Sep 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
Northwestern +14.5 1.1% Free Play - 34-9 ATS L43 Free Plays!We are getting great line value here with Northwestern. Not only are they off an Akron upset as 21 point favorites which is inflating the opening line of 10, but the line has moved nearly 5 points. Northwestern is well coached and off a bye here and I expect their best effort of the season. Northwestern is 14-6 ATS in their last 20 aSep 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
Kansas +17 3.3% play Oklahoma State was on the doorstep of cracking into the Top 10 after their blowout of Boise State which was extremely misleading. Now they are coming off a big loss against Texas Tech at home, and there are red flags all over the place for this team. Since 2008 they are just 14-15-1 ATS following a SU loss so it's not like this team rebounds under Gundy, and I also think tSep 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
PItt + 13 2.2% play Over 75% of the tickets are on UCF, but 56% of the money is on PItt and the line that opened up at 14.5 is down to 13. From a #'s perspective I have this around 10.5 or 11. So, I still think 13 is a decent # here, and it might be worth waiting if you can grab a 14 at your book later in the week, but overall I feel good about Pitt's chances here. Pitt the last two yearsSep 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
Arkansas +21.5 2.2% Play @12pm ET Nobody wants to touch Arkansas right now and that's exactly the time we would like to back them. I think there is tremendous value here and if you don't see a 21.5 you will on Saturday, but I like 21 as I have this line at 17. The spread in this game the last 3 years has been under a TD. This will be a neutral field game at Jerry World in Dallas. ArkansaSep 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
Boston College -12.5 2.2% play A lot of Temple's success the last two games is due to their ability to get a pass rush in predictable passing situations and create turnovers. I don't see them being able to get into that situation this week against Boston College, and I expect Boston College to run the ball, and when they do pass guys will be wide open on play action. Temple has plSep 28, 2018 Freddy Wills
Tulane +15 2.2% play Tulane is getting just 28% of the tickets and 37% of the money and we have seen this line move about 5 points. Tulane is desperate for a win, and I think they will be in this game. Their record is misleading here as they are 13 points away from being 3-1 instead of 1-3. Their strength of schedule is far superior to Memphis. Memphis has faced offensSep 27, 2018 Freddy Wills
Lean Arkansas State -3, Arkansas State played a similar team in UNLV last week in the sense that UNLV runs the ball a ton, and I was mostly impressed with Arkansas State's defense as they were +1.53 yards per play and held UNLV to a 27.1% success rate. Now they go on the road to face Georgia Southern in conference play where they have had tremendous success going 37-16-1 ATS in their last 54 conSep 27, 2018 Freddy Wills
Leaned Temple +13, but we can't play them. Last week we had Purdue as a ML dog over Boston College, but felt that was a good match up for Purdue based on strengths and weaknesses. Even though the sharp money seems to be coming on Temple and my algorithms recommend a play on Temple when I look at the X's and O's I simply can't do it. Temple the last two weeks have 13 sacks and that has alloweSep 27, 2018 Freddy Wills
Vikings +7.5 -1.15 3% playSep 25, 2018 Freddy Wills
Week 4 Review - 7-6 ATS week +5% in college football, and we hit on our POD with UNLV +7.5, hit on our newsletter play on Ohio, and North Carolina as our free play. We also gave out Purdue money line earlier in the week and they cruised in dominating fashion over Boston College. In the NFL our POD moved to 3-0 as the Redskins +135 moneyline was a nice win setting us up with a 3rd straighSep 24, 2018 Freddy Wills
Steelers pk 4.4% playSep 23, 2018 Freddy Wills
Redskins +135 5.5% NFL PODSep 23, 2018 Freddy Wills
Jaguars -10 2.2% playSep 23, 2018 Freddy Wills
49ers +6.5 3.3% playSep 23, 2018 Freddy Wills
Ravens -6 3.3% playSep 22, 2018 Freddy Wills
Arizona State / Washington Under 51.5 2.2% play Arizona State held Washington to 7 points last year, and they hire DAnny Gonzalez, who was San Diego State's defensive coordinator a year ago. Arizona State running the 3-3-5 could give Washington some issues here, and that's the reason I like the under along with the fact that both teams are going to lean on the running game first. I really havSep 22, 2018 Freddy Wills
Oregon +3 3.3% play When is the last time Oregon defeated a decent team? That is the question many are asking, and the reason why many are backing Stanford this week. This is just the 4th time in the last 8 years that Oregon is a dog at home. Stanford is getting all the money because they have faced two solid teams in San Diego STate & USC and have won and covered, but now they go on tSep 22, 2018 Freddy Wills
Michigan State / Indiana Under 49 2.2% play Michigan State off the bye and off a loss should be stout on defense here. I expect a similar result to the last two season where both those games went under this total. Indiana is also moving much slower this season and they are led by a defensive minded coach in Tom Allen. I am expecting Michigan State to be able to run the ball here which meansSep 22, 2018 Freddy Wills
UNLV +7.5 4.4% NCAAF POD There is some value here with UNLV, 12-4 ATS in their last 16 as a road dog, and they continue to improve under Tony Sanchez and are poised to get back to a bowl game this year. UNLV is a dominant running team and chooses to do so 67% of the time. This trends well in road games as a dog, and UNLV should be able to get the running game going in this game, because ArkanSep 22, 2018 Freddy Wills
Louisiana Tech +21 -115 3.5% play This is a great spot for Louisiana Tech coming off a bye here facing LSU a team off a huge win on the road and has two wins over two top 10 teams as dogs. This just seems like the type of game LSU makes fans worry. LSU lost at home last year to Troy 21-24, and Louisiana Tech has played these type of SEC teams well the past two years. They lost 16-17 at SouSep 22, 2018 Freddy Wills
Liberty +12.5 2.2% play I missed out on the early value on this line at 14.5 as the sharps gobbled that up. Still worth a play here as I feel this line should be around a TD instead. Liberty is getting no respect here, because North Texas is coming off a road win in SEC Country over Arkansas, but largely benefited from +6 TO's and a punt return TD. Arkansas lost the week before to ColoradSep 22, 2018 Freddy Wills
Clemson -15.5 2.2% play Clemson got a glimpse of the triple option last week in a tune up game before Georgia Tech. Not that they really needed it as they have held Georgia Tech to a combined 17 points the last two years. Clemson really feels due for a big win here, and I'm sure they want it as they are not being talked about with the likes of Oklahoma, Georgia and Alabama. This just feels lSep 22, 2018 Freddy Wills
Ball State -2.5 2.2% play I was waiting for this line to drop below 3 and I was going to grab it. Ball State looks to revenge last year's 33-21 loss at Western Kentucky. That game was misleading as Ball State led 21-20 with under 5 minutes to play. Western Kentucky starting a backup QB here, and off a 20-17 loss at Louisville which gives us value here as Ball State got beat 38-10Sep 22, 2018 Freddy Wills
North Carolina +3.5 1.1% Free Play I expect North CArolina to show up big time for their state following the hurricane. They'll be fresh this week while Pitt faced Georgia Tech and 56 rushing attempts with cut blocking. I think North Carolina can run the ball here. They actually outplayed a very good California team in week 1 but had 4 turnovers. They had 164 yards rushing at California. TSep 22, 2018 Freddy Wills
Kent St/ Ole Miss Over 74 2.2% play I expect Kent State to continue their high octane offense averaging 16.33 possessions per game which is good for 5th in the nation. Ole Miss comes in at 15, and I expect they'll be able to score on 10 of their 15 drives in this game. I wouldn't be surprised to see Ole Miss in the 60's here as they look to rebound from their game last week against Alabama whe
