Oct 12, 2019 Freddy Wills
Utah -14 2.2% play I like the Utes here off a bye that was much needed, and fading Oregon State off their first win in the PAC 12 in quite some time. I liked what I’ve seen from Oregon State, but the defense is still a major question mark. The last time they went up against a team that was balanced on offense like Utah they gave up 52 points. Utah I would argue has just as good of a ROct 12, 2019 Freddy Wills
Florida +13 3.3% PLAY / Florida +420 1% PLAY I really don’t understand the line here, I understand it is tough to get back up for a game after you beat Auburn at home, but there is no talent gap between these two teams. In fact Florida has out recruited LSU in 2 of the last 3 years with an average rank of 7.6 compared to LSU 11.6, so why is this spread so high? Night game in Death ValOct 12, 2019 Freddy Wills
Florida +13 3.3% PLAY / Florida +420 1% PLAY I really don’t understand the line here, I understand it is tough to get back up for a game after you beat Auburn at home, but there is no talent gap between these two teams. In fact Florida has out recruited LSU in 2 of the last 3 years with an average rank of 7.6 compared to LSU 11.6, so why is this spread so high? Night game in Death ValOct 12, 2019 Freddy Wills
Iowa +3.5 5.5% NCAAF POD Stock for Penn State probably could not be higher right now after the last two weeks, and Iowa after their performance against Michigan could not be lower, but I watched that game, and they just had a bad game. Stanley threw 3 interceptions, and the offensive line played poorly, but they still had chances to win at the end of the game. Iowa was the better team thanOct 12, 2019 Freddy Wills
Louisville +7 4.4% play I think Louisville might be able to win this game outright. I don't like to look at common opponents as a key indicator, but it's worth noting. Louisville +101 yards vs. Boston College, and Wake Forest -93 yards. This is an extremely inflated number in my opinion base don the fact taht Wake Forest is 6-0 and ranked 17th in the country, but LouisvillOct 12, 2019 Freddy Wills
Air Force -3 1.1% Free Play We are fading the public dog Fresno State, who has been kind to bettors the last two seasons winning 20 games ATS. We are seeing over 60% of the best coming in on the dog here, and the line has moved from 3.5 to 3. Over the last 10 seasons there been just 6 teams to win 19+ ATS in 2 seasons, and the third season they have gone 41-63 ATS, just 39.8% ATS.&nbsOct 12, 2019 Freddy Wills
Mich St +10.5 / Under 40.5 1% parly @ +265 Michigan State and the under is clearly correlated in my opinion, and with 16mph winds with gusts of 34mph, I expect both teams to lean on the running game, and both teams to struggle in the red zone.Oct 12, 2019 Freddy Wills
Michigan State +10.5 2.2% play This feels like a game Michigan State would win. The only thing keeping me off making this a larger play, and a play on the money line is the fact that this is Michigan State’s 3rd road game in 4 weeks. Michigan State has a balanced defense and they have faced the tougher schedule by far. The two have a common opponent in Northwestern, and MichigaOct 12, 2019 Freddy Wills
Texas +10.5 3.3% play analysis coming later in the week. I wanted to grab this number. Unless other injury news comes out I expect a lot of the Texas guys back for this game. Texas has owned this matchup and they continue to be dogs. Sam Ehlinger is the most underrated QB in the nation.Oct 12, 2019 Freddy Wills
Tennessee +7 2.2% PLAY Miss State is off a bye and has LSU on deck, but that’s factored into the line here. Miss State did not play well off a bye last year putting up just 3 points at LSU. They also lost their bowl game. Tennessee meanwhile played better than the final indicated alst week, and they moved to a new QB who gave this offense a spark. I see no reason why TenneOct 11, 2019 Freddy Wills
Miami -135 3% play More value on the money line with a total sitting at 42. The talent gap here can't be argued. Virginia's recruiting classes the last 3 years 36, 58, 54, compared to Miami 27, 11, 15. Miami coming off a bad loss to Virginia Tech giving us value while Virginia is off a bye. Virginia was off a bye last year, and Miami was off a huge upset win over Florida SOct 10, 2019 Freddy Wills
Syracuse +4.5 2.2% play Syracuse and NC State are really similar coming off a season where they both lost their veteran QB. I think NC State lost a bit more on offense having lost their offensive coordinator and have struggled offensively this season just as Syracuse has struggled. I think the line move from 3 to 1.5 is giving us some value here, and I think people still can't gOct 09, 2019 Freddy Wills
App State +120 2.5% play This is a repeat of last year's Sun Belt Championship tha App State won 30-19, and I just don't think Lafayette is ready to get over the hump here. Both teams have played well on the road against similar Power 5 schools. App State won on the road at UNC, while Lafayette lost by 10 with extra time to prepare to open the season at Miss State. That MiOct 08, 2019 Freddy Wills
RECAP LAST WEEK - 6-3 ATS in college +9.62% 2-3 in the NFL for a combined 8-5, but cashed in on both of my large POD’s and profited over 8% for a 4th week in a row we have been profitable 63% ATS +45% ROI. I’ll keep the momentum going and offer the same $99 package for Pro and college football guaranteed profit or 2 weeks free. Best Pick We had a fewOct 06, 2019 Freddy Wills
Broncos +5.5 2.2% playOct 06, 2019 Freddy Wills
Steelers +3.5 5.5% NFL PODOct 06, 2019 Freddy Wills
Bears -5.5 2.2% playOct 06, 2019 Freddy Wills
Titans +3.5 / Bengals +3.5 6.5pt teaser (ties lose -120)Oct 05, 2019 Freddy Wills
Pitt +5 5.5% NCAAF POD Duke off a huge win over Virginia Tech as a dog on national TV last Friday, and Pitt just got by Delaware 17-14, but that was expected after beating UCF the week before, benching their starting QB, and half of their starters to get healthy for this game. Pitt has faced a tougher schedule by far with 3 quality opponents compared to Duke’s 1 quality opponent. I thOct 05, 2019 Freddy Wills
Navy +3.5 2.2% play Air Force has gotten 71% of the bets so far, and the line has moved 1.5 points giving us value on the home dog here. I really don’t understand the move. Air Force has been a team I have backed and have been disappointed in as they really have struggled turning the ball over, and I really don’t anticipate it to stop here, as they are 123rd in TO margin.Oct 05, 2019 Freddy Wills
Bowling Green +46.5 1.1% Free Play Hold your nose with this play, but I think we are getting value backing a 1-3 ATS team vs. a 3-1 ATS team. I also think Notre Dame is in a spot where they can take a breather after back to back hard fought games and some injuries and with USC on deck I see them going through the motions, and trying to just get out of here. Last year they faceOct 05, 2019 Freddy Wills
Florida +2.5 3.3% play I was waiting for a 3, and you may be able to continue to wait, as it's -115, to take Auburn -2.5, but the books seem very hesitant to push this to 3 despite having 64% of the money on Auburn, and you can actually take Florida at +102 odds at Pinnacle, one of the sharper books out there. I think Florida pulls the upset. Auburn comes into this game 5-0 ATS, and 71%Oct 05, 2019 Freddy Wills
Connecticut +11 2.2% play Uconn is improving under the radar while USF is continuing to get worse under Charlie Strong. This was a 30-38 loss for Uconn last year on the road as Uconn had 322 yars rushing in the game. I don't understand this line as the stats and opponent stats are nearly identical in this matchup, but we get Uconn at home hungry for a conference win, playing inOct 05, 2019 Freddy Wills
Army +3 -125 3.75 % play I was waiting for a 3 to show up to release this or find a value side to tease Army with, but I never saw it. I think Army wins outright, but there is not enough value on the money line so I am buying a 1/2 point, which is 20cents to do at my book on -105 odds. Both teams are off a bye, but Tulane has not played in 16 days, which is not a great situation to beOct 05, 2019 Freddy Wills
Michigan -180 3% play I think we are in a buy low spot here with Michigan, a team that easily has more talent than Iowa, and I think the money line offers more value than taking them at -4. This spread was more like -15.5 before the season.w I think we are selling high on Iowa, and I was not impressed with Iowa after their win at Iowa State, and felt they were fortunate for all
