Oct 06, 2018 Freddy Wills
Florida +115 / Miss State +155 ML parlay 0.6% @ +448Oct 06, 2018 Freddy Wills
Miss State +9.5 / Florida +8 4.4% Teaser of the Week (Florida +115 / Miss State +155 ML parly 0.6% @ +448) Miss State +9.5 With a low total of 42 we are expecting a low scoring game with two struggling offenses, and that makes the 6 points in a teaser more valuable. We are buying low on Miss State, I actually have this game Auburn -1, but due to their recent struggles here we are at +3.5. TOct 06, 2018 Freddy Wills
Kent +12 2.2% play Ohio has struggled in their last two trips to Kent winning by 4 points. I see them really trying to slow this game down with a bigger game on deck at Northern Illinois. Ohio is ranked 109th in pace and take the full play clock between plays which should shorten this game quite a bit in my opinion. This is also Ohio's third road game in 4 weeks, and Kent is playing theirOct 06, 2018 Freddy Wills
35-11 Last 46 College Football Free PicksTulane +7.5 1.1% Free Play This is a shorter week for Cincinnati while Tulane will have 1 extra day of preparation here. I have these two teams even on a neutral field, but Cincinnati is 5-0 on the season. Cincinnati has played the 126th ranked strength of schedule while Tulane has faced the 81st ranked SOS, and I even think it's stronger with Memphis, WOct 06, 2018 Freddy Wills
Texas +7.5 -1.15 4.5 NCAAF POD Texas is built to beat Oklahoma, and Oklahoma is built to beat all Big 12 teams which is the reason they have struggled in this match-up in the past despite being big favorites they are 0-5 ATS the last 5 years vs. Texas in this game. Tom Herman 11-1 ATS as a head coach with 8 outright upsets as an underdog is very impressive. Oklahoma comes into this game highOct 05, 2018 Freddy Wills
BYU -2.5 2.2% PlayPreviously BYU did not view this game as a rivalry game, but this is one of the games they circled on their calendar in the off season. It seems like everyone is on Utah State and their video like numbers, but they have had a very weak schedule so far this season while BYU has had a very challenging schedule facing 4 power 5 opponents in Washington, Wisconsin, Arizona and COct 04, 2018 Freddy Wills
Misleading Finals: Here is a misleading final - Liberty 52-43 over New Mexico. New Mexico had a post game win probability of 75.9% here as they were +1.12 yards per play, +13.6% in success rate, but were -3 TO margin. I really don't know what to make of Liberty, who goes back on the road this week to face New Mexico State as a 4 point favorite, and expected to get a ton of the bets. New MexicoOct 01, 2018 Freddy Wills
Broncos +4.5 4.4% playSep 30, 2018 Freddy Wills
Ravens/Steelers Under 50 2.2% playSep 30, 2018 Freddy Wills
NY Giants +3.5 5.5% NFL PODSep 30, 2018 Freddy Wills
Texans pk 1.1% Free PlaySep 30, 2018 Freddy Wills
Bears -3 +100 3% playSep 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
Ohio State -3.5 4.4% Play I am grabbing this number early in the week before it goes up to 6. I have not been impressed with Penn State who has yet to see a decent defense. They struggled and were trailing at Illinois halfway through the third quarter and our +28 Illinois ticket looked like it would cash. However, Penn State made it a point to blow the game up and look goodSep 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
South Carolina +1 5.5% NCAAF POD Kentucky is a hot pick right now and everyone is picking them over South Carolina this week. I am high on Kentucky, and I even bet them at Florida, but I think this is a different match-up. This is the first time Kentucky is in the AP Top 25 in 11 years and they are facing an unranked team yet they are only a 1 point favorite? They have actually dominated SoutSep 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
San Jose State +330 2% Play Last week we gave out Purdue +218 and it cashed with ease over BC in a 30-7 victory. This is a tough spot for Hawaii already their 6th game in 6 weeks and this is their 3rd time traveling while they face San Jose State team off a bye. I really think San Jose can pull the upset here facing Hawaii who is getting plenty of action from bettors as their QB McDonald leadsSep 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
California +8.5 / Virginia Tech +10.5 3.3% Teaser of the week Cal +8.5 - This is a brutal spot for Oregon after they choked up a game vs. Stanford last week in what was their game of the year. I gave out Oregon as a premium play and really thought they would dominate. I think Cal off the bye playing a team that went to OT will have an advantage here. Cal is also very uSep 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
Utah -1.5 3.3% play Utah off a bye here while Washington State is coming off a big road loss at USC. Utah is 20-6 following a bye straight up under Kyle Whitingham and has revenge after losing the last three years to Washington State. Last year they only lost by 8 points despite 7 turnovers. That's hard to do, and they'll look to rebound following their poor loss against Washington atSep 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
Northwestern +14.5 1.1% Free Play - 34-9 ATS L43 Free Plays!We are getting great line value here with Northwestern. Not only are they off an Akron upset as 21 point favorites which is inflating the opening line of 10, but the line has moved nearly 5 points. Northwestern is well coached and off a bye here and I expect their best effort of the season. Northwestern is 14-6 ATS in their last 20 aSep 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
Kansas +17 3.3% play Oklahoma State was on the doorstep of cracking into the Top 10 after their blowout of Boise State which was extremely misleading. Now they are coming off a big loss against Texas Tech at home, and there are red flags all over the place for this team. Since 2008 they are just 14-15-1 ATS following a SU loss so it's not like this team rebounds under Gundy, and I also think tSep 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
PItt + 13 2.2% play Over 75% of the tickets are on UCF, but 56% of the money is on PItt and the line that opened up at 14.5 is down to 13. From a #'s perspective I have this around 10.5 or 11. So, I still think 13 is a decent # here, and it might be worth waiting if you can grab a 14 at your book later in the week, but overall I feel good about Pitt's chances here. Pitt the last two yearsSep 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
Arkansas +21.5 2.2% Play @12pm ET Nobody wants to touch Arkansas right now and that's exactly the time we would like to back them. I think there is tremendous value here and if you don't see a 21.5 you will on Saturday, but I like 21 as I have this line at 17. The spread in this game the last 3 years has been under a TD. This will be a neutral field game at Jerry World in Dallas. ArkansaSep 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
Boston College -12.5 2.2% play A lot of Temple's success the last two games is due to their ability to get a pass rush in predictable passing situations and create turnovers. I don't see them being able to get into that situation this week against Boston College, and I expect Boston College to run the ball, and when they do pass guys will be wide open on play action. Temple has plSep 28, 2018 Freddy Wills
Tulane +15 2.2% play Tulane is getting just 28% of the tickets and 37% of the money and we have seen this line move about 5 points. Tulane is desperate for a win, and I think they will be in this game. Their record is misleading here as they are 13 points away from being 3-1 instead of 1-3. Their strength of schedule is far superior to Memphis. Memphis has faced offensSep 27, 2018 Freddy Wills
Lean Arkansas State -3, Arkansas State played a similar team in UNLV last week in the sense that UNLV runs the ball a ton, and I was mostly impressed with Arkansas State's defense as they were +1.53 yards per play and held UNLV to a 27.1% success rate. Now they go on the road to face Georgia Southern in conference play where they have had tremendous success going 37-16-1 ATS in their last 54 conSep 27, 2018 Freddy Wills
Leaned Temple +13, but we can't play them. Last week we had Purdue as a ML dog over Boston College, but felt that was a good match up for Purdue based on strengths and weaknesses. Even though the sharp money seems to be coming on Temple and my algorithms recommend a play on Temple when I look at the X's and O's I simply can't do it. Temple the last two weeks have 13 sacks and that has allowe
