Nov 12, 2022
Freddy Wills
Miss State +16.5 3.3% play
Leach is 16-7 ATS as a double digit dog, and this is a let down game for Georgia after back to back huge victories over Florida and then #1 Tennessee last week. Miss State 5-0 at home 1-3 on the road. Georgia’s defense not as good as a season ago, but after last weeks’ big time win against Tennessee they are getting credit for being that good.&nb...
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Nov 12, 2022
Freddy Wills
Texas Tech -3.5 3.3% play
Kansas is bowl eligible so I’m thinking a bit of a let down here against Texas Tech as Kansas was seen celebrating with their win against Oklahoma State who played without many of their players. Kansas defensively really struggles vs fast paced teams. They gave up and lost to Oklahoma 42-52, against TCU 31-38. Texas Tech is the #2 pace team in the...
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Nov 12, 2022
Freddy Wills
South Carolina +8.5 2.2% play
I don’t see how Florida is this much better than South Carolina here. Florida looked really impressive against the Aggies last week, but the flu hit Texas A&M hard and they were much less than 100%. I think that may be inflating this number just a tad.
The key for South Carolina success has always ben the ability to establish their runn...
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Nov 12, 2022
Freddy Wills
Louisville +7 2.2% play
This was a battle last year that Clemson found to win late. There really isn’t anything different with this years Clemson team vs. last year’s Clemson team. Maybe the defense is worse? They have no confidence at QB, and I believe that will continue here. Louisville, a far better defense than a season ago, and playing with a ton of confid...
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Nov 12, 2022
Freddy Wills
Kansas State +8.5 / Texas -1.5 3.3% teaser of the week play
Kansas State - This is a bit of a sandwich spot for Baylor as they beat Oklahoma, and have #4 TCU up next. I don’t think they’re looking past Kansas State, but it’s worth mentioning that as well as the fact that they haven’t faced any of the top 3 teams in the Big 12. Baylor has similar stats t...
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Nov 12, 2022
Freddy Wills
Ole Miss / Alabama Over 64.5 3.3% play ...
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Nov 12, 2022
Freddy Wills
Arkansas +3.5 -105 3.3% play
I’ve given Arkansas out as a dog a few times now since Sam Pittman took over and they have rarely let me down. KJ Jefferson is probable for this game, and I don’t think he will have issues with pain during the game. This is a huge rivalry game and the Battle of the Golden Boot. LSU will be going for a win to clinch the SEC West as long as...
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Nov 12, 2022
Freddy Wills
South Florida +17.5 2.2% play
We backed Houston last week against this SMU team, and while they outgained SMu 710 to 642, they gave up 77 points and lost by 14. Now SMU goes on the road to face South Florida who just fired their head coach, a 1 win South Florida team, and SMU has a major look ahead to Tulane next Thursday night. South Florida also has a match up advantage here as they...
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Nov 12, 2022
Freddy Wills
Iowa State -1.5 1.1% Free Play
Oklahoma State is banged up here, and I don’t see Mike Gundy pushing guys back with Oklahoma on deck and a bowl game already locked in, but hey I could be totally wrong, and Spencer Sanders shoulder could miraculously heal, but this is a team that just lost by 21 to Kansas, and 48 to Kansas State. The defense lost a ton of guys from last year and it has ...
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Nov 12, 2022
Freddy Wills
Army / Troy Under 46 2.2% play
Army fresh off their disappointing loss to Air Force has to go back on the road to face an elite Troy team. This Troy defense has been a top 20 defense against the pass and run, and their defensive staff has a ton of experience around the option. DC Shiel Wood spent the last two seasons at Army, and before that he coached at Georgia Tech under Paul Johns...
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Nov 12, 2022
Freddy Wills
Purdue +7 -120 3% play
Illinois played two teams who were pass first offenses, that also could stop the run on defense, and they lost both of those games. Losing on the road to Indiana and at home to Michigan State a week ago. Purdue features an epa run defense that ranks 17th, while they pass the ball over 60% of the time. Illinois pass defense ranks 4th in epa, but a look at t...
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Nov 10, 2022
Freddy Wills
Panthers +8.5 / Steelers +7.5 2.2% play ...
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Nov 10, 2022
Freddy Wills
Tulsa +7 2.2% play / Tulsa +220 0.2% bonus
I think Tulsa is the more desperate team for a win, and there is nothing special about this Memphis team. We backed Memphis last week against UCF and it was a great match up for their pass first scheme, but there were multiple coaching decision in that game that not only cost Memphis the game, but the cover. Tulsa’s head coach Phillip M...
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Nov 10, 2022
Freddy Wills
Tulsa +220 0.2% play ...
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Nov 09, 2022
Freddy Wills
Kent State -2 2.2% play
Let’s talk strength of schedule. Kent State’s road games this year @ Toledo best team in the MAC, @Georgia, @Washignton, @Oklahoma, and at Miami Ohio (better statistically than Bowling Green). Bowling Green at 5-4 wins here and they get to a bowl game for the first time in 7 years, but they do have another opportunity on deck with Ohio, while Kent State ...
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Nov 07, 2022
Freddy Wills
Saints +1.5 2.2% play ...
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Nov 06, 2022
Freddy Wills
Seahawks / Cardinals Under 49 3.3% play ...
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Nov 06, 2022
Freddy Wills
Bucs -150 3% play...
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Nov 06, 2022
Freddy Wills
Cardinals -1.5 5.5% NFL POD...
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Nov 06, 2022
Freddy Wills
Carolina Panthers +7.5 -115 3% play ...
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Nov 06, 2022
Freddy Wills
Commanders +3.5 -115 4% play ...
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Nov 06, 2022
Freddy Wills
Bears +10.5 / Jaguars +8.5 3.3% teaser of the week...
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Nov 06, 2022
Freddy Wills
Falcons +3 1.1% Free Play...
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Nov 05, 2022
Freddy Wills
Clemson -3 -120 buy 1/2 3.5% play
Notre Dame can not win at home, and their offense really struggles if they can't run the ball. They'll face a stout defense this week and Clemson has something to prove after their bye and not being listed in the college football playoff. Beating Notre Dame is nothing special this season, but you can only play who is on the schedule. Dabo will h...
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Nov 05, 2022
Freddy Wills
Houston +3.5 2.2% play
Tons of tickets and money on SMU bringing this up over the key # of 3. I actually think Houston is the better team, and they have played in tons of close games already. They really don’t have a bad loss on their schedule, and while their opponents have an average -0.4 ypp, that’s distorted by South Florida’s -1.7, as well as the fact that 6 of ...
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