Jan 02, 2023
Freddy Wills
Penn State pk 4.4% NCAAF POD
I have some serious questions about Utah being able to move the ball consistently and put up points in the Rose Bowl. They ranked 19th in ypp, but that came against an average ypp defense ranking 97.8. They’ll be without their TE Kinkaid, who had the majority of the targets from Cam Rising and going up against a top 10 defense. ...
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Jan 02, 2023
Freddy Wills
USC / TULANE OVER 64 3.3% PLAY
While I really want to be on Tulane here it’s a game the G5 have not been able to get over the hump. We saw UCF and Cincinnati just not quite able to get the W, and I think those teams were more talented than this Tulane team. You are also paying a premium on Tulane at under a field goal. I like Tulane to score some points here and will be ta...
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Jan 02, 2023
Freddy Wills
Miss State -3 3.3% play
Illinois was a very nice story this year, but they lose their star DC Ryan Walters to Purdue coaching job, and a bunch of opt outs followed including their main offensive weapon, Chase Brown. Miss State is obviously going to play with a bunch of passion here to honor Mike Leach, and I think they have some advantages. Illinois ranked #1 in pass defense, bu...
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Jan 01, 2023
Freddy Wills
Vikings +3.5 -1.15 2.5% play...
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Jan 01, 2023
Freddy Wills
Seahawks +8 / Bengals +7.5 -120 3% teaser...
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Jan 01, 2023
Freddy Wills
Panthers/ Bucs Over 40 2.2% play ...
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Jan 01, 2023
Freddy Wills
Steelers +8.5 / Dolphins +8.5 3.3% teaser...
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Jan 01, 2023
Freddy Wills
Saints +5.5 1.1% Free Play ...
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Jan 01, 2023
Freddy Wills
Commanders -128 3% play ...
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Jan 01, 2023
Freddy Wills
Bucs -3 -125 5.5% NFL POD...
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Dec 31, 2022
Freddy Wills
Ohio State / Georgia Over 62 4.4% play ...
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Dec 31, 2022
Freddy Wills
Ohio State +6 2.2% play ...
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Dec 31, 2022
Freddy Wills
TCU +8 2.2% PLAY
Both offenses will have success today, but they both play at a slower pace and I do believe this total is pretty high, and spot on for this game. Michigan’s defense ranked #2 in ypp has gotten there playing a very weak average opponent offense of 87th. The last two years they have only faced 6 top 50 offenses and their defense allowed 27.5ppg in those ...
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Dec 31, 2022
Freddy Wills
Alabama -7 3.3% play
We need to address the monkey in the room that is transfer portal and opt outs. Alabama some how has gottent heir big name players to play in this game, which is amazin for college football. I share NIck Saban's opinion on the NIL, transfer portal, and opt outs. Finish the season with you team. I'm not sure what this is teaching our youth these days, but that's a...
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Dec 31, 2022
Freddy Wills
Kentucky +3 -115 buy 1/2 1.15% free play
You can get Kentucky +3 at -115 on a cheap buy. I think it's worth a small play here as 70% of the money is on Iowa, which I really don't fully understand. Iowa down to their third string QB in an already struggling offense going up against a top 50 defense from the SEC. We don't have to pretend the SEC is the superior conference go...
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Dec 30, 2022
Freddy Wills
Wyoming +3 -120 3% play
Ohio, a completely different team without their QB. CJ Harris took over and it's very clear and evident he can not move the ball consistently through the air making the team one dimensional. Craig Bohl and the Wyoming defense which ranks 43rd in epa pass defense will be able to stack the box and slow this Ohio offense down. On the flip side we are g...
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Dec 30, 2022
Freddy Wills
Notre Dame -160 4% play
Mayer out for Notre Dame, but they get their QB they started the season with back for this game, which helps their running game as he is a running QB. South Carolina down 3 key defensive starters and others here. This was a run defense ranked 113th in ypc, and 117th in epa. Notre Dame obviously over the years needs to run the ball and I think they will do...
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Dec 30, 2022
Freddy Wills
Maryland / NC State Under 46 2.2% play
Both teams come into this game with top 50 defenses. NC State vs. a top 50 defense averaged only 17.75 points per game, and 2 games came when Devin Leary was their QB. Maryland vs. a top 50 defense averages just 16.75 points per game. Maryland will be playing without 3 of their top 4 WR in this game as well so points are going to be at a pr...
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Dec 29, 2022
Freddy Wills
Washington / Texas Over 66.5 3.3% play
I love the over here as both of these defensive weaknesses are the pass defenses. I think the total is lower mainly because Texas without their top 2 RB in this game, which is their offensive strength and Quinn Ewers has looked lost out there at multiple points this season, but the extra practices, and going up against a bad pass defense should he...
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Dec 29, 2022
Freddy Wills
Florida State -10 1.1% Free Play
A lot of excitement for this FSU team playing in their home state with a chance to get to 10 wins. Oklahoma defense when facing a top 50 offense this season has given up 41, 55, 49, and 42 points. While I would like to bet the over here I just can't with Oklahoma missing 3 starting OL and going up against #6 pass rush team. I think Florida ...
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Dec 28, 2022
Freddy Wills
Ole Miss -3.5 3.3% play
All I’ve heard is that Texas Tech is the more motivated team, and Ole Miss isn’t motivated, but this Ole Miss team did not have any opt outs, and will be full go for this game. Ole Miss is the more talented team they were +1 ypp compared to Tech -0.8 ypp. Ole Miss is a pretty easy team to handicap to win they have to run and stop the run. In t...
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Dec 28, 2022
Freddy Wills
Arkansas / Kansas Over 68.5 2.2% play
Arkansas down a bevy of defensive starters, and will bring in a largely inexperienced group without their DC Barry Odom. This is not a great sign for a defense that really struggled going up against a top offensive mind in Lance Leipold. Kansas offense was top offense in passing and running behind QB Jalon Daniels. Their numbers would be eve...
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Dec 28, 2022
Freddy Wills
UCF +3.5 2.2% PLAY
I have my concerns about Plumlee being 100% healthy for this one according to many out there he may not be, but I think there has been plenty of time for him to heal up before this game. I think we are getting value here when we look at these two teams they have 2 common opponents. UCF was a -23.5 favorite vs. Temple, and a -21 favorite vs. Georgia Tech, while Duke was a ...
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Dec 27, 2022
Freddy Wills
Oklahoma State +4.5 1.1% Free Play
There are a whole lot of moving parts for this game with opt outs transfers portals and coaching changes. It’s clear this game is like a pre-season game, and with that said we are just naturally going to fade the line movement. Both starting QB’s are out, and then you got Jim Leonard who wanted to be the HC here, but got passed over for C...
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Dec 27, 2022
Freddy Wills
East Carolina -7 2.2% play
Honestly how motivated is Coastal Carolina in this game with their head coach gone, their star QB Grayson McCall leaving via transfer portal. McCall will play here, but he won’t have his starting Center, and I don’t know, but if someone on my team was leaving and only coming to play this game to increase his stock against a poor defense I don’t k...
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