Nov 16, 2019 Freddy Wills
Alabama -20 3.3% play Alabama has to be impressive from here on out. They have everything left to play for after the LSU win, and I really wonder what would have happened if Tua did not fumble in the red zone on that first drive, which changed all the momentum in the game against LSU. Tua shook the rust off and had a great game, and I don't see Alabama taking their foot off theNov 16, 2019 Freddy Wills
Texas Tech +140 3% Money Line Dog of the Week 35% of the money is on Texas Tech, and I really don’t understand how oddsmakers think TCU is 6 points better on a neutral field than Texas Tech. TCU is also in a major sandwich game here with Oklahoma on deck and coming off a 3OT crushing loss to Baylor. I don’t know how they come back from that. This team hasn’t beaten aNov 16, 2019 Freddy Wills
Missouri +7 2.2% Premium Newsletter Play Classic buy low sell high situation here after Missouri got shut out last week and Florida blew out Vanderbilt 56-0. Missouri played without Kelly Bryant and their top WR and both should be back for this game against Florida. Nearly 70% of the money is on Florida here, and the line has not moved. 26% of the tickets on Missouri, and this just smNov 15, 2019 Freddy Wills
San Diego State -115 3% Play A massive game for the Mountain West Division. The winner is definitely in the driver seat. San Diego State is off a weird loss to Nevada, but they did outgain Nevada by around 100 yards in that game, but that's giving us value here. This line had SD State as a dog and then they went back to a 1 point favorite. I'd rather just take them on the moneyNov 14, 2019 Freddy Wills
Pitt -4 2.2% NCAAF Play Both teams come into this game with some extra rest, and it will be a cold night in Pittsburgh with clear skies and temperatures in the low 30’s to high 20’s. I think that benefits the PItt QB who played in cold weather last year vs. UNC’s Sam Howell who is a freshman QB from the state of North Carolina. North Carolina is a public dog here tonight gNov 12, 2019 Freddy Wills
Western Michigan -1 2.2% play Only 36% of the money is on Western Michigan right now. I don't really understand it other than the fact that Western Michigan has not won a road game, but they faced two P5 opponents, and Ohio is 0-5 ATS at home and have lost to two opponents that are worse than Western Michigan at home. Western Michigan has an extra day to prepare for this game as wellNov 10, 2019 Freddy Wills
Cowboys -3 -120 3% playNov 10, 2019 Freddy Wills
Titans +6 5.5% NFL PODNov 10, 2019 Freddy Wills
Bengals +10.5 1.1% Free PlayNov 10, 2019 Freddy Wills
Tampa Bay Bucs -5 3.3% playNov 09, 2019 Freddy Wills
Iowa State +14.5 3.3% play Both of these teams were off a bye and Oklahoma was hosting Iowa State in 2017 and Iowa State pulled the 38-31 upset. Actually, Oklahoma had a couple extra days to prepare for that game. I really like Matt Campbell as a HC and I don’t think he gets enough credit here, while he has kept this toa 10 pt game or less each of the last 3 years. Iowa State isNov 09, 2019 Freddy Wills
Duke +8 3.3% play 77% of the tickets on Notre Dame here as many are expecting them to bounce back. Notre Dame in November with nothing to play for is almost an automatic fade, and with 2 losses they are clearly out of the playoff discussion. This team appears to be mailing it in the way they have played the last two weeks now they get a Duke team who beat them in 2016 at Notre Dame. Duke geNov 09, 2019 Freddy Wills
Cal +7.5 5.5% NCAAF POD 74% of the money is on Washington State here. I don’t really understand what they have done to be over a TD favorite on the road. It’s definitely recency bias here as Washington State nearly upset Oregon before their bye, but they have always played well against Oregon. Cal is obviously a top 50 defense, and Washington State is 0-3 vs. TOP 50 defensNov 09, 2019 Freddy Wills
Wisconsin -2.5 / Texas -1 4.4% Teaser of the Week Wisconsin now @ 8.5 - 6 point tease to -2.5 Wisconsin getting just 33% of the tickets as the public all over the big dog with a low total. I disagree here. Iowa is Iowa whether it is off a bye or not, they are going to be the same team. Try to out play the opponent in the trenches don’t make mistakes, and rely on theirNov 09, 2019 Freddy Wills
Alabama -6 4.4% play / Tua to win Heisman +375 2% play I wanted to get this bet out there before the line moves too much. We are already seeing sharp action on Alabama and I completely agree with it. LSU nearly lost two games at home to Auburn and Florida or at least they both were in that game. Florida has a TD lead in the third quarter in that game while Auburn played toe to toe.&nNov 09, 2019 Freddy Wills
Virginia Tech +2 2.2% play 72% of the tickets coming in on Wake Forest as they just continue to win games so this is a perfect opportunity to sell high on this team. I think these two teams are pretty even across the board. Wake has benefitted by playing all but two games at home, and have been fortunate with TO’s so there has been some luck involved for sure. Virginia Tech has to beNov 09, 2019 Freddy Wills
TCU +3 2.2% PLAY 79% of tickets are on Baylor right now, and this is a classic sell high situation we are in. Baylor also has Oklahoma on deck, and they have all the pressure in the world on them right now as an undefeated team with talks of next week’s game. This is a big in state rival game, and one that Baylor can not look past. It seems unusual that an undefeated team wouldNov 09, 2019 Freddy Wills
Tua to win the Heisman 1% play @ +375 https://freddywills.com/pick/7277/lsu-vs-alabama-4-4-play-bonus-guaranteed-or-back-4-4-play.htmlNov 09, 2019 Freddy Wills
Louisville +7 3.3% play - A few +7's have hit in the last hour, and I don't think they'll last. I still like this at +6 or better. Miami has to be full of themselves right now, and this is a sell high situation after they come off two huge road wins, but they have not done well following the Florida State game. Just 1-5 ATS the last 6 years, with an average margin of loss of 13.6 points ATSNov 05, 2019 Freddy Wills
Western Michigan -6.5 2.2% play Ball State's offense leans on the run, but they are averaging 2.4 ypc less on the road. They have run the ball well in their last two games at home against Toledo and Ohio, but those two teams rank 123rd and 124th in stopping the run. Western Michigan is not great but they rank 92nd against a very challenging opponent schedule an average 62nd rushing yNov 03, 2019 Freddy Wills
Ravens +3 +100 5.5% NFL PODNov 03, 2019 Freddy Wills
Bucaneers +5 2.2% playNov 03, 2019 Freddy Wills
Chargers +4 3.3% playNov 03, 2019 Freddy Wills
Chiefs /Vikings Over 46 2.2% playNov 03, 2019 Freddy Wills
Bears +5.5 2.2% play
