Nov 06, 2021 Freddy Wills
South Carolina +18.5 3.3% play This is far too many points in my opinion as Florida really does not have a ton of motivation the week after Georgia and being a 4 loss team. They also are on the road facing a South Carolina team off the bye, and a South Carolina team that does play good defense, and has faced the tougher schedule. There has not been a meeting between these two decidedNov 06, 2021 Freddy Wills
Boise State +5 2.2% playNov 06, 2021 Freddy Wills
Marshall -1.5 5.5% NCAAF MAX POD Florida Atlantic is over rated, and they have an over rated head coach in Willie Taggart. Marshall’s DC Lance Guidry was also the safeties coach at FAU last seasons and is very familiar with the Owls’ defensive personnel. FAU offensive numbers are bull shit. They average 30.3 ppg on the season, and 44.75ppg have come in their 4 gamesNov 06, 2021 Freddy Wills
Arkansas -4 2.2% play Arkansas comes into this game well rested, and well prepared, and the style of defense they play should give Miss State’s pass offense issues. They had 3 int’s in last year’s game and this defense is much improved, they are 34th in epa pass defense, 20th in QB rating defense, 35th ins uccess rate defense, and they are only allowing 31.25% conversionsNov 06, 2021 Freddy Wills
Tcu +210 1% bonusNov 06, 2021 Freddy Wills
TCU +7 -120 2% play / TCU +210 1% PLAY TCU fired Gary Patterson, but offered him to finish the season and he declined. However, he has been around practice helping with the defense, and Jerry Kill takes over as HC who has been here before. I see him trying to get a win for his dear friend GP. Plenty of talent still on TCU, and they’re a TD home dog in a rivalry game whereNov 06, 2021 Freddy Wills
Purdue +3 3.3% play Michigan State off a huge come from behind win against their rival Michigan and they are 8-0 maybe looking ahead on their schedule past Purdue? I love the match up here and we saw struggles from Michigan State on the road against Rutgers it was a 14-13 game late in the 2nd quarter before Michigan State’s WR Nailor hit them with a 65 yard reception. In fact RuNov 06, 2021 Freddy Wills
Okl St / West Virginia Under 49 2.2% play This has been a defensive game the last two years, and I think it remains that way this year. West Virginia’s defensive strength is their run defense, and Oklahoma State wants to run the ball 62% of the time. Oklahoma State’s offense has really struggled on the road scoring just 21 at Boise, 21 at Iowa State, and the 32 at Texas waNov 06, 2021 Freddy Wills
Auburn +4.5 2.2% play Exactly who has Texas AM beat other than the big win against Alabama in which they were out gained by over 140 yards? Kent State (-1.1 YPP), Colorado (-2.3 YPP), New Mexico (-1.4 YPP), Missouri (-0.6 YPP), and South Carolina (-0.6 YPP), Alabama (+1.7 ypp) and they lost to Arkansas and Miss State (+0.1). The Alabama win was certainly impressive, but they weNov 06, 2021 Freddy Wills
Memphis +4.5 3.3% play SMU off a dream crushing loss against Houston as they gave up a 100 yard kickoff return for a TD. Still we have over 70% of the action on SMU here against a 4 loss Memphis team that’s off a bye +1 extra day. QB Seth Henigan is still ? here with a hand injury, but I think he will go, but if he doesn’t, Memphis will definitely have a better game planNov 06, 2021 Freddy Wills
Nebraska +14.5 1.1% Free play Buy low situation on Nebraska. If you take away the name, and look at the stats Nebraska should not be a 14.5 point dog at home. They are +1.7 ypp against an opponent ypp diff of +0.125. Oregon is +1.3 against +0.11. Ohio State ranks 10th in rushing ypc defense, but they have faced an average rush ypc ranked 82. The two teams thatNov 06, 2021 Freddy Wills
Army +3 -115 2.5% play Low total here and the total has gone under 39-9-1 the last 49 meetings. This game will be on a neutral field in Arlington Texas. I think that will help Army as they won’t have to travel to play at elevation, which they typically had problems with in the past when traveling on the road to face Air Force. I think Jeff Monken has sort of fNov 05, 2021 Freddy Wills
Boston College +135 5.5% MAX POD I'm taking BC on the money line here. There are stron grumors that Phil Jurkovec will be back at QB tonight for the Red Bandana Game. Red Bandana game is something that BC players have in their brain all season. They ahve Red Bandana practice drills, and we know we will get a max effort out of Boston College. Boston College has the better rNov 03, 2021 Freddy Wills
View on YouTubeNov 02, 2021 Freddy Wills
Ohio +7 2.2% playOct 31, 2021 Freddy Wills
Saints +4.5 5.5% MAX NFL PODOct 31, 2021 Freddy Wills
Patriots / Chargers Over 49 3.3% playOct 31, 2021 Freddy Wills
Steelers / Browns Under 21 1st Half -120Oct 31, 2021 Freddy Wills
49ERS -200 / VIKINGS -150 ML PARLAY +150 3% PLAY There is no teaser value this Sunday so we are going to tease these two favorites who I feel will win their games, but don't have as much value at their current lines of 49ers -4, and Vikings -3.Oct 31, 2021 Freddy Wills
Colts -147 4.5% play This line is moving to -3 at some shops or you have -2.5 -120. I think the money line offers more value here, and I like the Colts to get revenge from their earlier season match up. Titans also had back to back A+ effor games against the Bills & Chiefs at home winning outright as a dog, and now go on the road to face a Colts team winning 3 of 4 games. TOct 31, 2021 Freddy Wills
Dolphins +14.5 -120, buy 1/2 1.2% Free PlayOct 30, 2021 Freddy Wills
Fresno State +100 5.5% NCAAF MAX POD Fresno is by far the more balanced team especially on offense, while San Diego State is 105th in ypp, and that has come against an opponent ypp differential of -0.7. Fresno State is 42nd in ypp offense, and 35th in ypp defense, and it has come against an opponent with an average ypp differential of 0.08. Fresno beat UCLA on the road and shut down tOct 30, 2021 Freddy Wills
Virginia +2.5 3.3% play Bronco Mendenhall return to Prov where spent more than a decade coaching BYU. Mendenhall only left, because he wanted the University to join the Big 12 and not remain Independent. Now BYU is going to the Big 12. Whether he holds any animosity, I don’t know, but I know that BYU was near and dear to his heart and had family who played for the BYU.&nbsOct 30, 2021 Freddy Wills
North Carolina +3.5 3.3% play This is the first game North Carolina is not a favorite this year and while it has been a very disappointing year they get a chance here off the bye to have some positive momentum by going into Notre Dame and winning. This is not the same Notre Dame team as last year as they rank 96th in ypp, and North Carolina’s defense is actually improved compared to lOct 30, 2021 Freddy Wills
Michigan / MSU Under 51 3.3% play writeup added later in the week.
