Oct 01, 2022 Freddy Wills
Baylor -130 3% play Baylor has a very under rated home field advantage in my opinion, and I think this is a short line bc Oklahoma State off a bye, and Oklahoma State revenge from Big 12 Title game, but I think those are over rated motivating factors here. The fact of the matter is Oklahoma State is a different team than last year after losing a veteran led defense and their DC. TheyOct 01, 2022 Freddy Wills
Iowa +10.5 2.2% play In 2016 Kirk Ferentz and Jim Harbough faced off for the first time @ Iowa, the only meeting in Iowa, and Iowa was +24 dog and won outright 14-13. In 2019 they faced off again and Michigan was a 4 point home favorite and won 10-3, and then in the Big Ten Championship last year Michigan an 11.5 point favorite won 42-3. This line suggests that Iowa is worse, anOct 01, 2022 Freddy Wills
Kentucky +7 2.2% play This is the role I love to back Mark Stoops in. It is a little unusual to see a top 10 ranked team a TD dog on the road against a team that is ranked lower, and that would cause me some pause, but looking into this game I could not go any other way. I think Kentucky is going to force Ole Miss to rely on Jaxson Dart to win them this game, and I don’t know thOct 01, 2022 Freddy Wills
Fresno / Uconn Under 51.5 2.2% play weather play here as it will be rainy, and 20mph gusts, while Fresno will start a back up QB.Sep 30, 2022 Freddy Wills
Washington -2.5 -120 2.5% play I like the Huskies here, as Kalen Deboer seems like the real deal as a Head Coach and he took his Fresno State to the Rose Bowl just last year and they upset UCLA 40-37 as an 11 point dog and UCLA has 2 weeks to prepare. His team is getting much more respect this year and I expec to see some more back and forth but I like Deboer to get the win when you consideSep 30, 2022 Freddy Wills
UTSA -4 2.2% PLAY Middle Tennessee was the 6th team to pull an outright upset as 18+ underdog last week as they shocked Miami for their biggest win in program history. Those teas are 0-5 ATS the next week and they aren't just not covering spreads they are not doing so by double digits. I'm not surprised by Miami after that loss at Texas AM when their coach decided to kick field goals the enSep 30, 2022 Freddy Wills
Navy +14 1.1% Free Pick This is the largest spread in the Commander IN Chief series between these two teams since 2013 when navy was a 13.5 point favorite. The total here opened 34.5, and I just don’t think the spread should be this large when you factor in the strength of schedules here. Navy’s opponent YPP differential is +0.5, while Air Force’s is -2.35, soSep 29, 2022 Freddy Wills
Bengals -3.5 2.2% playSep 26, 2022 Freddy Wills
NY Giants -115 2% PlaySep 25, 2022 Freddy Wills
Packers +1 5.5% NFL PODSep 25, 2022 Freddy Wills
Chargers -170 4% play This is a cheap price on the Chargers. We are gambling a little bit that Herbert plays as he still may play. If he doesn't play then I think the team steps up, but if he does play this is a bargain.Sep 25, 2022 Freddy Wills
Lions / Vikings Over 52.5 2.2% playSep 25, 2022 Freddy Wills
Panthers +8.5 / Texans +8.5 3.3% Teaser of the WeekSep 25, 2022 Freddy Wills
Chiefs/Colts Under 51 2.2% playSep 25, 2022 Freddy Wills
Dolphins +4.5 1.1% Free Play - 76-49 Since 2010 on Free NFL plays. 60.8% winners + 40% ROISep 25, 2022 Freddy Wills
Washington +7 -125 buy 1/2 3.5% playSep 25, 2022 Freddy Wills
Vikings -6 2.2% playSep 24, 2022 Freddy Wills
Kansas State +14 1.1% free playSep 24, 2022 Freddy Wills
Purdue -16.5 2.2% play Purdue was my POD last week at Syracuse, and we clearly were on the right side as Purdue outgained the Orange 485-306, and had an 80% post game win expectancy, but unfortunately we lost on a 30 yard pass play as Purdue played zero coverage for some odd reason. I think Purdue bounces back against a poorly coached FAU team. FAU is known for running it up againstSep 24, 2022 Freddy Wills
Arkansas +2 5.5% NCAAF POD Just off the top I think we are seeing some value here with Arkansas following their near upset to Missouri State, but they were resting a lot of guys for this upcoming game at Cowboys Stadium, but also Bobby Petrino returned as Missouri State’s head coach so thought there was max motivation for them in that game. Max Johnson took over at QB for A&M after theSep 24, 2022 Freddy Wills
Washington State +7 2.2% play Good Bo, bad Bo. We are fading bad Bo Nix on the road where he has 6-11 record 16TD/16INT. Last week we backed Oregon as a small favorite and they upset BYU who was ranked and BO moved to 16-4 at home 30TD/2INT. This is a game on the road at Washington ST, not an easy place to play, and Washington State’s defense should keep this one close.&nSep 24, 2022 Freddy Wills
Ole Miss / Tulsa Under 65.5 2.2% play I don't think the market has caught up to just how good this Ole Miss defense is, and still brand them as this elite offense, but I think that's giving us value ot the under here. Ole Miss will get their points against Tulsa, but at what point will they take their foot off the gas at home with their SEC opener up next against #8 ranked Kentucky. TSep 24, 2022 Freddy Wills
Michigan State +3 3.3% play This is an over reaction in my opinion, this line opened Michigan State -3.5, and is now at +3, and I understand there are some inuries on Michigan State side, but they are questionable for the game. This is a great opportunity for Michigan State to bounce back at home. I love that Mel Tucker is taking accountability for the dreadful coaching last week, which weSep 24, 2022 Freddy Wills
Notre Dame +2 3.3 %play Buy low spot here for Notre Dame going up against a 3-0 North Carolina team, and 70% of the tickets are on North Carolina, but I’m not buying the hype. North Carolina’s win against App State certainly looks better, and their nearl loss against Georgia State looks worse, but the team coming off a bye is not a positive when you start 3-0. The bye typiSep 24, 2022 Freddy Wills
Florida +10.5 2.2% play Tennessee has never been a favorite by more than 7 points agaisnt Florida, and this surely puts a lot of pressure on this Tennessee team that I still have a lot of questions about. This is a nice spot to back the Gators after back to back strugles, and I think we are at least getting a field goal of value here for Florida’s struggles vs. South Florida last wee
