Dec 04, 2021 Freddy Wills
Alabama / Georgia Under 49.5 2.2% play Cases can be made for both sides here, but I like the under the most in this match up as Georgia is the #1 red zone TD% allowed defense, and #1 explosive plays allowed, and both Alabama and Georgia re top 10 in 20+ yard plays allowed. Georgia is one of the slower tempo teams in the country, and seem to play ultra conservative at times. I do thinkDec 04, 2021 Freddy Wills
SD State -6 1.1% Free Play San Diego State will start their back up QB, but it’s not a bad thing he gave them a jolt coming in relief in the Boise game and is a Sr. who knows this offense. The value of San Diego State is in their defense that can stop the pass and the run. Utah State averaged 38.4 ppg in their wins and 13.3 in their losses. All 3 losses to Byu, Boise, andDec 04, 2021 Freddy Wills
App St -130 2.5% playDec 03, 2021 Freddy Wills
Oregon +3 3.3% play Roles are reversed here. All the pressure is on Utah trying to win their first Pac 12 Championship and their first trip to the Rose Bowl. I think this game should be a pk, but because Utah demolished Oregon 2 weeks ago we have Utah a 3 point favorite on a neutral site. Oregon played their worst game of the season in a challenging environment at altitude at UtDec 03, 2021 Freddy Wills
UTSA +3.5 3.3% PLAY UTSA +3.5 3.3% PLAY Alamo Dome should be rocking Friday night in a rematch that happened at Western Kentucky earlier in the season, in what was an absolute show down 52-46, with Western Kentucky ending at the 1 yard line. UTSA off it’s first loss to a motivated North Texas team last week where HC Jeff Traylor admitted they didn’t have it early after their bNov 28, 2021 Freddy Wills
Rams -1.5 5.5% MAX NFL PODNov 28, 2021 Freddy Wills
Vikings +3.5 1.1% free PlayNov 28, 2021 Freddy Wills
Chargers -2.5 2.2% playNov 28, 2021 Freddy Wills
Dolphins +8.5 / Patriots -1 3.3% NFL TeaserNov 28, 2021 Freddy Wills
Bucs / Colts Over 53 3.3% playNov 27, 2021 Freddy Wills
Cal +7 -115 3.5% play Still some 7’s out there, but this one is going to 6.5. I gave out Cal last week to clients over Stanford and off their bye with all of their players back from COVID they crushed Stanford 41-11. Cal gains momentum from that win as they continue to win their next two games against California schools. Cal is actually the better team number wise overallNov 27, 2021 Freddy Wills
Kentucky +3 1.1% Free Play Louisville’s wins have come against bad teams. Their best win is over Florida State on the road very early in the season before Florida State was good. Their other wins came against Boston College without their QB, and then most recently beat Syracuse, and blew out a bad Duke team. That recency bias has made Louisville a favorite over a very goodNov 27, 2021 Freddy Wills
South Carolina +11.5 3.3% play I can not guarantee that Clemson is going to have max effort here today. Despite Dabo Swinney being that master motivator, I'm not sure how he will be able to get his team completely up for this. After NC State had a miraculous come back yesterday it officially eliminated Clemson from the ACC Championship, and really this game is just for bowl positioniNov 27, 2021 Freddy Wills
Oklahoma +4.5 3.3% play Recency bias and 79% of the money is driving this number from -1 Oklahoma State all the way to -4.5, and I just can’t pass up the opportunity to back the Sooners here. In reality this rushing offense from Oklahoma State is nothing special, and they have gotten by with it thank to their defense, but they are playing the best offense they have faced all year this weeNov 27, 2021 Freddy Wills
Syracuse +12.5 2.2% play This situation is a bit similar to yesterday's East Carolina play +14 against Cincinnati, which if you go back to watch that game they should have covered. TWo special teams TD's, one big pass play. Pitt clearly wants to get to 10 wins, but up next is the ACC Championship game, and we saw this play out before back in 2018. Pitt wraps up a trip to the ACCNov 27, 2021 Freddy Wills
Tulsa +205 1% bonus playNov 27, 2021 Freddy Wills
Wisconsin -7 2.2% play Grabbing this number now. There is a shot this game means nothing to Minnesota if Iowa beats Nebraska. Either way this game means something for Wisconsin and the only way it means something for Minnesota is if Iowa loses, and Purdue wins all possibilities that could not come true, and then we would likely see this number move to 8.5 or higher. Both teams pNov 27, 2021 Freddy Wills
Tulsa +6.5 5.5% MAX POD / Tulsa +205 1% bonus I love this game not only is the situation in our favor, but so are the numbers and the match ups. Situationally, SMU comes off a loss to Cinci and they no longer have a shot at the conference championship, and their head coach is likely headed to TCU. Phillip Montgomery on the other side is playing for bowl eligibility he just got a 2 yeaNov 27, 2021 Freddy Wills
Alabama -20 2.2% play I believe this game matters big for Alabama. They have lost 3 of their last 4 trips to Auburn, but it’s not Bryan Harsin who has given Nick Saban issues. That verdict is still out on that. Alabama needs to win big to avoid any suggestions that a close loss to Georgia in the SEC Championship should eliminate them. Saban knows how dangerousNov 27, 2021 Freddy Wills
Troy +6.5 3.3%play / Troy +210 1% play Troy fired their head coach, and it’s a step up game for the players to get to a bowl game and a 6th win. The DC Brandon Hall takes over, and that’s the strength of this Troy team. They rank 22nd in ypp, and they are 14th against the run. Georgia State runs the ball 63% of the time they rank 31st running the ball, but they facedNov 27, 2021 Freddy Wills
Troy +210 1% bonus playNov 27, 2021 Freddy Wills
Miami Ohio -1 3.3% play Winner to face Northern Illinois in the MAC Championship. I know many had Kent State to win the conference this season and I do think the winner of this game will beat Northern Illinois, but I’m going to have to go with Miami Ohio on the road. Kent State ranks 4th in success rate offense, and they rank 3rd in seconds per play, so expect a fast paced game.Nov 27, 2021 Freddy Wills
Ohio St -7 2.2% play I’m a bit surprised this number is not over 10. The numbers say to play Michigan, but every time they step up in competition like this they get beat badly. I don’t think the outstanding ends from Michigan will be able to get pressure on CJ Stroud who has been getting the ball out of his hands to the best trio of WR’s in the countrNov 26, 2021 Freddy Wills
North Carolina +200 2% play This could be a great bet if Wake Forest wins on the road at Boston College earlier in the day, because NC State will likely have the air taken out of their sails as they will no longer be able to get to the ACC Championship game. Either way North Carolina’s motivation remains the same it’s an in state rivalry game, Mack Brown knows how important thesNov 26, 2021 Freddy Wills
Washington Huskies +1 1.1% Free Play Washington looks to spoil Washington State’s chance at getting to the PAC 12 Title game, which they could get to if they win here, and Oregon loses to Oregon State. Washington is off a misleading loss last week at Colorado where they doubled them in yardage, but had 4 turnovers. With bowl eligibility no longer a factor I look for this t
