Dec 19, 2021 Freddy Wills
49ers / Falcons Over 45 2.2% playDec 19, 2021 Freddy Wills
Steelers -120 ML 5.5% MAX NFL PODDec 19, 2021 Freddy Wills
Packers -1 / Bengals +8.5 3.3% playDec 19, 2021 Freddy Wills
Lions +13 1.1% Free PlayDec 19, 2021 Freddy Wills
Panthers +14.5 2.2% playDec 18, 2021 Freddy Wills
Colts -130 3% play Obviously it is tough to go against Bill Belechick, but if you're going to do it you better make sure you have a quality coach on the other sideline, and I think we do with Frank Reich. Patriots have really lucked out they have faced and average EPA pass offense of 18.6, and an average epa run offense of 19.7. The two top offensive teams they faced, Bills and Bucs wDec 18, 2021 Freddy Wills
Patriots / Colts Over 44.5 3.3% playDec 18, 2021 Freddy Wills
Oregon State -7 3.3% play Utah State overachieved this year and won the Mountain West, but it came against a very short handed San Diego State team, and I feel like we may be getting a short line, because of that. Oregon State could win their first Bowl Game in more than a decade, and they’ll get a chance to do it on a very big stage. Jonathan Smith could have gotten the HC jobDec 18, 2021 Freddy Wills
Browns +3.5 1.1% Free PlayDec 18, 2021 Freddy Wills
BYU -6.5 1.1% Free Play I feel like this is a cheap line on BYU here, a team with 2 losses on the season. It sounds square, but with 10,000+ tickets 67% of the money is on UAB. This team has one loss against Boise State, a game they were -4 TO margin in, they were + TO margin in 10 of their 12 games. The other game was on the road for the Big 12 Champion Baylor, a team that hadDec 18, 2021 Freddy Wills
Utep +375 0.5% playDec 18, 2021 Freddy Wills
UTEP +11.5 2.2% PLAY / UTEP +375 0.5% Play Does Fresno want to be here? They just missed out on their conference championship game, their HC Kalen Deboer left for Washington, their OC Ryan Grubb left and they will have a firs time play caller, and interim HC Lee Marks, who is not announcing who will start at QB. I think it will be 5th year Sr. Jake Haener, but it’s a bit alarminDec 18, 2021 Freddy Wills
Western Kentucky +135 3% Money Line Play First of all the spread rarely matters in bowl games, and with such a high total I really don’t think getting a +3 is of any value so we are going with the money line here. These two had common opponents in Marshall, while Western Kentucky went on the road as a 1 point favorite, and were +1.26 YPP, and App State hosted as a 7 point home favoritDec 17, 2021 Freddy Wills
Toledo -10 3.3% play Toledo is a far better team than their record shows. They rank top 25 in YPP offense and defense with +1.6 ypp differential compared to Middle Tennessee who is -0.2 ypp and that margin has come against an average opponent with a -0.38 ypp differential, and MTSU has been outgained on the season. Toledo's 3 conference losses all came by 3 points, and they lost by only 3Dec 16, 2021 Freddy Wills
Chiefs -3 -120 2.5% playDec 13, 2021 Freddy Wills
Rams +3 3.3% play News came out on some covid issues for the Rams with Ramsey being out, and TE Higbee, but teams, and players tend to step up in these situations where stars are out, and we are getting better odds because these players are out. 82% of the money is on the Cardinals here tonight yet this line has not moved to 3.5. It may within the next hour, but it's very telling theDec 12, 2021 Freddy Wills
Bills / Bucs O52.5 2.2% play Both teams play fast, and both have top 10 run defenses. Their pass defenses are top as well, but they are definitely the must vulnerable in this game. We have two of the top QB's in the league, and I think we should see a shootout.Dec 12, 2021 Freddy Wills
Bengals +120 5.5% NFL POD This is a 3-4 point move based off last week, and I just don't understand it so I'm taking the value on the Bengals here and look for them to bounce back. 49ers down several players in the secondary, and Joe Burrow should be able to take advantage. 49ers also down their top 2 RB, and Deebo Samuel is ? and not 100% if he plays. For the 49ers to win it'sDec 12, 2021 Freddy Wills
Giants +10 2.2% Play Chargers will be without their top WR Keenan Allen here, and the Chargers when facing a top 16 pass defense are 0-4 averaging just 18.5 ppg compared 30 against non-top 16 pass defenses. Giants rank 8th in passing defense DVOA. The Giants have gotten blown out by 3 teams all year, Dallas, TB, and Rams, all three are Super Bowl contenders. While, everyone loveDec 12, 2021 Freddy Wills
Panthers / Falcons 1H U21 -130 2.5% playDec 12, 2021 Freddy Wills
Browns -145 2.5% play homerun situational spot for the Browns off a bye, and Ravens significantly banged up. -2.5 -120 or -3 offers less value than the ML here. Browns the desparate team here, and I think they should win the game.Dec 12, 2021 Freddy Wills
Washington +7 -125 buy 1/2 1.25% playDec 12, 2021 Freddy Wills
Titans -2.5 / Falcons +8.5 3.3% play Titans off the bye and off 2 losses will want to get back and win a game. The spread opened at 11 and is now down 8 or 8.5, and that gives us some extra value on the teaser going through all of the key numbers of 7, 4, and 3. I don't see the Panthers winning with margin against a Falcons team whose strength is defending the run. Panthers firDec 11, 2021 Freddy Wills
NAVY +7.5 5.5% NCAAF POD I expect a tight game on a neutral field here. The numbers favor Army, but Navy has faced the tougher schedule with Notre Dame and Cinci on their schedule and their opponent YPP differential are far different. Navy has faced an average opponent YPP diff of +0.65 cmopared to Army -0.2. The YPP differential, and opponent YPP differential leads me to believDec 05, 2021 Freddy Wills
Vikings -1 / Washington Football Team +7.5 3.3% play
