Oct 22, 2022
Freddy Wills
LA Tech +130 2.5% ML Dog play
Rice has been great at 5-1 ATS this season, but now they’re a road favorite to a team they were a 3.5 point dog to just last November, a game La Tech lost due to 3 turnovers. Speaking of turnovers, Rice ranks 131st in percentage of possessions ending in a TO, and Louisiana Tech ranks 33rd on defense in that category. Rice is -7 to margin on the road...
Read Full Article →
Oct 21, 2022
Freddy Wills
SMU +3.5 3.3% PLAY
Luke Fickell is an excellent coach and his team is coming off a bye, but that’s all in the line here in my opinion. This spread is as if this is last year’s Cinicinnati team, but they lost several players to the NFL, including two starting CB’s in Cobe Bryant and Sauce Gardner. It appears they haven’t skipped a beat ranking 4th in ypp, ...
Read Full Article →
Oct 20, 2022
Freddy Wills
Saints +3 -120 2.5% play buy 1/2...
Read Full Article →
Oct 20, 2022
Freddy Wills
South Alabama -3 1.1% Free Play
The winner of this game will likely be the team out of the Sun Belt west. Troy has played the toughter schedule, but South Alabama has the more impressive result losing by only 1 at UCLA now looks quite good. This is also a short week for both teams, but Troy is going on the road while South Alabama was home last game and remains home for this one, whic...
Read Full Article →
Oct 17, 2022
Freddy Wills
Broncos +4 2.2% play ...
Read Full Article →
Oct 16, 2022
Freddy Wills
Jets / Packers Over 45 3.3% play...
Read Full Article →
Oct 16, 2022
Freddy Wills
49ers -4.5 1.1% Free Play ...
Read Full Article →
Oct 16, 2022
Freddy Wills
Giants +6 2.2% play ...
Read Full Article →
Oct 16, 2022
Freddy Wills
Jaguars +7.5 / Chiefs +8.5 3.3% teaser...
Read Full Article →
Oct 16, 2022
Freddy Wills
Dolphins +3 5.5% NFL POD...
Read Full Article →
Oct 16, 2022
Freddy Wills
Patriots +3 -120 buy 1/2 3.5% play ...
Read Full Article →
Oct 16, 2022
Freddy Wills
Patriots/Browns Over 43 2.2% play ...
Read Full Article →
Oct 16, 2022
Freddy Wills
FSU +155 1% ML bonus...
Read Full Article →
Oct 15, 2022
Freddy Wills
Florida State +3.5 2.2% play
Florida State +3.5 2.2% play / FSU +155 1% ML Bonus
I’m not sold on this Clemson team, and this line tells a true story. How is it that Clemson is only a 3.5 point favorite here? Well a deeper look and these two teams played the same 3 teams the last 3 weeks, and both went 2-1 ATS with similar statistics. Also worth noting that Florida ...
Read Full Article →
Oct 15, 2022
Freddy Wills
Kentucky +4 5.5% NCAAF POD
Classic buy low sell high situation here as Miss State dominated a good Arkansas team without their QB winning 40-17, while Kentucky lost without their star QB Will Levis as a more than a TD favorite. Arkansas with a backup QB actually had 3 trips into Miss State territory with no points, so that final score was a bit misleading. Kentucky is 18-8-1 ATS in th...
Read Full Article →
Oct 15, 2022
Freddy Wills
LSU +3 -120 4% PLAY
Taking points with the team coming off a loss, as LSU got behind early to Tennessee, which has been the story for the Vols. Get out early and hold on. There is no shame to falling victim to the same thing most teams do as Heupel 19-2 in his last 21 first half spreads. This week will be a different story, and a good buy low spot on LSU who is 14-5 ATS after a...
Read Full Article →
Oct 15, 2022
Freddy Wills
NC STATE +3.5 2.2% play
This line is the way it is, because NC State will likely be without their star QB Leary, but the back up is a 25 year old with plenty of experience, enough to manage the game and not turn the ball over, which is my handicap here. NC State should be able to establish the running game here when you look at the fact that Syracuse is completely under sized in this match ...
Read Full Article →
Oct 15, 2022
Freddy Wills
Indiana +11.5 2.2% play
Indiana is a well-coached team, and we certainly have the better coach in this spot at home getting double digits. I think it could be a flat spot for Maryland team off the home loss to Purdue. Is it that time for Maryland’s season to unravel or are they mentally strong enough to push through and win by double digits? I know they’ll be in a dog fig...
Read Full Article →
Oct 15, 2022
Freddy Wills
Indiana +340 0.5% play ...
Read Full Article →
Oct 15, 2022
Freddy Wills
Penn State / Michigan U50.5 2.2% play
I like the under here and still see value despite the drop the last few days. We have two teams who perfer to run, and two teams that play with a slow pace. Michigan 119th in seconds per play, and Penn State ranking 80th. Penn State also relies on the explosive plays, but Michigan's defense has been excellent ranking 34th in 20+ play percent...
Read Full Article →
Oct 15, 2022
Freddy Wills
Iowa St +16 2.2% play
Texas in a sandwich game here after the Red River Rivalary a spot they have struggled. I can’t buy that Texas is back yet not when they lost to Texas Tech team on the road, and they have Oklahoma State on the road next week. Iowa State has the Big 12’s best defense and their 3-3-5 defense gives QB’s issues, and I think Ewers could struggle here...
Read Full Article →
Oct 15, 2022
Freddy Wills
OklSt / TCU Over 68.5 2.2% play ...
Read Full Article →
Oct 15, 2022
Freddy Wills
Oklahoma -2.5 / Alabama -2.5 2.2% play
Use a 6.5 point teaser if these games are not at 8.5 at your book. Especially if ties are a loss at your book on teasers. Some books offer ties as a win or a push on teasers.
Oklahoma get their QB Dillon Gabriel back for this game it looks like, and Kansas without their starting QB indefnitely. It's a nice bounce back spot for Oklah...
Read Full Article →
Oct 14, 2022
Freddy Wills
Utah -3 -115 3.5% play
The Utes should control this game with the running game. USC’s strength of schedule has been horrific when we talk about the defenses and offenses they have faced and it has led to a lot of hype. I’m not at all sold on this USC defense, which has largely benefited from timely turnovers against horrible competition. The average opponent offense ...
Read Full Article →
Oct 13, 2022
Freddy Wills
Arkansas pk 1.1% Free PLay
KJ Jefferson returns, and BYU’s QB is not 100%, and we have seen a big line move, but a line move through the zeros is not that big of a deal in my opinion. Arkansas has had one of the tougher schedules this year with Cinci, A&M, Alabama and Miss State on their schedule. BYU has lost games recently against Notre Dame and Oregon, and have struggled ...
Read Full Article →
