Oct 27, 2019 Freddy Wills
Broncos +5 2.2% playOct 27, 2019 Freddy Wills
Titans -135 3% playOct 26, 2019 Freddy Wills
Michigan/NotreDame Under 50 3.3% play Two teams that typically lean on their defenses, in a primetime game with an inflated total. Weather is a serious situation here tonight with rain, and wind gusts of 25-30mph, should keep this game under the total. I also don't see Notre Dame being able to make big plays in this game which is what they'll need to score a lot of points.Oct 26, 2019 Freddy Wills
Tennnessee +4.5 2.2% play I honestly don't agree with the line move here, but I'll take the extra value as I look at these two teams and see two very similar teams. The defenses are nearly identical when we look at the offenses faced. Tennessee ranks 65th, but getting better against an average opponent offense ranking 44.8, compared to South Carolina's 59th ranking against an averageOct 26, 2019 Freddy Wills
East Carolina +110 3% play Both of these teams come into the game 3-4 fighting for their bowl life, but I think East Carolina is a team on the rise and South Florida is a team trending in the opposite direction as they are just 3-10 in their last 13 games. Their win against BYU at home was very fluky, and BYU was in a rough travel spot with a backup QB. South Florida here is traveling forOct 26, 2019 Freddy Wills
Michigan State +190 1%Oct 26, 2019 Freddy Wills
Auburn +10.5 2.2% play If Florida was +10.5 here a few weeks ago I would bet them again. LSU right now is just getting too much love in the media, I saw an article where 55 of 55 people picked LSU to win by double digits!! Auburn has just as much talent, and they have blown double digit leads the last two years in this game, actually led 20-0 last time they were here. LSUOct 26, 2019 Freddy Wills
Michigan State +5.5 5.5% NCAAF POD +190 1% Bonus This is a dreadful spot for Penn State off two physical games against Iowa and Michigan where their defense saw 153 plays, now they go on the road for the 2nd time in 3 weeks to face a Michigan State team that has their number and is off a bye. They bye could have come at a better time for Michigan State in my opinion after they were in the sOct 26, 2019 Freddy Wills
Texas -1 3.3% play This may be the squarest play I make all year. Yes, I know Texas defense is banged up, but I think we are getting value in this number based on Texas game last week against Kansas as they escaped at home against Kansas 50-48. Texas always struggles the week after Oklahoma and this is giving us a cheap price. If Texas can just find a way to get through thOct 26, 2019 Freddy Wills
Rice +9.5 3.3% PLAY Rice has had a very challenging schedule as they have faced 3 Power 5 schools and 3 of their 4 non-p5 games have been on the road. They finally get back home where they have played well. This is a team that only lost by 3 to Louisiana Tech, and 8 to Baylor, those teams are 13-1 combined. In comes Southern Miss as a 9.5 point favorite, and I just think it&rsquOct 26, 2019 Freddy Wills
Northwestern +348 1% playOct 26, 2019 Freddy Wills
Army -10 2.2% play I think Army gets back to basics this week, as they face a San Jose team off a tough physical game against San Diego State, and they have to fly across the country to play at 9am body clock time. I think Army getting back home going against a team that ranks 102nd in stuff rate, has just a 12.7% havoc rate, and ranks 101st in power success rate on their defensive line. ArOct 26, 2019 Freddy Wills
Northwestern +10 3.3% play & +348 1% play Iowa will be held under 100 yards rushing in this one, and this will be a one possession game, just like they have the last 3 years. Northwestern stole 2 of those games as a +10 and +11 underdog winning outright. Iowa has not been able to get the running game going in conference play, and Northwestern is very solid in gap control, and rank 11thOct 26, 2019 Freddy Wills
Pitt +0.5 / Michigan +7 4.4% Teaser of the Week Pitt +0.5 - Pitt has revenge from their 24-3 loss last year, and Miami has Florida State on deck and this is just their 2nd true road game of the year. Miami is also a banged up team right now without their 3rd WR Jeff Thomas, both QB’s are banged up, and they could be without their biggest offensive weapon DeeJay Dallas.Oct 25, 2019 Freddy Wills
FIU -2 1.1% FREE PLAY FIU has the better defense, and the better running game, and that sort of thing usually travels on the road. Middle Tennessee is also banged up as they lost their top defensive player in Reed Blankenship who is going to be very hard for the Blue Raiders to replace. FIU meanwhile has gained a top defensive player in Alexy Jean-Baptise who is a P5 transfer maOct 24, 2019 Freddy Wills
Houston +14 3.3% play This line is inflated in my opinion due to the way Houston played traveling all the way up to Uconn playing in the cold. They rested some guys and treated as a bye for this week's game, which is much more important. While, SMU took care of a hot Temple team that upset Memphis the week prior, but Temple has been a terrible road team. This is an interesOct 22, 2019 Freddy Wills
$99 Pro and College Guaranteed or 2 weeks FREE at freddywills.com. RECAP LAST WEEK - Last week was a rough week going 5-9 ending our 5 week winning streak. We had three games that honestly I still feel like we were on the right side. Florida State losing by 1/2 point ATS, and Washington +3 losing by 1 point ATS, both had leads for most of the game that they blew, and then theOct 20, 2019 Freddy Wills
Cowboys -145 4.5% PLAY There are -2.5 at -120 out there, and I think you will get more value on the money line in this spot. If you can get -3 at +100 that's not a bad bet either.Oct 20, 2019 Freddy Wills
Colts -1 5.5% NFL PODOct 20, 2019 Freddy Wills
Raiders +5 2.2% playOct 20, 2019 Freddy Wills
Lions +8.5 / Ravens +9 3.3% NFL TeaserOct 19, 2019 Freddy Wills
Air Force -3 -115 3.3% play Air Force is the more balanced team, while Hawaii is off a devastating loss to Boise last week. I think Air Force will be better than most at traveling to the Islands to play a game late. Air Force ranks 87th vs. the pass which is a concern, but they have faced a very tough scheudle an average opponent QB rating 38.2, and i was very impressed with howOct 19, 2019 Freddy Wills
Florida State +1.5 4.4% This is just the second time in the last 27 meetings that Florida State is an under dog to Wake Forest. The obvious reason is the talent gap and nothing has changed the Wake Forest program has averaged a national recruiting ranked #62 over the last 3 years compared to Florida State’s #10 ranking. The biggest question mark I have for Florida State isOct 19, 2019 Freddy Wills
Washington +3 3.3% play Oregon won this game last year by 3 at home in OT as 3.5 point dogs, and now they are 3 point favorites on the road, which is telling you they would be 9.5 point favorites at home? I just don't see it personally. The defense ranks #3 in the country , but they haven't faced a single offense ranked in the top 50, as their average opponent ranks 83.6 in yardOct 19, 2019 Freddy Wills
New Mexico +19 2.2% Play Sustained winds of 20mph with gusts of 35 mph in this game dropping the total from 54 to 49, and the spread has not dropped at all, which is giving us more value on the Lobos here. I also think they match-up well if they can avoid turning the ball over, and the weather also benefits them more than Wyoming. We are also getting an inflated price here based off t
