Oct 23, 2020 Freddy Wills
Lafayette -3 3.3% play The strength of this UAB team is their defense, and their ability to get to the QB and play pass defense. They rank 2nd in EPA pass defense, but that’s the not the style of Lafeytte, who likes to run the ball, and have a balanced offense. This is the most balanced offense that UAB will face this year even more so than Miami who ranks 56th in success on offOct 19, 2020 Freddy Wills
Cowboys -115 3% PlayOct 19, 2020 Freddy Wills
Bills +5.5 2.2% playOct 18, 2020 Freddy Wills
49ERS +3 3.3% PLAYOct 18, 2020 Freddy Wills
Tampa +105 2.5% playOct 18, 2020 Freddy Wills
Texans +3.5 5.5% NFL PODOct 18, 2020 Freddy Wills
Steelers -3 -125 3.5% playOct 18, 2020 Freddy Wills
Colts -1.5 / Bears +7.5 3.3% TeaserOct 17, 2020 Freddy Wills
VA Tech -12 2.2% This has to be the public dog of the week with so many people on Boston College with over 80% of the tickets. BC is 3-1 ATS, but they go on the road to face a Virginia Tech team that I feel like is going to take some frustration out on an overrated BC team. BC has been outgained on the season and they are dead last in yards per carry, which is the weakness for VirginOct 17, 2020 Freddy Wills
Georgia +5.5 3.3% play I really like what I saw from Georgia last week. There offensive numbers are not overly impressive, but you have to take into consideration the fact that the first half against Arkansas they had a different QB, that was clueless, and the second half against Auburn they took their foot off the gas. Georgia with Stetson Bennett who has a lot of confidence right noOct 17, 2020 Freddy Wills
Miss State +5 5.5% NCAAF POD Miss State outgained Kentucky by over 100 yards, but threw 6 interceptions, which I think gives us some value on the home dog here. On the other hand, Texas A&M just got off back to back games against Alabama and Florida, and upset Florida last week. I think this is a huge let down spot for an A&M team that has already had to deal with a lot.Oct 17, 2020 Freddy Wills
UCF -3 2.2% This could be a square play, but UCF has dominated this series, and we are getting line value, because they are coming off a loss as a huge favorite against Tulsa. Tulsa has had UCF’s number, while Memphis has not losing 13 straight games by an average 8 points per game. This is also the worst defense form a success rate allowed perspective that UCF has faced so farOct 17, 2020 Freddy Wills
Louisville +17 3.3% This one is an ugly dog, but a classic sell high, buy low situation. Louisville is much better than their record indicates as they are +35 yards per game on the season, while Notre Dame has faced teams that are 1-10 SU vs. FBS teams this year. Notre Dame’s defense, which is completely rebuilding hasn’t faced a top 50 of 75 offense, and LouisvilleOct 17, 2020 Freddy Wills
Pitt +395 0.5% playOct 17, 2020 Freddy Wills
Pitt +14 -120 3.5% Play / Pittsburgh +14 -120 buy ½ 3.5% / Pitt +395 0.5% play I think Pitt is worth a shot here on the money line as Miami is in a huge let down spot after their big game against Clemson. Kenny Picket, at QB for Pitt is probably and that makes me feel really good about this game. Pitt has lost back to back games as favorites, which is giving us some line valueOct 17, 2020 Freddy Wills
Auburn / South Carolina Over 51.5 1.1% play SEC Defense? Well, I guess we will find out, but I see value in the over here. Auburn ranks 40th in success rate defense out of 75 teams, and that came against some bad offenses, while South Carolina ranks 68th, and both are outside the top 50 of 75 teams in EPA pass defense, which is a measurement of the combination of success rate and expOct 16, 2020 Freddy Wills
Houston +5 3.3% play Houston turned the ball over 5 times and were negative in TO margin in their first game and won by 18 points and covered the spread. Just so you understand how rare that is, Favorites who were -5 TO margin were 1-90 ATS. I expect Houston to take better care of the ball, Tulane’s defensive line is extremely athletic and talented ranking 6th in sack. IOct 13, 2020 Freddy Wills
Titans +3.5 2.2% playOct 11, 2020 Freddy Wills
Giants/Cowboys Under 53 2.2% playOct 11, 2020 Freddy Wills
Colts +1 4.4% NFL PODOct 11, 2020 Freddy Wills
Raiders +11 2.2% playOct 11, 2020 Freddy Wills
Steelers -1 / 49ers -1.5 3.3% NFL TeaserOct 11, 2020 Freddy Wills
Washington Football Team +7 +105 1% Free PLayOct 10, 2020 Freddy Wills
Clemson -14 3.3% play I see some value here on Clemson who is 0-3 ATS going up against a Miami team that's 3-0 ATS. Miami really has not played anyone, and despite being ranked #7 in the country right now are 35th in success rate on offense, and 25% on defense, which really does not have the resume of a top 10 team. Clemson also is saying all the right things, they got their shitty gaOct 10, 2020 Freddy Wills
Miss State +130 2% play I believe this is a bad matchup for Kentucky, and it comes at the right time. After MIss State defeated LSU, and then lost the following week as a 17 point favorite to Arkansas, we now have them as a dog again. With 92% of the $ on Kentucky I'm more inclined to think this is MIss STate's game. Kentucky may be the more desparate team, but Kentucky has prov
