 28, 2023
Freddy Wills
Arkansas State / LA monroe Over 56.5 1.1% Free Play
We have two top 50 teams in pace, and two of the worst defenses in football. Neither offense looks spectacular, but both have played top 50 defenses in 4 of their last 6 games, which makes this total a bit low in my opinion. When LA Monroe faced poor defenses this year they have scored 28 and 40 points, and Arkansas State&rsq...
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Oct 28, 2023
Freddy Wills
Notre Dame /Pitt over 45 1.65% play...
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Oct 28, 2023
Freddy Wills
Florida +14.5 2.2% play
I think the Gators can be pesky here as they do some things on offense that could give Georgia some issues. Florida’s QB Graham Mertz has been great completing 76% of his passes 12 TD and 2 INT, which is an improvement from Anthony Richardson who was really inconsistent and only completed 53% of his passes. Both teams off the extra rest and know e...
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Oct 28, 2023
Freddy Wills
Utah +7 -120 3.5% play
Utah+7 -120 3.5% play
Utah following the bye has found some offense, and while Oregon’s defense is better than their last two opponents they have struggled tos top the run ranking 114th in rushing success rate, 61st in ypc and have faced an average 98th ranked ypc rushing offense. This will be a big test for Oregon’s run defense as Utah want...
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Oct 28, 2023
Freddy Wills
North TExas +7.5 2.2% play
Memphis just 1-5 ATS as an away favorite under Silverfield, and 10-25 ATS in their last 35 off a double digit victory as they beat up on UAB 45-21, but UAB started a backpu QB, and Memphis was +4 TO margin. North Texas has been playing well of late, and played Tulane better on the road than Memphis played Tulane at home. North Texas also prov...
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Oct 28, 2023
Freddy Wills
West Virginia +7 3.3% play
I understand UCF has a good home field, but not on a noon kickoff, and we are getting a bit of an inflated line here base don UCF almost taking out Oklahoma and their old QB a week ago. It seemed like that was a max effort for the team. Meanwhile West Virginia struggled and lost to Oklahoma State, which is nothing new for West Virginia. For whate...
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Oct 28, 2023
Freddy Wills
Purdue +8.5 / Baylor +9 3.3% play ...
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Oct 26, 2023
Freddy Wills
Syracuse +3 2.2% play
Two teams seem to be heading in opposite directions, but I’d rather take the team with losses after a bye than the team who got some confidence, maybe too much confidence with 2 wins out of their last 3. Virginia Tech’s last two wins at home over Pitt and Wake is the reason they are favorites in this spot, but when you look at the schedule Syracuse has face...
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Oct 23, 2023
Freddy Wills
Vikings +7 2.2% play ...
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Oct 22, 2023
Freddy Wills
Eagles -2.5 2.2% play ...
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Oct 22, 2023
Freddy Wills
Steelers +3.5 3.3% play ...
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Oct 22, 2023
Freddy Wills
broncos +110 2% play ...
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Oct 22, 2023
Freddy Wills
Colts +3.5 1.1% Free Play ...
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Oct 22, 2023
Freddy Wills
Ravens -148 3.5% play ...
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Oct 22, 2023
Freddy Wills
Falcons +9 / Chiefs pk 3.3% NFL Teaser...
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Oct 21, 2023
Freddy Wills
Auburn +7 -120 4% play
Auburn has not been good on the road playing poorly at Cal, Texas AM, and LSU, but at home they took Georgia to the wire losing by only 7 points, and dominated their other two lesser opponents. I look for Auburn to give Ole Miss issues and have a chance to pull an outright upset. This is clearly a game Hugh Freeze had circled going up against the team th...
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Oct 21, 2023
Freddy Wills
Col State / UNLV Over 62 2.2% play ...
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Oct 21, 2023
Freddy Wills
Old Dominion +6.5 3.3% play
Both of these teams want to lean on the running game and play defense. Old Dominion is actually by far the better running offense and defense and they have faced the tougher schedule. Old Dominion when I average out their ypc rank and success rate running the ball with garbage time eliminated rank 50th against an average opponent defense ranking 64.58. App ...
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Oct 21, 2023
Freddy Wills
BYU +3 2.2% PLAY
BYU in night games at home are almost unbeatable while Texas Tech has been a poor road team for a while now. This will be their third road game in 5 weeks, and they are down to their 3rd string QB a true freshman. Meanwhile BYU starts Kedon Slovis a QB with tons of experience. BYU is off a blow out, but before that they had wins against ARkansas on the r...
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Oct 21, 2023
Freddy Wills
FAU /UTSA over 58 1.1% play...
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Oct 21, 2023
Freddy Wills
Houston/Texas Over 60.5 2.2% play...
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Oct 21, 2023
Freddy Wills
Alabama / Tennessee Under 48 2.2% play
Both teams run the ball first and their offenses have not been even close to what they were a season ago. I think this total is too high, when you factor both teams went from experienced top10 QB's who are playing in the NFL to two QB's that both coaches really don't trust. Alabama has some explosive plays, but they are a run first team, and Tenn...
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Oct 21, 2023
Freddy Wills
Oklahoma State +3.5 2.2% play
Oklahoma State has revitalized their season after back to back wins against Kansas and Kansas State. Once Alan Bowman came back and practiced with the first team it just seemed like Oklahoma State played much better all around. For West Virginia they have been playing great, but they lost on a hail mary to a poor Houston team. They have a go...
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