Oct 18, 2020
Freddy Wills
Texans +3.5 5.5% NFL POD ...
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Oct 18, 2020
Freddy Wills
Steelers -3 -125 3.5% play
...
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Oct 18, 2020
Freddy Wills
Colts -1.5 / Bears +7.5 3.3% Teaser...
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Oct 17, 2020
Freddy Wills
VA Tech -12 2.2%
This has to be the public dog of the week with so many people on Boston College with over 80% of the tickets. BC is 3-1 ATS, but they go on the road to face a Virginia Tech team that I feel like is going to take some frustration out on an overrated BC team. BC has been outgained on the season and they are dead last in yards per carry, which is the weakness for Virgin...
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Oct 17, 2020
Freddy Wills
Georgia +5.5 3.3% play
I really like what I saw from Georgia last week. There offensive numbers are not overly impressive, but you have to take into consideration the fact that the first half against Arkansas they had a different QB, that was clueless, and the second half against Auburn they took their foot off the gas. Georgia with Stetson Bennett who has a lot of confidence right no...
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Oct 17, 2020
Freddy Wills
Miss State +5 5.5% NCAAF POD
Miss State outgained Kentucky by over 100 yards, but threw 6 interceptions, which I think gives us some value on the home dog here. On the other hand, Texas A&M just got off back to back games against Alabama and Florida, and upset Florida last week. I think this is a huge let down spot for an A&M team that has already had to deal with a lot. ...
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Oct 17, 2020
Freddy Wills
UCF -3 2.2%
This could be a square play, but UCF has dominated this series, and we are getting line value, because they are coming off a loss as a huge favorite against Tulsa. Tulsa has had UCF’s number, while Memphis has not losing 13 straight games by an average 8 points per game. This is also the worst defense form a success rate allowed perspective that UCF has faced so far ...
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Oct 17, 2020
Freddy Wills
Louisville +17 3.3%
This one is an ugly dog, but a classic sell high, buy low situation. Louisville is much better than their record indicates as they are +35 yards per game on the season, while Notre Dame has faced teams that are 1-10 SU vs. FBS teams this year. Notre Dame’s defense, which is completely rebuilding hasn’t faced a top 50 of 75 offense, and Louisville ...
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Oct 17, 2020
Freddy Wills
Pitt +14 -120 3.5% Play /
Pittsburgh +14 -120 buy ½ 3.5% / Pitt +395 0.5% play
I think Pitt is worth a shot here on the money line as Miami is in a huge let down spot after their big game against Clemson. Kenny Picket, at QB for Pitt is probably and that makes me feel really good about this game. Pitt has lost back to back games as favorites, which is giving us some line value...
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Oct 17, 2020
Freddy Wills
Auburn / South Carolina Over 51.5 1.1% play
SEC Defense? Well, I guess we will find out, but I see value in the over here. Auburn ranks 40th in success rate defense out of 75 teams, and that came against some bad offenses, while South Carolina ranks 68th, and both are outside the top 50 of 75 teams in EPA pass defense, which is a measurement of the combination of success rate and exp...
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Oct 17, 2020
Freddy Wills
Pitt +395 0.5% play...
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Oct 16, 2020
Freddy Wills
Houston +5 3.3% play
Houston turned the ball over 5 times and were negative in TO margin in their first game and won by 18 points and covered the spread. Just so you understand how rare that is, Favorites who were -5 TO margin were 1-90 ATS. I expect Houston to take better care of the ball, Tulane’s defensive line is extremely athletic and talented ranking 6th in sack. I ...
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Oct 13, 2020
Freddy Wills
Titans +3.5 2.2% play ...
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Oct 11, 2020
Freddy Wills
Giants/Cowboys Under 53 2.2% play ...
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Oct 11, 2020
Freddy Wills
Colts +1 4.4% NFL POD...
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Oct 11, 2020
Freddy Wills
Raiders +11 2.2% play ...
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Oct 11, 2020
Freddy Wills
Steelers -1 / 49ers -1.5 3.3% NFL Teaser...
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Oct 11, 2020
Freddy Wills
Washington Football Team +7 +105 1% Free PLay ...
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Oct 10, 2020
Freddy Wills
Clemson -14 3.3% play
I see some value here on Clemson who is 0-3 ATS going up against a Miami team that's 3-0 ATS. Miami really has not played anyone, and despite being ranked #7 in the country right now are 35th in success rate on offense, and 25% on defense, which really does not have the resume of a top 10 team. Clemson also is saying all the right things, they got their shitty ga...
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Oct 10, 2020
Freddy Wills
Miss State +130 2% play
I believe this is a bad matchup for Kentucky, and it comes at the right time. After MIss State defeated LSU, and then lost the following week as a 17 point favorite to Arkansas, we now have them as a dog again. With 92% of the $ on Kentucky I'm more inclined to think this is MIss STate's game. Kentucky may be the more desparate team, but Kentucky has prov...
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Oct 10, 2020
Freddy Wills
Georgia -12 2.2% play
61% of the tickets are coming in on Tennessee, as they have the longest winning streak in the SEC with 8 straight wins. I’m just not buying into the hype right now as Tennessee has faced two teams that might not get to a bowl game in South Carolina and Missouri, and Tennessee at times showed vulnerabilities to both of those teams. I also think we saw ...
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Oct 10, 2020
Freddy Wills
Syracuse +1 1.1% Free Play
Duke is getting too much credit here for a team that is 0-4 and being favored on the road. Yes, they showed up and looked better against Virginia Tech, but a lot of that was smoke and mirrors. 7 of their 31 points came on a muffed punt, and they also faced a Virginia Tech without their DC, and several key starters and contributors from the secondary. ...
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Oct 10, 2020
Freddy Wills
Virginia Tech +4.5 2.2% play
North Carolina has not looked like the same offense so far this year, and again last week they had issues in protection of their QB, which led to an off day for Sam Howell. It won’t get any easier as Virginia Tech has shown they can get pressure with their front 4 without the need to bring blitzes, as they got to Duke for 7 sacks in the last game.
I thin...
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Oct 10, 2020
Freddy Wills
Texas +3 2.2% play
I will take the more experienced QB who is less likely to make big mistakes in this game. Oklahoma is not nearly as dynamic as years past, and starting a red shirt freshman in Spencer Rattler, who has been great number wise, but he really does not have a lot of help around him. From his offensive line, running game, or defense. What happens is he presses late...
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Oct 09, 2020
Freddy Wills
Louisville -4.5 2.2% play
This is a cheap price for a Louisville team that I believe has the better offense, and better defense. Louisville which ranks 16th in defensive success rate defense is the best defense that Georgia Tech has faced all year, and Georgia Tech has had issues turning the ball over with 12 on the year. Jeff Simms at QB for Tech has shown promise, but also has shown...
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