Nov 23, 2019
Freddy Wills
UCLA +14 1.1% Free Pick
USC dominated Cal last week, while UCLA ran into Utah and lost 45-3, basically eliminating all the momentum UCLA had in their 3 game winning streak, but that sets us up for value this week. UCLA was -4 TO margin in that game, and we hope they got that out of their system. Both of these teams have had turnover issues, USC has had 12 TO’s in 5 home games, while U...
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Nov 23, 2019
Freddy Wills
UCF -6 3.3% PLAY
Fading the public dog is one of my favorite situations to take the favorite, and that is what we have here. There are a few others I like on the board, Navy -3.5 over SMU, but SMU has the extra week to prepare for the option, but SMU getting 66% of the tickets in that game. Kansas State at +2.5 also getting 69% of the tickets and 65% of the money over Texas Tech, and ...
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Nov 21, 2019
Freddy Wills
Colts +3.5 2.2% play
Waiting on injury news, but I like the Colts tonight. Will Fuller for the Texans ?, so is T.Y. Hilton and Eric Ebron. I expect all to play as this is a very big game. Short week favors the better coach, and there is no question Frank Reich is the better coach. However, I may need to hedge out at some point if the injury news differs....
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Nov 21, 2019
Freddy Wills
NC State -112 3% play
NC State is the only one that cares about winning this game. We saw Georgia Tech fall flat on their face last week once they were eliminated for bowl contention. Geoff Collins has this team moving in the right direction, but he's not likely to really care about winning this game and more concerned with getting his team and players more experience. The playe...
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Nov 19, 2019
Freddy Wills
RECAP LAST WEEK - 11-3 college football week last week. Unfortunately for many of you my newsletter play was a loser yet again making it 5 straight losers. Small sample, and we are still over 58% career winners. Since it’s been a long losing streak I”m going to be sending out 2 plays this week. I’m confident we will go 2-0. I’m looking forward to this we...
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Nov 19, 2019
Freddy Wills
Northern Illinois -4 2.2% play - 25-15 +$18,018 L 40 NCAAF 2% bankroll
Northern Illinois still has a shot to earn a trip back to Detroit, and they need 2 wins to get to bowl eligibility while Eastern Michigan needs only 1. Motivation is clearly on the Northern Illinois side here and they have won all of the close match-ups of late against better Eastern MIchigan teams. For instance Eastern ...
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Nov 17, 2019
Freddy Wills
Eagles +10.5 / Rams pk 2.2% play ...
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Nov 17, 2019
Freddy Wills
Colts -135 5.5% NFL POD ...
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Nov 17, 2019
Freddy Wills
Texans +4.5 3.3% play ...
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Nov 17, 2019
Freddy Wills
Redskins -2.5 1.1% Free Play ...
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Nov 17, 2019
Freddy Wills
Lions +7.5 -115 2.5% Play ...
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Nov 17, 2019
Freddy Wills
Dolphins +7 2.2% play ...
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Nov 16, 2019
Freddy Wills
Baylor +10.5 4.4% NCAAF POD
Oklahoma has a fantastic offense once again and you have to give Lincoln Riley a lot of credit. Actually everyone already does that for us. He did have to replace another QB, but this time 4 of 5 offensive linemen, and that really hasn’t shown up yet this year, because Oklahoma has not faced a top defense. They faced one team in the top 50 in rushing ...
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Nov 16, 2019
Freddy Wills
Ole Miss +21.5 2.2% play
37% of the tickets on Ole Miss here. LSU has all of the pressure, and there is no incentive to run it up against Ole Miss other than the fact that Ed Orgeron used to coach here, and got fired, and he’s wanted to run it up in the past, but I think he needs to be smarter than that. Ole Miss has a very good pass rush, that ranks 30th in sack % at home...
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Nov 16, 2019
Freddy Wills
Syracuse +10.5 2% Play / Syracuse +340 0.5% bonus
Buy low game of the week here with Syracuse who is 0-5 ATS over their last 5 games, but they come off a bye week, and according to HC Dino Babers who fired his DC over the bye week they have had energetic practices and the team still believes they can run the table and get to a bowl game. This team does have good defensive personal so I thin...
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Nov 16, 2019
Freddy Wills
Iowa -145 3% play
61% of the money and tickets on Minnesota here as we have the #7 team in the country a dog on the road to the #23 team. I know I mentioned leaning toward Minnesota on the podcast, but this just sets things up for them to have a poor performance. When I look at how they have done in Big Ten play on the road they were 1-8 the last two years on the road. This year...
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Nov 16, 2019
Freddy Wills
West Virginia +14 Fade The Public GOW
75% of the tickets are on Kansas State here, with more money on West Virginia and the line has dropped a point down to 14. West Virginia actually has the better defense here. They rank 73rd in yards per play allowed, and their strength is against the run, which aligns pretty well in this match-up. I don’t think Kansas State should be laying ...
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Nov 16, 2019
Freddy Wills
Texas +7 1.1% Free Play
Believe it or not at the moment Texas is a public dog play, which I don't typically like being on the same side of, but that was a massive loss for Iowa State last week at Oklahoma and Tom Herman has dominated the series against Matt Campbell holding Iowa State to just 23 points the last 3 years combined.
Texas defense started to get healthy last week, and it certai...
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Nov 16, 2019
Freddy Wills
Auburn +3 3.3% play
This game is pretty easy to handicap. Whichever team can run the ball better will win this game. That has held true in 9 of the last 10 meetings between the two teams. This is the first time Auburn has a bye before the game, while Georgia played an SEC game last week. South Carolina had a bye week before they went to Georgia and pulled the upset. Whene...
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Nov 16, 2019
Freddy Wills
Syracuse +340 0.5% play ...
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Nov 16, 2019
Freddy Wills
Alabama -20 3.3% play
Alabama has to be impressive from here on out. They have everything left to play for after the LSU win, and I really wonder what would have happened if Tua did not fumble in the red zone on that first drive, which changed all the momentum in the game against LSU. Tua shook the rust off and had a great game, and I don't see Alabama taking their foot off the ...
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Nov 16, 2019
Freddy Wills
Texas Tech +140 3% Money Line Dog of the Week
35% of the money is on Texas Tech, and I really don’t understand how oddsmakers think TCU is 6 points better on a neutral field than Texas Tech. TCU is also in a major sandwich game here with Oklahoma on deck and coming off a 3OT crushing loss to Baylor. I don’t know how they come back from that. This team hasn’t beaten a...
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Nov 16, 2019
Freddy Wills
Missouri +7 2.2% Premium Newsletter Play
Classic buy low sell high situation here after Missouri got shut out last week and Florida blew out Vanderbilt 56-0. Missouri played without Kelly Bryant and their top WR and both should be back for this game against Florida. Nearly 70% of the money is on Florida here, and the line has not moved. 26% of the tickets on Missouri, and this just sm...
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Nov 15, 2019
Freddy Wills
San Diego State -115 3% Play
A massive game for the Mountain West Division. The winner is definitely in the driver seat. San Diego State is off a weird loss to Nevada, but they did outgain Nevada by around 100 yards in that game, but that's giving us value here. This line had SD State as a dog and then they went back to a 1 point favorite. I'd rather just take them on the money ...
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Nov 14, 2019
Freddy Wills
Pitt -4 2.2% NCAAF Play
Both teams come into this game with some extra rest, and it will be a cold night in Pittsburgh with clear skies and temperatures in the low 30’s to high 20’s. I think that benefits the PItt QB who played in cold weather last year vs. UNC’s Sam Howell who is a freshman QB from the state of North Carolina. North Carolina is a public dog here tonight g...
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