Sep 08, 2018 Freddy Wills
Michigan State -6 2.2% PlayThe game of the year line on this game is 10 points, but last week Arizona State looked great against UTSA, a team many were picking to pull the upset as the cruised to a 49-7 victory. Michigan St meanwhile was in a dogfight against Utah State on their home field winning by just 7 points. I'm not really worried about that Mark Dantonio will have his boys readSep 08, 2018 Freddy Wills
South Carolina +10 2.2% play I talked about South Carolina a good amount in my pre-season podcast and they are a live dog here in week 2 in my opinion. For one their offense is much improved and they have the talent to score on a Georgia defense that has lost some talent. I think they will be able to take advantage of that and put up some points here to stay within striking distance. GeorgiaSep 08, 2018 Freddy Wills
Umass +2.5 3.3% PLAY We backed Umass last week against Boston College and they were pretty much out of the game by the end of the first quarter. I do like what i'm hearing from head coach Whipple and the defensive players who want to rebound. I think they will here against Georgia Southern who is back to running the triple option. Most of what hurt Umass last week was through the air, andSep 08, 2018 Freddy Wills
Duke +8.5 / Stanford +0.5 4.4% Teaser of the WeekDuke +8.5 - 12:00pm ET on Saturday:Northwestern won last week at Purdue and we had them as a play because they were an underdog. I much rather play this team as a dog than a favorite. We were actually really fortunate that Northwestern got the win because they were outgained by 71 yards and if the game went any longer it seemed like PurdSep 08, 2018 Freddy Wills
Georgia Tech -3.5 2.2% play Georgia Tech is under the radar after a losing season. They return 8 starters on offense, and their defense got a big upgrade in their defensive coordinator Nate Woody. Ga Tech already pitched their first shutout in game 1 defeating and dominating Alcorn State of FCS. Alcorn State was picked by many to win their conference so it was an impressive victory by the finSep 08, 2018 Freddy Wills
Nevada + 8.5 4.4% NCAAF POD I think Nevada is a live dog this week as Vanderbilt is off a misleading 35-7 final over Middle Tennessee their instate rival with Notre Dame on deck. Nevada has a Sr. QB in Ty Gangi who can really be a weapon in the air raid offense that Nevada runs and Vanderbilt rarely sees. Vanderbilt actually allowed MIddle Tenn twice as many yards in the first half, but heSep 04, 2018 Freddy Wills
Update on some of the things we are tracking: 2nd year head coaches P% as a dog are 84-64 ATS for a 56.7% ATS record. This week we look to back California who is a 3.5 point dog at BYU.1s year P5 Head coaches as underdogs went 0-2 ATS last week and are now 72-97 ATS, fading these coaches would have you hitting nearly 58% ATS. This week you could fade Texas A&M, Arizona, Arizona STate,Sep 03, 2018 Freddy Wills
Florida State -7 2.2% PlayFlorida State embarks on a new era under Head Coach Willie Taggart. Taggart will bring a new offense that is focused on speed, and more plays. One would think this may be very challenging at the start of a season and it might take Florida State a little to really get in gear with this offense, but the system is meant to be simple and easy to run. DeondreSep 01, 2018 Freddy Wills
Navy -10 3.3% play Navy is coming off a rare poor year and losing year ATS and I expect them to bounce back with their deepest QB group ever. Navy following a losing record ATS under Ken Niumatalolo are 26-13 ATS and following a 5-8 ATS year I expect they will get back to a 9 or 10 win season while contending in the AAC. This is a tough road game traveling all the way to Hawaii, bSep 01, 2018 Freddy Wills
Michigan +1.5 3.3% play There has been a lot of talk about Michigan and how they do in step up games, but when you look at Notre Dame under Brian Kelly they may even be worse. JIm Harbough is getting beat up in the press, and this is the type of game he absolutely needs and I think he gets with his most experienced roster yet with 17 returning starters and transfer Shea Patterson. The loss ofSep 01, 2018 Freddy Wills
UNLV / USC Under 64 2.2% play USC has announced that they will start a true freshman in JT Daniels, and with Stanford on deck I am expecting a fairly vanilla game plan. Expect a lot more runs to break the true freshman into his first college football game. For UNLV they rant he ball nearly 62% of the time and that will keep the clock moving. USC has a big game with StanfordSep 01, 2018 Freddy Wills
Miami Ohio +120 5.5% NCAAF POD I don't really understand why Miami is a home dog here when they are on the same level as Marshall. I think the MAC is pretty even to C-USA as well and this was the season opener last year where Miami Ohio actually played better but lost the game. The game was at Marshall and Miami Ohio was a small road favorite and outgained Marshall 429 - 267, but lost becauseSep 01, 2018 Freddy Wills
App State +24 2.2% play You will be paying a premium to back Penn State who is #10 in the pre-season polls but will be taking a step back offensively and defensively this year. Penn State returns just 10 starters and I know they have their starting QB back, but they lose their offensive coordinator who changed everything for this program the last two years where they went 19-8 ATS mainly becauSep 01, 2018 Freddy Wills
Washington +123 2% ML Dog PlayYou could wait to see a 3 or risk playing this in live betting, but I like the value we get with the Huskies here. Auburn lost their top two RB, and they have a rebuilt offensive line. Their strength is QB Jarret Stidham and his receivers, but that falls into the strength of the Washington Huskies. Washington arguably has the best secondary in the naSep 01, 2018 Freddy Wills
Umass +18 3.3% play I like Umass here who played last week and scored 63 points. They have a ton of talent on offense led by seniors including QB Andrew Ford. They have gone 5-1 ATS vs. power 5 schools the last two seasons and nearly won outright last year in SEC country against the likes of Tennessee and Miss State. They have had all offseason to think about the possibilities of defeating aSep 01, 2018 Freddy Wills
Oklahoma -20.5 1.1% Free Play This line opened up at -24, and has dropped down to a point where I think there is value on the heavy favorite. I have said Oklahoma is a team you could fade this year in LIncoln Riley's second year, but this is the type of game I think they may want to come out and blow out Florida Atlantic. FAU is getting a lot of credit here and actually taking a gAug 31, 2018 Freddy Wills
Army/Duke Under 45.5 2.2% Play These two teams know each other well having played each other each of the last three years. Neither team is really going to look to surprise the other, and both want to run the ball first and slow the game down. Army was 130th in pace of play last year while Duke was 58th, but both teams were in the top 11 in the country in plays per possession and time of posAug 31, 2018 Freddy Wills
Syracuse -5 2.2% play I really like for Syracuse to make a statement in this game against Western Michigan. I think we are getting a bit of line value from previous season when Western Michigan competed with the big boys. Syracuse is also an under rated team this year. People forget they knocked off Clemson and went 4-8 with the #2 toughest schedule in the country while dealAug 30, 2018 Freddy Wills
Northwestern +1.5 2.2% play I'm taking the Wildcats as the most experienced team here with a veteran and future NFL QB in Clayton Thorson who should be back after suffering an ACL injury in the bowl game last year. I also peaked at the total given that Purdue's offense will be improved and the defense will take a major step back, but Pat Fitzgerald's teams typically stay under the total earlAug 30, 2018 Freddy Wills
Wake Forest -6 3.3% play I think we are getting some line value here with Wake Forest at Tulane. I know a lot of folks are high on Tulane with year #3 of Willie Fritz system, but I think they are still a year away. Their defense returned only 5 guys while losing 3 on the defensive line. Wake Forest offense which has broken school records the last two years and started sophomores on their ofAug 27, 2018 Freddy Wills
I'm never one to force anyone into buying premium picks if it's not in your budget and you don't have bankroll. Enjoy these free picks from more than 70 professional handicappers that I have on my sportsbetcapping.com network. php_snippet_freepicksAug 27, 2018 Freddy Wills
We are looking at the power 5 conference and breaking down teams we feel are going to be surprise teams. These are teams that will not be in the top 10 of the pre-season, but have good value to possibly make some noise against the spread and into the college football playoff and shocking a lot of people. Texas Longhorns: Tom Herman enters his second year, and we will continue to bAug 27, 2018 Freddy Wills
Here is a look at the top ten college football teams according to pre-season AP poll: The idea of fading these team's because we are not getting good value in their numbers, because most people are going to back them is a good idea. You will definitely get the value side by fading these teams, but it may not always pan out and this is just part of the recipe. I dug a little deeper and wAug 26, 2018 Freddy Wills
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New Mexico State +4.5 1.1% Free Play I really like the value we are getting here with the Aggies who are 3-0 against the Mountain West the last two years. They come into the season in a similar situation to Wyoming in that they lost arguably their program's best QB ever, but will have a ton of talent returning on defense. Wyoming's defense was flat out dominant last yer, but New Mexico S
