Sep 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
Ohio State -3.5 4.4% Play I am grabbing this number early in the week before it goes up to 6. I have not been impressed with Penn State who has yet to see a decent defense. They struggled and were trailing at Illinois halfway through the third quarter and our +28 Illinois ticket looked like it would cash. However, Penn State made it a point to blow the game up and look goodSep 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
South Carolina +1 5.5% NCAAF POD Kentucky is a hot pick right now and everyone is picking them over South Carolina this week. I am high on Kentucky, and I even bet them at Florida, but I think this is a different match-up. This is the first time Kentucky is in the AP Top 25 in 11 years and they are facing an unranked team yet they are only a 1 point favorite? They have actually dominated SoutSep 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
San Jose State +330 2% Play Last week we gave out Purdue +218 and it cashed with ease over BC in a 30-7 victory. This is a tough spot for Hawaii already their 6th game in 6 weeks and this is their 3rd time traveling while they face San Jose State team off a bye. I really think San Jose can pull the upset here facing Hawaii who is getting plenty of action from bettors as their QB McDonald leadsSep 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
California +8.5 / Virginia Tech +10.5 3.3% Teaser of the week Cal +8.5 - This is a brutal spot for Oregon after they choked up a game vs. Stanford last week in what was their game of the year. I gave out Oregon as a premium play and really thought they would dominate. I think Cal off the bye playing a team that went to OT will have an advantage here. Cal is also very uSep 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
Utah -1.5 3.3% play Utah off a bye here while Washington State is coming off a big road loss at USC. Utah is 20-6 following a bye straight up under Kyle Whitingham and has revenge after losing the last three years to Washington State. Last year they only lost by 8 points despite 7 turnovers. That's hard to do, and they'll look to rebound following their poor loss against Washington atSep 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
Northwestern +14.5 1.1% Free Play - 34-9 ATS L43 Free Plays!We are getting great line value here with Northwestern. Not only are they off an Akron upset as 21 point favorites which is inflating the opening line of 10, but the line has moved nearly 5 points. Northwestern is well coached and off a bye here and I expect their best effort of the season. Northwestern is 14-6 ATS in their last 20 aSep 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
Kansas +17 3.3% play Oklahoma State was on the doorstep of cracking into the Top 10 after their blowout of Boise State which was extremely misleading. Now they are coming off a big loss against Texas Tech at home, and there are red flags all over the place for this team. Since 2008 they are just 14-15-1 ATS following a SU loss so it's not like this team rebounds under Gundy, and I also think tSep 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
PItt + 13 2.2% play Over 75% of the tickets are on UCF, but 56% of the money is on PItt and the line that opened up at 14.5 is down to 13. From a #'s perspective I have this around 10.5 or 11. So, I still think 13 is a decent # here, and it might be worth waiting if you can grab a 14 at your book later in the week, but overall I feel good about Pitt's chances here. Pitt the last two yearsSep 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
Arkansas +21.5 2.2% Play @12pm ET Nobody wants to touch Arkansas right now and that's exactly the time we would like to back them. I think there is tremendous value here and if you don't see a 21.5 you will on Saturday, but I like 21 as I have this line at 17. The spread in this game the last 3 years has been under a TD. This will be a neutral field game at Jerry World in Dallas. ArkansaSep 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
Boston College -12.5 2.2% play A lot of Temple's success the last two games is due to their ability to get a pass rush in predictable passing situations and create turnovers. I don't see them being able to get into that situation this week against Boston College, and I expect Boston College to run the ball, and when they do pass guys will be wide open on play action. Temple has plSep 28, 2018 Freddy Wills
Tulane +15 2.2% play Tulane is getting just 28% of the tickets and 37% of the money and we have seen this line move about 5 points. Tulane is desperate for a win, and I think they will be in this game. Their record is misleading here as they are 13 points away from being 3-1 instead of 1-3. Their strength of schedule is far superior to Memphis. Memphis has faced offensSep 27, 2018 Freddy Wills
Lean Arkansas State -3, Arkansas State played a similar team in UNLV last week in the sense that UNLV runs the ball a ton, and I was mostly impressed with Arkansas State's defense as they were +1.53 yards per play and held UNLV to a 27.1% success rate. Now they go on the road to face Georgia Southern in conference play where they have had tremendous success going 37-16-1 ATS in their last 54 conSep 27, 2018 Freddy Wills
Leaned Temple +13, but we can't play them. Last week we had Purdue as a ML dog over Boston College, but felt that was a good match up for Purdue based on strengths and weaknesses. Even though the sharp money seems to be coming on Temple and my algorithms recommend a play on Temple when I look at the X's and O's I simply can't do it. Temple the last two weeks have 13 sacks and that has alloweSep 27, 2018 Freddy Wills
Vikings +7.5 -1.15 3% playSep 25, 2018 Freddy Wills
Week 4 Review - 7-6 ATS week +5% in college football, and we hit on our POD with UNLV +7.5, hit on our newsletter play on Ohio, and North Carolina as our free play. We also gave out Purdue money line earlier in the week and they cruised in dominating fashion over Boston College. In the NFL our POD moved to 3-0 as the Redskins +135 moneyline was a nice win setting us up with a 3rd straighSep 24, 2018 Freddy Wills
Steelers pk 4.4% playSep 23, 2018 Freddy Wills
Redskins +135 5.5% NFL PODSep 23, 2018 Freddy Wills
Jaguars -10 2.2% playSep 23, 2018 Freddy Wills
49ers +6.5 3.3% playSep 23, 2018 Freddy Wills
Ravens -6 3.3% playSep 22, 2018 Freddy Wills
Arizona State / Washington Under 51.5 2.2% play Arizona State held Washington to 7 points last year, and they hire DAnny Gonzalez, who was San Diego State's defensive coordinator a year ago. Arizona State running the 3-3-5 could give Washington some issues here, and that's the reason I like the under along with the fact that both teams are going to lean on the running game first. I really havSep 22, 2018 Freddy Wills
Oregon +3 3.3% play When is the last time Oregon defeated a decent team? That is the question many are asking, and the reason why many are backing Stanford this week. This is just the 4th time in the last 8 years that Oregon is a dog at home. Stanford is getting all the money because they have faced two solid teams in San Diego STate & USC and have won and covered, but now they go on tSep 22, 2018 Freddy Wills
Michigan State / Indiana Under 49 2.2% play Michigan State off the bye and off a loss should be stout on defense here. I expect a similar result to the last two season where both those games went under this total. Indiana is also moving much slower this season and they are led by a defensive minded coach in Tom Allen. I am expecting Michigan State to be able to run the ball here which meansSep 22, 2018 Freddy Wills
UNLV +7.5 4.4% NCAAF POD There is some value here with UNLV, 12-4 ATS in their last 16 as a road dog, and they continue to improve under Tony Sanchez and are poised to get back to a bowl game this year. UNLV is a dominant running team and chooses to do so 67% of the time. This trends well in road games as a dog, and UNLV should be able to get the running game going in this game, because ArkanSep 22, 2018 Freddy Wills
Louisiana Tech +21 -115 3.5% play This is a great spot for Louisiana Tech coming off a bye here facing LSU a team off a huge win on the road and has two wins over two top 10 teams as dogs. This just seems like the type of game LSU makes fans worry. LSU lost at home last year to Troy 21-24, and Louisiana Tech has played these type of SEC teams well the past two years. They lost 16-17 at Sou
