Oct 20, 2019
Freddy Wills
Cowboys -145 4.5% PLAY
There are -2.5 at -120 out there, and I think you will get more value on the money line in this spot. If you can get -3 at +100 that's not a bad bet either....
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Oct 20, 2019
Freddy Wills
Colts -1 5.5% NFL POD...
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Oct 20, 2019
Freddy Wills
Raiders +5 2.2% play ...
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Oct 20, 2019
Freddy Wills
Lions +8.5 / Ravens +9 3.3% NFL Teaser...
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Oct 19, 2019
Freddy Wills
Air Force -3 -115 3.3% play
Air Force is the more balanced team, while Hawaii is off a devastating loss to Boise last week. I think Air Force will be better than most at traveling to the Islands to play a game late. Air Force ranks 87th vs. the pass which is a concern, but they have faced a very tough scheudle an average opponent QB rating 38.2, and i was very impressed with how...
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Oct 19, 2019
Freddy Wills
Florida State +1.5 4.4%
This is just the second time in the last 27 meetings that Florida State is an under dog to Wake Forest. The obvious reason is the talent gap and nothing has changed the Wake Forest program has averaged a national recruiting ranked #62 over the last 3 years compared to Florida State’s #10 ranking. The biggest question mark I have for Florida State is...
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Oct 19, 2019
Freddy Wills
Washington +3 3.3% play
Oregon won this game last year by 3 at home in OT as 3.5 point dogs, and now they are 3 point favorites on the road, which is telling you they would be 9.5 point favorites at home? I just don't see it personally. The defense ranks #3 in the country , but they haven't faced a single offense ranked in the top 50, as their average opponent ranks 83.6 in yard...
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Oct 19, 2019
Freddy Wills
New Mexico +19 2.2% Play
Sustained winds of 20mph with gusts of 35 mph in this game dropping the total from 54 to 49, and the spread has not dropped at all, which is giving us more value on the Lobos here. I also think they match-up well if they can avoid turning the ball over, and the weather also benefits them more than Wyoming. We are also getting an inflated price here based off t...
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Oct 19, 2019
Freddy Wills
Wisconsin -31 1.1% Free Play
Not many will be brave enough to lay this many points on the road, but I think Wisconsin won’t be satisfied to just get up big in this game. The coaches will be pointing to Michigan’s 28-0 early lead that slipped away making it a 28-25 game in the third quarter. I don’t see that with Wisconsin if anything they add to their lead. I’m...
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Oct 18, 2019
Freddy Wills
Marshall +5.5 3.3% play
This is a buy low spot on a team that is 1-5 ATS in Marshall, but is typically one of the better ATS teams going up against an overrated Florida Atlantic team that is 4-2 ATS. Doc Holliday is a great coach at Marshall. He is 7-2 ATS the last 3 years as a road dog, and he always takes these games with the Florida schools seriously, because he does a lot of recruiting...
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Oct 18, 2019
Freddy Wills
Syracuse +4 2.2% play
Do you want to bet on a team that blew a 23 point lead, and committed 15 penalties in their last road game. I have been high on Pitt all year, and have profited with them as they have gone 4-2 ATS, and now off a bye it's time to sell high on this team that is still growing in their new offense. They go up against a Syracuse team who has a very good home field adv...
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Oct 17, 2019
Freddy Wills
Broncos +3 2.2% play ...
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Oct 17, 2019
Freddy Wills
Arkansas State +6 3.3% play
“We don’t make any bones about,’’ said A-State coach Blake Anderson. “We don’t like them, they don’t like us and we’re gonna hit each other for 60 minutes.” Arkansas State has the bye to heal up, and clearly are motivated for this game at home.
I won't even look at their statistical profile g...
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Oct 17, 2019
Freddy Wills
Stanford -165 3% free play
Stanford finally gets to play a weak defense as they have played an average opponent defensive ranking of 46.67 compared to UCLA's 85.5. Stanford ranks 42nd at stopping the run, and should be able to contain UCLA's offense. This spread has dropped all the way down to 3.5, but I see more value on the money line here and I"m not conerned with the QB...
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Oct 15, 2019
Freddy Wills
RECAP LAST WEEK - 11-6 ATS +8.2% for a 5th winning week in a row. $100/unit bettors are up over $5K during that time with a 53.67% ROI. We aren’t goign to change anything this week, another week we have another $99 package for pro and college guaranteed or 2 weeks FREE
Best Pick
Tennessee +7 i had mentioned I thought they could win the game outright, and they d...
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Oct 13, 2019
Freddy Wills
Cowboys -1 / Titans +7.5 4.4% NFL Teaser of the week...
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Oct 13, 2019
Freddy Wills
Cardinals +3 @ -120 5.5% NFL POD
2.5 @ -105 or +100 all round. Debated taking this on the money line, but I think there is more value at -120. would have wanted +130 or more on the ML and it's just not there in the market. ...
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Oct 13, 2019
Freddy Wills
Texans +4 3.3% play ...
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Oct 13, 2019
Freddy Wills
Vikings/Eagles Over 44.5 1.1% Free Play ...
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Oct 13, 2019
Freddy Wills
Bengals +10.5 2.2% play ...
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Oct 12, 2019
Freddy Wills
Utah -14 2.2% play
I like the Utes here off a bye that was much needed, and fading Oregon State off their first win in the PAC 12 in quite some time. I liked what I’ve seen from Oregon State, but the defense is still a major question mark. The last time they went up against a team that was balanced on offense like Utah they gave up 52 points. Utah I would argue has just as good of a R...
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Oct 12, 2019
Freddy Wills
Florida +13 3.3% PLAY / Florida +420 1% PLAY
I really don’t understand the line here, I understand it is tough to get back up for a game after you beat Auburn at home, but there is no talent gap between these two teams. In fact Florida has out recruited LSU in 2 of the last 3 years with an average rank of 7.6 compared to LSU 11.6, so why is this spread so high? Night game in Death Val...
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Oct 12, 2019
Freddy Wills
Florida +13 3.3% PLAY / Florida +420 1% PLAY
I really don’t understand the line here, I understand it is tough to get back up for a game after you beat Auburn at home, but there is no talent gap between these two teams. In fact Florida has out recruited LSU in 2 of the last 3 years with an average rank of 7.6 compared to LSU 11.6, so why is this spread so high? Night game in Death Val...
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Oct 12, 2019
Freddy Wills
Iowa +3.5 5.5% NCAAF POD
Stock for Penn State probably could not be higher right now after the last two weeks, and Iowa after their performance against Michigan could not be lower, but I watched that game, and they just had a bad game. Stanley threw 3 interceptions, and the offensive line played poorly, but they still had chances to win at the end of the game. Iowa was the better team than ...
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Oct 12, 2019
Freddy Wills
Louisville +7 4.4% play
I think Louisville might be able to win this game outright. I don't like to look at common opponents as a key indicator, but it's worth noting. Louisville +101 yards vs. Boston College, and Wake Forest -93 yards. This is an extremely inflated number in my opinion base don the fact taht Wake Forest is 6-0 and ranked 17th in the country, but Louisvill...
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