Sep 07, 2020
Freddy Wills
Navy +1 2.2% play
The majority of the money is coming in on BYU, and it has caused a 4 point line movement pushing the Cougars to a small 1 point favorite. Over the past 3 years teams who are an away favorite after a 3.5 point line move are just 1-6 ATS, which tells me to fade the steam. What's driving this? Navy returns less starters, and lose their do all QB Malcolm Perry, but...
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Sep 07, 2020
Freddy Wills
The 2020 season brings new challenges to handicapping college football odds. With the uncertainty of players opting out, or being forced out due to COVID-19 or just being near someone who had COVID-19. It makes logical sense to me at least that you may not want to follow steam moves
At the end of the day what do we really know about these teams, the players, and how they will react ...
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Sep 05, 2020
Freddy Wills
Arkansas State +18.5 2.2% play
Memphis return 14 starters, and 6 on offense, but one of those offensive starters was Kenneth Gainwell, who had over 2,000 yards rushing/receiving last year, and Gainwell has opted out recently, which is a tremendous blow to this Memphis team. Memphis also has a new head coach, new defensive coordinator, while Arkansas State will have both theri OC/DC in thei...
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Sep 05, 2020
Freddy Wills
Army -3.5 2.2% play
There is line value with an open at 5.5 dropping to 3.5. I always like to fade line movement in the early season, as there are many unknowns, and when you fade that line movement you actually get line value.
Middle Tennessee was supposed to play Duke in week 1, and then possibly Troy, but they found out just 3 weeks ago that they will face Army. Now 3 weeks ...
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Feb 02, 2020
Freddy Wills
Over 26.5 pts 2nd half...
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Feb 02, 2020
Freddy Wills
Mahomes U32.5 rushing yards +105 1% play
...
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Feb 02, 2020
Freddy Wills
Chiefs -118 5.5% NFL POD...
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Feb 02, 2020
Freddy Wills
Mahomes Over 2.5 pass TD's +105 0.5% play
...
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Feb 02, 2020
Freddy Wills
Mostert will score a TD -165 1% play
...
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Feb 02, 2020
Freddy Wills
Garoppolo Over 19.5 receptions -115 0.5% play ...
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Jan 19, 2020
Freddy Wills
Packers /49ers Under 46.5 5.5% NFL POD...
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Jan 19, 2020
Freddy Wills
Packers +8 2.2% play ...
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Jan 19, 2020
Freddy Wills
Titans +7 3.3% play ...
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Jan 13, 2020
Freddy Wills
Clemson +5.5 5.5% NCAAF POD
These two almost met up in the semifinal, and oddsmakers would have opened up Clemson as a 1 point favorite, and then LSU dominated Oklahoma as I figured they would, and Clemson to many got lucky against Ohio State. Now we have a 6 or 6.5 line adjustment, that I just can't pass on. We waited to see another 6, and it doesn't appear we will despite 70% of the...
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Jan 13, 2020
Freddy Wills
Clyde Edwards-Helaire rushing yards U95.5 2% play -125...
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Jan 12, 2020
Freddy Wills
Packers -205 4% play ...
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Jan 12, 2020
Freddy Wills
Chiefs / Texans Over 51 3.3% play ...
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Jan 11, 2020
Freddy Wills
Titans +10 3.3% play ...
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Jan 11, 2020
Freddy Wills
Vikings +7 2.2% play ...
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Jan 05, 2020
Freddy Wills
Vikings +8 3.3% play ...
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Jan 04, 2020
Freddy Wills
Patriots -4.5 1.1% play ...
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Jan 04, 2020
Freddy Wills
Bills +8.5 / Eagles +7.5 4.4% Teaser of the Week ...
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Jan 04, 2020
Freddy Wills
Southern Miss +7.5 3.3% play
This was an old rivalry game that ended when Tulane left for the AAC, there is a Bell trophy on the lin here, and both teams should be motivated to play here in Texas. I think this line is a bit inflated for AAC bias, and they haven't looked great going 3-2 SU & ATS, while C-USA has gone 3-4 SU & ATS. The two conferences have faced each other...
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Jan 04, 2020
Freddy Wills
Patriots / Titans Over 44.5 2.2% play ...
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Jan 02, 2020
Freddy Wills
Tennessee -3.5 2.2% play
You may be able to get a better # live. Tennessee's deep threat WR is suspended for the first half so if this is a game early you may be able to get a better # live or at the half. No guarantee on that though, which is why I'm taking it now. Tennessee's average recruiting class is 12 over the last 3 years compared to Indiana's 44th ranking. Indiana...
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