Sep 04, 2021
Freddy Wills
Texas Tech +120 2% play
I don’t see what’s to like about Houston, but we have 70% of the money coming in on them and the line has moved in the last day or two from -2 to +2.5 Texas Tech. I still think Matt Wells is a good coach, and this defense will surprise some people this year with 11 of their top 13 tacklers back. They also ranked 59th in YPP allowed and were 39th in...
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Sep 04, 2021
Freddy Wills
Stanford +3.5 1.1% Free Play
This line opened -2 and moved to +3.5 for Stanford, in a game with two similar style teams in a neutral enviornment (Cowboys Stadium). I can't pass up this line value, and other than the early game start for Stanford, and they lost some WR's, which is not hteir main game plan anyway, I just don't understand the line.
Both want to establish the running game firs...
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Sep 04, 2021
Freddy Wills
Indiana vs. Iowa Betting Preview
My systems want me to back and play on Indiana, but my heart tells me Iowa, but with the line move to +4 it makes it very difficult so I am likely passing here. Iowa since 2015 as a favorite of less than 6 points is 15-1 SU, but they lose 6 starters including two All-American’s on the OL/DL, and their starting Guard Kyler Schott is sidelined. The...
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Sep 04, 2021
Freddy Wills
Wisconsin vs. Penn State Preview
The initial value here would be on Penn State who had a down and unlucky year opening 0-5, and finishing 4-5 outgaining Big 10 opponents by over 100 yards per game, but a deeper dive and I have some serious questions about Penn State that does not allow me to back them here. Penn State ranked outside the top 50 in rushing success rate allowed last year, and ...
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Sep 03, 2021
Freddy Wills
Northwestern -152 3% play
The ML offers more value than -3.5 or -3 -120.
Both Northwestern and Michigan State have a lot of unanswered questions going into the season. Michigan State lost 26 players in the transfer portal and brought 20 guys in that are supposedly better. To me that is a lot more instability and unknowns, and I just don’t understand how this line has m...
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Sep 03, 2021
Freddy Wills
Duke -6.5 3.3% play
Duke just dominated non-conference foes as they are 31-12 ATS over the past 10 season, and they are 28-4 in their last 32 vs. teams outside the Power 5 with a margin of victory of 23ppg, and 8-1 ATS in openers. This is also an in state game that this team has had all off-season to prepare for.
Duke dominated this game last year and we are still getting a fair pr...
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Sep 02, 2021
Freddy Wills
Boise State +7 -125 2.5% play
Boise vs UCF is one of the better G5 matchups, and now that this is climbing to +7 I feel good about Boise. The noise here is can Boise contend with the heat, humidity, and a near full crowd. Boise has been preparing with noise machines, and playing indoors rising the humidity with water on the field. This is also nothing new for them traveling and...
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Aug 28, 2021
Freddy Wills
New Mexico State +10 1.1% Free Play
UTEP has been a road favorite just 3 times in the last 10 years. All you are going to hear is that New Mexico State hasn’t played in 18 months, but they did play two games against FCS opponents in the spring. I’m not buying that New Mexico State is down this much and this is known as the I-10 rivalry game. New Mexico St has to fee...
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Aug 28, 2021
Freddy Wills
Nebraska -6.5 -113 3% play
Nebraska -6.5 -113 3% play
The narrative is to fade Nebraska, because Scott Frost is under investigation for NCAA violations, and this team has been a dumpster fire since he came here. They are on a road facing an Illinois team that returns 18 starters and beat Nebraska last year pretty badly on the road, but this Nebraska team has revenge on their mind and all ...
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Aug 27, 2021
Freddy Wills
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Aug 27, 2021
Freddy Wills
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Aug 17, 2021
Freddy Wills
I looked at Fading Power 5 College Football Steam from 2015-2020 during Weeks 1 & 2, and the takeaway was to fade line moves of 2-3.5 points, in games involving the Power 5 those resulted in a 69-44 ATS mark,w hich is good for 61% ATS.
This time we are looking at the Group of 5 since 2015, and we have great results to share as if you blindly fade line moves of 2-3.5 points where the lin...
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Aug 15, 2021
Freddy Wills
The 2020 season brought new challenges to handicapping college football odds. With the uncertainty of players opting out, or being forced out due to COVID-19 or just being near someone who had COVID-19. It made logitcal sense to me that you may not want to follow and back steam moves early in the season where there is a lot of uncertainty. In 2020 If you faded steam mo...
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Aug 12, 2021
Freddy Wills
Get your sports pick alerts immedietly via text after Freddy releases plays! Find out more about Freddy, and learn about his integrity and full transparency when it comes to the release of picks.
Leverage Freddy Wills track record of winning success with 9 of 12 winning seasons of football picks. A yearly average return on investment of 29.38% which has out performed the stock...
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Aug 12, 2021
Freddy Wills
Time is running out to take advantage of our Early Bird offer for the $500,000 NFL MegaContest.
Receive a free entry into our $200,000 Winner-Take-All Survivor Contest ($30 value) when you purchase 5 total entries to the NFL MegaContest f...
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Aug 10, 2021
Freddy Wills
Grab my season pass on the home page of freddywills.com. I have 9 of 12 winning seasons in iwith my football picks, and had a 55% return on investment last year with over 290 picks given out to clients. Need a sportsbook this season? Take advantage of bonuses from Betonline, the sportsbook I use. They are currently offering a 100% crypto bonus.
2021 Power 5 Coaching Change...
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Aug 09, 2021
Freddy Wills
Looking for your own handicapping website?
We can build you your very own handicapping website for just $100 - Depending on customization, but most people will charge you thousands we build it for you for only $100. You don't have to worry about content or anything you have access to sell, promote, and market over 100 handicappers who are winning every day. There is plenty of inv...
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Aug 09, 2021
Freddy Wills
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Aug 05, 2021
Freddy Wills
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Aug 05, 2021
Freddy Wills
Here is a look at the top ten college football teams according to pre-season AP poll for the 2020 college football season:
The idea behind this theory is that we will catch betting value fading these teams, because the casual bettor is going to want to back them. The other idea is that the AP poll is not ranking these teams on a betting strength. Vegas will set numbers, an...
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Aug 05, 2021
Freddy Wills
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Why invest with me Freddy Wills? There are obviously thousands of people giving out picks and betting advice. You may also think you can bet on the games, and do better than most of the “so called” experts out there, and I’m sure you probably can, but wouldn’t you rather save all that time and invest with someone who has the passion an...
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Jul 10, 2021
Freddy Wills
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May 14, 2021
Freddy Wills
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Apr 16, 2021
Freddy Wills
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Feb 07, 2021
Freddy Wills
Fournette Over 3.5 receptions -120 1.2% play ...
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