Dec 19, 2020 Freddy Wills
San Jose State +7 3.3% play I was waiting for another 7 to pop on this game as San Jose State goes back to play in Nevada for the second week in a row. I think the total could be a little suppressed here with Boise State putting up just 17 points last week in a snow storm with the MW Championship game on deck, but the total has gone up by 4+ points already so we can’t play the over like weDec 19, 2020 Freddy Wills
Clemson -10 3.3% play 73% of the money on the public dog here in Notre Dame who won outright as a 5.5 point dog last time out and are now getting 10.5 points. Clemson had a true freshman at QB making his first road start and although I don't know that Trevor Lawrence would have played better, DJ Uiagalelei 29-44, 439 yards, 2TD's and 0INT. I think the running game, and Lawrence beingDec 19, 2020 Freddy Wills
Army +8.5 /Miss State +7.5 3.3% Teaser Army - I’m teasing Army, and this one is pretty self explanatory as it is the lowest total on the board at 38.5, and these two teams know the style of offense. This game is at Army, and for the Commander In Chief trophy after both teams beat Navy. Both of these defenses have been playing great football and held Navy in check, and I expect aDec 19, 2020 Freddy Wills
Iowa State +6 3.3% play The idea that Oklahoma’s defense has completely turned the corner is a bit of a myth in my opinion. They have been tremendous since the Texas game, and have improved their season rankings, but lets take a look at their last 5 opponents who rank on average 90th, in YPP off, rushing ypc, QB rating, success rating combined. Iowa State ranks 19th in those categorieDec 19, 2020 Freddy Wills
Northwestern +18.5 1.1% Free Pick Indiana is probably the closest comparable opponent for Ohio State. Northwestern has the better defense, and believe it or not Northwestern’s passing offense is a bit better from an EPA perspective than Indiana. I don’t believe Northwestern has the athletes that Indiana has, but it’s worth noting as a former Indiana QB Ramsey will try to uDec 18, 2020 Freddy Wills
Oregon +3 3.3% play Oregon probably does not deserve to be here, but with Washington having to cancel due to Covid they find themselves in the PAC 12 Championship. Due they relish the opportunity to upset USC, who has a shot at the college football playoff? I think USC is an over rated team, and we are getting the team with the better numbers catching points. The biggest thing tDec 18, 2020 Freddy Wills
Ball State +14 -120 buy ½ point 4.5 % NCAAF POD Buffalo leads the nation in scoring, and are getting a lot of hype, but a closer looks reveals they have faced some really bad defenses. ON average they have faced a YPP defense ranking 108.8, 97.8 in ypc defense, and 99 in QB rating defense. Ball State’s strength is stopping the run they rank 42nd in ypc defense, and 28th iDec 18, 2020 Freddy Wills
UAB/Marshall Under 44 2.2% play Low total here already, but I don’t think it is low enough. This is a Championship game, cold weather 33 degrees, and two top defenses that have been good stopping the run, and stopping the pass, we also have two slightly overrated offenses in my opinion, and both defenses have been excellent in the red zone and both among the slowest playing teDec 17, 2020 Freddy Wills
Chargers +3.5 2.2% playDec 14, 2020 Freddy Wills
Browns +3.5 -115 3.5% playDec 13, 2020 Freddy Wills
Steelers/Bills O49 3.3% playDec 13, 2020 Freddy Wills
Bills -130 4% playDec 13, 2020 Freddy Wills
Texans/Bears O46 3.3% playDec 13, 2020 Freddy Wills
Bears +8 / Titans -1.5 3.3% Teaser PlayDec 13, 2020 Freddy Wills
Chargers -1 1.1% Free PlayDec 13, 2020 Freddy Wills
Dolphins +7.5 -1.20 buy 1/2 - +100 or -105 in many places currently.Dec 13, 2020 Freddy Wills
Raiders +3 2.2% playDec 12, 2020 Freddy Wills
USC -165 3.5% PLAY I missed the -2.5 yesterday, but still feel confident in USC, but I feel the money line offers mor evalue at this point. UCLA is a nice story as it appears Chip Kelly is finally turning the team around, but really I’m not sure what beating Cal, Arizona and Arizona State means in this shortened season. They have faced just one top 80 passing team, which was OreDec 12, 2020 Freddy Wills
Your sportsbook should offer the opportunity to fill the open spot of the teaser sinc ethe Wash State game was canceled. - fill in Wyoming +14.5 for the second leg of the teaserDec 12, 2020 Freddy Wills
Memphis +4.5 2.2% play Only 25% of the money on Memphis after their 35-21 loss at Tulane last week, but this Memphis team is 7-3, with all their losses coming on the road, and they return home here. Houston is a team that has not played since November 14th, and they rank 117th in TO margin, so I’m not sure how anyone could back them as a road favorite. Houston also ranks 89th inDec 12, 2020 Freddy Wills
Wash State postponed, we filled in Wyomning +14.5 in its place and the play was re-released. Wash State +8 / Iowa +8.5 3.3% Teaser Cal off a huge upset last week, but they had a post game win expectancy of 6% and dropped in many ratings. Cal is just not a team that is going to win with margin, so getting Washington State here with value as a home dog, in cold weather is a bonus as I thinkDec 12, 2020 Freddy Wills
Miami -3 2.2% play This is a revenge game for Miami after last year’s shocking loss as they led by 5 late as Freshman Sam Howell converted on a 4th and 17. This time Miami is home, and will have 13,000 fans that are allowed into the Stadium to support them. HC Manny Diaz, said, “It was a loss that left a bad taste in our mouth.” JR. TE Brevin Jordan, ThatDec 12, 2020 Freddy Wills
Navy +7 2.2% play This game is always one of my favorites of the season, especially, because it’s a stand alone game with two triple option teams battling it out, before the Heisman Trophy ceremony, but this year is a little different with many games on the schedule, and the game being at Army instead of Philadelphia is a bit weird, but the good news is the Cadets and Midshipmen can be atDec 12, 2020 Freddy Wills
Nebraska -10.5 1.1% Free Play *55-38 59.1% Winners L93 Free NCAAF Picks * I’m obviously higher on Nebraska than most people as we have backed them 3 times on the spread, and once in a teaser and have gone 3-1. The one loss should have been a win, and this team is better than their record indicates. 79% of the money is on Minnesota here, and I don’t get that, because thisDec 12, 2020 Freddy Wills
Arkansas +32 3.3% play Alabama getting 71% of the tickets 91% of the money as of Thursday going up against Arkansas a team that is much improved despite another losing record. They lost 3 games in the final seconds, and they actually have a positive YPP differential vs. a positive opponent YPP differential, which is rare for a losing team. I also like the fact that they take care of
