Nov 17, 2018 Freddy Wills
Virginia +190 2.5% ML Dog of the Week Georgia Tech off a misleading win against MIami at home. They largely benefited from two fumbles in special teams, one on a kickoff, and one on a punt that led to points each time. Special Teams is not a strength of this Georgia Tech team that ranks 116th, compared to Virginia's 62nd rating. Virginia also has done well with Bronco Mendhenall asNov 17, 2018 Freddy Wills
Syracuse +10 3.3% play Syracuse faced 4 teams that finished the year ranked last year, and 3 of those games were on the road against LSU, NC State, and Miami, they lost those 3 games, but all by single digits. They beat Clemson at home last year, and this year they faced Clemson on the road, a team we would all say is better than last year's Clemson team, and Clemson had revenge, and it was aNov 17, 2018 Freddy Wills
Charlotte +6 3.3% playFIU controls their own destiny to get to the Conference USA Championship game, but Charlotte is desperately trying to get to a bowl game with two wins to close the season. They upset a Southern Miss team last time at home, and went toe to toe with Marshall on the road through the first 3 quarters. This is a hidden gem when you factor in the match-up, and with 3 coNov 17, 2018 Freddy Wills
Colorado +7 -105 5% NCAAF POD Colorado has a very good home field advantage, and they were giving Washington State a game last week as they trailed by 3 at the half, but ultimately they had too many mistakes, -3 TO margin, and their WR Shenault was rusty. Utah, won at home last week despite being without their starting QB Huntley, and RB Zach Moss who made up 84% of their offense. Shelley and SNov 17, 2018 Freddy Wills
Minnesota -2 3.3% play Despite this line moving so much I still think there is value. I mentioned it earlier in the week at +2.5 as a lean in my podcast, but I'll still back the Gophers here at home as Northwestern has nothing to play for being that they clinched a spot to play in Indianapolis for the Big Ten Championship game. Northwestern has gone 6-1 in conference play, but have been outgaiNov 17, 2018 Freddy Wills
TCU -1 4.4% Play This won't be a popular pick with 36% of the action right now, and ironically as I was looking and getting excited about TCU, the line moved 3 points in the span of an hour from +2 to -1. TCU's losses have 2 things in common, they are -12 TO Margin, and they have allowed a 158 QB rating. 5 of their 6 losses were against a top 35 passing offense, with Kansas being the one outsNov 16, 2018 Freddy Wills
SMU +7.5 4.4% NCAAF POD Let's first take a look at the situational spot that favors SMU. They have revenge in a very meaningful game. Both teams can clinch their division and get to the Championship game if they win out. Memphis could be peaking ahead to their showdown with Houston next, a team that SMU beat at home already especially the fact that Memphis won 65-45 last year, and that's whNov 14, 2018 Freddy Wills
Miami Ohio +6.5 -105 4.5% NCAAF POD no need to buy the half point.Miami is playing their best football right now, and with near wins on the road against Buffalo, they were in that game, and at Army and then their win last week against Ohio at home, I am impressed. This is not out of the ordinary for this team to go on a run at the end of the season with this head coach and QB Gus Ragland. MiamNov 14, 2018 Freddy Wills
Buffalo +121 1.5% playNov 12, 2018 Freddy Wills
Giants +3.5 -113 3.5% MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALLNov 11, 2018 Freddy Wills
Seahawks +9 3.3% playNov 11, 2018 Freddy Wills
Browns +6.5 3.3% playNov 11, 2018 Freddy Wills
Lions +275 1.5% ML Dog PlayNov 11, 2018 Freddy Wills
Bengals +6 5.5% NFL PODNov 11, 2018 Freddy Wills
Bengals/Saints U54 2.2% playNov 10, 2018 Freddy Wills
Arkansas +13.5 3.3% play w/ Arkansas +445 7:30pm on SEC Arkansas has a shot here if this turns into just a game in the trenches. LSU ranks 82nd in running the ball compared to Arkansas who ranks 35th, and really coming on strong in their last 4 games. I get that Alabama probably did not have their full attention, but Arkansas did put up 31 points on Alabama at home. LSU, just got their bubbleNov 10, 2018 Freddy Wills
Arkansas +445 1% play on the money line - listing this a second time for record purposes. Arkansas +13.5 3.3% play w/ Arkansas +445 7:30pm on SEC Arkansas has a shot here if this turns into just a game in the trenches. LSU ranks 82nd in running the ball compared to Arkansas who ranks 35th, and really coming on strong in their last 4 games. I get that Alabama probably did not have their fulNov 10, 2018 Freddy Wills
Georgia -14 3.3% play on ESPN @ 7:00PM ET The only thing keeping this from a premium play is the fact that Georgia might not have any motivation to blow an opponent out at this point they control their own destiny, but with U Mass on deck, I think Georgia could want to make one last statement, and they absolutely can if they want to. I really see Georgia clicking right now, and I was on KentuNov 10, 2018 Freddy Wills
Northwestern/Iowa Over 42 3.3% play I really like the over here, as both teams actually throw the ball more than they run the ball. The weather is not going to impact this at all with under 10 mph winds, and two QB's that love to chuck it around. Also, 29 degrees really impacts tackling more than anything else. Also, factor in Northwestern is without 2 DB's who have been rulNov 10, 2018 Freddy Wills
Tennessee +195 2.5% DOG of the Week Kentucky is a very emotional team, and emotional team's tend to struggle following a game like Kentucky had last week against Georgia. Kentucky's bubble burst, and I expect them to struggle to get up for this game against Tennessee after their dream season is gone, and they'll be without their best S Darius West for the first half serving a suspension. TheNov 10, 2018 Freddy Wills
Alabama / Miss State Under 52 2.2% play The spread on this game has been coming down all week, and that's not because we think Miss State is going to score a bunch. It's really because Miss State's defense is going to really play well here. I also don't think Alabama will take many chances with Tua and aggressive play calling so unless Miss State just falls apart stopping the run,Nov 10, 2018 Freddy Wills
North Carolina +11 3.3% play PREMIUM NEWSLETTER PLAY Normally I'd look to fade a team coming off their 7th loss of the season, but the Tarheels have been in a ton of games this year rarely losing by double digits, and they are facing their rival who they lost to the last 2 years. We have a typical sell high buy low situation as North Carolina just got beat by Georgia Tech by 10, and Duke beat MNov 10, 2018 Freddy Wills
Indiana -1.5 4.4% NCAAF POD @12PM on BIG 10 Network Hoosiers in a good spot here, while Maryland is not. Indiana is coming off a bye with Michigan on deck and desperately need a win to stay in bowl contention. Head Coach, Tom Allen, admitted it was the right time for the team to get away for a bit after 3 physical games against Iowa, Penn State, and Minnesota it was good to get some rest, andNov 10, 2018 Freddy Wills
TCU +11.5 3.3% play - 12pm on FOX West Virginia has played nobody on defense this year with the exception of Iowa State and they lost that game badly. The next best defense is Texas who ranks 67th in yards per play, but a team that stronger vs. the run than they are against the pass as we saw last week. West Virginia got their asses beat at Iowa State, and although this game is at home I thinNov 10, 2018 Freddy Wills
Navy +24.5 1.1% Free Play 12PM ET ESPN2 Navy is a dangerous team as a 20+ point dog, because as a team that runs the triple option they limit possessions. Since 1980 Navy is 34-14 ATS as a 20+ point dog, and when you combine that stat with all 3 service academies they are 69-32-3 ATS. Army was in this situation at Oklahoma as a 29 point dog earlier this season and nearly pulled the upset.
