Sep 16, 2017 Freddy Wills
Baylor +14.5 2.2% Play As bad as Baylor has been and they have been bad, the oddsmakers have corrected them by 14 points and I see us having value on Baylor. I acutally feel like Baylor will be a profitable team to back this season and maybe I'm jumping on them too early, but I feel like it's a good spot. Duke just off a big win that nobody expected and they have their biggest rival in North CSep 16, 2017 Freddy Wills
Air Force / Michigan Over 48.5 3.3% play @ 12PM ET Air Force had an extra week to prepare for this game and should be very healthy and they should have a very good offensive game plan. Michigan I predict will give up 14 points or more in this one as they are not used to seeing a triple option team like Air Force. I expect them to want to get up big early with big plays down field and then getSep 16, 2017 Freddy Wills
Pitt +13.5 3.3% play @12PM ET Pittsburgh is off a very misleading final score last week. They actually outgained Penn State 342-312 but lost by 19 points. They averaged just 2.60 points in Penn State territory and were -2 TO margin and the game was definitely closer than the final indicated. Oklahoma State was -2.5 favorite at home in this match up a year ago, and this line indicates they'd bSep 15, 2017 Freddy Wills
Make sure you invest in this weekend's package and grab NFL & College Football! REMINDER! All of Freddy's plays are released 1 minute after play starts and archived in his records table on Freddywills.comLines will move.. These plays were released on Thursday. It's always best to invest in multiple weeks so you are getting the best odds! Invest in one of the many optionSep 14, 2017 Freddy Wills
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Looking at all the key games where Vegas missed by more than two touchdowns. It's important to note that a lot of these results will move a team down or up especially if they covered the spread by a big margin. Often we think it's too big of a move when you consider it is just one game. For today's podcast we will only look at MOV for college football against the spread and on Totals. In our nSep 13, 2017 Freddy Wills
Misleading Final Scores Week #2 Pittsburgh out gained Penn State by 30 yards, but lost by 19. Pitt really held Penn State's offense in check for most of the game holding them to just 312 total yards. Penn State actually held a +17.6 yard edge in field position and were +2 in turnover margin which really made the difference here. There is definitely going to be value backing Pitt moving fSep 11, 2017 Freddy Wills
Saints/Vikings Under 47.5 2.2% play The Vikings offense made some improvements and Sam Bradford is now back for a full year, but I'm not sold on this offense improving. The Vikings signed mediocre free agents on the offensive line that is really young with 6 of their 9 lineman having 3 years or less experience. Last year they were dead last in yards per carry, rushing yards, bottom of the leagueSep 10, 2017 Freddy Wills
Bears +7 3.3% Play Super Bowl losers opening up week 1 on the road as a favorite are 2-15 ATS! Chicago was actually not that bad last year on the season they out gained their opponents. Chicago suffered from a -20 turnover margin ratio, but a bulk of that came to end the year when they had nothing to play for. I have always liked John Fox as a head coach and I could see theSep 10, 2017 Freddy Wills
Bengals -3 +100 2.2% PlayAs of right now it appears like this line could be heading to -2.5, but as soon as it does it will get gobbled up and move back to -3. I'll take it at -3 and I feel there is good value here. The Ravens looked awesome in pre-season while the Bengals looked awful 4-0 vs. 1-3, but as bad as the Bengals are late in the season and in the playoffs Marvin Lewis has this teaSep 10, 2017 Freddy Wills
Jets +8 5.5% NFL PODThere has not been a more devalued team in NFL history than this years NY Jets and I am going to fade the idea that everyone is painting against this football team. I still think they will have an above average defense and with at total sitting around 40 there is clearly value on the Jets at +8. The Jets have a veteran QB, along with a veteran RB in Matt Forte who cSep 09, 2017 Freddy Wills
Stanford +200 2.5% Dog of the Week! Stanford has really dominated this series going 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings which include 6-1 ATS at USC. To me USC is getting far too much hype and their defense is not up to a college football playoff caliber level and it will show again this weekend in my opinion. I watched the USC vs. Western Michigan game again and while Western Michigan is very goodSep 09, 2017 Freddy Wills
Illinois +7.5 5.5% PODI know this can’t be an exciting play on Illinois after last week’s game against Ball State, but Western Kentucky did not look good in an under the radar game against a bad FCS team (Eastern Kentucky â€" 3-8 LY). This is a much different Western Kentucky team than previous years as they return only 10 starters. Mike White is back at QB, but he loses TaywSep 09, 2017 Freddy Wills
Missouri -2.5 3.3% SEC GOWBoth offenses have 10 returning starters and both have QB̢۪s that are getting a lot of hype, but I tend to lean towards Missouri̢۪s offense a bit more and they are home in this game. Drew Lock put up great numbers a year ago and I think Jake Bentley is a year away from being really really good. In this match up a year ago South Carolina won at home 31-21 despite beiSep 09, 2017 Freddy Wills
Clemson/Auburn Under 54.5 2.2% PlayAt this point both offenses are far behind their team̢۪s defenses. This should be a defensive game in my opinion and we are getting a bit of an inflated total based on how these two offenses played last week against bad teams. Both defenses return 7 starters on defense from the match up that was a 19-13 final. Auburn had just 262 yards at home in this matchSep 09, 2017 Freddy Wills
Fresno State +44 1.1% Free Play I look for Fresno State to be one of the most improved teams in the country this year after a 1-11 season. They were not as bad as their record showed as they had a lead in 6 games by 14 or a 4th quarter lead. This year they bring in a new head coach in Jeff Tedford and they have 10 returning starters on offense 6 on defense. Their strength on defense is their deSep 09, 2017 Freddy Wills
Georgia +11.5 / Rutgers +1.5 4.4% TeaserGeorgia +11.5 I expect Georgia to have a shot at winning this game outright. Notre Dame looked great against Temple last week, but Temple has a new coaching staff and and only 4 returning starters. Georgia has 10 returning starters and are the favorites to win the SEC East at this point. They did lose their starting QB in Jacob Eason, but actually ESep 09, 2017 Freddy Wills
Arkansas +3 -105 2.2% play Arkansas is a tough team for me to back after last year with their blown leads, but I feel like they are the right side as a home dog. I donâ€Â™t understand the hype of TCU this was a team that barely beat Kansas on the road. Their QB Kenny Hill has gotten hype before and his 4-14 ATS record as a starter is something to take seriously. Hill on the road last yearSep 09, 2017 Freddy Wills
***WHAT'S ON TAP FOR WEEK #2 W/ FREDDY WILLS #1 CFB Career Profit Leader*** Freddy Wills heated up going 5-1 ATS on Saturday & Sunday. Check out his records table for archived analysis! Big Ten Backing a Team I have won 66.7% ATS in my 9 year career SEC Gow Backing a Team I have won 64.7% ATS in my career Total of the Week 56.25% ATS in 9 Seasons Career on Totals! MAX Rated PODSep 09, 2017 Freddy Wills
Iowa -2.5 2.2% playWe bet Iowa last week and despite 4 turnovers they still managed a win in convincing fashion 24-3. Meanwhile Iowa State which is a trending team for sharp bettors got revenge on Northern Iowa, but they had to force 3 interceptions and 2 were returned for TD̢۪s. They also gave up 13 plays of 15+ yards, and I don̢۪t see them being able to stop Iowa̢۪s run game as they lostSep 08, 2017 Freddy Wills
***WHAT'S ON TAP FOR WEEK #2 W/ FREDDY WILLS #1 CFB Career Profit Leader*** Freddy Wills heated up going 5-1 ATS on Saturday & Sunday. Check out his records table for archived analysis! Big Ten Backing a Team I have won 66.7% ATS in my 9 year career SEC Gow Backing a Team I have won 64.7% ATS in my career Total of the Week 56.25% ATS in 9 Seasons Career on Totals! MAX Rated POD 80-55 ATSSep 08, 2017 Freddy Wills
This game has been postponed and our bet has been canceled, but for those who don't subscribe to our plays here is a snapshot of our analysis. Memphis +150 2% Play If you take away last week's games Memphis would have been a favorite with 15 returning starters they are the most experienced team in the AAC. They have their QB back in Riley Ferguson which provides a QB edge, but Memphis is aSep 08, 2017 Freddy Wills
Freddywills.com the only place to get individual sports picks GUARANTEED OR $$ BACK!***WHAT'S ON TAP FOR WEEK #2 W/ FREDDY WILLS - #1 CFB Career Profit Leader*** 2 Dog Plays - Friday/Saturday - 7-2 Straight Up Last 9 Dog plays!Big Ten - Backing a Team I have won 66.7% ATS in my 9 year careerSEC Gow - Backing a Team I have won 64.7% ATS in my career Total of the Week - 56.25% ATS in 9 Seasons CareeSep 06, 2017 Freddy Wills
Miami OH vs. Marshall We had Miami Ohio at +8.5 on a teaser with Alabama and were lucky enough to get a cover. This was one of the biggest line moves after Miami Ohio was as much as a 3 point dog closed as a 4 point favorite in some places. The sharp movement was spot on as Miami Ohio had +10 first downs, +162 total yards, but still managed to lose the game. They allowed Kelon Davis to take twoSep 06, 2017 Freddy Wills
Last week our premium newsletter gave out a premium College Football Picks Against The Spread play (info clients pay for) on Nevada +24 an easy cover over Northwestern. Newsletter plays go out on Thursdayâ??s so if you subscribed after you likely missed the play! Nevada actually had a 17-7 lead at half time as we cruised to an easy cover!Along with my premium newsletter I have a
