Dec 26, 2019
Freddy Wills
Pitt -12.5 1.1% free play
San Diego State, was a top dominant defense with a strugglign offense breaking in a new offensive system, and I mentioned the extra bowl practices would help the team and they went out and put up 40+ points. Pitt reminds me of the same situation, and we have a P5 team motivated goign against a MAC team that is very lucky to even be playing in a bowl game.&nbs...
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Dec 26, 2019
Freddy Wills
Miami -6 4.4% NCAAF POD
Everyone is picking Louisiana Tech, who gets basically a home game here, against a Miami team that finished the season with two ugly losses against FIU, and Duke. They also have a ton of guys either skipping this game for the NFL draft or injured, and the HC has not named a starting QB. This just seems way too easy, as 74% of the money is on Louisiana Tech, and...
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Dec 24, 2019
Freddy Wills
BYU -125 4.5% NCAAF POD
BYU to me is just the better team. Hawaii struggled twice against Boise State, whom BYU beat, and Boise had QB issues in all three games. Boise was tough for Hawaii due to their physicality in the trenches, and BYU very much has some of those same aspects heading into this game. BYU faced a tough schedule to start the season having faced 4 power 5 teams ...
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Dec 23, 2019
Freddy Wills
Marshall +17.5 2.2% play
I get why this spread is so high. The oddsmakers are questioning how many points Marshall can score here, and I could see why, but I think Marshall’s defense will keep them in the game, and UCF has been known this season to give up some points after they get big leads. Marshall does have the ingredients to give UCF some issues, as they have a top defensi...
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Dec 22, 2019
Freddy Wills
Cardinals +8.5 3.3% play ...
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Dec 22, 2019
Freddy Wills
Raiders +7.5 1.1% Free Pick ...
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Dec 22, 2019
Freddy Wills
Saints / Chiefs +115 2.5% play ...
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Dec 22, 2019
Freddy Wills
Colts -6.5 2.2% play ...
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Dec 22, 2019
Freddy Wills
Jets +3.5 -115 5.5% NFL POD...
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Dec 21, 2019
Freddy Wills
Washington -3 -115 5.5% NCAAF POD
This line dropped tonight, and I think it may be a setup for buy back. I don’t expect it to get to 2.5 or anything so I’m fine paying the extra 5% to grab -3 now. It’s not often that you have a P5 team with more motivation, but that is exactly what we have here. Washington at 7-5, did not have a great year, but they played extremely well w...
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Dec 21, 2019
Freddy Wills
FIU +110 2.5 %Play
FIU comes from the better conference, C-USA went 12-10 ATS vs. G5 compared to Sun Belt who went 7-10 ATS, and Arkansas State has struggled going 5-9 vs. C-USA opponents, and Blake Anderson is 1-4 ATS in bowl games, while Butch DAvis is 8-1 ATS as a head coach in bowl games.
FIU also has the edge in the matchup as their offensive strength is Arkansas State’s defe...
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Dec 21, 2019
Freddy Wills
Patriots -0.5 / Eagles +8 3.3% Teaser of the week ...
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Dec 21, 2019
Freddy Wills
SMU/FAU / Under 70 2.2% play...
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Dec 21, 2019
Freddy Wills
SMU -3 2.2% PLAY / Under 70 2.2% play
We all know the headlines of Lane Kiffin leaving for Ole Miss, and the defensive coordinator takes over the coaching duties here, which I feel can only hurt this FAU offense, which helps with the under bet. They also have scored 3 less points per game when facing a defense that is top 50 in stopping the run, which SMU is, and SMU also capable of gettin...
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Dec 21, 2019
Freddy Wills
San Diego State -3 3.3% play
I think Rocky Long will be motivated to coach here heading back to New Mexico where he coached for 10 years. Also after losing back to back bowl games will go along way to determining this team’s effort. They lost 27-0 last season to Ohio, another MAC team, but take that game out and Rocky Long and San Diego State are 4-0 vs. MAC teams with a margin of vi...
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Dec 20, 2019
Freddy Wills
Kent State +215 2.5% play
Most of these dogs that cover the spread win the game, and I think this one is worth a shot with Kent State who has never won a bowl game, and has to be more excited to be here. We also have an inflated line due to several factors. One being the fact that Jordan Love, the Utah State QB is going to the NFL, but Dustin Crum, the Kent State QB has had a far better sea...
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Dec 20, 2019
Freddy Wills
Buffalo -6.5 2.2% play
Buffalo back to a bowl game for the second year in a row with unfinished business. They’ll play in the Bahamas against Charlotte making their first bowl appearance after a great and surprising year. The wind will be a huge factor in this game with 20+ mph winds expected with 30mph gusts, but both of these teams prefer to keep it on the ground anyway ...
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Dec 15, 2019
Freddy Wills
Steelers -105 3.3% play ...
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Dec 15, 2019
Freddy Wills
Cardinals +3 5.5% MAX NFL POD...
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Dec 15, 2019
Freddy Wills
Bears +10.5 / Chargers +8 6.5pt teaser 3.6% play -120...
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Dec 15, 2019
Freddy Wills
Titans -3 1.1% Free Pick...
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Dec 14, 2019
Freddy Wills
Army +10.5 3.3% play
First of all I want to start by saying this is one of my favorite games of the year. It's one of the few you can say and clearly see when watching that every snap matters to both teams, and every single player is giving it max effort.
Army had a very dissapointed season, but this game means much more to them than any bowl game they were going to be playing in.&nb...
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Dec 08, 2019
Freddy Wills
Rams pk 3.3% play ...
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Dec 08, 2019
Freddy Wills
Chargers/ Jaguars O42.5 2.2% play ...
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Dec 08, 2019
Freddy Wills
Titans +3.5 / Cardinals +8.5 3.3% play...
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