Recent Articles


3.3% NFL Teaser of the Week - Guaranteed or $$ BACK - 100-71 Last 171 Teaser Plays Overall

Sep 20, 2020 Freddy Wills

Steelers -0.5 / Cardinals -1 3.3% play
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The @CollegeGameDay Game of the Week #Miami vs. #Louisville - Guaranteed or $$ BACK

Sep 19, 2020 Freddy Wills

Louisville -130 3% play  Louisville to me was more impressive in their win over a C-USA opponent than Miami was, and Miami has to travel here.  I get Miami has D'Eriq King, and Miami is getting a lot of hype now, but there are still a lot of questions for Manny Diaz and if he can be an average coach.  Scott Satterfeld, has more head coaching experience at this point, and in my opin
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#GeorgiaTech vs @UCF_Football - Guaranteed or $$ BACK **38-27 +$20,806 L 65 NCAAF 2% bankroll

Sep 19, 2020 Freddy Wills

Georgia Tech +7.5 2.2% play Normally you'd want ot fade a team after a double digit upset on the road, but here we have a unique situation with Georgia Tech returning home, and is over a TD under dog against a non-power 5 team.  I think it certainly catches their attention, and I believe they played better than the final score indicated against Florida State.  Meanwhile, you have UCF wh
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College Football Dog of the Week Alert - Guaranteed or $$ BACK! 102-131 +$98,774 L 233 NCAAF Money L

Sep 19, 2020 Freddy Wills

Middle Tennessee +125 2.5% Dog of the Week Troy has a lot of weapons back on offense, but there are a few things brewing here.  They have to break in a new QB, it is their first game of the season, after a non-typical year for practice and preparation. I expect some issues leading to turnovers. On the flip side Middle Tennessee got to play, albeit against a non-schedule game against Army, w
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#CollegeFootball Free Pick of the Week **70-52 ATS L122 Free #SportsPicks - #Liberty vs. @WKUFootbal

Sep 19, 2020 Freddy Wills

Liberty +14.5 1.1% Free Play Nearly 70% of the tickets and 80% of the money has rained in on Western Kentucky, and this line has gone over the key number of 14.5.  I really do not understand it, and I'm fading the steam here.  To me Western Kentucky does not deserve to be a double digit favorite, and their game where they nearly covered the spread against Louisvile a week ago was comple
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Thursday Night Football *88-63 +$73,995 L 151 #NFL picks - #Bengals vs #Browns Guaranteed or $$ Back

Sep 17, 2020 Freddy Wills

Browns -6 2.2% play
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Monday Night Football #NFL - #Broncos vs. #Titans - Guaranteed or $$ Back

Sep 14, 2020 Freddy Wills

Broncos +3 +100 2% play   
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NFL Total of the Week - 126-83 L209 NFL picks in September +134.7% ROI - Guaranteed or $$ BACK!

Sep 13, 2020 Freddy Wills

Rams/Cowboys O51.5 2.2% play 
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3% NFL Money Line Play - *Guaranteed or $$ BACK - +77.9% ROI - Last 110 NFL Money Lines

Sep 13, 2020 Freddy Wills

Chargers -145 3% play 
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4.4% NFL POD - #Seahawks vs. #Falcons **126-83 +$134,751 L 209 NFL picks in September

Sep 13, 2020 Freddy Wills

Falcons +1 4.4% NFL POD 
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NFL Teaser of the Week - 100-70 +77.4% ROI - on Teasers Since 2012!

Sep 13, 2020 Freddy Wills

Packers +8.5 / 49ers -0.5 3.3% Teaser
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#NFL Free Pick **53-30 L83 Free NFL Picks #Washington vs. #Eagles

Sep 13, 2020 Freddy Wills

Washington Football Team +6 1.1% Free Play 
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College Football Free Play of the Week - #Clemson vs. #WakeForest - 69-51 L120 Free Picks 57.5% +19.

Sep 12, 2020 Freddy Wills

Clemson Tigers -33.5 1.1% Free Play  I don't normally play huge favorites like this on the road, but my formulas do like the scenario with a 23-8 ATS Record over the last 11 years.   Wake Forest will have no fans for this game, and for the entire month of September.  They have a ton of players to replace at the skill positions on offense with just 2 returning starters, and
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2.2% Total Play - @DukeFootball vs. @NDFootball - Guaranteed or $ Back 65-48 +$39,449 L 113 All Spor

Sep 12, 2020 Freddy Wills

Duke / Notre Dame U53.5 2.2% play  I believe this game gets slowed down quite a bit for a few different reasons.  Duke's head coach David Cutcliffe will take over play calling duties and he's been adamant about getting back to running the ball, playing Duke football.  They also bring in Chase Brice to play QB from Clemson, and I think that fits the game plan here.  Duke's defe
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Premium Newsletter Pick - @AStateFB vs. @KStateFB **217-179 +59% ROI L 396 NCAAF picks in September

Sep 12, 2020 Freddy Wills

Arkansas State +13 2.2% Play This line opened up at +10 and has steamed to +13, and I'm going to fade that 3 point line move and come in on the dog.  If you fade steam moves of 2+ points in week 1 over the last 3 years, you would go 58% ATS, 69-50!  We are getting line value in the number.  Also, Kanasas State's 0 spring practices, breaking in a completely new offensive line, and
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3.3% @TheACC Game of the Week - @GeorgiaTechFB vs. @FSUFootball Guaranteed or $$ Back *104-77 L181 3

Sep 11, 2020 Freddy Wills

Georgia Tech +13 3.3% play 28% of the money on Georgia Tech, and I don't think we will see a +14 with the line flirting with going back down, so I'm going to hop on the +13 while I can.  This is a fade on Florida State, who I don't think should be a double digit favorite in this game.  FSU, had limited number of practices, and some issues internally over the summer.  Mike Norvell w
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@CanesFootball vs. @UAB_FB - Guaranteed or $$ BACK **30-16 L46 September Picks

Sep 10, 2020 Freddy Wills

Miami / UAB Under 54.5pts 2.2% play  If these two teams played last year this total would be considerably lower.  The total opened up at 47, and has moved over a TD, and I'm going to fade the steam here for a couple of reasons. We have two teams that had top 30 defenses last year, and I believe the total is being inflated because of the way UAB's defense looked on paper last week. 
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Power Five Head Coaching Betting Value 2020

Sep 08, 2020 Freddy Wills

Grab my season pass on the home page of freddywills.com. I have 8 of 11 winning seasons in college football!  For a better ROI grab my college + pro Football package where I have average 27.04% ROI over 11 seasons! . Need a sportsbook this season? Take advantage of bonuses from Betonline, the sportsbook I use. They are currently offering a 100% crypto bonus. 2020 Power 5 Coaching Changes
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@BYUFootball vs. @NAVYFB Guaranteed or $$ BACK - **426-330 +$225,509 L 756 All Sports picks in Septe

Sep 07, 2020 Freddy Wills

Navy +1 2.2% play The majority of the money is coming in on BYU, and it has caused a 4 point line movement pushing the Cougars to a small 1 point favorite.  Over the past 3 years teams who are an away favorite after a 3.5 point line move are just 1-6 ATS, which tells me to fade the steam.  What's driving this?  Navy returns less starters, and lose their do all QB Malcolm Perry, but
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Fading College Football Steam - Week 1 & 2

Sep 07, 2020 Freddy Wills

The 2020 season brings new challenges to handicapping college football odds.  With the uncertainty of players opting out, or being forced out due to COVID-19 or just being near someone who had COVID-19.  It makes logical sense to me at least that you may not want to follow steam moves At the end of the day what do we really know about these teams, the players, and how they will react
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@AstateFB vs. @MemphisFB Premium Play - Guaranteed or $$ BACK **214-178 +$55,262 L 392 NCAAF picks i

Sep 05, 2020 Freddy Wills

Arkansas State +18.5 2.2% play Memphis return 14 starters, and 6 on offense, but one of those offensive starters was Kenneth Gainwell, who had over 2,000 yards rushing/receiving last year, and Gainwell has opted out recently, which is a tremendous blow to this Memphis team.  Memphis also has a new head coach, new defensive coordinator, while Arkansas State will have both theri OC/DC in thei
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2% Play *Army vs. MTSU - Guaranteed or $$ Back - 55-41 L96 sports picks in the month of September

Sep 05, 2020 Freddy Wills

Army -3.5 2.2% play  There is line value with an open at 5.5 dropping to 3.5.  I always like to fade line movement in the early season, as there are many unknowns, and when you fade that line movement you actually get line value. Middle Tennessee was supposed to play Duke in week 1, and then possibly Troy, but they found out just 3 weeks ago that they will face Army.  Now 3 weeks
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NFL Super Bowl 2nd Half Total Play

Feb 02, 2020 Freddy Wills

Over 26.5 pts 2nd half
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NFL SUPER BOWL 4 PLAY PROP PACKAGE

Feb 02, 2020 Freddy Wills

Mahomes U32.5 rushing yards +105 1% play  
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5.5% NFL POD Guaranteed or $$ BACK 74-53 +$96,886 L 127 Max Rated NFL picks

Feb 02, 2020 Freddy Wills

Chiefs -118 5.5% NFL POD
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