Nov 24, 2019 Freddy Wills
Tampa +165 2.5% playNov 23, 2019 Freddy Wills
San Diego State +3 -115 4% play I wanted to take the money line here, but at +120, the +3 offers much more value. The weather is calling for 17mph sustained winds and 30+mph gusts, which clearly favors San Diego State who runs the ball more and has the better defense. This game is similar to my handicap last week with San Diego State against Fresno, and this game is much more meaningful wiNov 23, 2019 Freddy Wills
Duke +7 -115 3% Fade The World Just 20% of the $$ and 28% of the tickets are on Duke here. Listen if they continue to turn the ball over then yeah they could get run out of the building again, but I have a few reasons to believe they won’t do that. This line is definitely inflated given the state of Wake Forest right now. I really don’t see much separaNov 23, 2019 Freddy Wills
Syracuse +9.5 3.3% play We gave out Syracuse on the spread and money line last week and they made us look great. I am going back to the well here, as Dino Babers has his team playing with confidence, and needing to win to stay in contention of getting into a bowl game. Syracuse fired their defensive coordinator after the BC game heading into the bye. Dino knew his defense was talentNov 23, 2019 Freddy Wills
UCLA +14 1.1% Free Pick USC dominated Cal last week, while UCLA ran into Utah and lost 45-3, basically eliminating all the momentum UCLA had in their 3 game winning streak, but that sets us up for value this week. UCLA was -4 TO margin in that game, and we hope they got that out of their system. Both of these teams have had turnover issues, USC has had 12 TO’s in 5 home games, while UNov 23, 2019 Freddy Wills
Indiana +10 2.2% play Indiana had a 73% postgame win expectancy on the road against Penn State. So many things went against them in that game, but they fought and stayed in the game, and at times looked like the better team. Indiana has played Michigan tough the last 4 games, and this is an ultimate sandwich spot for Michigan after Michigan State and Ohio State. We heard severalNov 23, 2019 Freddy Wills
Texas +6 2.2% play Texas has faced a tougher schedule, and are still alive to get to the Big 12 Championship. They need Baylor to lose out and for Iowa State to trip up once. It’s highly unlikely with Baylor facing Kansas next week, but Baylor has played in a lot of tight games this season. Here they face a Texas team they nearly beat last year, which should have Texas attNov 23, 2019 Freddy Wills
Texas A&M +13 3.3% play The total has come down a ton in this game due to the weather as we are expecting some heavy rain, but not a lot of wind. We have already seen how Georgia plays overall, with their conservative style, and it gets even more conservative when weather conditions are not great. Both teams are going to need to rely on the running game more here, and I feelNov 23, 2019 Freddy Wills
Georgia Southern +7.5 / California +7.5 3.3% Teaser of the week Georgia Southern has had a challenging schedule having to face LSU, Minnesota, and App State, all three of which are balanced offense ranked top 50 in passing and rushing. Their opponent this week is a one dimensional offense ranked 27th passing the ball, but 92nd in running. Georgia Southern has beaten teams like thisNov 23, 2019 Freddy Wills
UCF -6 3.3% PLAY Fading the public dog is one of my favorite situations to take the favorite, and that is what we have here. There are a few others I like on the board, Navy -3.5 over SMU, but SMU has the extra week to prepare for the option, but SMU getting 66% of the tickets in that game. Kansas State at +2.5 also getting 69% of the tickets and 65% of the money over Texas Tech, andNov 21, 2019 Freddy Wills
Colts +3.5 2.2% play Waiting on injury news, but I like the Colts tonight. Will Fuller for the Texans ?, so is T.Y. Hilton and Eric Ebron. I expect all to play as this is a very big game. Short week favors the better coach, and there is no question Frank Reich is the better coach. However, I may need to hedge out at some point if the injury news differs.Nov 21, 2019 Freddy Wills
NC State -112 3% play NC State is the only one that cares about winning this game. We saw Georgia Tech fall flat on their face last week once they were eliminated for bowl contention. Geoff Collins has this team moving in the right direction, but he's not likely to really care about winning this game and more concerned with getting his team and players more experience. The playeNov 19, 2019 Freddy Wills
RECAP LAST WEEK - 11-3 college football week last week. Unfortunately for many of you my newsletter play was a loser yet again making it 5 straight losers. Small sample, and we are still over 58% career winners. Since it’s been a long losing streak I”m going to be sending out 2 plays this week. I’m confident we will go 2-0. I’m looking forward to this weNov 19, 2019 Freddy Wills
Northern Illinois -4 2.2% play - 25-15 +$18,018 L 40 NCAAF 2% bankroll Northern Illinois still has a shot to earn a trip back to Detroit, and they need 2 wins to get to bowl eligibility while Eastern Michigan needs only 1. Motivation is clearly on the Northern Illinois side here and they have won all of the close match-ups of late against better Eastern MIchigan teams. For instance EasternNov 17, 2019 Freddy Wills
Eagles +10.5 / Rams pk 2.2% playNov 17, 2019 Freddy Wills
Colts -135 5.5% NFL PODNov 17, 2019 Freddy Wills
Texans +4.5 3.3% playNov 17, 2019 Freddy Wills
Redskins -2.5 1.1% Free PlayNov 17, 2019 Freddy Wills
Lions +7.5 -115 2.5% PlayNov 17, 2019 Freddy Wills
Dolphins +7 2.2% playNov 16, 2019 Freddy Wills
Baylor +10.5 4.4% NCAAF POD Oklahoma has a fantastic offense once again and you have to give Lincoln Riley a lot of credit. Actually everyone already does that for us. He did have to replace another QB, but this time 4 of 5 offensive linemen, and that really hasn’t shown up yet this year, because Oklahoma has not faced a top defense. They faced one team in the top 50 in rushingNov 16, 2019 Freddy Wills
Ole Miss +21.5 2.2% play 37% of the tickets on Ole Miss here. LSU has all of the pressure, and there is no incentive to run it up against Ole Miss other than the fact that Ed Orgeron used to coach here, and got fired, and he’s wanted to run it up in the past, but I think he needs to be smarter than that. Ole Miss has a very good pass rush, that ranks 30th in sack % at homeNov 16, 2019 Freddy Wills
Syracuse +10.5 2% Play / Syracuse +340 0.5% bonus Buy low game of the week here with Syracuse who is 0-5 ATS over their last 5 games, but they come off a bye week, and according to HC Dino Babers who fired his DC over the bye week they have had energetic practices and the team still believes they can run the table and get to a bowl game. This team does have good defensive personal so I thinNov 16, 2019 Freddy Wills
Iowa -145 3% play 61% of the money and tickets on Minnesota here as we have the #7 team in the country a dog on the road to the #23 team. I know I mentioned leaning toward Minnesota on the podcast, but this just sets things up for them to have a poor performance. When I look at how they have done in Big Ten play on the road they were 1-8 the last two years on the road. This yearNov 16, 2019 Freddy Wills
Syracuse +340 0.5% play
