Oct 09, 2020
Freddy Wills
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Oct 08, 2020
Freddy Wills
Houston -6.5 2.2% play
Since 2000 teams making their season debut are 85-59-2 ATS vs opponents who have already played a game. Houston has been practicing and tackling for 9 straight weeks, and they've had 3 games canceled due to opponents having issues with COVID. Dana Holgorson, "we're prepared, eager, and motivated." This is a team that brings back a ton of experience includi...
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Oct 04, 2020
Freddy Wills
Eagles Over 43 2.2% play ...
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Oct 04, 2020
Freddy Wills
Eagles +7.5 -105 2.2% play ...
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Oct 04, 2020
Freddy Wills
Colts -145 5.5% NFL POD...
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Oct 04, 2020
Freddy Wills
Seahawks / Dolphins O54.5 2.2% play ...
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Oct 04, 2020
Freddy Wills
Chargers +7.5 -125 1.5% Free Play...
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Oct 04, 2020
Freddy Wills
Jaguars +8.5 / Lions +9 3.3% Teaser play...
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Oct 03, 2020
Freddy Wills
Arkansas +17 3.3% play
Miss State is not only in a major let down spot after upsetting last years National Championship LSU as a 14 point dog, but that leads to a very inflated line in the early season going, that I just don’t agree with. 75% of the tickets are being placed on Miss State based on what they saw a week ago, and the final score in the Arkansas/Georgia game. Both t...
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Oct 03, 2020
Freddy Wills
Iowa State +7.5 1.1% Free Play
It’s easy to say that Oklahoma will just rebound after the Kansas State collapse, but we did see this just last year as Oklahoma went 1-4 ATS to close the season with an average margin of loss of 9.5 ppg, and on the flip side Kansas State went on to cover 3 of their final 4 games. Iowa State on the other hand has had Oklahoma’s number covering the ...
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Oct 03, 2020
Freddy Wills
Kentucky pk / Georgia -0.5 3.3% Teaser of the week
Kentucky: I love the fact that 65% of the tickets, and 81% of the money are on Ole Miss here. I watched both the Kentucky and the Ole Miss game last week, and the eye test told me that Kentucky was a much better team and they should be able to control this game. Kentucky should have covered last week against Auburn, but 3 of the...
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Oct 03, 2020
Freddy Wills
Missouri +13 3.3% play
Is this a trap here for Tennessee who is getting some hype before the season? They have Georgia up next week and face a Missouri team they beat on the road a year ago. Tennessee +2 TO, and recovered a punt to end the game, also had a pick six that helped them beat South Carolina. Personally I’m not sold on Tennessee, and I don’t think the...
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Oct 03, 2020
Freddy Wills
West Virginia +120 3% play
Baylor beat a bad Kansas team, and it was a misleading final of 47-14, as Baylor was only +24 yards but benefited from two kick return touchdowns and a safety. Meanwhile West Virginia lost by 14 points to Oklahoma State, but were even in yardage. The defense was impressive, and Neal Brown is a great coach ATS as an underdog. Brown was 9-4 ATS as ...
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Oct 02, 2020
Freddy Wills
Louisiana Tech +24.5 2.2% play
Right now, BYU’s stock could not be any higher, but I just don’t trust BYU’s Kalani Sitake as this great coach who is going to cover huge spreads. This is just too many points to pass up with Skip Holtz who is excellent as an underdog going 17-8-1 ATS. Tech was without some key players in their game against Southern Miss that move...
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Sep 27, 2020
Freddy Wills
Cowboys +5 2.2% play
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Sep 27, 2020
Freddy Wills
Browns -1 / Tampa pk 3.3% play ...
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Sep 27, 2020
Freddy Wills
Lions +5.5 1.1% Free Play...
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Sep 27, 2020
Freddy Wills
Bills -2 5.5% NFL POD
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Sep 26, 2020
Freddy Wills
FSU / MIAMI UNDER 54 2.2% PLAY
Louisville’s defense is not as good as Florida State’s which returns 10 starters, and really needs the defense to step up here. This is an instate rivalry game that is HUGE to recruiting. I expect a lower scoring game, and I believe this total is inflated about 6 points, because of what Miami has done offensively, and their defense struggled ...
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Sep 26, 2020
Freddy Wills
South Carolina +4 3.3% play
I think there is some value with the Gamecocks when you figure that they were a road favorite last year. Granted, they lost teh game 41-21, and we were on Tennessee for that game, but you can't argue the line value we are getting with South Carolina. Tennessee is getting a lot of hype for how they finished last season, and I'm not going to totally buy in.&n...
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Sep 26, 2020
Freddy Wills
Duke / Virginia Under 46.5 2.2% play
I'm taking the under in this game, as both coaches are defensive minded coaches that have strengths on the defensive side of the ball. Duke after 2 games have a 28.8% success rate, which is not very good, and Coach Cutcliffe is on record saying he has to put Chase Brice in better spots on offense, which to me means running the ball more. Cutcliffe ...
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Sep 26, 2020
Freddy Wills
Oklahoma -27.5 1.1% Free Play
This is a revenge game for Oklahoma, as they lost outright as a 23.5 point favorite last year. I think they could really name the score, and I don't care if I am paying a premium here. Kansas State has major COVID issues, and there is a possiblity this game gets canceled on Friday.
Oklahoma's defense should make more strides this year and im...
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Sep 26, 2020
Freddy Wills
Florida -13.5 2.2% play
I like the Gators here as we are backing the stability of an existing, quality coaching staff of Florida led by Dan Mullen against a completely new coaching staff implementing new offense and defense with Ole Miss. Lane Kiffin takes over at Ole Miss, and he brings in DJ Durkin as the defensive coordinator. Kiffin brings in a different offense, that is going to...
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Sep 26, 2020
Freddy Wills
Kentucky +7.5 3.3% play
Auburn lost 7 of their 9 starters on the offensive and defensive line, and are facing a Kentucky team that is very strong on both ends. The idea that Kentucky can not hold up in the trenches in this game is not true. I think Kentucky getting Terry Wilson back at QB after last year's injury is a great addition as Wilson is 12-3 as a starter here and is a dual th...
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Sep 26, 2020
Freddy Wills
Georgia Tech / Syracuse Under 52.5 2.2% play
Georgia Tech is led by a defensive coach and their defense got lit up by arguably the best offense in college football in UCF a week ago. I think that may have the total here a bit inflated. Now Georgia Tech comes back into conference play to play a Syracuse team who on the season has a 22.7% success rate. I expect Syracuse to struggl...
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