Dec 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
Florida +210 1% bonus playDec 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
Florida +6 3.3% play & ML at +210 for 1% play Florida has all of the motivation here, and it's evident by their NFL prospects playing in this game and not sitting out while Michigan has 4 key guys starting out. Starting Tackle, RB Higdon, and their two best defensive players in Gary & Bush. Michigan also has no motivation to beat Florida as they have beaten them the last tDec 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
South Carolina -3.5 1.1% Free Pick I don't agree with this line move at all. I know there are guys sitting out for South Carolina, but I still think this is a team from a far superior conference. This season the ACC went 4-8 in the regular season vs. other power 5 conferences which includes 3-8-1 ATS and -5.38 points per game. Add in the bowl season and that number balloons to 3-11-1 ATSDec 28, 2018 Freddy Wills
Purdue +3.5 2.2% playIt's very obvious that Purdue will be the team with more motivation. Their fanbase and alumn have gobbled up most of the tickets for this game, and with the news of Jeff Brohm remaining at Purdue, instead of going back to Louisville there is a lot to be excited about. This is an emotional team that has come up big in big moments. This is a chance to finish thDec 28, 2018 Freddy Wills
Iowa State +125 5.5% PODIowa State has played 4 similar offenses this year and have covered each of the 4 against Oklahoma, West Virginia, Texas Tech, and Oklahoma State. Some would say they are built to beat this type of offense, and I would agree. They are well coached by Matt Campbell, and are from the much stronger conference. The PAC 12 went 3-4 -12.4 points per game vDec 27, 2018 Freddy Wills
Miami -2.5 2.2% Play Both of these teams were in the pre-season Top 10 and have had disappointing seasons. Miami played Wisconsin in Miami in their bowl game last year and blew a 10 point lead. I think they want revenge, and Wisconsin doesn't have a QB to bring them back from that type of a deficit. Wisconsin also a shell of themselves on defense this year, and the offense tDec 27, 2018 Freddy Wills
Duke +3.5 -105 4.5% NCAAF PODThere is a lot to unpack in this game, but I am going to start with bettin value. Duke lost it's last two games by a combined score of 94-13. They lost their last game by 30+ and Temple won their last game by 30+, Value on Duke here, who was really unhealthy down the stretch, and I think Daniel Jones their NFL caliber QB was hurt all season long, and the exDec 26, 2018 Freddy Wills
TCU +105 4% NCAAF PODI think the Big 12 a much better conference this year than the PAC 12, as the Big 12 went 14-6 and 11-8-1 ATS vs. non-conference opponents compared to the Pac 12 which went 11-9, and 9-11-1 ATS. Against P5 opponents they were -12.4 points per game, and the Big 12 was +2.98. Gary Patterson, TCU's head coach 9-7 in bowl games, and has never lost to the PAC 12 with aDec 26, 2018 Freddy Wills
Minnesota / GA Tech Over 57 3.3% Play Two poor defenses are meeting in this game, in a dome in Detroit, the day after Christmas, and I see advantage to the offenses. First of all Georgia Tech one of the better offenses in the country as they rank 5th in success rate, and Minnesota, playing younger guys down the stretch clearly got better and have two receivers that will give Georgia TecDec 26, 2018 Freddy Wills
BC/Boise Under 51 2.2% play Two teams that want to establish the run first, and control the game are going up against each other in a rainy / windy environment with 15+mph winds. I like the under here despite the drop, as Boise has averaged just 21.4 points per game vs. similar defensive opponents. I see them scoring 17-24 points while that would put BC at 14-21 points giving us 6Dec 26, 2018 Freddy Wills
Boston College +120 3% ML Dog play Some of Boston College's offensive #'s are a bit off, because of the injuries they sustained with their QB Anthony Brown, and star RB AJ Dillon. Two things I Looked at in this game, were health, and what AJ Dillon did against good run defenses. BC is as healthy as they have been all season, while Boise State is missing players on both sides, no significantDec 24, 2018 Freddy Wills
Broncos / Raiders O43 3.3% playDec 23, 2018 Freddy Wills
Seahawks +115 2.5 % DOG playDec 23, 2018 Freddy Wills
49ers +4.5 1.1% Free playDec 23, 2018 Freddy Wills
Browns / Bengals Under 44 3.3% playDec 23, 2018 Freddy Wills
Packers -2.5 -115 5.5% NFL PODDec 23, 2018 Freddy Wills
Vikings -0.5 / Texans +8.5 4.4% TeaserDec 23, 2018 Freddy Wills
Dolphins -3 3.3% playDec 22, 2018 Freddy Wills
Louisiana Tech +100 4% playHawaii had a good year and exceeded expectations and are staying at home to play in the Hawaii Bowl. I don't know how excited they are to be here. They went 5-2 at home this year, but only played 2 bowl teams and lost both of them big. I think Louisiana Tech, the team clearly with the better defense has some value in this game. They are 4-0 in bowl gameDec 22, 2018 Freddy Wills
Army -5 1.1% Free Play Well known is the fact that Houston has lost their best defensive player Ed Oliver, and best offensive player QB King for this game. That's factored into the line here, and HOuston fired their defensive coordinator while Army's left for the North Carolina job. I think the Army DC being lost is not as big of a deal when you factor in how well these kids knowDec 22, 2018 Freddy Wills
Wake Forest +145 5.5% MAX PODI mentioned on my podcast how inconsistent Wake Forest was this year, and it had a lot to do with injuries as they sent 13 guys to the season ending injury list. However, Dave Clawson is a great head coach and they were able to win 2 road games in their last 3 games to close the year to get to a bowl game. I like 6-6 teams who want to finish the season withDec 21, 2018 Freddy Wills
FIU / Toledo Under 62 3.3% play I'm not really sure why they play this game in the Bahamas every year where the weather is actually opposite of nice. We will have 25mph winds and rain at game time with gusts of 41mph. This game features two teams who run more than they throw already, and that will only be increased given that the weakness of both defense is in the run defense, butDec 20, 2018 Freddy Wills
Marshall / South Florida Under 53 4.4% NCAAF POD USF lost their offensive coordinator and they have a special teams coach calling the plays against a 19th ranked YPP defense in the country for the first time ever. USF's offensive key all year long has been establishing the run. They are 1-4 averaging just 17 points per game when they don't run the ball for more than 148 yards. Marshal ranksDec 19, 2018 Freddy Wills
Wake Forest vs. Memphis in the Birmingham Bowl in Alabama, the money and ticket count is about 50-50, and the line has come down from 4.5 to 3, 3.5 mainly because the nation's second leading rusher has Darrell Henderson declared himself out to get ready for the NFL draft. I like the fact that Wake Forest had to win 2 of their last 3 games to get to a bowl game and did so as dogs on the road at NCDec 19, 2018 Freddy Wills
San Diego State +120 2.5% play We have a team from the #2 group of 5 conference playing the the 3rd best team from the worst conference in college football. The MAC has been one of the worst in bowl games, and we saw it continue last night with Northern Illinois losing by 24 points missing the spread by 21 points. These two teams ended the season in very different ways and th
