Dec 12, 2020
Freddy Wills
Nebraska -10.5 1.1% Free Play
*55-38 59.1% Winners L93 Free NCAAF Picks *
I’m obviously higher on Nebraska than most people as we have backed them 3 times on the spread, and once in a teaser and have gone 3-1. The one loss should have been a win, and this team is better than their record indicates. 79% of the money is on Minnesota here, and I don’t get that, because this...
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Dec 12, 2020
Freddy Wills
Arkansas +32 3.3% play
Alabama getting 71% of the tickets 91% of the money as of Thursday going up against Arkansas a team that is much improved despite another losing record. They lost 3 games in the final seconds, and they actually have a positive YPP differential vs. a positive opponent YPP differential, which is rare for a losing team. I also like the fact that they take care of ...
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Dec 12, 2020
Freddy Wills
Utah +3 -120 4% Play
Utah burned a lot of bettors last week, as they blew a 30-10 lead late against Oregon State, a team that was short, but I think that’s giving us value here. Utah played USC and Washington in their first two games, arguably the best teams in the Pac 12, so the strength of schedule difference here is obvious as Colorado’s opponents have an YPP differential of...
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Dec 12, 2020
Freddy Wills
Virginia +3 3.3% play
This is an interesting game as you have a rivalry game to wrap up each team’s final game as both teams and players have indicated they do not want to play in a bowl game due to COVID and being able to see their families. You have Virginia on a 4 game win streak vs. Virginia Tech on a 4 game losing streak, and they’re getting points, which is a natural spot ...
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Dec 11, 2020
Freddy Wills
Nevada +115 3% play
Both teams looking to earn a spot in the MWC Title game, so we know effort won’t be an issue with these two teams on Friday night. I think Nevada has the better situational spot, and the better matchup, and we are getting them as a dog.
San Jose State is supposed to be home here, as well as last week, but with the state shut down they had to travel to Hawaii, ba...
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Dec 07, 2020
Freddy Wills
Washington Football Team +7 3.3% play ...
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Dec 07, 2020
Freddy Wills
49ERS -125 2.5% PLAY ...
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Dec 06, 2020
Freddy Wills
Rams -140 3% play ...
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Dec 06, 2020
Freddy Wills
Vikings +104 1% ...
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Dec 06, 2020
Freddy Wills
Vikings -6.5 1.1% Free Play
I already have Jaguars +10.5 for the game, this sets us up very nicely for a middle or possible break even. ...
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Dec 06, 2020
Freddy Wills
Browns/Titans Over 53 3.3% play ...
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Dec 06, 2020
Freddy Wills
Jaguars +10.5 1.1% Free Play ...
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Dec 06, 2020
Freddy Wills
Falcons +8.5 / Patriots +7.5 3.3% play ...
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Dec 06, 2020
Freddy Wills
Colts -3 -115 4% play ...
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Dec 06, 2020
Freddy Wills
Colts/Texans Under 50.5 2.2% play ...
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Dec 06, 2020
Freddy Wills
Browns +4.5 5.5% NFL POD...
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Dec 05, 2020
Freddy Wills
Oklahoma -11.5 1st Half 2.2% play
By now I think everyone knows how I'm down on Baylor, and I think Oklahoma who is really good at scripting their plays early in games would like to get out to a lead and rest their players. Oklahoma also probably has motivation to blow Baylor out in this one, but if it's going to happen at all it's going to be early in this game in my opinion. O...
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Dec 05, 2020
Freddy Wills
Coastal Carolina +10.5 3.3% play
Only 23% of the money on Coastal Carolina here, despite BYU traveling 2200 miles across the country at the last minute. I know BYU the more experienced team with motivation to blow out Coastal Carolina. So I feel good about my feeling on this game.
I give BYU credit for scheduling this game and traveling to face Coastal Carolina for a top 25 matchup t...
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Dec 05, 2020
Freddy Wills
West Virginia +7 -125 buy hook 3% play
Iowa State is in an interesting spot for this game as they will know before the game starts if they are goign to the Big 12 Championship. If Oklahoma State loses to TCU, then Iowa State has nothing really to play for here. They beat West Virginia by 24 last year on the road, and they should have their eyes focused on the Big 12 Championship game,...
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Dec 05, 2020
Freddy Wills
Virginia -165 2% play...
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Dec 05, 2020
Freddy Wills
Ohio State -21.5 3.3% play ...
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Dec 05, 2020
Freddy Wills
Auburn +7 -125 3.5% play buy the hook
The Aggies have a lot of pressure here being the #5 ranked team in the country, and you could argue that Auburn does not care about this game, but I think the chance to knock off a top 5 team is definitely something that gets players attention. Kellen Mond on the road over his career has not been great. Before this year he threw 14 TD's and 16 INT...
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Dec 05, 2020
Freddy Wills
Kansas State +7 2.2% play / Kansas State +240 1% play
We backed Kansas State last week and they came through with an easy cover and outright upset of BAylor. We know that under Chris Klieman this team is going to play hard, and we also know they are one of the few teams you can guarntee effort, and desire of getting to a bowl game. Texas is in a weird situation as their dreams were ju...
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Dec 05, 2020
Freddy Wills
TCU +105 1% Free Play
It seems that everyone is on Oklahoma State here, but the line has gone the other way, as TCU only 25% of the money at this moment, but I think TCU is playing better football of late. Overall there really is not much that separates these two teams, and while Oklahoma State can get to the Big 12 Title game with Iowa State losing later in the day, TCU would like to play...
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Dec 05, 2020
Freddy Wills
Nebraska +7.5 / Arkansas +8.5 3.3% Teaser
Nebraska +7.5 / Arkansas +8.5 3.3% play
I think these two teams are pretty similar, and had similar games against Northwestern and Iowa. Both teams have some bad losses against supposedly bad teams in the Big Ten. Purdue lost to Minnesota and Rutgers, while Nebraska lost to Illinois as they had 5 turnovers in that game. Purdue, a team t...
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