Nov 30, 2019
Freddy Wills
Wisconsin -150 5.5% NCAAF POD
The weather is lesst han ideal with rain/snow with 30mph gusts of winds, expect a conservative approach from both coaches although Minnesota does like to come out agressive in these games, and then try to hold on. I think Wisconsin's defense is the best defense Minnesota has seen all year, and the weather really just doesn't favor them in this spot. Minne...
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Nov 30, 2019
Freddy Wills
Louisville +3 1.1% Free Play
ACC is down this year, and there is always an SEC bias, but Louisville has surprised many this season. The only other time Kentucky faced a team with a running QB they lost giving up well over 100 yards rushing in a 15 point loss to Miss State. Louisville actually has balance at the QB position and can throw a bit to, and I have to question this Kent...
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Nov 30, 2019
Freddy Wills
Ohio State -2.5 / Kansas State +10.5 3.3% Teaser
Ohio State has major advantages on the offensive and defensive line here. I understand Michigan has played better since the second half of the Penn State game, and the Notre Dame wgame was impressive, but Ohio State is a different animal. I think we are getting Ohio State at a short price after last week's misleading final. Ohio S...
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Nov 29, 2019
Freddy Wills
Washington -7 3.3% play
Washington knows this offense well, and should win this game. I think we are getting some value with Washington since they are off an inexcusable loss to Colorado that I simply can’t explain. Washington’s offense disappeared, and they were flat out of the bye. We saw this against Stanford, earlier in the year where they were a 2 TD favorite ...
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Nov 29, 2019
Freddy Wills
Boise State -14 1.1% Free Play (61-39 +$21,773 L 100 All Sports Free Picks)
Boise State has every reason to win with margin, and we saw that take place in their last game against Utah State. Meanwhile Colorado State, at home here does not worry me. We saw them give no effort against Wyoming, and they have no shot at a bowl game. I think Boise wants to show they deserve considera...
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Nov 29, 2019
Freddy Wills
Nebraska +4.5 2.2% play / Nebraska +185 1.1% play
This is a massive game for Nebraska and Scott Frost to get to 6 wins and become bowl eligible. They are doing what they did last year and playing well down the stretch. They outgained Wisconsin in their last home game in a misleading loss, and the defense held Wisconsin to 2TD's in 5 red zone trips, which I thought was a major improvem...
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Nov 29, 2019
Freddy Wills
Nebraska +185 1.1% play...
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Nov 29, 2019
Freddy Wills
Virginia Tech -140 3.5% play
I see more value here on the money line than the -2.5 juiced. I think Tech is the right side and it is not because they have dominated the series history. They have just played better against similar opponents, and their QB play of Hooker has been a huge upgrade for this team ast hey average 10 more points per game when he plays. I questioned H...
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Nov 29, 2019
Freddy Wills
Kent State +4 2.2% play
Kent State has the hot hand right now, and I don't believe Eastern Michigan should be more than a field goal favorite here. Eastern Michigan needs to wint he TO battle to win by more than 4 points here and even the game. They are +8 in their wins, and -3 in their losses, and Kent State just does not turn the ball over. They have 10 TO's lost all year, and...
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Nov 28, 2019
Freddy Wills
Ole Miss +120 5.5% NCAAF POD
I always enjoy the college game more on Thanksgiving night, and we have gotten this match-up the last few years. This is a huge game for the state of Mississippi, and I think we have a coaching advantage when you look at Ole Miss and what they have on their staff and the fact that they are sticking around after this season, and they also have 12 days to prepare ...
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Nov 28, 2019
Freddy Wills
Cowboys -6.5 3.3% play ...
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Nov 28, 2019
Freddy Wills
Lions +5.5 1.1% Free Play ...
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Nov 25, 2019
Freddy Wills
Rams +3.5 3.3% play ...
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Nov 24, 2019
Freddy Wills
49ers -3 -115 3.5% play ...
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Nov 24, 2019
Freddy Wills
Titans/Jaguars Over 41.5 2.2% play ...
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Nov 24, 2019
Freddy Wills
Cowboys +6 2.2% play
...
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Nov 24, 2019
Freddy Wills
Eagles -115 5.5% NFL POD...
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Nov 24, 2019
Freddy Wills
Tampa +165 2.5% play...
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Nov 23, 2019
Freddy Wills
San Diego State +3 -115 4% play
I wanted to take the money line here, but at +120, the +3 offers much more value. The weather is calling for 17mph sustained winds and 30+mph gusts, which clearly favors San Diego State who runs the ball more and has the better defense.
This game is similar to my handicap last week with San Diego State against Fresno, and this game is much more meaningful wi...
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Nov 23, 2019
Freddy Wills
Duke +7 -115 3% Fade The World
Just 20% of the $$ and 28% of the tickets are on Duke here. Listen if they continue to turn the ball over then yeah they could get run out of the building again, but I have a few reasons to believe they won’t do that. This line is definitely inflated given the state of Wake Forest right now.
I really don’t see much separa...
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Nov 23, 2019
Freddy Wills
Syracuse +9.5 3.3% play
We gave out Syracuse on the spread and money line last week and they made us look great. I am going back to the well here, as Dino Babers has his team playing with confidence, and needing to win to stay in contention of getting into a bowl game. Syracuse fired their defensive coordinator after the BC game heading into the bye. Dino knew his defense was talent...
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Nov 23, 2019
Freddy Wills
Indiana +10 2.2% play
Indiana had a 73% postgame win expectancy on the road against Penn State. So many things went against them in that game, but they fought and stayed in the game, and at times looked like the better team. Indiana has played Michigan tough the last 4 games, and this is an ultimate sandwich spot for Michigan after Michigan State and Ohio State. We heard several...
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Nov 23, 2019
Freddy Wills
Texas +6 2.2% play
Texas has faced a tougher schedule, and are still alive to get to the Big 12 Championship. They need Baylor to lose out and for Iowa State to trip up once. It’s highly unlikely with Baylor facing Kansas next week, but Baylor has played in a lot of tight games this season. Here they face a Texas team they nearly beat last year, which should have Texas att...
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Nov 23, 2019
Freddy Wills
Texas A&M +13 3.3% play
The total has come down a ton in this game due to the weather as we are expecting some heavy rain, but not a lot of wind. We have already seen how Georgia plays overall, with their conservative style, and it gets even more conservative when weather conditions are not great. Both teams are going to need to rely on the running game more here, and I feel...
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Nov 23, 2019
Freddy Wills
Georgia Southern +7.5 / California +7.5 3.3% Teaser of the week
Georgia Southern has had a challenging schedule having to face LSU, Minnesota, and App State, all three of which are balanced offense ranked top 50 in passing and rushing. Their opponent this week is a one dimensional offense ranked 27th passing the ball, but 92nd in running. Georgia Southern has beaten teams like this ...
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