Oct 12, 2019
Freddy Wills
Air Force -3 1.1% Free Play
We are fading the public dog Fresno State, who has been kind to bettors the last two seasons winning 20 games ATS. We are seeing over 60% of the best coming in on the dog here, and the line has moved from 3.5 to 3. Over the last 10 seasons there been just 6 teams to win 19+ ATS in 2 seasons, and the third season they have gone 41-63 ATS, just 39.8% ATS.&nbs...
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Oct 12, 2019
Freddy Wills
Michigan State +10.5 2.2% play
This feels like a game Michigan State would win. The only thing keeping me off making this a larger play, and a play on the money line is the fact that this is Michigan State’s 3rd road game in 4 weeks. Michigan State has a balanced defense and they have faced the tougher schedule by far. The two have a common opponent in Northwestern, and Michiga...
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Oct 12, 2019
Freddy Wills
Mich St +10.5 / Under 40.5 1% parly @ +265
Michigan State and the under is clearly correlated in my opinion, and with 16mph winds with gusts of 34mph, I expect both teams to lean on the running game, and both teams to struggle in the red zone....
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Oct 12, 2019
Freddy Wills
Texas +10.5 3.3% play
analysis coming later in the week. I wanted to grab this number. Unless other injury news comes out I expect a lot of the Texas guys back for this game. Texas has owned this matchup and they continue to be dogs. Sam Ehlinger is the most underrated QB in the nation....
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Oct 12, 2019
Freddy Wills
Tennessee +7 2.2% PLAY
Miss State is off a bye and has LSU on deck, but that’s factored into the line here. Miss State did not play well off a bye last year putting up just 3 points at LSU. They also lost their bowl game. Tennessee meanwhile played better than the final indicated alst week, and they moved to a new QB who gave this offense a spark. I see no reason why Tenne...
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Oct 11, 2019
Freddy Wills
Miami -135 3% play
More value on the money line with a total sitting at 42. The talent gap here can't be argued. Virginia's recruiting classes the last 3 years 36, 58, 54, compared to Miami 27, 11, 15. Miami coming off a bad loss to Virginia Tech giving us value while Virginia is off a bye. Virginia was off a bye last year, and Miami was off a huge upset win over Florida S...
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Oct 10, 2019
Freddy Wills
Syracuse +4.5 2.2% play
Syracuse and NC State are really similar coming off a season where they both lost their veteran QB. I think NC State lost a bit more on offense having lost their offensive coordinator and have struggled offensively this season just as Syracuse has struggled. I think the line move from 3 to 1.5 is giving us some value here, and I think people still can't g...
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Oct 09, 2019
Freddy Wills
App State +120 2.5% play
This is a repeat of last year's Sun Belt Championship tha App State won 30-19, and I just don't think Lafayette is ready to get over the hump here. Both teams have played well on the road against similar Power 5 schools. App State won on the road at UNC, while Lafayette lost by 10 with extra time to prepare to open the season at Miss State. That Mi...
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Oct 08, 2019
Freddy Wills
RECAP LAST WEEK - 6-3 ATS in college +9.62% 2-3 in the NFL for a combined 8-5, but cashed in on both of my large POD’s and profited over 8% for a 4th week in a row we have been profitable 63% ATS +45% ROI. I’ll keep the momentum going and offer the same $99 package for Pro and college football guaranteed profit or 2 weeks free.
Best Pick
We had a few...
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Oct 06, 2019
Freddy Wills
Broncos +5.5 2.2% play ...
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Oct 06, 2019
Freddy Wills
Steelers +3.5 5.5% NFL POD...
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Oct 06, 2019
Freddy Wills
Bears -5.5 2.2% play...
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Oct 06, 2019
Freddy Wills
Titans +3.5 / Bengals +3.5 6.5pt teaser (ties lose -120)...
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Oct 05, 2019
Freddy Wills
Pitt +5 5.5% NCAAF POD
Duke off a huge win over Virginia Tech as a dog on national TV last Friday, and Pitt just got by Delaware 17-14, but that was expected after beating UCF the week before, benching their starting QB, and half of their starters to get healthy for this game. Pitt has faced a tougher schedule by far with 3 quality opponents compared to Duke’s 1 quality opponent. I th...
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Oct 05, 2019
Freddy Wills
Navy +3.5 2.2% play
Air Force has gotten 71% of the bets so far, and the line has moved 1.5 points giving us value on the home dog here. I really don’t understand the move. Air Force has been a team I have backed and have been disappointed in as they really have struggled turning the ball over, and I really don’t anticipate it to stop here, as they are 123rd in TO margin. ...
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Oct 05, 2019
Freddy Wills
Bowling Green +46.5 1.1% Free Play
Hold your nose with this play, but I think we are getting value backing a 1-3 ATS team vs. a 3-1 ATS team. I also think Notre Dame is in a spot where they can take a breather after back to back hard fought games and some injuries and with USC on deck I see them going through the motions, and trying to just get out of here. Last year they face...
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Oct 05, 2019
Freddy Wills
Florida +2.5 3.3% play
I was waiting for a 3, and you may be able to continue to wait, as it's -115, to take Auburn -2.5, but the books seem very hesitant to push this to 3 despite having 64% of the money on Auburn, and you can actually take Florida at +102 odds at Pinnacle, one of the sharper books out there. I think Florida pulls the upset.
Auburn comes into this game 5-0 ATS, and 71%...
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Oct 05, 2019
Freddy Wills
Connecticut +11 2.2% play
Uconn is improving under the radar while USF is continuing to get worse under Charlie Strong. This was a 30-38 loss for Uconn last year on the road as Uconn had 322 yars rushing in the game. I don't understand this line as the stats and opponent stats are nearly identical in this matchup, but we get Uconn at home hungry for a conference win, playing in ...
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Oct 05, 2019
Freddy Wills
Army +3 -125 3.75 % play
I was waiting for a 3 to show up to release this or find a value side to tease Army with, but I never saw it. I think Army wins outright, but there is not enough value on the money line so I am buying a 1/2 point, which is 20cents to do at my book on -105 odds.
Both teams are off a bye, but Tulane has not played in 16 days, which is not a great situation to be ...
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Oct 05, 2019
Freddy Wills
Michigan -180 3% play
I think we are in a buy low spot here with Michigan, a team that easily has more talent than Iowa, and I think the money line offers more value than taking them at -4. This spread was more like -15.5 before the season.w I think we are selling high on Iowa, and I was not impressed with Iowa after their win at Iowa State, and felt they were fortunate for all ...
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Oct 04, 2019
Freddy Wills
Cincinnati +4 3.3% play
I like the Bearcats here at home and I definitely think if you like the Bearcats it’s correlated with the Under 63, but I’m not going there tonight. I think this is a completely different game than last year. First of all Cinci got behind early 21-6 at the half and had to lean on a freshman QB in Ridder, and he just didn’t play well. Cin...
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Oct 04, 2019
Freddy Wills
odds below courtesy of Actionnetwork.com
Week 1
Week 2
Week 3
Week 4
Week 5
Week 6
Week 7
Week 8
Week 9
Week 10
Week 11
Week 12
Week 13
Week 14
Week 15
Bowls
Hide Completed
SCHEDULED
OPEN
CURRENT
# BETS
% OF BETS
% OF MONEY
MONEY %
303GASO
304USA
Thu 10/03 7:30PM
-13
+13
-10(-110)
+10(-110)
10309
56%
44...
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Oct 03, 2019
Freddy Wills
Rams/Seahawks Under 49.5 2.2% play...
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Oct 03, 2019
Freddy Wills
East Carolina +12 2.2% play
I think there is value in the under here as well and East Carolina is definitely corelated with the under so if you wanted to parlay the two there is definite value, but I'm going to stick to East Carolina +12 for the game.
Temple might be satisfied after beating another Power 5 team, and their old coach in an emotional beat down of Georgia Tech 24-2, but that f...
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Oct 01, 2019
Freddy Wills
GRAB THIS WEEK'S PROMO PACKAGE HERE
This is the fourth week in a row we are offering up this package and we will continue to offer this as long as it keeps profiting. Over the last three weeks we have a 28-15 ATS +36.85% ROI. Last week we went 6-4 in college, and 4-2 in the NFL to finish 10-6 +12.85% and for a second week in a row we swept our POD's in college and the N...
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