Recent Articles


College Football Free Play of the Week - #Clemson vs. #WakeForest - 69-51 L120 Free Picks 57.5% +19.

Sep 12, 2020 Freddy Wills

Clemson Tigers -33.5 1.1% Free Play  I don't normally play huge favorites like this on the road, but my formulas do like the scenario with a 23-8 ATS Record over the last 11 years.   Wake Forest will have no fans for this game, and for the entire month of September.  They have a ton of players to replace at the skill positions on offense with just 2 returning starters, and
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2.2% Total Play - @DukeFootball vs. @NDFootball - Guaranteed or $ Back 65-48 +$39,449 L 113 All Spor

Sep 12, 2020 Freddy Wills

Duke / Notre Dame U53.5 2.2% play  I believe this game gets slowed down quite a bit for a few different reasons.  Duke's head coach David Cutcliffe will take over play calling duties and he's been adamant about getting back to running the ball, playing Duke football.  They also bring in Chase Brice to play QB from Clemson, and I think that fits the game plan here.  Duke's defe
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Premium Newsletter Pick - @AStateFB vs. @KStateFB **217-179 +59% ROI L 396 NCAAF picks in September

Sep 12, 2020 Freddy Wills

Arkansas State +13 2.2% Play This line opened up at +10 and has steamed to +13, and I'm going to fade that 3 point line move and come in on the dog.  If you fade steam moves of 2+ points in week 1 over the last 3 years, you would go 58% ATS, 69-50!  We are getting line value in the number.  Also, Kanasas State's 0 spring practices, breaking in a completely new offensive line, and
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3.3% @TheACC Game of the Week - @GeorgiaTechFB vs. @FSUFootball Guaranteed or $$ Back *104-77 L181 3

Sep 11, 2020 Freddy Wills

Georgia Tech +13 3.3% play 28% of the money on Georgia Tech, and I don't think we will see a +14 with the line flirting with going back down, so I'm going to hop on the +13 while I can.  This is a fade on Florida State, who I don't think should be a double digit favorite in this game.  FSU, had limited number of practices, and some issues internally over the summer.  Mike Norvell w
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@CanesFootball vs. @UAB_FB - Guaranteed or $$ BACK **30-16 L46 September Picks

Sep 10, 2020 Freddy Wills

Miami / UAB Under 54.5pts 2.2% play  If these two teams played last year this total would be considerably lower.  The total opened up at 47, and has moved over a TD, and I'm going to fade the steam here for a couple of reasons. We have two teams that had top 30 defenses last year, and I believe the total is being inflated because of the way UAB's defense looked on paper last week. 
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Power Five Head Coaching Betting Value 2020

Sep 08, 2020 Freddy Wills

Grab my season pass on the home page of freddywills.com. I have 8 of 11 winning seasons in college football!  For a better ROI grab my college + pro Football package where I have average 27.04% ROI over 11 seasons! . Need a sportsbook this season? Take advantage of bonuses from Betonline, the sportsbook I use. They are currently offering a 100% crypto bonus. 2020 Power 5 Coaching Changes
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@BYUFootball vs. @NAVYFB Guaranteed or $$ BACK - **426-330 +$225,509 L 756 All Sports picks in Septe

Sep 07, 2020 Freddy Wills

Navy +1 2.2% play The majority of the money is coming in on BYU, and it has caused a 4 point line movement pushing the Cougars to a small 1 point favorite.  Over the past 3 years teams who are an away favorite after a 3.5 point line move are just 1-6 ATS, which tells me to fade the steam.  What's driving this?  Navy returns less starters, and lose their do all QB Malcolm Perry, but
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Fading College Football Steam - Week 1 & 2

Sep 07, 2020 Freddy Wills

The 2020 season brings new challenges to handicapping college football odds.  With the uncertainty of players opting out, or being forced out due to COVID-19 or just being near someone who had COVID-19.  It makes logical sense to me at least that you may not want to follow steam moves At the end of the day what do we really know about these teams, the players, and how they will react
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@AstateFB vs. @MemphisFB Premium Play - Guaranteed or $$ BACK **214-178 +$55,262 L 392 NCAAF picks i

Sep 05, 2020 Freddy Wills

Arkansas State +18.5 2.2% play Memphis return 14 starters, and 6 on offense, but one of those offensive starters was Kenneth Gainwell, who had over 2,000 yards rushing/receiving last year, and Gainwell has opted out recently, which is a tremendous blow to this Memphis team.  Memphis also has a new head coach, new defensive coordinator, while Arkansas State will have both theri OC/DC in thei
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2% Play *Army vs. MTSU - Guaranteed or $$ Back - 55-41 L96 sports picks in the month of September

Sep 05, 2020 Freddy Wills

Army -3.5 2.2% play  There is line value with an open at 5.5 dropping to 3.5.  I always like to fade line movement in the early season, as there are many unknowns, and when you fade that line movement you actually get line value. Middle Tennessee was supposed to play Duke in week 1, and then possibly Troy, but they found out just 3 weeks ago that they will face Army.  Now 3 weeks
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NFL Super Bowl 2nd Half Total Play

Feb 02, 2020 Freddy Wills

Over 26.5 pts 2nd half
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NFL SUPER BOWL 4 PLAY PROP PACKAGE

Feb 02, 2020 Freddy Wills

Mahomes U32.5 rushing yards +105 1% play  
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5.5% NFL POD Guaranteed or $$ BACK 74-53 +$96,886 L 127 Max Rated NFL picks

Feb 02, 2020 Freddy Wills

Chiefs -118 5.5% NFL POD
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PROP package Super Bowl

Feb 02, 2020 Freddy Wills

Mahomes Over 2.5 pass TD's +105 0.5% play  
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Prop play #3

Feb 02, 2020 Freddy Wills

Mostert will score a TD -165 1% play  
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Prop Play #4

Feb 02, 2020 Freddy Wills

Garoppolo Over 19.5 receptions -115 0.5% play 
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5.5% MAX NFL POD **74-52 +$102,386 L 126 Max Rated NFL picks

Jan 19, 2020 Freddy Wills

Packers /49ers Under 46.5 5.5% NFL POD
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2.2% play - Packers vs. 49ers - Guaranteed or $$ BACK 51-38 +$26,556 L 89 All Sports 2% bankroll

Jan 19, 2020 Freddy Wills

Packers +8 2.2% play 
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Chiefs vs. Titans - 3.3% play - Guaranteed or $$ BACK 72-58 +$36,650 L 130 NFL 3% bankroll

Jan 19, 2020 Freddy Wills

Titans +7 3.3% play 
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Clemson vs. LSU Prop Play - 2% play

Jan 13, 2020 Freddy Wills

Clyde Edwards-Helaire rushing yards U95.5 2% play -125
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5.5% MAX NCAAF POD - 9-1 ATS Career National Championship - Guaranteed or $$ BACK

Jan 13, 2020 Freddy Wills

Clemson +5.5 5.5% NCAAF POD These two almost met up in the semifinal, and oddsmakers would have opened up Clemson as a 1 point favorite, and then LSU dominated Oklahoma as I figured they would, and Clemson to many got lucky against Ohio State.  Now we have a 6 or 6.5 line adjustment, that I just can't pass on.  We waited to see another 6, and it doesn't appear we will despite 70% of the
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4% Play - #Seahawks vs. #Packers - Guaranteed or $$ BACK

Jan 12, 2020 Freddy Wills

Packers -205 4% play 
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NFL Total Play of the Week - Guaranteed or $$ BACK

Jan 12, 2020 Freddy Wills

Chiefs / Texans Over 51 3.3% play 
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3.3% Play Titans vs. Ravens - Guaranteed or $$ BACK 111-87 +$75,997 L 198 NFL

Jan 11, 2020 Freddy Wills

Titans +10 3.3% play 
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#Vikings vs. #49ers Guaranteed or $$ BACK

Jan 11, 2020 Freddy Wills

Vikings +7 2.2% play 
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