Dec 31, 2021
Freddy Wills
Georgia -1.5 / Oklahoma State +8.5 4.4% Teaser
I only teased one college football game this year, because there just has been a lot of variance, but when I do I make sure the games are important and matter. Both of these games have some of the lowest totals on the board of the entire college football season, and we are teasing through 3 key numbers in each game in games that points are more...
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Dec 31, 2021
Freddy Wills
Alabama / Cinci Under 57.5 5.5% NCAAF POD
Nick Saban, a month to prepare for tendencies and strengths, and I think the game plan will be to run the ball, and avoid turnovers. Alabama came out running no huddle against Georgia, which made a lot of sense, and I think the offense looked great giving us an inflated total here. Against Cinci, the way to attack them is in the running game. ...
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Dec 31, 2021
Freddy Wills
Central Michigan / Washington St Over 57.5 2.2% play
This is a last minute scheduled game after both teams opponents were unable to play their game. I think that benefits the offense more than the defense. Specifically on the Washington State side as they like to throw the ball, and they run a completely different scheme than Boise State who Central Michigan was set to play. Boi...
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Dec 30, 2021
Freddy Wills
Wisconsin -6.5 2.2% play
Arizona State without their top 2 RB, top 2CB, but this handicap seems a bit basic to me. Arizona State only wins games when they control the trenches and avoid the turnover. +4 to margin in wins -5 in losses more on this later. In wins they run for 5.76 ypc, and losses 4.15. They were also not a good running team away form home compared to home where th...
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Dec 30, 2021
Freddy Wills
Michigan St -3 2.2% play
A lot of players opting out including Kenneth Walker, but Pitt has more turmoil, and shoudl be content already for winning the ACC Championship. They'll be without their OC Mark Whipple who left for Nebraska, without Kenny Pickett, and without one of theri top WR Mack. I'm not sure what to expect from Nick Patti without an OC, and a defensive minded coach in Narduzz...
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Dec 30, 2021
Freddy Wills
Tennessee Volunteers -6 2.2% play
Tennessee wants to go fast, and Hooker has been a blast to watch. Purdue is playing without their top two WR, Bell and Wright, their starting LT Greg Long is doubtful, and best defender George Karlaftis is preparing for the NFL draft. They also are without their Sr CB Dedrick Mackey who dind’t make the trip for academic issues. I don&rsqu...
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Dec 30, 2021
Freddy Wills
South Carolina +12.5 1.1% Free Play
We got a couple extra points this morning, because South Carolina players are missing due to covid. It sounds like it’s only 2 or 3 guys, and one is a Sr. walk on, which sucks, but I don’t anticipate it to be anything major and maybe it is. Shane Beamer is being tight lipped on it. Either way I expect this team to compete and play hard for a w...
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Dec 29, 2021
Freddy Wills
It’s no secret we are having a miserable bowl start at 2-8. Rest assured I’m taking extra precautions the rest of the way. We likely won’t give out any bowl picks in advance. It’s really hard to bet big on any of these games right now. There are just too many last minute opt outs or covid related sit outs. I’ve had 3 games I really liked get ca...
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Dec 29, 2021
Freddy Wills
Clemson -1 3.3% Play
We are getting a cheap number here on Clemson, based on both coordinators getting head coaching job and the idea that Clemson is not motivated for the game in a down year, but they really are a couple of plays away from being in the college football playoff, and Dabo is one of best motivators in the country. So much that all of his players are staying for this game no s...
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Dec 28, 2021
Freddy Wills
NC State -2 3.3% play
Very interesting match up here with the PAC 12 vs. ACC. Pac 12 is actually 17-9 in bowl games vs. the ACC, 45-24 all time vs. the ACC, and 21-5 straight up since 2010. Both coaches and coaching staff are fully motivated to get a win, and NC State has to travel across the country to play in San Diego. Advantage UCLA in that department.
However, UCLA...
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Dec 28, 2021
Freddy Wills
Louisville -1 2.2% play
It seems like everyone is on Air Force tomorrow with 68% of the tickets and 54% of the money, but I haven’t heard a single soul pick Louisville. I think Louisville is the better team they have the better stats against the tougher competition. For example, Air Force has faced an average opponent YPP offense ranking 87th. They have faced an average ru...
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Dec 28, 2021
Freddy Wills
Auburn -125 4.5% play
Auburn -125 4% play
“The whole purpose of the bowl game is to win it,” – Bryan Harsin. He’s 3-2 bowl games, and I think despite some of the guys missing this Auburn team wants to win and is motivated. Derick Hall, the best defensive player for Auburn said he wants to win it for the guys who haven’t won a bowl game. This team ...
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Dec 26, 2021
Freddy Wills
Vikings +155 1% play...
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Dec 26, 2021
Freddy Wills
Washington Football Team +10 2.2% play ...
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Dec 26, 2021
Freddy Wills
Broncos pk 3.3% play ...
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Dec 26, 2021
Freddy Wills
Ravens +7 1.1% Free Play ...
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Dec 26, 2021
Freddy Wills
Vikings +3.5 -120 4.5% / Vikings +155 1% play...
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Dec 25, 2021
Freddy Wills
Colts +8.5 / Bills +8.5 3.3% NFL teaser of the week ...
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Dec 25, 2021
Freddy Wills
Browns +7.5 3.3% play ...
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Dec 24, 2021
Freddy Wills
Hawaii +8.5 2.2% play
There is a lot of noise here going on with Hawaii as their QB, and RB transferred and rumors of Todd Graham mistreating players. There is a possibility the players don't care, and they don't show up, but that's possilbe for every game on the slate. I’m not going to feed into the noise too much, and I’ll take the extra 5 points of line value, an...
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Dec 23, 2021
Freddy Wills
Titans +3.5 2.2% free play ...
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Dec 23, 2021
Freddy Wills
Florida -6.5 1.1% Free play
Nappier has been in the building for Florida, and I think this team will care a little bit about playing an instate opponent in UCF. They showed up in a spot against Florida State where I did not think they would, and I would think that the players want to show up here in their bowl game to show their skills to either another FBS team they may transfer to or the ...
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Dec 22, 2021
Freddy Wills
Army / Missouri Over 56 3.3% play
Situationally this is not a good time to play a triple option team. Missouri really didn’t get extra preparation as Drinkewitz admitted they started a game plan this week, because of recruiting, and the players are in finals week, and their DC Steve Wilks hasn’t prepared for triple option as he spent the past decade in the NFL. Missouri a...
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Dec 21, 2021
Freddy Wills
UTSA +3 5.5% NCAAF POD
I think this game means more to UTSA, they will have the crowd edge in Frisco, TX and I’m a bit surprised they are dogs here, but the Mountain West just gets more respect than C-USA, but they are just 11-10 vs. C-USA in bowl games. We already saw UTEP go toe to toe with Fresno State, and that was much more of a mismatch than this game. In reality on paper ...
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Dec 21, 2021
Freddy Wills
Kent State +3.5 2.2% play / Kent State +150 1% play
This is a very interesting game, and I think we are getting some extra value here, because the MAC is 0-3 in bowl games, and the Mountain West is 2-0, and then you ad din the fact that Wyoming went 2-0 vs. the MAC, and beat Northern Illinois on the road 50-43, while Kent State lost to Northern Illinois in the MAC Championship. A closer loo...
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