Nov 29, 2019 Freddy Wills
Washington -7 3.3% play Washington knows this offense well, and should win this game. I think we are getting some value with Washington since they are off an inexcusable loss to Colorado that I simply can’t explain. Washington’s offense disappeared, and they were flat out of the bye. We saw this against Stanford, earlier in the year where they were a 2 TD favoriteNov 29, 2019 Freddy Wills
Boise State -14 1.1% Free Play (61-39 +$21,773 L 100 All Sports Free Picks) Boise State has every reason to win with margin, and we saw that take place in their last game against Utah State. Meanwhile Colorado State, at home here does not worry me. We saw them give no effort against Wyoming, and they have no shot at a bowl game. I think Boise wants to show they deserve consideraNov 29, 2019 Freddy Wills
Nebraska +185 1.1% playNov 29, 2019 Freddy Wills
Nebraska +4.5 2.2% play / Nebraska +185 1.1% play This is a massive game for Nebraska and Scott Frost to get to 6 wins and become bowl eligible. They are doing what they did last year and playing well down the stretch. They outgained Wisconsin in their last home game in a misleading loss, and the defense held Wisconsin to 2TD's in 5 red zone trips, which I thought was a major improvemNov 29, 2019 Freddy Wills
Virginia Tech -140 3.5% play I see more value here on the money line than the -2.5 juiced. I think Tech is the right side and it is not because they have dominated the series history. They have just played better against similar opponents, and their QB play of Hooker has been a huge upgrade for this team ast hey average 10 more points per game when he plays. I questioned HNov 29, 2019 Freddy Wills
Kent State +4 2.2% play Kent State has the hot hand right now, and I don't believe Eastern Michigan should be more than a field goal favorite here. Eastern Michigan needs to wint he TO battle to win by more than 4 points here and even the game. They are +8 in their wins, and -3 in their losses, and Kent State just does not turn the ball over. They have 10 TO's lost all year, andNov 28, 2019 Freddy Wills
Ole Miss +120 5.5% NCAAF POD I always enjoy the college game more on Thanksgiving night, and we have gotten this match-up the last few years. This is a huge game for the state of Mississippi, and I think we have a coaching advantage when you look at Ole Miss and what they have on their staff and the fact that they are sticking around after this season, and they also have 12 days to prepareNov 28, 2019 Freddy Wills
Cowboys -6.5 3.3% playNov 28, 2019 Freddy Wills
Lions +5.5 1.1% Free PlayNov 25, 2019 Freddy Wills
Rams +3.5 3.3% playNov 24, 2019 Freddy Wills
49ers -3 -115 3.5% playNov 24, 2019 Freddy Wills
Titans/Jaguars Over 41.5 2.2% playNov 24, 2019 Freddy Wills
Cowboys +6 2.2% playNov 24, 2019 Freddy Wills
Eagles -115 5.5% NFL PODNov 24, 2019 Freddy Wills
Tampa +165 2.5% playNov 23, 2019 Freddy Wills
San Diego State +3 -115 4% play I wanted to take the money line here, but at +120, the +3 offers much more value. The weather is calling for 17mph sustained winds and 30+mph gusts, which clearly favors San Diego State who runs the ball more and has the better defense. This game is similar to my handicap last week with San Diego State against Fresno, and this game is much more meaningful wiNov 23, 2019 Freddy Wills
Duke +7 -115 3% Fade The World Just 20% of the $$ and 28% of the tickets are on Duke here. Listen if they continue to turn the ball over then yeah they could get run out of the building again, but I have a few reasons to believe they won’t do that. This line is definitely inflated given the state of Wake Forest right now. I really don’t see much separaNov 23, 2019 Freddy Wills
Syracuse +9.5 3.3% play We gave out Syracuse on the spread and money line last week and they made us look great. I am going back to the well here, as Dino Babers has his team playing with confidence, and needing to win to stay in contention of getting into a bowl game. Syracuse fired their defensive coordinator after the BC game heading into the bye. Dino knew his defense was talentNov 23, 2019 Freddy Wills
UCLA +14 1.1% Free Pick USC dominated Cal last week, while UCLA ran into Utah and lost 45-3, basically eliminating all the momentum UCLA had in their 3 game winning streak, but that sets us up for value this week. UCLA was -4 TO margin in that game, and we hope they got that out of their system. Both of these teams have had turnover issues, USC has had 12 TO’s in 5 home games, while UNov 23, 2019 Freddy Wills
Indiana +10 2.2% play Indiana had a 73% postgame win expectancy on the road against Penn State. So many things went against them in that game, but they fought and stayed in the game, and at times looked like the better team. Indiana has played Michigan tough the last 4 games, and this is an ultimate sandwich spot for Michigan after Michigan State and Ohio State. We heard severalNov 23, 2019 Freddy Wills
Texas +6 2.2% play Texas has faced a tougher schedule, and are still alive to get to the Big 12 Championship. They need Baylor to lose out and for Iowa State to trip up once. It’s highly unlikely with Baylor facing Kansas next week, but Baylor has played in a lot of tight games this season. Here they face a Texas team they nearly beat last year, which should have Texas attNov 23, 2019 Freddy Wills
Texas A&M +13 3.3% play The total has come down a ton in this game due to the weather as we are expecting some heavy rain, but not a lot of wind. We have already seen how Georgia plays overall, with their conservative style, and it gets even more conservative when weather conditions are not great. Both teams are going to need to rely on the running game more here, and I feelNov 23, 2019 Freddy Wills
Georgia Southern +7.5 / California +7.5 3.3% Teaser of the week Georgia Southern has had a challenging schedule having to face LSU, Minnesota, and App State, all three of which are balanced offense ranked top 50 in passing and rushing. Their opponent this week is a one dimensional offense ranked 27th passing the ball, but 92nd in running. Georgia Southern has beaten teams like thisNov 23, 2019 Freddy Wills
UCF -6 3.3% PLAY Fading the public dog is one of my favorite situations to take the favorite, and that is what we have here. There are a few others I like on the board, Navy -3.5 over SMU, but SMU has the extra week to prepare for the option, but SMU getting 66% of the tickets in that game. Kansas State at +2.5 also getting 69% of the tickets and 65% of the money over Texas Tech, andNov 21, 2019 Freddy Wills
Colts +3.5 2.2% play Waiting on injury news, but I like the Colts tonight. Will Fuller for the Texans ?, so is T.Y. Hilton and Eric Ebron. I expect all to play as this is a very big game. Short week favors the better coach, and there is no question Frank Reich is the better coach. However, I may need to hedge out at some point if the injury news differs.
