Aug 29, 2019 Freddy Wills
Clemson/GTech Under 61 2.2% play I see value in tonight's under which I feel is inflated a bit. Georgia Tech is breaking in an entirely new offense, and going away from the spread, so I would honestly be shocked if they scored more than 10 points. I feel like Clemson will get out to a big lead and shut things down in the second half and get ready for their big game with Texas A&amAug 29, 2019 Freddy Wills
UCLA +3 4.4% NCAAF POD 3's popped up again at a few locations, and I'm going to grab the Bruins here. These two opened up the 2018 season @ UCLA, and the Bruins had hype with Chip Kelly taking over, and were 14 point favorites, and lost outright. I see a bit of revenge here for UCLA, and I don't really think that there is an 11 point difference between these two teams from last year. UCLA wasAug 27, 2019 Freddy Wills
When we look at the coaching changes in college football we are always looking towards what gives us betting value. In today's article we look at the non-power 5 coaching moves and a deep dive into what coaches do ATS over their first 3 seasons. We have a total of 13 new head coaches across the group of 5 teams, and gives us a lot to look at first year one. 1st Year Head Coach - ATS Over theAug 26, 2019 Freddy Wills
REMINDER ON FADING AP TOP 10- I had a podcast you can go back and listen to it, but basically taking out top tier coaches you do really well fading the preseason ap top 10. 60% ATS last year. The teams on my list this year are Ohio State, LSU, Michigan, Florida, Notre Dame and Texas as I mentioned in the podcast. These teams as home favorites only cover the spread 46% of the time over the laAug 26, 2019 Freddy Wills
MyBookie.Ag Online Betting Bonuses Use promo code: FREDDY for 100% bonus or click the banner below. Mybookie.ag is one of the newer brands out there, but it is reliable. I signed up and used them as one of my outs last year, because they had their version of the Las Vegas Super Contest for only $100 you get a shot at winning $100,000. For that reason along it's worth signing up, and IAug 24, 2019 Freddy Wills
Miami +7.5 3.3% play Florida is off a 10 win season and getting plenty of hype ranking #8 in the AP polls, but return 13 starters compared to 19 a season ago. I see a lot of red flags with this team coming into the year. Also, teams in the AP TOP 10 don't particularly do well over the season, or over the first 3 games. In fact only 28 of the 70 teams over the last 7 years have had a winninAug 22, 2019 Freddy Wills
TCU Over 7.5 Wins +110 1% Play Gary Patterson is in his 19th year at TCU, and is coming off a season that featured a ton of injuries to the offense and defense, and they still finished 7-6 despite struggles from the offense, which were due to QB issues, and injuries to the offensive line, top QB, and WR. I think this TCU offense will be among the most improved offenses this year. The QB situatAug 21, 2019 Freddy Wills
Here is a look at the top ten college football teams according to pre-season AP poll for the 2019 college football season: The idea behind this theory is that we will catch betting value fading these teams, because the casual bettor is going to want to back them. The other idea is that the AP poll is not ranking these teams on a betting strength. Vegas will set numbers, and often disagAug 15, 2019 Freddy Wills
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Grab my season pass on the home page of freddywills.com. I have 8 of 10 winning seasons in college football with an average ROI in 10 seasons of 34.18. $1,000/unit bettors have profited $341K in 10 total seasons. Need a sportsbook this season? Take advantage of bonuses from Betonline, the sportsbook I use. They are currently offering a 100% crypto bonus. 2019 Power 5 Coaching Changes In 2018Aug 08, 2019 Freddy Wills
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Patriots -135 4% playFeb 03, 2019 Freddy Wills
Patriots/Rams Under 56.5 5.5% PODFeb 03, 2019 Freddy Wills
James White (Patriots) Over 3.5 carries 1.5% @ -135 - LOSSCooks (Rams) Under 73.5 receiving yards -120 1.2% play - LOSSGronkowski Over 55.5 receiving yards -120 1.2% play - WINJulian Edelman U83.5 receiving yards -110 1.1% play - LOSSWill there be a missed extra point? NO -300 3% PLAY - WINJan 20, 2019 Freddy Wills
Patriots +3.5 -1.25 4% PlayJan 20, 2019 Freddy Wills
Patriots/Chiefs U56.5 3.3% playJan 20, 2019 Freddy Wills
Saints -3 5.5% NFL PODJan 20, 2019 Freddy Wills
Saints/Rams Under 57 3.3% playJan 13, 2019 Freddy Wills
Patriots -4 5.5% NFL PODJan 12, 2019 Freddy Wills
Cowboys +7 4.4% NFL PODJan 12, 2019 Freddy Wills
Colts +5.5 3.3% playJan 07, 2019 Freddy Wills
Clemson +180 1.5% PlayJan 07, 2019 Freddy Wills
Clemson/Alabama Over 57 3.3% play - I actually think 1H under, so if you like to bet value you may get a better number in the 2nd quarter, or at half time. It was raining yesterday and this morning in Santa Clara, and that has started to drive the total down along with the fact that there is a notion that field conditions here are not good. Two college games played here went well under, butJan 07, 2019 Freddy Wills
Clemson +5.5 5.5% NFL POD / Clemson +180 1.5% Play I absolutely think Clemson has the ingredients to upset Alabama. Alabama has shown some vulnerabilities in the last few games against worse teams. Looking at Clemson's body of work and statistical resume, they mostly mirror Georgia on offense, and Miss State on defense. Georgia has a weakness in stopping the run, and Alabama exploited it as tJan 06, 2019 Freddy Wills
Bears -6.5 2.2% play