Sep 26, 2021
Freddy Wills
Lions +7.5 1.1% Free Play ...
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Sep 25, 2021
Freddy Wills
New Mexico -1 5.5% NCAF POD
I think the wrong team is favored here and New Mexico may go off as a favorite. They are 0-3 ATS, and that automatically gives us value, but they are a team that just got shutout by Texas A&M and now face a UTEP team off a bye. Both teams played New Mexico State, and while on paper it looks like UTEP is the better team, New Mexico played a more complete...
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Sep 25, 2021
Freddy Wills
FAU/AirForce Over 54 2.2% play ...
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Sep 25, 2021
Freddy Wills
Nebraska +5 3.3% PLAY
Michigan State just 4-16-1 ATS in their last 21 home games, and they host Nebraska at night who is desparate for a big time win. Nebraska has played extremely well since losing to Illinois to start the season and was in that game against Oklahoma last week on the road. I like that Nebraska got to play on the road in a hostile environment and use that to their adv...
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Sep 25, 2021
Freddy Wills
Stanford/UCLA O58.5 1.1% play
Stanford is without 3 RB’s, and I think they’ll be forced to look to pass at least on first down, and I think that’s the way attack UCLA, who has been stout against the run this year ranking 8th in EPA/run defense, Stanford seemed to have found something with Tanner McKee at QB as he has passed for 570 yards 5TD and 0INT’s. On the ...
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Sep 25, 2021
Freddy Wills
UTSA +135 3% PLAY
I gave out Memphis +140 last week, and while it turned out a winner, I am not naïve to think that was not complete luck. Memphis got outgained by 222 yards, and relied on a 49 yard fumble return, and a 94 yard punt return TD that was very controversial and they still nearly lost this game. UTSA on the other hand sits at 3-0, and they just beat MTSU 27-13, but th...
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Sep 25, 2021
Freddy Wills
Kent State +14.5 3.3% play
I almost go to the window with Kent State last week, but wanted a +24, that never came. They lost at Iowa 30-7, but it was 16-7 at the half, and Kent State had a 1st and goal in the 3rd quarter to cust the game to 16-14 and they fumbled. They were also down 10-3 in week 1 at Texas A&M, so playing on the road against Maryland is not going to phase this te...
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Sep 25, 2021
Freddy Wills
Wash St / Utah Under 54.5 2.2% play
utah’s defense holds sd st to 248 yards but give up 33pts
utah’s offense has struggled, and their defense has been dominant, but the last two games they hav eplaye dthey have given up 26 and 33 points. now they lose their qb charlie brewer who simply leaves the team and quits. nobody likes a quitter. utah had 14 drives, an...
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Sep 25, 2021
Freddy Wills
Wisconsin -6.5 3.3% play
We have the #12 team against the #18 team, and the #18 team is 6.5 point favorite on a neutral field (Soldier Field). We have just 30% of the tickets on Wisconsin but the money is about even, and the line which opened up at 5.5 is out to 6.5.
Notre Dame has not played well this season despite their 3-0 record. I have major questions on the offensive line, as they h...
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Sep 25, 2021
Freddy Wills
Missouri -115 2.5% play
My formulas love Missouri, but the public is loving Boston College, which makes a good marriage here for a pick on MIssouri. Also worht noting, Boston College with their backup QB last week defeated a poor Temple team 28-3, but a deeper look at that game reveals that Temple actually had a 245-221 yard edge. Temple was stopped on downs three times in the game i...
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Sep 24, 2021
Freddy Wills
Syracuse +7 3.3% play
Syracuse was a 19.5 point favorite on the road against Liberty to open the 2019 season, and won 24-0, and are now a 6.5 point home dog. That’s a 30+ point adjustment in under 2 years. I just think its far too much I don’t care how Syracuse has played and how great Liberty has played. Last year Liberty came here and did not have any ...
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Sep 23, 2021
Freddy Wills
App State -7 2.2% play
Boht of these teams have a common opponent in East Carolina and both teams handled them similarly and struggle din the 4th quarter. Marshall completely fell apart and lost by 4 blowing a 17 point lead, while App State won by 14. Marshall had 3 key turnovers in the game, and I just don't trust this team on a short week to go into App State, a very difficult place...
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Sep 22, 2021
Freddy Wills
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Sep 22, 2021
Freddy Wills
2021 NFL Week 2 Injury Report
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Week 2 of the NFL season wreaked havoc on a number of teams, leaving five with injured starting quarterbacks, one with zero healthy running backs and dealing a season-ending injury to a Pro Bowler who hasn’t been hurt in a decade.
It’s still early in the season, but as teams jockey for position in the standings, t...
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Sep 19, 2021
Freddy Wills
Chargers -3 1.1% Free Pick...
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Sep 19, 2021
Freddy Wills
Vikings+3.5 5.5% NFL POD ...
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Sep 19, 2021
Freddy Wills
Panthers +3.5 3.3% play ...
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Sep 19, 2021
Freddy Wills
Colts +3.5 3.3% play ...
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Sep 19, 2021
Freddy Wills
Bears -1.5 2.2% play ...
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Sep 19, 2021
Freddy Wills
Eagles +3 2.2% play ...
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Sep 18, 2021
Freddy Wills
Oklahoma St +3.5 5.5% NCAAF POD
We have a 0-2 ATS team facing a phony 2-0 ATS Boise State team. I have not been impressed with Boise State thus far who really should not have covered either game. Against UCF they were outgained by 290 yards and lost by 5 points and covered the spread thanks to a 14 point swing as they had a 100 yard pick six. Against UTEP they enjoyed a +5 TO ma...
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Sep 18, 2021
Freddy Wills
Auburn / Penn State Under 53 2.2% play
This is probably the best game of the day, and I expect it to be a low scoring battle. First of all we have Mike Bobo as the OC for Auburn, which is likely not an improvement, and you have Bo Nix who has struggled in road games and against top defenses, and he lost some talent at WR to the NFL. Auburn’s best offense in this game is Ta...
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Sep 18, 2021
Freddy Wills
Washington -16.5 2.2% play
Washington+7 was a premium play for me and unfortunately the early play calling was just very bad for Washington as they continually were predictable. They still were only outgained by 44 yards in this game, but they did not let their QB D. Morris throw until late in the second half. There were moments where I thought we might tget the back door push. ...
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Sep 18, 2021
Freddy Wills
Memphis +140 3 %ML Play
Miss State had a big win over NC State last week, and we gave that winner out as a premium play. That was a great game for Miss State as the defense had the advantage of playing at home at night with all the crowd noise hyped for an ACC team getting some hype coming into their building. This time Miss State goes on the road to face Memphis who gave up 50 points...
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Sep 18, 2021
Freddy Wills
Purdue +7.5 2.2% play
The biggest red flag for Notre Dame is their struggles on the offensive line, and struggles to run the ball, which has bee a strength for this team. They are averaging just 2.7 ypc, and have allowed 10 sacks. Purdue has really shined this season in stopping the run, and their best defensive player Kalarflis could be a difference maker in this game as Purdue is pl...
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