Nov 09, 2018 Freddy Wills
Boise State +130 3% playBoise State should not be an underdog in this spot against Fresno State at home where they haven't been an underdog since 2005 I believe. These two teams know each other well as this will be the 3rd time they are facing each other in less than 12 months. Boise beat Fresno 17-14 in last year's MWC Championship game 1 week after they lost to them at Fresno. There is a lotNov 07, 2018 Freddy Wills
Miami Ohio +4.5 2.2% play Miami has been playing better having just taken two of the best non power 5 teams to the 4th quarter in Army and Buffalo who combine fora 16-3 record. Meanwhile Ohio just got down pounding the crap out of 3 awful teams. Western Michigan the most recent one, who were fighting injuries including losing their starting QB. Ohio who relies on the rNov 04, 2018 Freddy Wills
Seahawks pk 5.5% PODNov 04, 2018 Freddy Wills
Broncos -1 1.1% Free PlayNov 04, 2018 Freddy Wills
Bills +10.5 2.2 %playNov 04, 2018 Freddy Wills
Steelers +110 3% playNov 04, 2018 Freddy Wills
TB Bucs +6.5 3.3% playNov 04, 2018 Freddy Wills
Jets +145 3% PlayNov 03, 2018 Freddy Wills
Alabama -14.5 3.3% playI'm not afraid of this historical point spread here, as this is the largest home dog role for a top 4 team ever, but... Alabama is a historically great team, that I get has not been challenged, but that is great material for Saban to feed his kids for 2 weeks. LSU, is also really not the 3rd best team in the country, and we just be honest about that? LSU ranks 92Nov 03, 2018 Freddy Wills
Florida Atlantic +125 3.5% ML Dog of the Week 7:30pm kickoff FAU is actually playing better on defense of late, and outgained their last two opponents despite losing the games outright. I think they are looking at another game where they will outgain their opponent, and they should take care of business. FAU has serious value now, after winning 9 games last year ATS I mentioned they were a faNov 03, 2018 Freddy Wills
Northwestern +10 3.3% play I still do not know how good Notre Dame is and I am very skeptical. Notre Dame is just 3-14 ATS the last 4 years in the month of November when you have to pay a premium to back them. They are just 3-11 ATS the week after Navy, and this year they have a particularly difficult spot traveling back from San Diego where they played Navy last week. They'll be playing atNov 03, 2018 Freddy Wills
LA Tech +23.5 2.2% play I have actually done quite well backing this team in my career and have done so twice already this year. We took LA Tech +21 at LSU and LA Tech -10.5 winner over UTSA back on 10/13. They are 21-7 ATS as a road dog, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 against the SEC. This is a big sandwich game for Miss State who just beat a good Texas A&M team in mNov 03, 2018 Freddy Wills
LIberty +115 5.5% NCAAF POD 3:30PM Kickoff Umass officially lose their starting QB in Andrew Ford for the season, and Ross Comis who has been decent in his place will have to step up in competition facing Liberty's 59th ranked pass defense, Liberty has plenty of talent in the front 7 as well and Umass has not been good at protecting their QB ranking 96th in sack % allowed which has led to a lotNov 03, 2018 Freddy Wills
Texas -1.5 2.2% Free Pick **37-13 Run on College Free Picks - Including Cal +375 WINNER LAST WEEK! Several reasons for some value here this week with Texas. It almost feels like they are under dogs in their own building against West Virginia. I really don't understand it. I get they were off a bye going to Oklahoma State and they lost by 3, because they started that game miserably. Two facNov 03, 2018 Freddy Wills
Air Force +6.5 3.3% Kickoff at Noon CBS Sports The weather does not look good for two option teams that run the ball 77% of the time it should be no problem with 17mph winds and light rain. Air Force already beat Navy, and a win here gets them the Commander-In-Chief trophy back. Army snapped their 5 game losing streak to Air Force last year with a dominating victory 21-0 on the road as they werNov 03, 2018 Freddy Wills
Texas A&M +3.5 3.3% Noon kickoff on ESPN We are getting an extra point compared to A&M's road game last week at Miss State +2.5, and that was a night game, this one played at noon a less intimidating atmosphere. I don't care of Auburn and Gus Malzahn are off a bye, he is 20-39-2 ATS since 2014, and I think the Aggies simply match-up well against Auburn. Also, Aggies final last week agaNov 03, 2018 Freddy Wills
Maryland/Mich St Under 46 2.2% There will be 16 mph winds in this game with gusts up to 30mph winds. We have two teams that are run first programs. Maryland is actually 3rd in yards per carry, but struggle when they step up in competition against teams that can stop the run, and Michigan State is 4th in the country against the run. The last time they played a good defense inNov 03, 2018 Freddy Wills
Kentucky +8.5 2.2% play This is the best defense that Georgia has played on the road the last two years. Kentucky ranks top 20 in opponent QB rating, sack %, and they are 12th vs. the run. Georgia has played two similar defenses on the road who were top 25 in pass defense with Jake Fromm and they lost both by 22, and 23 points to Auburn & LSU, who are two teams also not known for theirOct 30, 2018 Freddy Wills
Week #9 Misleading Finals South Alabama loses 38-17 to Troy, during the week last week, and we were on this game, but on the wrong side. South Alabama actually had a 20% post game win probability, as they were only -25 yards, +12 % success rate, so where did they go wrong? They were -1 TO margin, and they were 2.83 points per opportunity compared to 6.33 for Troy. South Alabama goes on the roOct 30, 2018 Freddy Wills
Miami Ohio +7 3.3% playMiami Ohio only 2 big losses came at the hands of Cincinnati, a team that is having an excellent season, and that game came in inclement weather, and Minnesota, a team form the BIG TEN with much more talent. The non-conference schedule for Miami Ohio having played Marshall, Minnesota, and Cincinnati is much stronger than Buffalo's schedule against an FCS, Temple who was plOct 28, 2018 Freddy Wills
49ers -1.5 5.5% NFL PODOct 28, 2018 Freddy Wills
Packers +8 3.3% NFL playOct 28, 2018 Freddy Wills
Broncos +10 -1.20 3.5% PlayOct 28, 2018 Freddy Wills
Seahawks +140 2% playOct 28, 2018 Freddy Wills
Jets/Bears Over 42.5 2.2% play
