Dec 31, 2018 Freddy Wills
Texas A&M -7 -115 3.5% play These two teams are heading in opposite directions right now. A&M is trending, and they will face an NC State with their best skill player on offense in Harmon WR, and LB in Pratt sitting out along with their OC who will be there, but took the App State job. A&M's weakness is pass defense, and finishing games, and that's what they focused on in bowlDec 31, 2018 Freddy Wills
Missouri -9 1.1% Free Play This is the worst Oklahoma State defense in over a decade and they are going up against a balanced offenses which is something they have only experienced once this year, and they gave up 48 points to Oklahoma. If Mike Gundy was not on the other sideline this would be a larger play, but I totally respect what Gundy has done here, and he is 8-4 in bowl games.&nbDec 31, 2018 Freddy Wills
Michigan State +1.5 5.5% PODIt has been a rough go of it with these max plays, and we got very unlikely in my opinion and should have covered with Alabama -14, and Iowa State +125, Iowa State covered on the spread not the ML. Here we are again, and I am going to back the team with the better defense. There is value on Michigan State in my opinion. The discussion will be how bad thDec 31, 2018 Freddy Wills
Virginia Tech +7 3.3% play This one just touched 7, and I have to grab it. There are a few things I like about this match-up including the fact that the ACC has actually done poorly against P5 conferences, but have dominated the group of 5 going 18-4 +15.7 ppg, and 12-9-2 ATS, + 2-0 ATS with 2 outright upsets as a dog in the bowl games with Wake Forest & Duke coming up with upsets aDec 30, 2018 Freddy Wills
Colts/Titans Under 44 2.2% playDec 30, 2018 Freddy Wills
Bengals +14 1.1% Free playDec 30, 2018 Freddy Wills
Redskins +6.5 2.2% playDec 30, 2018 Freddy Wills
Cowboys +260 3% playDec 30, 2018 Freddy Wills
Vikings -6 2.2% playDec 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
Alabama -14 5.5% NCAAF POD Alabama with extra preparation under Nick Saban has been a very profitable ATS situation. I think Alabama's defense really plays a great game here and give Oklahoma and Kyler Murray issues all day. I think there is something to be said about Oklahoma getting the Heisman Trophy award to Kyler Murray over Tua, and Oklahoma getting the Joe Moore award for the best offDec 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
Notre Dame +11.5 3.3% play These are two similar teams with similar strength of schedules that are not great SOS's. Their opponent YPP differential are both -.225 & -.26. Notre Dame in my opinion had the slightly tougher schedule with their travel situation which featured 2 west coast trips, and having Michigan to start the year. The ACC, the conference that Clemson plays in was downDec 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
Arkansas State +1 3.3% play Arkansas State has been very goo din non conference games, and I trust them more in a spot they are familiar with as Nevada has not been to a bowl since 2013. Nevada plays in the better conference, I'll admit, but it's very much front loaded with teams like Utah State, Fresno State, and Boise. After those 3 teams it goes down hill fast in my opinion. ArDec 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
Florida +210 1% bonus playDec 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
Florida +6 3.3% play & ML at +210 for 1% play Florida has all of the motivation here, and it's evident by their NFL prospects playing in this game and not sitting out while Michigan has 4 key guys starting out. Starting Tackle, RB Higdon, and their two best defensive players in Gary & Bush. Michigan also has no motivation to beat Florida as they have beaten them the last tDec 29, 2018 Freddy Wills
South Carolina -3.5 1.1% Free Pick I don't agree with this line move at all. I know there are guys sitting out for South Carolina, but I still think this is a team from a far superior conference. This season the ACC went 4-8 in the regular season vs. other power 5 conferences which includes 3-8-1 ATS and -5.38 points per game. Add in the bowl season and that number balloons to 3-11-1 ATSDec 28, 2018 Freddy Wills
Purdue +3.5 2.2% playIt's very obvious that Purdue will be the team with more motivation. Their fanbase and alumn have gobbled up most of the tickets for this game, and with the news of Jeff Brohm remaining at Purdue, instead of going back to Louisville there is a lot to be excited about. This is an emotional team that has come up big in big moments. This is a chance to finish thDec 28, 2018 Freddy Wills
Iowa State +125 5.5% PODIowa State has played 4 similar offenses this year and have covered each of the 4 against Oklahoma, West Virginia, Texas Tech, and Oklahoma State. Some would say they are built to beat this type of offense, and I would agree. They are well coached by Matt Campbell, and are from the much stronger conference. The PAC 12 went 3-4 -12.4 points per game vDec 27, 2018 Freddy Wills
Miami -2.5 2.2% Play Both of these teams were in the pre-season Top 10 and have had disappointing seasons. Miami played Wisconsin in Miami in their bowl game last year and blew a 10 point lead. I think they want revenge, and Wisconsin doesn't have a QB to bring them back from that type of a deficit. Wisconsin also a shell of themselves on defense this year, and the offense tDec 27, 2018 Freddy Wills
Duke +3.5 -105 4.5% NCAAF PODThere is a lot to unpack in this game, but I am going to start with bettin value. Duke lost it's last two games by a combined score of 94-13. They lost their last game by 30+ and Temple won their last game by 30+, Value on Duke here, who was really unhealthy down the stretch, and I think Daniel Jones their NFL caliber QB was hurt all season long, and the exDec 26, 2018 Freddy Wills
TCU +105 4% NCAAF PODI think the Big 12 a much better conference this year than the PAC 12, as the Big 12 went 14-6 and 11-8-1 ATS vs. non-conference opponents compared to the Pac 12 which went 11-9, and 9-11-1 ATS. Against P5 opponents they were -12.4 points per game, and the Big 12 was +2.98. Gary Patterson, TCU's head coach 9-7 in bowl games, and has never lost to the PAC 12 with aDec 26, 2018 Freddy Wills
Minnesota / GA Tech Over 57 3.3% Play Two poor defenses are meeting in this game, in a dome in Detroit, the day after Christmas, and I see advantage to the offenses. First of all Georgia Tech one of the better offenses in the country as they rank 5th in success rate, and Minnesota, playing younger guys down the stretch clearly got better and have two receivers that will give Georgia TecDec 26, 2018 Freddy Wills
BC/Boise Under 51 2.2% play Two teams that want to establish the run first, and control the game are going up against each other in a rainy / windy environment with 15+mph winds. I like the under here despite the drop, as Boise has averaged just 21.4 points per game vs. similar defensive opponents. I see them scoring 17-24 points while that would put BC at 14-21 points giving us 6Dec 26, 2018 Freddy Wills
Boston College +120 3% ML Dog play Some of Boston College's offensive #'s are a bit off, because of the injuries they sustained with their QB Anthony Brown, and star RB AJ Dillon. Two things I Looked at in this game, were health, and what AJ Dillon did against good run defenses. BC is as healthy as they have been all season, while Boise State is missing players on both sides, no significantDec 24, 2018 Freddy Wills
Broncos / Raiders O43 3.3% playDec 23, 2018 Freddy Wills
Seahawks +115 2.5 % DOG play
