Dec 07, 2019 Freddy Wills
CMU/Miami Ohio Under 54.5 3.3% play We have an inflated total here in my opinion due to the fact that Miami Ohio just gave up 41 points to Ball State, an offense that is very similar to Central Michigan, but Miami Ohio really had nothing to play for in the game and their QB got hurt. Central Michigan on the other hand has scored 40+ points in 5 of their last 7 games, which will get an inflaDec 07, 2019 Freddy Wills
Baylor +9.5 3.3% play Really nothing has changed my opinion if anything I am more confident in Baylor when I played them over Oklahoma a few weeks back as a POD as they nearly upset Oklahoma. You can read that full write up here - https://freddywills.com/pick/7303/oklahoma-vs-baylor-4-4-ncaaf-pod-guaranteed-or-back-192-147-116-784-l-339-ncaaf-4-bankrol.html Obviously this game is on aDec 07, 2019 Freddy Wills
FAU -2 / App State -0.5 3.3% Teaser of the Week FAU over UAB Predict the TO Margin and cover the spread 77% of the time. We have FAU who ranks 1st in TO margin, while UAB ranks 91st. UAB -5 in road games, while FAU is +16 in conference play. UAB 15 turnovers in 6 games against top 50 run defenses, which FAU is on the border line of being. FAU ranks 56th, but they faced anDec 06, 2019 Freddy Wills
Oregon +7 -125 4.5% play / Oregon +210 1% play I was hoping for a +7 to come up, but I don't think we see it at all. So I'll buy this to +7 and 2 of the 3 books I use has this at -125. **Situation Utah wins and many think they go to the CFP PLayoff. I’m not as sure about that. Oregon wins and they go to the Rose Bowl, so motivation is not going to be a problem for either side.Dec 06, 2019 Freddy Wills
Oregon +210 1% playDec 05, 2019 Freddy Wills
Cowboys -3 3.3% playDec 02, 2019 Freddy Wills
Vikings +3 3.3% playDec 01, 2019 Freddy Wills
Patriots / Texans Over 45 3.3% playDec 01, 2019 Freddy Wills
Cardinals +8.5 / Raiders +17.5 2.2% playDec 01, 2019 Freddy Wills
Titans +1 1.1% Free PlayDec 01, 2019 Freddy Wills
49ERS +6 2.2% PLAYDec 01, 2019 Freddy Wills
Steelers +2.5 5.5% NFL PODNov 30, 2019 Freddy Wills
Army +120 3% play Hawaii clinched a spot in the Mountain West Championship game for next week. I don't see how they are up for this game what so ever as it is completely meaningless to their season goals. They also gave up 56 points and well over 300 yards rushing to Air Force earlier this season and rank 126th in run defense, 123rd in stuff rate and 112th in power success rate. ArmyNov 30, 2019 Freddy Wills
California -1 3.3% Fade The World Just 23% of the money coming in on Cal, and I don’t really understand it. As long as they’re not down to a third string QB they have been great this year. Cal has done well in these games where they are facing an inferior defense. UCLA ranks 107th in yards per play allowed, and Cal’s offense has struggled, but they average 2Nov 30, 2019 Freddy Wills
Oklahoma -13 3.3% play There are a lot of buyers on Oklahoma State, but they are down to their backup QB here, and managed under 300 yards a week ago when Brown in there at QB, they were averaging 483 prior to that. Oklahoma still has a shot at the college football playoff, and are better than their recent performance, which is givin us value. They really need a statement game tNov 30, 2019 Freddy Wills
Texas A&M +17 2.2% play Just 35% of the money on A&M and the line has not moved one bit. A&M fighting for a better bowl game and a signature win, and I think Kellen Mond's feet could give LSU some issues here. A&M's defense has been pretty solid in these big games, and the only game they have lost by 17+ has been the Alabama game. The idea that LSU wants revengeNov 30, 2019 Freddy Wills
Alabama -3 buy ½ point -125 I really do not trust Auburn’s QB Bo Nix to win this game at the moment, and every time Alabama comes into this game with one loss they just seem to dominate. The last 4 times it has happened they have resulted in wins by 42-14, 49-0, 55-44, 29-13. Sometimes losing a game, and your star player gets a team truly focused, and I think that is what we haNov 30, 2019 Freddy Wills
Wisconsin -150 5.5% NCAAF POD The weather is lesst han ideal with rain/snow with 30mph gusts of winds, expect a conservative approach from both coaches although Minnesota does like to come out agressive in these games, and then try to hold on. I think Wisconsin's defense is the best defense Minnesota has seen all year, and the weather really just doesn't favor them in this spot. MinneNov 30, 2019 Freddy Wills
Louisville +3 1.1% Free Play ACC is down this year, and there is always an SEC bias, but Louisville has surprised many this season. The only other time Kentucky faced a team with a running QB they lost giving up well over 100 yards rushing in a 15 point loss to Miss State. Louisville actually has balance at the QB position and can throw a bit to, and I have to question this KentNov 30, 2019 Freddy Wills
Ohio State -2.5 / Kansas State +10.5 3.3% Teaser Ohio State has major advantages on the offensive and defensive line here. I understand Michigan has played better since the second half of the Penn State game, and the Notre Dame wgame was impressive, but Ohio State is a different animal. I think we are getting Ohio State at a short price after last week's misleading final. Ohio SNov 29, 2019 Freddy Wills
Washington -7 3.3% play Washington knows this offense well, and should win this game. I think we are getting some value with Washington since they are off an inexcusable loss to Colorado that I simply can’t explain. Washington’s offense disappeared, and they were flat out of the bye. We saw this against Stanford, earlier in the year where they were a 2 TD favoriteNov 29, 2019 Freddy Wills
Boise State -14 1.1% Free Play (61-39 +$21,773 L 100 All Sports Free Picks) Boise State has every reason to win with margin, and we saw that take place in their last game against Utah State. Meanwhile Colorado State, at home here does not worry me. We saw them give no effort against Wyoming, and they have no shot at a bowl game. I think Boise wants to show they deserve consideraNov 29, 2019 Freddy Wills
Nebraska +185 1.1% playNov 29, 2019 Freddy Wills
Nebraska +4.5 2.2% play / Nebraska +185 1.1% play This is a massive game for Nebraska and Scott Frost to get to 6 wins and become bowl eligible. They are doing what they did last year and playing well down the stretch. They outgained Wisconsin in their last home game in a misleading loss, and the defense held Wisconsin to 2TD's in 5 red zone trips, which I thought was a major improvemNov 29, 2019 Freddy Wills
Virginia Tech -140 3.5% play I see more value here on the money line than the -2.5 juiced. I think Tech is the right side and it is not because they have dominated the series history. They have just played better against similar opponents, and their QB play of Hooker has been a huge upgrade for this team ast hey average 10 more points per game when he plays. I questioned H
