Recent Articles


Friday Night Lights - Guaranteed or $$ BACK Houston vs. Washington State

Sep 13, 2019 Freddy Wills

Houston +9 2.2% play  Houston has gone 4-2 the last 3 years against the Power 5, with their only losses coming to in-state Texas Tech by 3 and 14 points. The AAC is 5-2 vs. the PAC 12, and that includes Houston defeating Arizona the last two seasons by 27 and 3 points. Washington State has opened it up against two weak opponents and have looked great offensively it just looks like they can
[Read More...]

College Football Friday Night Lights Betting Preview & Saturday's Need To Know

Sep 13, 2019 Freddy Wills

This has been one of my most profitable weeks in college and pro football. In college I have gone 58-35 ATS which equates to 62.3% winners, and in the NFL I have gone 35-17 ATS equating to 67% winners! All documented in records That's a combined 93-52 ATS over 10 years of data! PICK UP THIS WEEK'S PROMO PACKAGE - NFL + COLLEGE $99 Guaranteed or 2 WEEKS FREE!  Freddy break
[Read More...]

College Football Week 2 Recap & Week 3 Betting Value First Look

Sep 10, 2019 Freddy Wills

Recap of my week - 4-4-1 ATS with unfortunate losers on Texas and Texas State, my two biggest losers, which should have won. Texas dropped a wide openTD in the first half that really cost them in this game. Texas State was a bad beat which we will get to in a moment. Best Pick Uconn +21.5. This was our free pick, Free college football picks are now 62-40 ATS over the last 102. Uconn
[Read More...]

Week 1 NFL Injury Notes

Sep 09, 2019 Freddy Wills

Arizona Cardinals No new injuries. Atlanta Falcons Chris Lindstrom, RG, left game with a fractured foot. Baltimore Ravens Jimmy Smith, CB, left game with a knee injury. Buffalo Bills Taron Johnson, CB, left game with a hamstring injury. Carolina Panthers No new injuries. Chicago Bears Played on Thursday night. Cincinnati Bengals Joe Mixon, RB, left game with an ankle inju
[Read More...]

@Steelers vs. @Patriots - 3.3% Play Guaranteed or $$ BACK - 113% ROI in September NFL Picks Since 20

Sep 08, 2019 Freddy Wills

Steelers +6 3.3% play 
[Read More...]

NFL Teaser of the Week - 87-63 L150 Sport Teasers +62% ROI

Sep 08, 2019 Freddy Wills

Cowboys -1 / Saints -1 3.3% Teaser
[Read More...]

3.3% NFL pick 44-30 ATS Run on 3% NFL plays +45.1% ROI **Guaranteed or $$ BACK #COLTSvsCHARGERS

Sep 08, 2019 Freddy Wills

Colts +6.5 3.3% play 
[Read More...]

47-24 ATS Last 71 Free NFL Picks @Dolphins vs. @Ravens

Sep 08, 2019 Freddy Wills

Dolphins +7 1.1% Free Play 
[Read More...]

NFL Total of the Week - Tampa vs. San Francisco Guaranteed or $$ BACK

Sep 08, 2019 Freddy Wills

Tampa/SF Over 51 2.2% play 
[Read More...]

NFL Play of the Day - +55% ROI Last Year in NFL - +113% ROI Career in NFL Picks in September

Sep 08, 2019 Freddy Wills

Panthers +2 4.4% NFL POD
[Read More...]

Premium Newsletter Play - 3.3% Play - Guaranteed or $$ BACK 21-12 ATS Career +32% ROI

Sep 07, 2019 Freddy Wills

Minn -3 3.3% play Minnesota gets 2 extra days of rest and preparation while Fresno played USC late on Saturday, but will host MInnesota here in what should be a challenging travel situation for Minnesota, but I believe we are getting some betting value as Minnesota struggled against an FCS opponent last week. South Dakota State is the #3 FCS team and Minnesota returns 90% of their offensive and
[Read More...]

Game of the Week @TexasFootball vs. @LSUFootball - Guaranteed or $$ BACK

Sep 07, 2019 Freddy Wills

Texas +6.5 3.3% play @+100This line is puzzling and it's kept me from releasing it earlier in the week in hopes of waiting for a 7.  There are some 7's out there, but neither of my books have it, and I'm comfortable with 6.5.  First of all I don't understand this line other than the fact that LSU just has better depth right now, and Texas has running back issues, but Sam Ehlinger can car
[Read More...]

4.4% NCAAF POD **188-140 ATS L328 4% PLAYS Dates to 2011! Guaranteed or $$ BACK

Sep 07, 2019 Freddy Wills

Texas State +7 4.4% NCAAF POD Wyoming is just 2-4 ATS under Boh as a road favorite, and they have to do it this week after a home upset of Missouri where their fans rushed the field. First of all that was a completely misleading final. So many things happened in that game including turnovers from Missouri that led to 10 points, but also took away 14 points form Missouri which was a 24 point sw
[Read More...]

Total of the Week Guaranteed or $$ BACK

Sep 07, 2019 Freddy Wills

Baylor/UTSA Over 57.5 2.2% play This game is taking place in 102 degree heat, and I think both teams will struggle on defense given the fact that they have stronger offenses at this point in time.  Baylor even under Matt Rhule continues to run a lot of plays per game and ranked 7th last year at 80 per game.  Their offense should improve yet again as they return 8 offensive starters
[Read More...]

Saturday's #CollegeFootball Free Play **61-40 ATS L101 NCAAF Free Pick s

Sep 07, 2019 Freddy Wills

Connecticut +21.5 1.1% I think we are just getting too much value with Uconn here with Illinois in their largest road favorite role since 1991. It's for good reason as Uconn was awful last year, and average 50+ppg allowed, but honestly they started 8 freshman in one game on defense. Those guys are back with 10 on that side and this is Randy Edsall's third year, and I think we should start to
[Read More...]

West Virginia vs. Missouri - Guaranteed or $$ BACK

Sep 07, 2019 Freddy Wills

West Virginia +14 2.2% PLAY This is a lot of points for MIssouri, who played really sloppy last week losing to Wyoming with 3 turnovers, while giving up 297 yards on the ground and 7 yards per carry. West Virginia returns a trio of RB's who combined for 1871 yards last year, and they bring in an excellent coach in Neal Brown from Troy. Neal Brown at Troy the last three years, beat Nebraska on
[Read More...]

@CuseFootball Vs. @TerpsFootball - Guaranteed or $$ BACK

Sep 07, 2019 Freddy Wills

Syracuse +1.5 2.2% PLAY Syracuse is the better team, and they have the better coach. This line has moved 4 points or so since opening, and it's because of Maryland's 79-0 thrashing of Howard, and the fact that Syracuse has Clemson on deck, but I'm siding with Syracuse whose strength really translates on the road. Syracuse defense was elite against LIberty, who has players, and they got the ru
[Read More...]

Early Early College Football Special - @Pitt_FB vs. @OhioFotoball Guaranteed or MONEY back

Sep 07, 2019 Freddy Wills

Pitt -4 2.2% play  We backed Pitt in a teaser last week and I still feel like it was the right side getting 9 points of line movement. This week we will back them on the side, as we are getting 2.5 points of line value from the 6.5 at open. It's also very weird to see 67% of the action on Ohio in money, but the line has gone the other way. Pitt lost the game 30-14, but all 3 of Virginia
[Read More...]

Friday Night LIghts - Guaranteed or $$ BACK

Sep 06, 2019 Freddy Wills

Marshall +13 2.2% playI still like this at 12 or 12.5.  13's are starting to pop, and I'm grabbing it, but expect more books to go to 13 at some point.I think we are getting some line value here with Marshall after Boise is sky high after a come from behind win at Florida State which saw their offense run 107 plays. The offense looked great, but they still averaged less than 6 yards per play
[Read More...]

College Football Week 1 Recap & Podcast Notes

Sep 04, 2019 Freddy Wills

Recap of my week - 4-9 ATS on the season -16.4%. Had some bad beats I thought, and many of those losses that could have gone either way to be honest, but like we do every week we will go over the best pick, and worst pick, bad beat of the week. Best Pick Wisconsin -10.5 I got the best #, and my handicap seemed spot on as Wisconsin dominated winning 49-0. The defense seemed to be back givin
[Read More...]

#NotreDame vs. #Louisville Guaranteed or $$ BACK - 2.2% Play

Sep 02, 2019 Freddy Wills

Louisville +19 2.2% play I think there is some value here on the home dog.  Louisville quit on their coach last year, and now they bring in Scott Satterfield, who did great things at App State.  Louisville returns 16 starters, and open up in a game against highly touted Notre Dame on national television.  This is Notre Dame's largest road favorite role since 2000, and thought h
[Read More...]

@TexasFootball vs. @LATechFB 3.3% Play **32-15 ATS L47 NCAAF plays - Guaranteed or $$ BACK

Aug 31, 2019 Freddy Wills

LA Tech +20.5 3.3% play Texas beat Georgia in their bowl game, but that was an unmotivated Georgia team, and Sam Ehlinger claimed Texas waas back, but this is one of the more overrated teams in college football if you ask me, and I love fading the pre-season AP Top 10 in the first few weeks of college football. Texas has just 8 returning starters, and lost their entire front 7, leading rusher,
[Read More...]

4.4% NCAAF POD Guaranteed or $$ BACK - 17-11 Run on 4% NCAAF Picks +135% ROI L327!

Aug 31, 2019 Freddy Wills

Coastal Carolina +6 4.4% NCAAF POD Eastern MIchigan has just 10 returning starters as they head out on the road as the MAC faces off against the Sun Belt. The Sun Belt has gone 12-9 against the MAC, but the battles have been pretty even. I have tremendous respect for Chis Creighton and what he's achieved here at Eastern Michigan, but with 10 returning starters I have questions. This team ha
[Read More...]

@DukeFootball vs. @AlabamaFTBL Guaranteed or $$ BACK **11-4 Run on College Football 58% L100!

Aug 31, 2019 Freddy Wills

Duke +32.5 2.2% play I really think there is line value in this number. It's on a neutral field. Duke went on the road to play Clemson last year and they were 28 point dogs, which would suggest they would be +26.5 on a neutral against Clemson last year. They lost that game 35-6 so it's not the first time this team has had to go up against a giant like Alabama. This is the 8th season in a r
[Read More...]

Teaser of the Week - 42-28 +46.2% ROI Last 70 College Football Teasers - Guaranteed or $$ BACK

Aug 31, 2019 Freddy Wills

Pitt +8.5 & Florida State -0.5 Teaser of the Week - 42-28 +46.2% ROI Last 70 NCAAF Teasers Pitt +8.5 Virginia has more returning starters, and an under rated QB, but they are getting too much hype here in my opinion. Many are picking them to get to the ACC Championship, a game Pitt got to last year. Pitt does lose a lot on offense, 4 OL, 2 1,000 yard RB's, but they gain an excellen offensiv
[Read More...]

site design / logo © 2008 - 2025 freddywills.com