Sep 11, 2021 Freddy Wills
South Carolina -2 2.2% play South Carolina had a great debut without their starting QB And RB dominating an FCS foe in a 46-0 win to open up the Shane Beamer debut as they held opponent Eastern Illinois to 109 total yards. They had a defensive TD and were great on special teams. Now they’ll get their starting QB Luke Doty back as well as the SEC leading rusher Kevin Harris afteSep 09, 2021 Freddy Wills
Boise State vs. UCF –––––––––– UCF honestly should have covered this game if it wasn’t for their pick 6. Boise was particularly lucky as they had 3 fumbles and lost none of them. They were dominated in time of possession and were outgained in the game 573 to 283 yet they score 31 points and only lose by 5.&nbsSep 05, 2021 Freddy Wills
Notre Dame vs. Florida State Preview My biggest concern in this game is the amount of public tickets coming in on Notre Dame. I originally wanted to take Notre Dame here, but I have too many question marks, and this is going to be an insane environment for Florida State. This is a game changing game for this program especially if they win. Mike Norvell knows this and I don&rsquoSep 04, 2021 Freddy Wills
LSU -2.5 2.2% PLAY LSU's down year and UCLA's dominating win over Hawaii last week is giving us 2 point in value. People forget that LSU lost their entire roster after 2019 to the NFL, and 4 startes opted out in 2020. Their is also rumors that the players hated Bo Pelini the hired DC, and it sure showed as LSU put up some of the worst defensive #'s. I think that changes this yeSep 04, 2021 Freddy Wills
Clemson -3 4.4% NCAAF POD Georgia is getting a lot of hype for all the players they brought in, but there are some question marks I would still need answered to give them this type of respect. The big one is about their QB and play calling from Todd Monken. Is Kirby Smart really going to let him play call and let this offense go? I think we will see more aggressive play, but isSep 04, 2021 Freddy Wills
Texas State +14 2.2% play We have seen Texas State step up their level of play in the past against better teams. Last year they opened the season as a 23 point dog to SMU and lost by 7 on the road, and then 2 weeks later they traveled on the road to Boston College as 20 point under dogs and lost by only 3. This is HC Jake Spavital’s third year and he’s calling it his best team yet.&nSep 04, 2021 Freddy Wills
Texas Tech +120 2% play I don’t see what’s to like about Houston, but we have 70% of the money coming in on them and the line has moved in the last day or two from -2 to +2.5 Texas Tech. I still think Matt Wells is a good coach, and this defense will surprise some people this year with 11 of their top 13 tacklers back. They also ranked 59th in YPP allowed and were 39th inSep 04, 2021 Freddy Wills
Stanford +3.5 1.1% Free Play This line opened -2 and moved to +3.5 for Stanford, in a game with two similar style teams in a neutral enviornment (Cowboys Stadium). I can't pass up this line value, and other than the early game start for Stanford, and they lost some WR's, which is not hteir main game plan anyway, I just don't understand the line. Both want to establish the running game firsSep 04, 2021 Freddy Wills
Indiana vs. Iowa Betting Preview My systems want me to back and play on Indiana, but my heart tells me Iowa, but with the line move to +4 it makes it very difficult so I am likely passing here. Iowa since 2015 as a favorite of less than 6 points is 15-1 SU, but they lose 6 starters including two All-American’s on the OL/DL, and their starting Guard Kyler Schott is sidelined. TheSep 04, 2021 Freddy Wills
Wisconsin vs. Penn State Preview The initial value here would be on Penn State who had a down and unlucky year opening 0-5, and finishing 4-5 outgaining Big 10 opponents by over 100 yards per game, but a deeper dive and I have some serious questions about Penn State that does not allow me to back them here. Penn State ranked outside the top 50 in rushing success rate allowed last year, andSep 03, 2021 Freddy Wills
Northwestern -152 3% play The ML offers more value than -3.5 or -3 -120. Both Northwestern and Michigan State have a lot of unanswered questions going into the season. Michigan State lost 26 players in the transfer portal and brought 20 guys in that are supposedly better. To me that is a lot more instability and unknowns, and I just don’t understand how this line has mSep 03, 2021 Freddy Wills
Duke -6.5 3.3% play Duke just dominated non-conference foes as they are 31-12 ATS over the past 10 season, and they are 28-4 in their last 32 vs. teams outside the Power 5 with a margin of victory of 23ppg, and 8-1 ATS in openers. This is also an in state game that this team has had all off-season to prepare for. Duke dominated this game last year and we are still getting a fair prSep 02, 2021 Freddy Wills
Boise State +7 -125 2.5% play Boise vs UCF is one of the better G5 matchups, and now that this is climbing to +7 I feel good about Boise. The noise here is can Boise contend with the heat, humidity, and a near full crowd. Boise has been preparing with noise machines, and playing indoors rising the humidity with water on the field. This is also nothing new for them traveling andAug 28, 2021 Freddy Wills
New Mexico State +10 1.1% Free Play UTEP has been a road favorite just 3 times in the last 10 years. All you are going to hear is that New Mexico State hasn’t played in 18 months, but they did play two games against FCS opponents in the spring. I’m not buying that New Mexico State is down this much and this is known as the I-10 rivalry game. New Mexico St has to feeAug 28, 2021 Freddy Wills
Nebraska -6.5 -113 3% play Nebraska -6.5 -113 3% play The narrative is to fade Nebraska, because Scott Frost is under investigation for NCAA violations, and this team has been a dumpster fire since he came here. They are on a road facing an Illinois team that returns 18 starters and beat Nebraska last year pretty badly on the road, but this Nebraska team has revenge on their mind and allAug 27, 2021 Freddy Wills
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Why invest with me Freddy Wills? There are obviously thousands of people giving out picks and betting advice. You may also think you can bet on the games, and do better than most of the “so called” experts out there, and I’m sure you probably can, but wouldn’t you rather save all that time and invest with someone who has the passion and concentration solely onAug 17, 2021 Freddy Wills
I looked at Fading Power 5 College Football Steam from 2015-2020 during Weeks 1 & 2, and the takeaway was to fade line moves of 2-3.5 points, in games involving the Power 5 those resulted in a 69-44 ATS mark,w hich is good for 61% ATS. This time we are looking at the Group of 5 since 2015, and we have great results to share as if you blindly fade line moves of 2-3.5 points where the linAug 15, 2021 Freddy Wills
The 2020 season brought new challenges to handicapping college football odds. With the uncertainty of players opting out, or being forced out due to COVID-19 or just being near someone who had COVID-19. It made logitcal sense to me that you may not want to follow and back steam moves early in the season where there is a lot of uncertainty. In 2020 If you faded steam moAug 12, 2021 Freddy Wills
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