Dec 29, 2020 Freddy Wills
Miami +1 3.3% play A couple things that I feel is actually giving us value in the number with Miami here. You have the story line of Mike Gundy going 9-5 straight up and ATS in bowl games, while you have Miami 1-9 SU and ATS in their last 10 bowl games. I believe that shades the number in favor of Miami. Add in the way these two teams finished the season as Oklahoma State, whoDec 27, 2020 Freddy Wills
Packers -165 4% NFL playDec 27, 2020 Freddy Wills
Rams +1 5.5% NFL PODDec 27, 2020 Freddy Wills
Broncos +140 2.5% playDec 27, 2020 Freddy Wills
Panthers -1 3.3% playDec 27, 2020 Freddy Wills
Jets/Browns Over 47 3.3% playDec 27, 2020 Freddy Wills
Texans -7 2.2% playDec 27, 2020 Freddy Wills
Steelers -125 3.5% playDec 26, 2020 Freddy Wills
Raiders +3 3.3% playDec 26, 2020 Freddy Wills
Lafayette / UTSA Under 56.5 3.3% play We have everything we want in an under as we have 2 teams that are primarily run first teams. ULL runs the ball 56.55% of the time while UTSA runs it at 54.74% of the time. Both teams do not turn the ball over ranking 13th and 14th in TO margin and they both play excellent special teams ranking 29th and 20th respectfully. Both teams want toDec 26, 2020 Freddy Wills
Lions +10 1.1% Free PlayDec 25, 2020 Freddy Wills
Saints -0.5 / Bears -1.5 4.4% NFL Teaser of the WeekDec 25, 2020 Freddy Wills
Marshall +4.5 3.3% play This handicap is pretty similar to the handicap in the MAC Title game against Ball State, where Ball State beat Buffalo as a 14 point dog. Here we have a Marshall team that is very good against the run, and has a balanced enough offense. Honestly, I think they should be favored, but they are down their star RB, and two good offensive lineman, but I think MarshaDec 23, 2020 Freddy Wills
LA Tech +210 1% playDec 23, 2020 Freddy Wills
LA Tech +7 2.2 % PLAY Tech’s statistical profile is not pretty, but when you factor in that they had UAB, conference champions, BYU, a top 15 team, Marshall, and TCU on their schedule it’s not as bad as it seems those are 4 top 25 defenses. Tech’s average opponent YPP differentiation was +0.55, compared to Georgia Southern’s -0.36. To put it in perspective theDec 22, 2020 Freddy Wills
UCF +7 -125 buy 1/2 point I have questions down the stretch for this BYU team, we backed Coastal in that road game, and this is a similar game against a similar opponent in UCF. Central Florida played two defeneses that have better #’s and they still put up 26 and 33 points against the Tulsa Defense and the Cinci defense. BYU has to travel to Florida here while UCF stays home.&nDec 22, 2020 Freddy Wills
Tulane -1 2.2% play. Tulane is missing some defensive players along their defensive line, and some coordinators, but that is reflected in the number, and generally speaking those things are overrated. I think Willie Fritz is the better coach here, and I love that I have the team with the better special teams, and TO margin by a wide margin. These two teams play conflicting styles, and theDec 20, 2020 Freddy Wills
Saints +3 3.3% playDec 20, 2020 Freddy Wills
Jets +17.5 1.1% Free PlayDec 20, 2020 Freddy Wills
Eagles +7 -121 buy 1/2 5.5% NFL PODDec 20, 2020 Freddy Wills
Texans +7.5 3.3% playDec 20, 2020 Freddy Wills
Patriots +7.5 / Bears +8.5 3.3% playDec 20, 2020 Freddy Wills
Redskins +6.5 2.2% playDec 19, 2020 Freddy Wills
Florida +16 2.2% play I think Florida can stay within this number as we are getting a few extra points after Florida’s loss last week. Alabama’s uptick defense in my opinion is a bit overrated when you look at their schedule since the Georgia game, which was the last time this defense faced a top 60 unit. They gave up 24 points to Georgia in the first half who moved the ball extremelyDec 19, 2020 Freddy Wills
Tulsa/Cinci Under 45.5 2.2% play Both offensive numbers are inflated and even with a low total I like the under. Since their top defense faced was in game 1, Cincinatti has rolled. They managed only 24 points against Army, and Tulsa’s defense is a bit stronger in the numbers. Since that game Cinci has luckily faced a defense that on average ranks 87th in ypp defense, ypc d
