Oct 14, 2023
Freddy Wills
Michigan State +4.5 1.1% Free
The Spartans are off a bye, and despite all the noise surrounding this team and their head coach they just out gained Maryland and Iowa despite losing. I see value in this team, and Rutgers is getting a bit too much credit. I understand they have done some nice things, but at the end of the day they are still a one dimensional offense, and not a very go...
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Oct 13, 2023
Freddy Wills
Utah State +4.5 2.2% / Utah State +170 0.8% play
Fresno State could be without their starting QB Mikey Keene here, and I think it's trending that way on a short week as Fresno State heads back on the road to elevation for the second week in a row. Both teams are pass first teams and run tempo, but Utah State has the better passing #'s against a tougher schedule. Fresno's defense ranks...
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Oct 08, 2023
Freddy Wills
Cowboys +3.5 5.5% NFL POD...
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Oct 08, 2023
Freddy Wills
Mahomes over 23.5 rush yards 1.1% play...
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Oct 08, 2023
Freddy Wills
Rams +4 2.2% play ...
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Oct 08, 2023
Freddy Wills
Falcons -130 3% play ...
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Oct 08, 2023
Freddy Wills
Texans / FAlcons Over 41.5 2.2% play ...
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Oct 08, 2023
Freddy Wills
Panthers +10 -120 1.2% play ...
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Oct 08, 2023
Freddy Wills
Jaguars +5 2.2% play ...
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Oct 07, 2023
Freddy Wills
Iowa State +7 -120 1.2% play
Iowa State has faced elite level defense so far, and the offense is gaining confidence and hitting strides. Overall they faced an average 24th ranked ypp defense, an average opponent 31st ranked passing success ranked defense, and 27th opponent success rate defense. It’s a pass first offense and they’ll get a chance to attack TCU who ranks 106...
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Oct 07, 2023
Freddy Wills
Louisville +7 -120 5.5% NCAAF POD
This game has all the ingredients of an upset win here for Louisville. Notre Dame is off back to back games that took a full effort and were high leverage results coming down to the last few plays. Louisville has the extra day of rest and prep, and will be at home at night with their first sell out crowd in 4 years. Jeff Brohm is the bet...
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Oct 07, 2023
Freddy Wills
Georgia / Kentucky Under 48 3.3% play
I like the under in this game. I feel Georgia has taken a step back offensively, while Kentucky's offense is a bit over rated. Both of these offenses have faced a very weak opponent defensive ranking on the season. Boht of these offenses play at a very slow pac e95th, and 123rd in seconds per play.
I still feel like Georgia has an elit...
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Oct 07, 2023
Freddy Wills
Kent / Ohio Under 45.5 2.2% play
Ohio's defense has been elite to start the season ranking 4th in ypp allowed, and while it's come against a weak opponent offense they will face the same this week as Kent State ranks 133rd in ypp offense, 102nd in explosive offense. There will be windy conditions in this game too. Ohio is a 24 to now a 26 point favorite for a reason. When they h...
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Oct 07, 2023
Freddy Wills
Navy / North Texas Over 61 2.2% play
Playing any service academy over the total is always a concern because they run the ball a ton and they play at a slow pace, but the spots I like to take the over is when they are playing a team that is poor against the run, have a capable offense, and play up tempo. North Texas is 31st in pace, they rank 38th in yards per play, and they rank 127...
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Oct 07, 2023
Freddy Wills
Alabama -130 3.5% play
Bama is still being punished for their loss to Texas and their struggles vs. South Florida, but honestly what has Texas AM proven so far? This is nearly a 3 TD line move from the past 4 years where the spread is 24, 18.5, 18, an17 to a pk, and now back up to 2, or 2.5 since limits increased. Alabama has more impressive SEC wins vs. Ole Miss and Miss State than t...
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Oct 07, 2023
Freddy Wills
Texas/Oklahoma over 60 2.2% play
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Oct 07, 2023
Freddy Wills
LSU -4 3.3% PLAY
I’m really not buying into this MIssouri team right now. Their offense is not balanced despite ranking 21st in yards per play their average opponent ypp defense ranks 89th, and they rank 88th in rushing ypc, and while LSU’s defense has struggled it has come against teams that are top 50 in passing and rushing, and have a QB that can run. Brady Cook has onl...
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Oct 07, 2023
Freddy Wills
Oklahoma +5.5 3.3% play
Texas is getting a lot of the early action with 80% tickets and $, but the spread has actually dropped and gone the other way. To me these teams seem pretty even to me, and there are more red flags on the Texas side. First off they won 49-0 last year, but that was an Oklahoma team battling major injuries and in the first year of Brent Venables scheme, which was...
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Oct 02, 2023
Freddy Wills
Giants +8.5 / Commanders -1 3.3% play ...
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Oct 01, 2023
Freddy Wills
Patriots +6 3.3% play ...
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Oct 01, 2023
Freddy Wills
Texans / Steelers Over 42 3.3% play ...
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Oct 01, 2023
Freddy Wills
Browns / RAvens Under 20 1st Half 2.2% play ...
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Oct 01, 2023
Freddy Wills
Bills -140 3% play ...
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Oct 01, 2023
Freddy Wills
Ravens +8.5 / Titans +8.5 3.3% teaser...
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Oct 01, 2023
Freddy Wills
Dolphins Bills over 52.5 2.2%...
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