Oct 29, 2017 Freddy Wills
Seahawks -6 2.2% playOct 29, 2017 Freddy Wills
49ers +13 3.3% PlayOct 28, 2017 Freddy Wills
Clemson -14 2.2% play Clemson holds some value this week off a bye and Georgia Tech off a misleading 14 point win over Wake Forest, and another misleading loss to Miami who outgained Georgia Tech by 200 yards. This is the second week in a row that Georgia Tech will face a team off a bye, but this team on the road. Clemson has held Georgia Tech's triple option to less than 100 yards each of theOct 28, 2017 Freddy Wills
Houston +11 3.3% play Houston has extra time to prepare for this game as they played last Thursday night. They will be the best defense that South Florida has faced and it's not even close. Yes Houston ranks 58th in yards per play but they faced 4 top 30 offenses and held them all to season lows before Texas Tech only scored 13 a week ago. They held Memphis in check for the first half and bleOct 28, 2017 Freddy Wills
NC State +7 3.3% play Both teams come in with 1 loss to SEC team. NC State lost despite doubling South Carolina in yardage while Notre Dame found a way to lose despite being +2 in TO Margin. To me both teams are pretty even with Notre Dame's strength being their offensive line, and NC State's strength being their defensive line. However, there is line value on the road team here with NC StateOct 28, 2017 Freddy Wills
TCU -6.5 4.4% NCAAF POD I liked the Horned Frogs here who are probably an unpopular favorite this week. Iowa State has covered 3 straight weeks by 14+ points against the spread and are now ranked #25, but they are stepping up in class this week against TCU. TCU's attention is on Iowa State who they know are a threat to their college football playoff spot. This team is well focused for this gaOct 28, 2017 Freddy Wills
FIU +17 1.1% PLAY Marshall has been a hot team and are 6-1 ATS, but they have covered 3 of their last 4 games by more than 2 TD's against the spread. They are a sell high type of team that I'm looking to fade down the stretch. FIU, comes in off a bye and extra time to prepare most likely feeling disrespected in this spot still in contention for the division. While Marshall might be peaking aOct 28, 2017 Freddy Wills
Virginia +135 2% Dog of the Week A couple of weeks ago and Virginia might have been a short favorite. Pitt last week was actually trailing 17-7 at Duke before they were able to get a 92 yard TD run to make it 17-14 before they went on to win and cover for us. Virginia was a 7 point favorite last week against Boston College which just seems wrong now, but I think this is a big over reaction. IOct 28, 2017 Freddy Wills
Wake Forest +3 2.2% Play Wake Forest had a 21-13 lead over Georgia Tech last week and ended up losing 38-24 in misleading fashion. I think they have an excellent shot at upsetting Louisville who is just off a big road victory at Florida State. They were lucky to be in that spot as Florida State fumbled with under 2 play while heading into the red zone. That gives us line value here. WakOct 28, 2017 Freddy Wills
Baylor +9 3.3% play This is exactly the type of game that Tom Herman would drop before facing another opponent in TCU on deck. Baylor has been close against Oklahoma and West Virginia two ranked opponents. Texas is giving Sam Ehlinger a week off and going with Shane Buechele, the starter from last year. I think Buechele's confidence probably hurting here and Texas main goal is to defeat a teaOct 27, 2017 Freddy Wills
Florida State -3 -1.20 as a 3.3% play. Boston College was on our sell high list for this week's podcast which you can find by visiting freddywills.com or by searching itunes for college football betting. BC has covered the spread by more than 14 points in back to back week's and have been impressive in doing so against the likes of Louisville and Virginia. Boston College got their running gamOct 26, 2017 Freddy Wills
Vegas Mistakes Week #8 9 out of the 20 games were from the power 5. Proving that there is line value in both power 5 and non-power 5 conference. 57% of the mistakes we have tracked this season through week's 2-7 have been from the power 5 conference. Missouri covered by 33 over Idaho. This was our Friday commute podcast play. Now 5-2 ATS on those plays this year! 4 of those wins have coveOct 22, 2017 Freddy Wills
Broncos pk 2.2% PLayOct 22, 2017 Freddy Wills
Cleveland Browns +6 5.5% NFL PODOct 22, 2017 Freddy Wills
Packers +4.5 3.3% play / Packers +177 1% playOct 22, 2017 Freddy Wills
Ravens +5.5 2.2% playOct 21, 2017 Freddy Wills
Michigan +9.5 5.5% NCAAF POD Michigan is getting a lot of points in this one in my opinion and Harbough has only lost 7 games since he's been at Michigan and they have been all close besides a loss to Ohio State, a team that went onto win the National Championship. Otherwise his losses have been by 4, 1, 1, 3, 4, and 7. Michigan can shut down Barkley in this game as they are the #5 run defeOct 21, 2017 Freddy Wills
Tulane +11.5 3.3% & ML +370 0.5% South Florida has to be peaking ahead to Houston at home next week and that's a dangerous proposition when you are facing an option team on the road. South Florida has played the easiest schedule and their defense that is looking like a top 25 unit is not! South Florida has only faced one offense ranked in the top 100 in yards per play. Yet they are stiOct 21, 2017 Freddy Wills
Oregon +220 2.5% DOG OF THE WEEK I have this game as a pk, but recent perception on Oregon who just had to go against two tough defenses with a new QB had them in two blowouts. Oregon's offense right now needs to run the ball as Braxton Burmeister can not throw. Luckily UCLA is ranked 129th in rushing yards per carry allowed, and Oregon should be able to run the ball in this game. On the flipOct 21, 2017 Freddy Wills
Pitt +8 2.2% PLAY I think there is some decent value here with Pitt this week who is in desperation mode having only won 2 games they need a win here in order to get on a run to get to a bowl. Their problem so far has been a tough schedule. Pitt's offense ranks 98th, and they lost their QB Max Browne, but I don't see that as a big loss, and they have faced several tough defenses on the year iOct 21, 2017 Freddy Wills
Texas +7 105 2.5% Play Surprisingly this hasn't been a hangover spot for Texas following the Red River Rivalry. They have gone 18-1 SU and 14-4 ATS following their match-up with Oklahoma. Texas nearly won last week and it looks like they found a QB for the future in Sam Ehlinger who was impressive in that game really took it over and is tough as nails. Really reminds me of Tim Tebow. Now ToOct 21, 2017 Freddy Wills
Missouri -13.5 1.1% Free Play I like Missouri who loves to run the score up against non-power 5 schools. Idaho coming off a tough loss to Appalachian State at home as they blew a 20-0 lead. Idaho has lost 4 of their last 5 games and just aren't a very good team on offense and they have struggled at points against good offenses. They will now go on the road to face a Missouri team who probablyOct 21, 2017 Freddy Wills
Northwestern +8 / Michigan St -0.5 4.4% TeaserNorthwestern +8 This game has a low total in the 40's, and we are getting the home dog at +8 with the teaser. I actually think the wrong team is favored, but Iowa is off the bye. Northwestern is actually playing better defense and has the advantage in the trenches which may shock you. Northwestern #15 adjusted defensive line ranking and have heldOct 20, 2017 Freddy Wills
Old Dominion +8 3.3% play / ODU +260 1% playCoaching mismatch here with Bobby Wilder over MIke Sandford who has to take his Western Kentucky on the road on a short week. That's not easy when you don't have a lot of experience. Western Kentucky won last week 45-14, but they beat arguably the worst team in college football in Charlotte. Charlotte's defensive line is ranked #130, anOct 19, 2017 Freddy Wills
Houston -3 4.4% NCAAF PODMemphis ranked #25 and is a dog here this week. We have seen this before as Memphis will likely get much of the money leading up to kickoff. However, looking at the adjusted statistic ratings as well as the efficiency ratings combined has Houston as the #26 team, and Memphis as #57.. Yet the Oddsmakers are calling this a pk on a neutral field? Houston als
