Sep 10, 2022 Freddy Wills
Stanford +9 1.1% Free play Nearly 70% of the action is on USC after their 66-14 win last week and climb into the AP top 10, WHAT A JOKE. There is no way this team is a top 10 team right now. That doesn’t mean they are going to lose this game, but they benefited from 3 defensive TD’s against a very bad team. USC’s defense was 110th in ypp, and outside the top 10Sep 10, 2022 Freddy Wills
Boston College +3 2.2% play Boston College +3 2.2% play Virginia Tech at night is a rough place to play with Enter Sandman blaring as the Hokies come onto the field, but it hasn’t been as challenging in recent memory. With a new coaching staff taking over, and despite a veteran team they were not very good a week ago. HC Brent Pry said he was surprised how sloppy they were, 5 TSep 10, 2022 Freddy Wills
Iowa -175 2.5 %play There is no way I could play Iowa -3.5 here with the way the offense has looked dating back to last year, and the overall style that Kirk Ferentz likes to run here, but with that said This line was 6 the week before. Iowa's offense has looked horrible, but the defense was outstanding, they get this game back home and Ferentz has owned Matt Campbell 5-0, and nSep 10, 2022 Freddy Wills
Navy +175 2% play Back to back games on the road for Memphis here after going on the road to face Miss State, a tough opponent, and now they go back on the road to face Navy, a team that is always tough to play on the road. To put it into perspective Navy was 4-8 last year, but nearly upset Cincinnati at home, SMU, and they beat UCF as a 16 point dog. I think they’ll be live herSep 10, 2022 Freddy Wills
South Alabama/ Central Mich Under 59 2.2% play Central Michigan's offense exploded last week against Oklahoma State for 44 points, but much of that came after Oklahoma State benched some of their starters and were trying to close out the game. Oklahoma State's defense also lost a ton of their veteran leadership including their DC. I think we are getting inflated total here, because ofSep 10, 2022 Freddy Wills
Southern Miss +25 2.2% play Roughly 74% of the action on Miami yet the line that opened at 26.5 is down to 25. Miami is in a major look ahead spot with Texas A&M game next week looming, and a chance to say they’re back again. I don’t see Cristobal wanting to put it on Southern Miss here, and I’m not sure they can. Southern Miss has a solid vetSep 10, 2022 Freddy Wills
UTSA/Army Over 54.5 2.2% play UTSA lost a ton off a veteran defense from last year, and I think it will show here against triple option of Army especially after their intense game against Houston last week. Now they have to travel all the way to NY to face the triple option they are not accustomed to facing. In 2020 they allowed 306 rushing yards. On the flip side Army's defenseSep 10, 2022 Freddy Wills
South Carolina +8.5 2.2% play First of all, Arkansas and South Carolina were among my favorite teams to back last year. I love both of these head coaches, and the players seem to show they do as well, but to me the value is on the Gamecocks. Arkansas had a much tougher challenge in week 1 against Cincinnati that they likely prepared for more than South Carolina against Georgia State.&Sep 10, 2022 Freddy Wills
Kentucky + 6 3.3% play I think we are getting a ton of value with Kentucky here after Florida upset Utah last week in the swamp. Anthony Richardson is a top 5 Heisman candidate and an unranked Flroida team is now ranked #12, it’s almost laughable. I like Billy Napier as the HC, but lets just slow down a bit. Even Napier said it was going to take some time, and KentucSep 08, 2022 Freddy Wills
Rams +8.5 / Vikings +7.5 3.3% playSep 04, 2022 Freddy Wills
Florida State +4.5 3.3% play I don't really trust LSU who has a ton of moving parts here with a new staff, new players all over the place going up against a hungry FSU team that wons to kick their season off with a big win. Mike Norvell has FSU ready to get back to a bowl game, and they were close the last two seasons against Brian Kelly's Notre Dame team putitn ugp 26 points and then 38 lSep 03, 2022 Freddy Wills
Syracuse +5 2.2% play This is a big divisional game to kick off the season in the ACC with two head coaches feeling the pressure of their jobs on the line. With that said there is a lot of love in the market for Louisville due to QB Malik Cunningham, but I'm not so sure they should be a road favorite here, and the line has moved up to +5, giving us even more value on Syracuse, a team thatSep 03, 2022 Freddy Wills
Ohio St -16.5 1.1% freeSep 03, 2022 Freddy Wills
Utah -2.5 3.3% play The biggest concern for Utah backers in my opinion is heading down the swamp, and dealing with the humidity, but I don't have concerns with Utah. First of all they are coming from altitude and you naturally are in better shape, and Utah has prepared for this by practicing indoors with humidiy and with we balls. Utah returns 14 starters from last year's Pac 12 ChampionshSep 03, 2022 Freddy Wills
Ohio +4.5 2.2% play Whenever I see Willie Taggart on the road or a favorite I circle the game to look at fading FAU. It's even juicier if he's coming off an impressive performance and that's what we have here as they were very good at home vs. Charlotte. In two years FAU has gone 2-8 on the road under Taggart, and when facing a top 60 ypp defense they have gone 2-9, averaging only 13.Sep 03, 2022 Freddy Wills
Georgia/Oregon Under 54.5 2.2% play Dan Lanning takes over at Oregon, and he is very familiar with Georgia’s offense, as a defensive minded coach I think that makes a big difference here. Oregon also has a lot of talent on the defensive side of the ball, and Georgia lost a ton of talent on offense including their top RB, and top targets Pickens and Burton. Kirby Smart has been aSep 03, 2022 Freddy Wills
North Carolina +1 1.1% Free PLay I’ll take the extra 3 points of value as North Carolina opened -4 now down to -1 for the instate show down between App State and North Carolina. App State is very much a public dog, as the public knows very well that this team has been able to upset the P5 opponents. In fact they upset North Carolina in 2019, in Mack Brown’s first season,Sep 03, 2022 Freddy Wills
Rutgers +7 2.2% play By brand it seems like Rutgers is the far worse team, and that is giving us some value in the line in my opinion, but closer looks reveals the fact that Rutgers is playing in the tougher conference Big Ten and had similar statistics last year against a far tougher schedule. For instance their opponents average YPP differential was +0.16, while BC’s were -0.32. &nbSep 02, 2022 Freddy Wills
Indiana -1 2.2% play Indiana is really flying under the radar here, and they go up against an Illinois team that blew out Wyoming last week and is getting all kinds of great press. I’m not buying into Illinois, and the praise everyone is giving their transfer QB Tommy Devito who could not hack it at Syracuse. Wyoming also had huge roster issues with transfers, and not surprisedSep 01, 2022 Freddy Wills
Penn State -3.5 2.2% play Purdue is a bit of a public dog here, and I like Purdue as a dog under Jeff Brohm, but not in this spot to open the season against a more talented team. Purdue is not going to sneak up on anyone at this point, and I'm sure Franklin has highlighted this to his team as Purdue has had major upsets under Brohm including twice against a #2 ranked team. I think itSep 01, 2022 Freddy Wills
Central Michigan +21.5 2.2% play3 Spread has moved 2 points in favor of Oklahoma State, but has pretty much stopped there despite Oklahoma State getting a lof o the action. I totally respect Mike Gundy as a head coach, but these are the type of games he doesn't typicaly cover against the group of 5. They also lost 7 of their 11 defnesive starters, which was the major strenght of thisAug 27, 2022 Freddy Wills
UTEP +1.5 1.1% Free Play UTEP's head coach Dana Dimel has continued to improve this team each year, and after a 6-1 start last year they finished 7-5, but got those ever important bowl practices. This could be his best team yet, and they are very strong in the trenches where it matters. They have a very strong OL, and arguably the best defensive line in the conference. North TexAug 27, 2022 Freddy Wills
Northwestern +11.5 2.2% play Any time your see Pat Fitzgerald as an underdog and a double digit underdog you have to take a look. Last year was probably an outlier, and it makes sense they had just 4 starters returning on defense, with a new DC, off a covid year. This year I expect to see a much improved Northwestern team, that has a very experienced OL, and a QB in Ryan Hilinski whoAug 15, 2022 Freddy Wills
Every year we try to identify some over valued College Football teams, and it typically starts with the AP TOP 10. If you just simply fade the AP TOP 10 you WILL lose money. Nothing is ever quite that easy, but we broke it down with situational spots where we feel it makes logical sense to find an edge. (2021's article here) Here is a look at the top ten college football teamFeb 13, 2022 Freddy Wills
Bengals +4.5 5.5% MAX NFL POD
