Oct 17, 2020 Freddy Wills
Louisville +17 3.3% This one is an ugly dog, but a classic sell high, buy low situation. Louisville is much better than their record indicates as they are +35 yards per game on the season, while Notre Dame has faced teams that are 1-10 SU vs. FBS teams this year. Notre Dame’s defense, which is completely rebuilding hasn’t faced a top 50 of 75 offense, and LouisvilleOct 17, 2020 Freddy Wills
Pitt +395 0.5% playOct 17, 2020 Freddy Wills
Pitt +14 -120 3.5% Play / Pittsburgh +14 -120 buy ½ 3.5% / Pitt +395 0.5% play I think Pitt is worth a shot here on the money line as Miami is in a huge let down spot after their big game against Clemson. Kenny Picket, at QB for Pitt is probably and that makes me feel really good about this game. Pitt has lost back to back games as favorites, which is giving us some line valueOct 17, 2020 Freddy Wills
Auburn / South Carolina Over 51.5 1.1% play SEC Defense? Well, I guess we will find out, but I see value in the over here. Auburn ranks 40th in success rate defense out of 75 teams, and that came against some bad offenses, while South Carolina ranks 68th, and both are outside the top 50 of 75 teams in EPA pass defense, which is a measurement of the combination of success rate and expOct 16, 2020 Freddy Wills
Houston +5 3.3% play Houston turned the ball over 5 times and were negative in TO margin in their first game and won by 18 points and covered the spread. Just so you understand how rare that is, Favorites who were -5 TO margin were 1-90 ATS. I expect Houston to take better care of the ball, Tulane’s defensive line is extremely athletic and talented ranking 6th in sack. IOct 13, 2020 Freddy Wills
Titans +3.5 2.2% playOct 11, 2020 Freddy Wills
Giants/Cowboys Under 53 2.2% playOct 11, 2020 Freddy Wills
Colts +1 4.4% NFL PODOct 11, 2020 Freddy Wills
Raiders +11 2.2% playOct 11, 2020 Freddy Wills
Steelers -1 / 49ers -1.5 3.3% NFL TeaserOct 11, 2020 Freddy Wills
Washington Football Team +7 +105 1% Free PLayOct 10, 2020 Freddy Wills
Clemson -14 3.3% play I see some value here on Clemson who is 0-3 ATS going up against a Miami team that's 3-0 ATS. Miami really has not played anyone, and despite being ranked #7 in the country right now are 35th in success rate on offense, and 25% on defense, which really does not have the resume of a top 10 team. Clemson also is saying all the right things, they got their shitty gaOct 10, 2020 Freddy Wills
Miss State +130 2% play I believe this is a bad matchup for Kentucky, and it comes at the right time. After MIss State defeated LSU, and then lost the following week as a 17 point favorite to Arkansas, we now have them as a dog again. With 92% of the $ on Kentucky I'm more inclined to think this is MIss STate's game. Kentucky may be the more desparate team, but Kentucky has provOct 10, 2020 Freddy Wills
Georgia -12 2.2% play 61% of the tickets are coming in on Tennessee, as they have the longest winning streak in the SEC with 8 straight wins. I’m just not buying into the hype right now as Tennessee has faced two teams that might not get to a bowl game in South Carolina and Missouri, and Tennessee at times showed vulnerabilities to both of those teams. I also think we sawOct 10, 2020 Freddy Wills
Syracuse +1 1.1% Free Play Duke is getting too much credit here for a team that is 0-4 and being favored on the road. Yes, they showed up and looked better against Virginia Tech, but a lot of that was smoke and mirrors. 7 of their 31 points came on a muffed punt, and they also faced a Virginia Tech without their DC, and several key starters and contributors from the secondary.Oct 10, 2020 Freddy Wills
Virginia Tech +4.5 2.2% play North Carolina has not looked like the same offense so far this year, and again last week they had issues in protection of their QB, which led to an off day for Sam Howell. It won’t get any easier as Virginia Tech has shown they can get pressure with their front 4 without the need to bring blitzes, as they got to Duke for 7 sacks in the last game. I thinOct 10, 2020 Freddy Wills
Texas +3 2.2% play I will take the more experienced QB who is less likely to make big mistakes in this game. Oklahoma is not nearly as dynamic as years past, and starting a red shirt freshman in Spencer Rattler, who has been great number wise, but he really does not have a lot of help around him. From his offensive line, running game, or defense. What happens is he presses lateOct 09, 2020 Freddy Wills
Louisville -4.5 2.2% play This is a cheap price for a Louisville team that I believe has the better offense, and better defense. Louisville which ranks 16th in defensive success rate defense is the best defense that Georgia Tech has faced all year, and Georgia Tech has had issues turning the ball over with 12 on the year. Jeff Simms at QB for Tech has shown promise, but also has shownOct 09, 2020 Freddy Wills
Oct 08, 2020 Freddy Wills
Houston -6.5 2.2% play Since 2000 teams making their season debut are 85-59-2 ATS vs opponents who have already played a game. Houston has been practicing and tackling for 9 straight weeks, and they've had 3 games canceled due to opponents having issues with COVID. Dana Holgorson, "we're prepared, eager, and motivated." This is a team that brings back a ton of experience includiOct 04, 2020 Freddy Wills
Eagles Over 43 2.2% playOct 04, 2020 Freddy Wills
Eagles +7.5 -105 2.2% playOct 04, 2020 Freddy Wills
Colts -145 5.5% NFL PODOct 04, 2020 Freddy Wills
Seahawks / Dolphins O54.5 2.2% playOct 04, 2020 Freddy Wills
Chargers +7.5 -125 1.5% Free Play
