Dec 01, 2018 Freddy Wills
Ohio State -14 3.3% play Northwestern has played over their head all year long, and I'm going to grab this number now before it gets to 14.5, I can always play it back at +14.5 or higher if I feel Northwestern is the right side as I think it will go there. Ohio State has every reason to blow out Northwestern, and I think they can. We have seen some pretty lopsided games in the BigDec 01, 2018 Freddy Wills
UCF -3 3.3% play It almost feels like UCF is a dog here. I like the bump we are going to get from UCF's team here with a ton of play for. Not only are they going to be coming out to play for their fallen QB Milton, but they are playing for a second undefeated season in a row. Everyone is saying Milton is worth 7 points, but I'm not buying that and I think there is a ton of value here onDec 01, 2018 Freddy Wills
Alabama -12.5 2.2% Free Play I looked hard to find reasons to take the dog here, but just couldn't find them. Alabama is 6th against the run, and probably better than that when you factor in how many games their defense was just not trying because their offense put up 40+ points in the first half. When Tua came into the game last year it was just a different game as Alabama went oDec 01, 2018 Freddy Wills
Stanford / Cal Under 47 3.3% play I like the under here and I think there is value considering both teams scored a bunch of points last week. Let's start with Cal who scored 33 points, very misleading as 14 came off of pick sixes to start the game. Cal, has the 116th ranked offense from a yards per carry perspective. They lean on their defense and love to shorten games, and the weather is loDec 01, 2018 Freddy Wills
App State / UL Lafayette Under 58 3.3% play This game was a 27-17 final when they faced off earlier in the year. Both teams love to run the ball, and both defenses do not give up a ton of explosive plays as App State ranks 9th, while Lafayette ranks 57th. The weather also is supposed to be very windy at 13 mph, but gusts of 33-37mph during this game. I expect conservative apDec 01, 2018 Freddy Wills
Texas +8 4.4% Play Texas brought in David Beaty (KANSAS HC) to help with Oklahoma tendencies, I can only view this as a positive, because if Texas can pick up on anything defensively to help them get off the field that will help their chances of covering this game. Now, a lot has been made of the match up being decided by 7 or less points the last six meetings and Tom Herman's success aNov 30, 2018 Freddy Wills
Northern Illinois +3.5 4.4% NCAAF POD Northern Illinois & Buffalo have 6 common conference opponents, and Northern Illinois is +74 yards per game, while Buffalo is only +24 yards in those games, yet Buffalo is a favorite over a field goal, because Northern Illinois dropped their last two games that were meaningless considering they had this trip locked up 3 weeks ago. Northern Illinois alNov 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
Washington pk / UAB +7.5 4.4% Teaser of the Week *Washington pk Washington was a 4.5 point favorite on the road at Utah, who has a very good home field advantage, which would equate to 7.5 or maybe 8 on a neutral field. Washington won that game and I was on Utah in that game who played terribly in the red zone. However, Utah has since lost their QB Huntley, and RB Moss who made up 84% of theNov 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
Cowboys +7.5 2.2% playNov 25, 2018 Freddy Wills
Vikings -3 -120 3.5% playNov 25, 2018 Freddy Wills
Broncos +3 +100 5.5% NFL PODNov 25, 2018 Freddy Wills
Dolphins +9 2.2% Free playNov 25, 2018 Freddy Wills
Bills +147 3% playNov 25, 2018 Freddy Wills
Panthers -3 +100 2.2% playNov 24, 2018 Freddy Wills
BYU +11.5 2.2% play Utah has the PAC 12 Championship game next, and again are playing without 84% of their offense with Moss, and Huntley out for the season. It was evident in their last game against Colorado as they struggled on offense especially in the first half as it was 7-7 before the cruised to a 30-7 victory. BYU's offense is better, and their defense is better than Colorado.Nov 24, 2018 Freddy Wills
Notre Dame -11 1.1% Free Play It's well documented that I don't think Notre Dame is a top 10 team never mind a final 4, but this is a situation where I think they are the far superior team at just about every level including coaching where it's clear Clay Helton will be fired after this season regardless of what happens in this game. I don't see USC fighting for a bowl game either, as INov 24, 2018 Freddy Wills
TCU +200 3.5% ML Dog playYou really have to question what Oklahoma State has left here? They got to their 6th win of the season last week in dramatic fashion after coming back from a double digit deficit against West Virginia at home, and now they are traveling for the 3rd time in 4 weeks. They have also been in high tension games the last 4 games. They won against Texas by 3, loNov 24, 2018 Freddy Wills
Texas AM -3 -115 3.5% PLAY This is a good match-up for the Aggies who are 6-0 ATS at home this season. They are the unranked team facing a top 10 team, but are favorites? I'll take the Aggies who have played the tougher schedule, and the better match-up. The weakness of A&M is their secondary, but LSU prefers to run first, and A&M has arguably the best run stop unit of anyNov 24, 2018 Freddy Wills
Tennessee +3.5 5.5% NCAAF POD I'll take the better defense that has had success on the road in conference play, and has dominated this series 28-1 from 1983-2011, but Vanderbilt has won 4 of the past 6. The winner gets to a bowl game, and Tennessee has nothing to lose in this game in the new Jeremy Pruitt era, while Derek Mason is on the hot seat for Vanderbilt. Tennessee's defense is holdiNov 24, 2018 Freddy Wills
Alabama -24 2.2% play This might be the worst offense for Auburn in nearly a decade, and it might be the best offense Alabama has had. Alabama scored just 14 points in last year's Iron Bowl loss, and I think they'll look to get revenge on their in state rival. Alabama over the previous 9 years averaged 35.77 points per game, and their lowest point total was 14. I think Alabama's defense holNov 24, 2018 Freddy Wills
Marshall -3 4.4% play Marshall vs. FIU, FIU is a 1 point dog while Marshall can't get into the C-USA Championship game even with a win here, and MTSU loss, which would create a 3 way tie in the East. You have to think they will take it out on FIU and try to win this game. I feel like FIU has been one of the luckier teams in the nation. They barely got by Charlotte this past weekend as we gNov 24, 2018 Freddy Wills
Ohio State +5 3.3% playThis is Urban Meyer's first time as a home dog since he was a home dog in 2003 at Utah. Ohio State is 14-2 ATS their last 16 as a dog, and 6-0 SU/ATS under Meyer, and it makes a lot of sense, because they have more talent than most teams, and when it gets to the point that they are dogs, they tend to play their best. I think it's kind of crazy that they are moreNov 23, 2018 Freddy Wills
Wash/Wash St Under 49 3.3% play The weather is a big factor here as there will be rain, and 15mph winds, and Washington has dominated this series and have always defended the passing game of Washington State well holding them to 14, 17, 10, and 13 over the past 4 years. Washington's program prides themselves on developing NFL ready CB's and it's no secret that they have played well in this gameNov 23, 2018 Freddy Wills
Oklahoma -140 4% play To me this game is all about line value and what I think is a big coaching edge for Oklahoma. everyone is down on Oklahoma's defense right now, and that is reflected in this line, but what has West Virginia's offense really proven, against good QB's? Oklahoma has the most balanced offense in the country with the #2 passing team and the #1 rushing team from efficiency perspNov 23, 2018 Freddy Wills
UCF -14 3.3% PLAY You may hear a lot of sharps pointing to a hangover for UCF after Gameday was on campus last week, but I don't see it playing an instate rival South Florida. Central Florida has all the motivation to run the score up here, to get more looks at the college football playoff and I think they totally can do it when you look at South Florida's schedule their defense has not played
