Sep 28, 2019 Freddy Wills
Boston College +6.5 3.3% play I think we are getting value with the Eagles off that Loss to Kansas, and there should be a lot of buzz with BC returning home. These two programs have almost identical recruiting rankings so it’s not like there is a huge talent gap on Wake Forest’s side. I just don’t understand this line as the spread was BC -6.5 last year, pk in 2017, and WaSep 28, 2019 Freddy Wills
Baylor +3 2.2% play These two teams are very similar with two up and coming coaches who play much better in the underdog role. Baylor was not impressive at Rice last week while Iowa State dominated Louisiana Monroe, and that’s giving us tremendous line value in my opinion. Baylor under Matt Rhule is actually an amazing 11-3 straight up as a dog by less than a TD, and in this gamSep 28, 2019 Freddy Wills
Washington -10.5 4.4% NCAAF POD I think Matt Fink and this USC team may have just too much confidence after their win against UTAH last week, which I felt was a bit misleading. USC backers will disagree with me, but Utah was unfortunate to lose their star RB early, and there were a bunch of 50-50 balls that UTAH just didn't defend. Honestly, I would be surprised if Fink does not get pSep 28, 2019 Freddy Wills
Central Michigan +17 3.3% play This spread is out of whack to me, and I think you see Central Michigan lose 61-0 to Wisconsin, and you see Western Michigan dominate Georgia State 57-10 at home, and it doesn’t seem all that crazy, but I think the Chippewas match up really well in this one. Western MIchigan could also be without their best offensive player in LeVAnte Bellamy, the RB hasSep 28, 2019 Freddy Wills
Northwestern +14.5 1st Half -115 3% play I see plenty of books right now with this 1st half line including mybookie I like the first half as a play in this game much more. Northwestern over the last 5 meetings have dominated this game in the first half outscoring Wisconsin 54-24. We are getting a huge number here, and we have seen inflated 1st halfs for favorites the last yeSep 28, 2019 Freddy Wills
Liberty -1 & Vanderbilt -0.5 3.3% Teaser of the Week (Liberty -1) New Mexico off a 3 point 55-52 win over their in state rival New Mexico State and our now traveling to face Liberty, who is a very bad match up for New Mexico. This is also a tough travel spot when you factor in New Mexico went to Notre Dame, and then they went home to play their in state rival, and now they aSep 27, 2019 Freddy Wills
Air Force -19.5 2.2% play Air Force really out played their last two opponents in the box score, and came away 1-1, but they were more impressive than the final scores indicated. Now they get to play an inferior opponent that lost to Army 52-3 last year. San Jose State is also off a bad travel spot on a short week, Air Force has an extra day of rest here. San Jose State alSep 26, 2019 Freddy Wills
Eagles/Packers Over 47 2.2% playSep 24, 2019 Freddy Wills
MISLEADING FINALS: Air Force loses by 11 at Boise, because they could not convert on 4th down going 0-2 while Boise converted 1-1. They were even in yardage 355 to 355, but Air Force had a turnover, and turned the ball over on downs once in their own territory in a tie game leading to easy points for Boise State. They led this game 13-10, and we were holdign a +7 ticket andSep 24, 2019 Freddy Wills
Best Pick Buffalo +14.5 was our 4.4% POD, and it easily cashed over Temple as Buffalo defeated Temple 38-22, covering the spread by 30 points. Buffalo dominated on defense forcing 4 turnovers, and holding Temple to 289 yards, 2 for 16 on third down. Worst Pick This one is easy. Michigan +3.5. I don’t think I have seen a team come out flatter in a big game thaSep 22, 2019 Freddy Wills
Texans/Chargers O48.5 3.3% playSep 22, 2019 Freddy Wills
Saints +4.5 5.5% NFL PODSep 22, 2019 Freddy Wills
Steelers +6.5 3.3% playSep 22, 2019 Freddy Wills
Packers -1 / Vikings -2.5 3.6% Play @-1.20Sep 22, 2019 Freddy Wills
Bengals +6 1.1% Free PickSep 22, 2019 Freddy Wills
Jets +21 2.2% playSep 21, 2019 Freddy Wills
San Diego State +160 2% play San Diego State's defense is elite and is allowing just 8 ppg and 248 yards per game. I think we are catching value here with the Aztecs because they barely got by Weber State 6-0, and then you see Utah State's offense that scored 62 points in their last game, but Weber State is top 15 FCS team. San Diego STate was 6-1 last year before injuries hit the team hard, aSep 21, 2019 Freddy Wills
Washington -0.5 / Texas -0.5 4.4% Teaser of the Week **Washington -0.5 Teaser leg I was on BYU +4.5 last week, and felt fortunate to cover. BYU is capable of pulling those upsets like they have done in the last two weeks against P5 opponents with below average coaches, but against a great coach like Chris Peterson who has a massive talent edge I don't see it being possible. BYU'Sep 21, 2019 Freddy Wills
Pitt + 11 2.2% play Pitt covered, and had a chance to tie and win the game against Penn State on the road last week, but they couldn't get the job done, but they did out gain Penn State, and QB Pickett had another great game under this new offense with Mark Whipple. Pitt was a 17 point dog on the road, which would make them an 11 point dog at home to Penn State, which is the same line here. TSep 21, 2019 Freddy Wills
Buffalo +14.5 4.4% POD There is really good value here on Buffalo who lost last week as a road favorite (buy low), and fading Temple who won at home as a home dog (sell high). At this point we don't know much about Temple, and that game against Maryland (over rated) could have went either way, but they stopped Maryland twice at the goal line, and their QB Anthony Russo threw anothSep 21, 2019 Freddy Wills
Michigan +3.5 3.3% play This will be a low scoring game, and the extra points are more valuable when you don't expect a high scoring game. Plus this was Michigan -6.5 in the game of the year lines, and I don't really understand the move of 10 full points. Michigan hasn't looked good, but they are 2-0, and have everything to play for. I also think the bye benefited them more because they are imSep 21, 2019 Freddy Wills
Syracuse -4.5 1.1% Free Play No time for Syracuse to be sad about their loss against Clemson with Western Michigan coming in after a 57-10 win last week against Georgia State. Syracuse needs a win here after starting 1-2, and I don't see them looking past Western Michigan, a team that gave them a battle last year in their own stadium. However, this is a classic sell high buy low situation. WeSep 20, 2019 Freddy Wills
Utah -3 buy 1/2 -125 4% play Utah is 0-7 @ USC, but honestly they should have won here 2 years ago without their starting QB Tyler Huntley as they fell by just 1 point. Last year at home they dominated USC 41-28, and it wasn't even close. Utah has plenty of things to point to in that game that should keep them motivated for this game. They gave up a passing TD to JT DanielsSep 20, 2019 Freddy Wills
Air Force +7 2.2% play Boise State is just 6-17-1 ATS as a home favorite while Air Force is 15-5-2 as a dog, 10-3-2 ATS the last 4 years as a road dog. Air Force was just 2-5 last year in one possession score games, and return a lot of that production and I think they will largely benefit from playing in close games and losing. Air Force was in a battle with Boise last year it was 28-28Sep 19, 2019 Freddy Wills
Houston +5 2.2% playFirst of all Houston was a 7.5 point favorite last year, and won 48-17 despite losing D'eriq King early in that game. The year before King lost at Tulane despite 141 yards rushing on 10 carries. I think Houston is focused for this game, the fact that they are looking at 1-3 if they lose is a scary thought, and I think Tulane is getting a bit too much love. At
