Nov 20, 2021
Freddy Wills
Oregon +3.5 -115 4% play
Oregon +3.5 -115 4% play
Everytime this jumpt to 3.5 it gets back down to +3, and is currently at +3 +100 or -105 so you shoudl be able to get this number.
Everyone knows I'm holidng an Oregon +2500 National Title ticket with some other long shots, but I do truly believe this team steps up when it matters and plays to the level of their competition. U...
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Nov 20, 2021
Freddy Wills
California -130 2.5% play
The Big Game, and Battle of the Axe. I don’t think it matters that Stanford won’t be going bowling,a nd Cal still has a shot. Stanford gets their QB Tanner McKee back here, and he is the KEY to victory for Stanford, but is he? Stanford 5.10 ypc in wins, and 2.59 ypc in losses. Cal has let only two teams run on them, and those were Ore...
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Nov 20, 2021
Freddy Wills
Kansas State pk 2.2% play
Why is #11 Baylor a dog on the road? Baylor can still play for the Big 12 Championship if Oklahoma goes down again, which I feel is likely as Oklahoma has Oklahoma St and Iowa State to finish out their season. I don’t think the win over Oklahoma is as impressive given our thoughts on Oklahoma this year and how they are actually far worse than their past...
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Nov 20, 2021
Freddy Wills
UCLA -3 3.3% PLAY
USC in their 4 wins havea llowed 3.11 ypc, and in their 5 losses 5.5 ypc, but bad news as UCLA comes in with the 25th ranked ypc attack, and 13th epa run offense. USC overall ranks 98th in stopping the run, and it's not like they can stop the pass either ranking 119th in epa pass defense. UCLA actually has balance on offense ranking 39th in epa pass offense.
Advant...
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Nov 20, 2021
Freddy Wills
Nebraska +9 3.3% play
Wisconsin in the driver seat to get to the Big Ten Championship game, but Nebraska is going to be a tough game. Nebraska’s biggest problem is they can not win the close games. They are 0-7 in games decided by single digits, which accounts for all of their losses. They are off the bye, and with 7 loses you would say they have nothing to play for, but ...
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Nov 20, 2021
Freddy Wills
Navy +4 5.5% NCAAF POD
25 seniors will be honored here on Senior Day, the last home game, and Navy 17-1 SU run on SR. Day, with the lone loss coming last year in front of zero fans. East Carolina is in a huge sandwich spot, not only do they have to travel the second week in a row they do it after a huge upset over Memphis, which they became bowl eligible with, and they have Cincinnati at ho...
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Nov 20, 2021
Freddy Wills
Iowa State +3.5 2.2% play / Iowa St +155 1% ML Bonus
Iowa State actually has better numbers against a tougher schedule than Oklahoma does, yet this line is stating that Oklahoma is a -1.5 favorite on a neutral. I get it Iowa State has 4 losses, and some of them have been very freaky losses, games they would not have lost in the past but have this year, because they were no longer playing in...
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Nov 20, 2021
Freddy Wills
Wake Forest +4.5 1.1% Free Play
I don’t understand this line, and I’m with the public here. Clemson has dominated Wake Forest, but this is not the same Clemson particularly on offense where they rank 111th in ypp, and it’s not like you can point to one thing they do well. They are not great at running the ball ranking 90th in epa rush offense, and they rank 119th in ...
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Nov 20, 2021
Freddy Wills
Florida State +111 2% Play
This should be a flat spot for FSU after upsetting Miami, and with Florida on deck, but FSU has to be playing with a ton of confidence and at 4-6 really want to get to a bowl game. This is a winnable game as FSU has the better #’s against tougher competition +0.4 YPP vs. +0.05 compared to BC who is -0.4 vs. -0.33. I think we are maybe giving Phil Jurko...
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Nov 20, 2021
Freddy Wills
Iowa St +155 1% ML Bonus...
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Nov 19, 2021
Freddy Wills
Air Force / Nevada Over 52.5 3.3% play
I love this over play with this match up, which I would call a perfect storm. The only thing that comes close in terms of Air Force playing a pass first team that plays fast, that is also not good at defending the run was Utha State. Utah State is actually better at defending the run, but that was a 45-49 game, and Utah State at least likes to ru...
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Nov 19, 2021
Freddy Wills
Memphis +9.5 3.3% play / Memphis +290 0.3% bonus
Houston has literally nothing left to play for here. They have Uconn on deck, and are already in the AAC Championshpi game. Houston is a surprising 9-1, we faded them all the way back in week 1 against TExas Tech and it was their lone loss. Since then they have won games, but a closer look reveals this team could easily have 3.&nb...
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Nov 19, 2021
Freddy Wills
Memphis +290 0.2% bonus...
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Nov 17, 2021
Freddy Wills
Ball State +118 2.5% PLAY
After doing pretty much nothing all year on the ground Ball State has run for 200+ in 3 of their last 4 games to balance their offense, and they’ll need the running game again tonight with 15mph winds and 30mph gusts with some rain in the forecast at home. Central Michigan has been solid against the run, but their home/away splits should worry anyone looking...
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Nov 17, 2021
Freddy Wills
View on YouTube...
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Nov 15, 2021
Freddy Wills
49ers +3.5 3.3% PLAY ...
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Nov 14, 2021
Freddy Wills
Eagles / Broncos Over 45.5 2.2% play ...
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Nov 14, 2021
Freddy Wills
Packers -3 1.1% Free NFL Play ...
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Nov 14, 2021
Freddy Wills
Eagles +120 3% play ...
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Nov 14, 2021
Freddy Wills
Browns +8.5 / Cowboys -2 4.4% NFL Teaser...
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Nov 14, 2021
Freddy Wills
Steelers / Lions U21.5 -129 3% play ...
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Nov 14, 2021
Freddy Wills
Saints/Titans Under 22 1st Half 3.3% play ...
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Nov 14, 2021
Freddy Wills
Saints +3 5.5% MAX NFL POD...
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Nov 13, 2021
Freddy Wills
TCU +12 2.2% PLAY
I gave out TCU spread and ML last week as they upset Baylor, and I think TCU stays in this game again. We have a nice little story brewing here with Jerry Kill taking over as HC for Gary Patterson, and you bet the team is going to play for Kill. Kill actually coached at the High School when Gundy played, and Gundy said Kill taught him Biology.
Bottom line is ...
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Nov 13, 2021
Freddy Wills
Arkansas -2.5 3.3% play
LSU just played the game of their lives in their Super Bowl against Alabama last week. LSU coaching staff is gone after the season, the team has depth issues, Orgeron is making weird comments, and now making a QB controversy that makes no sense. Max Johnson is hardly the problem here with 22 passing TD’s 6 INT, but Orgeron said he’s going let Garret...
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