Nov 20, 2021 Freddy Wills
Kansas State pk 2.2% play Why is #11 Baylor a dog on the road? Baylor can still play for the Big 12 Championship if Oklahoma goes down again, which I feel is likely as Oklahoma has Oklahoma St and Iowa State to finish out their season. I don’t think the win over Oklahoma is as impressive given our thoughts on Oklahoma this year and how they are actually far worse than their pastNov 20, 2021 Freddy Wills
UCLA -3 3.3% PLAY USC in their 4 wins havea llowed 3.11 ypc, and in their 5 losses 5.5 ypc, but bad news as UCLA comes in with the 25th ranked ypc attack, and 13th epa run offense. USC overall ranks 98th in stopping the run, and it's not like they can stop the pass either ranking 119th in epa pass defense. UCLA actually has balance on offense ranking 39th in epa pass offense. AdvantNov 20, 2021 Freddy Wills
Nebraska +9 3.3% play Wisconsin in the driver seat to get to the Big Ten Championship game, but Nebraska is going to be a tough game. Nebraska’s biggest problem is they can not win the close games. They are 0-7 in games decided by single digits, which accounts for all of their losses. They are off the bye, and with 7 loses you would say they have nothing to play for, butNov 20, 2021 Freddy Wills
Navy +4 5.5% NCAAF POD 25 seniors will be honored here on Senior Day, the last home game, and Navy 17-1 SU run on SR. Day, with the lone loss coming last year in front of zero fans. East Carolina is in a huge sandwich spot, not only do they have to travel the second week in a row they do it after a huge upset over Memphis, which they became bowl eligible with, and they have Cincinnati at hoNov 20, 2021 Freddy Wills
Iowa St +155 1% ML BonusNov 20, 2021 Freddy Wills
Iowa State +3.5 2.2% play / Iowa St +155 1% ML Bonus Iowa State actually has better numbers against a tougher schedule than Oklahoma does, yet this line is stating that Oklahoma is a -1.5 favorite on a neutral. I get it Iowa State has 4 losses, and some of them have been very freaky losses, games they would not have lost in the past but have this year, because they were no longer playing inNov 20, 2021 Freddy Wills
Wake Forest +4.5 1.1% Free Play I don’t understand this line, and I’m with the public here. Clemson has dominated Wake Forest, but this is not the same Clemson particularly on offense where they rank 111th in ypp, and it’s not like you can point to one thing they do well. They are not great at running the ball ranking 90th in epa rush offense, and they rank 119th inNov 20, 2021 Freddy Wills
Florida State +111 2% Play This should be a flat spot for FSU after upsetting Miami, and with Florida on deck, but FSU has to be playing with a ton of confidence and at 4-6 really want to get to a bowl game. This is a winnable game as FSU has the better #’s against tougher competition +0.4 YPP vs. +0.05 compared to BC who is -0.4 vs. -0.33. I think we are maybe giving Phil JurkoNov 19, 2021 Freddy Wills
Memphis +290 0.2% bonusNov 19, 2021 Freddy Wills
Air Force / Nevada Over 52.5 3.3% play I love this over play with this match up, which I would call a perfect storm. The only thing that comes close in terms of Air Force playing a pass first team that plays fast, that is also not good at defending the run was Utha State. Utah State is actually better at defending the run, but that was a 45-49 game, and Utah State at least likes to ruNov 19, 2021 Freddy Wills
Memphis +9.5 3.3% play / Memphis +290 0.3% bonus Houston has literally nothing left to play for here. They have Uconn on deck, and are already in the AAC Championshpi game. Houston is a surprising 9-1, we faded them all the way back in week 1 against TExas Tech and it was their lone loss. Since then they have won games, but a closer look reveals this team could easily have 3.&nbNov 17, 2021 Freddy Wills
Ball State +118 2.5% PLAY After doing pretty much nothing all year on the ground Ball State has run for 200+ in 3 of their last 4 games to balance their offense, and they’ll need the running game again tonight with 15mph winds and 30mph gusts with some rain in the forecast at home. Central Michigan has been solid against the run, but their home/away splits should worry anyone lookingNov 17, 2021 Freddy Wills
View on YouTubeNov 15, 2021 Freddy Wills
49ers +3.5 3.3% PLAYNov 14, 2021 Freddy Wills
Eagles / Broncos Over 45.5 2.2% playNov 14, 2021 Freddy Wills
Packers -3 1.1% Free NFL PlayNov 14, 2021 Freddy Wills
Eagles +120 3% playNov 14, 2021 Freddy Wills
Browns +8.5 / Cowboys -2 4.4% NFL TeaserNov 14, 2021 Freddy Wills
Steelers / Lions U21.5 -129 3% playNov 14, 2021 Freddy Wills
Saints/Titans Under 22 1st Half 3.3% playNov 14, 2021 Freddy Wills
Saints +3 5.5% MAX NFL PODNov 13, 2021 Freddy Wills
TCU +12 2.2% PLAY I gave out TCU spread and ML last week as they upset Baylor, and I think TCU stays in this game again. We have a nice little story brewing here with Jerry Kill taking over as HC for Gary Patterson, and you bet the team is going to play for Kill. Kill actually coached at the High School when Gundy played, and Gundy said Kill taught him Biology. Bottom line isNov 13, 2021 Freddy Wills
Arkansas -2.5 3.3% play LSU just played the game of their lives in their Super Bowl against Alabama last week. LSU coaching staff is gone after the season, the team has depth issues, Orgeron is making weird comments, and now making a QB controversy that makes no sense. Max Johnson is hardly the problem here with 22 passing TD’s 6 INT, but Orgeron said he’s going let GarretNov 13, 2021 Freddy Wills
Washington +6 2.2% All year we have seen players and teams step up when there is turmoil on the coaching staff. Jimmy Lake suspended for striking a player, and Washington also fired their OC. We saw Washington St step up without their coaches, we saw TCU do it last week, and we saw USC do it as well. I think this is an excellent spot for Washington who has really nothing to loseNov 13, 2021 Freddy Wills
Ole MIss +3 -120 3.5% play Ole miss comes into the game with 2 losses just the same as A&M, but they are home dogs in a night game against #11 team. I like Ole Miss here in this spot. This is just A&M’s second true road game, the first one was against a hopeless Missouri team. They played two neutral sight games against Colorado, and the offense really struggled, a
