Nov 17, 2019 Freddy Wills
Texans +4.5 3.3% playNov 17, 2019 Freddy Wills
Redskins -2.5 1.1% Free PlayNov 17, 2019 Freddy Wills
Lions +7.5 -115 2.5% PlayNov 17, 2019 Freddy Wills
Dolphins +7 2.2% playNov 16, 2019 Freddy Wills
Baylor +10.5 4.4% NCAAF POD Oklahoma has a fantastic offense once again and you have to give Lincoln Riley a lot of credit. Actually everyone already does that for us. He did have to replace another QB, but this time 4 of 5 offensive linemen, and that really hasn’t shown up yet this year, because Oklahoma has not faced a top defense. They faced one team in the top 50 in rushingNov 16, 2019 Freddy Wills
Ole Miss +21.5 2.2% play 37% of the tickets on Ole Miss here. LSU has all of the pressure, and there is no incentive to run it up against Ole Miss other than the fact that Ed Orgeron used to coach here, and got fired, and he’s wanted to run it up in the past, but I think he needs to be smarter than that. Ole Miss has a very good pass rush, that ranks 30th in sack % at homeNov 16, 2019 Freddy Wills
Syracuse +10.5 2% Play / Syracuse +340 0.5% bonus Buy low game of the week here with Syracuse who is 0-5 ATS over their last 5 games, but they come off a bye week, and according to HC Dino Babers who fired his DC over the bye week they have had energetic practices and the team still believes they can run the table and get to a bowl game. This team does have good defensive personal so I thinNov 16, 2019 Freddy Wills
Iowa -145 3% play 61% of the money and tickets on Minnesota here as we have the #7 team in the country a dog on the road to the #23 team. I know I mentioned leaning toward Minnesota on the podcast, but this just sets things up for them to have a poor performance. When I look at how they have done in Big Ten play on the road they were 1-8 the last two years on the road. This yearNov 16, 2019 Freddy Wills
Syracuse +340 0.5% playNov 16, 2019 Freddy Wills
Texas +7 1.1% Free Play Believe it or not at the moment Texas is a public dog play, which I don't typically like being on the same side of, but that was a massive loss for Iowa State last week at Oklahoma and Tom Herman has dominated the series against Matt Campbell holding Iowa State to just 23 points the last 3 years combined. Texas defense started to get healthy last week, and it certaiNov 16, 2019 Freddy Wills
West Virginia +14 Fade The Public GOW 75% of the tickets are on Kansas State here, with more money on West Virginia and the line has dropped a point down to 14. West Virginia actually has the better defense here. They rank 73rd in yards per play allowed, and their strength is against the run, which aligns pretty well in this match-up. I don’t think Kansas State should be layingNov 16, 2019 Freddy Wills
Auburn +3 3.3% play This game is pretty easy to handicap. Whichever team can run the ball better will win this game. That has held true in 9 of the last 10 meetings between the two teams. This is the first time Auburn has a bye before the game, while Georgia played an SEC game last week. South Carolina had a bye week before they went to Georgia and pulled the upset. WheneNov 16, 2019 Freddy Wills
Alabama -20 3.3% play Alabama has to be impressive from here on out. They have everything left to play for after the LSU win, and I really wonder what would have happened if Tua did not fumble in the red zone on that first drive, which changed all the momentum in the game against LSU. Tua shook the rust off and had a great game, and I don't see Alabama taking their foot off theNov 16, 2019 Freddy Wills
Texas Tech +140 3% Money Line Dog of the Week 35% of the money is on Texas Tech, and I really don’t understand how oddsmakers think TCU is 6 points better on a neutral field than Texas Tech. TCU is also in a major sandwich game here with Oklahoma on deck and coming off a 3OT crushing loss to Baylor. I don’t know how they come back from that. This team hasn’t beaten aNov 16, 2019 Freddy Wills
Missouri +7 2.2% Premium Newsletter Play Classic buy low sell high situation here after Missouri got shut out last week and Florida blew out Vanderbilt 56-0. Missouri played without Kelly Bryant and their top WR and both should be back for this game against Florida. Nearly 70% of the money is on Florida here, and the line has not moved. 26% of the tickets on Missouri, and this just smNov 15, 2019 Freddy Wills
San Diego State -115 3% Play A massive game for the Mountain West Division. The winner is definitely in the driver seat. San Diego State is off a weird loss to Nevada, but they did outgain Nevada by around 100 yards in that game, but that's giving us value here. This line had SD State as a dog and then they went back to a 1 point favorite. I'd rather just take them on the moneyNov 14, 2019 Freddy Wills
Pitt -4 2.2% NCAAF Play Both teams come into this game with some extra rest, and it will be a cold night in Pittsburgh with clear skies and temperatures in the low 30’s to high 20’s. I think that benefits the PItt QB who played in cold weather last year vs. UNC’s Sam Howell who is a freshman QB from the state of North Carolina. North Carolina is a public dog here tonight gNov 12, 2019 Freddy Wills
Western Michigan -1 2.2% play Only 36% of the money is on Western Michigan right now. I don't really understand it other than the fact that Western Michigan has not won a road game, but they faced two P5 opponents, and Ohio is 0-5 ATS at home and have lost to two opponents that are worse than Western Michigan at home. Western Michigan has an extra day to prepare for this game as wellNov 10, 2019 Freddy Wills
Cowboys -3 -120 3% playNov 10, 2019 Freddy Wills
Titans +6 5.5% NFL PODNov 10, 2019 Freddy Wills
Bengals +10.5 1.1% Free PlayNov 10, 2019 Freddy Wills
Tampa Bay Bucs -5 3.3% playNov 09, 2019 Freddy Wills
Iowa State +14.5 3.3% play Both of these teams were off a bye and Oklahoma was hosting Iowa State in 2017 and Iowa State pulled the 38-31 upset. Actually, Oklahoma had a couple extra days to prepare for that game. I really like Matt Campbell as a HC and I don’t think he gets enough credit here, while he has kept this toa 10 pt game or less each of the last 3 years. Iowa State isNov 09, 2019 Freddy Wills
Duke +8 3.3% play 77% of the tickets on Notre Dame here as many are expecting them to bounce back. Notre Dame in November with nothing to play for is almost an automatic fade, and with 2 losses they are clearly out of the playoff discussion. This team appears to be mailing it in the way they have played the last two weeks now they get a Duke team who beat them in 2016 at Notre Dame. Duke geNov 09, 2019 Freddy Wills
Cal +7.5 5.5% NCAAF POD 74% of the money is on Washington State here. I don’t really understand what they have done to be over a TD favorite on the road. It’s definitely recency bias here as Washington State nearly upset Oregon before their bye, but they have always played well against Oregon. Cal is obviously a top 50 defense, and Washington State is 0-3 vs. TOP 50 defens
