Recent Articles


2.5% Play - Falcons vs. Lions - Guaranteed or $ BACK

Sep 24, 2023 Freddy Wills

Falcons +3.5 -1.15 2.5% play
[Read More...]

141-107 +$72,337 L 248 All Sports Teasers - Teaser of the Week

Sep 24, 2023 Freddy Wills

Jets +8.5 / Jaguars -1.5 3.3% play
[Read More...]

RARE 4% NCAAF Play - Ohio State vs. Notre Dame - 207-159 +$119,066 L 366 4% rated NCAAF Since 2011!

Sep 23, 2023 Freddy Wills

Ohio State -155 4% play I think the money line is the way to get after this game.  First of all Notre Dame home game won’t be your typical as Ohio State fans travel well and their should be 20K+ Ohio State fans in the building for this one.  Notre Dame is also the public dog play here and honestly they have faced a very weak schedule with an average opponent ypp differential of -2
[Read More...]

Free College Football Play - Rice vs. South Florida

Sep 23, 2023 Freddy Wills

Rice -2.5 1.1% Free Play I expect a bit of a let down from South Florida on Saturday following their strong effort against Alabama at home.  You could say the same thing happened to Alabama after a loss against Texas as they went through the motions holding on late to a 17-3 win.  Rice on the other hand has back to back strong performances upsetting Houston and putting up 59 against Tex
[Read More...]

27-14 +$52,662 L 41 NCAAF Totals - 2% Premium Play

Sep 23, 2023 Freddy Wills

Temple / Miami Under 47 2.2% play The weather is going to be a real issue here for both teams with 20 mph sustained winds and 30+mph gusts with rain added to the forecast. This total has been bet down, but I believe there is still value under 47.  I honestly don't know how Temple is going to score here when Miami knows Temple is going to have to run due to teh weather and Temple averaged les
[Read More...]

Ole Miss vs. Alabama Showdown - 2% Premium Play Guaranteed or $ BACK

Sep 23, 2023 Freddy Wills

Alabama -6.5 2.2% play Extreme buy low spot on Alabama after they lost at home to Texas they had a bit of a hang over against South Florida on the road last week, and now they come back home to play Ole Miss, but I believe Alabama will be ready to play their best game of the season.  If anything good came out of the South Florida game it was that their no longer should be a QB controversy as
[Read More...]

2% Total Play - 27-14 Last 51 College Football Total Plays!

Sep 23, 2023 Freddy Wills

BC / Louisville O54 2.2% play Perfect weather for this game and will not impact the offensive game plan at all.  Boston College games this season have all gotten into the 50’s this season, and I expect this game to reach 60 total points.  Boston College has really struggled on defense and their game last week was quite misleading on the defensive side of the ball where they gave u
[Read More...]

3% Premium College Football Pick - 32-23 +$17,108 L 55 3% rated NCAAF

Sep 23, 2023 Freddy Wills

Georgia Tech +4 3.3% play Wake Forest is a very misleading 3-09 when you factor in their easy schedule of Elon, Vanderbilt, and Old Dominoin who they trailed 24-7 late in the third quarter last week.  With the 3-0 record they are actually only +-0.2 yards per play and that has come against an average opponent rank of -0.2 ypp margin.  On the flip side Georgia Tech has played an average
[Read More...]

3% Early Premium Play - Texas AM vs. Auburn - **57-38 +$58,978 L 95 NCAAF picks in September

Sep 23, 2023 Freddy Wills

Auburn +9 3.3% play I know Auburn is a bit banged up, but that is why this spread is getting up above 8 points.  They’ll have their QB’s who both offer different strengths with Thorne and Ashford.  I think Auburn is a difficult team to defend and I think this number is too large, while Auburn has played well, and are stout on defense.  I think the Aggies could struggle
[Read More...]

College Football Teaser of the Week

Sep 23, 2023 Freddy Wills

Clemson +8.5 / App State +9 2.2% play Many say college football teasers are not a good strategy and I tend to agree, but if you are really selective and select games that offer low variance you can be in a good situation.  I have gone 58-39 +$57,816 L 97 NCAAF Teasers Clemson totally getting disrespected in this line move, I would have been backer on Clemson at anything over 3, but Fl
[Read More...]

2% Premium Play - Army vs. Syracuse Guaranteed or $ BACK

Sep 23, 2023 Freddy Wills

Army +13 2.2% play Syracuse has a massive look ahead to Clemson next week and they have a really poor sandwich spot here facing Army after they impressed many a week ago against Purdue, but after last night I really am not impressed with Purdue and Syracuse benefitted from 4 Purdue turnovers a week ago. Syracuse is a bit over value in my opinion because they are 3-0 SU & ATS, but have faced t
[Read More...]

Big Ten Total of the Week - Purdue vs. Wisconsin - Guaranteed or $ BACK

Sep 22, 2023 Freddy Wills

Purdue / Wisconsin Over 53.5 2.2% play
[Read More...]

2% Play - Oklahoma State vs. Iowa State - Guaranteed or MONEY BACK

Sep 22, 2023 Freddy Wills

Oklahoma State +3.5 2.2% play Oklahoma State and Iowa State look like two challenging offenses, but MIke Gundy has sort of owned Matt Campbell over the years and they have been unable to win with any sort of margin.  Not to mention the total has dropped two points to a whopping 35 and the weather looks horrible with 17mph winds and some rain in the forecast.  This line has moved in favo
[Read More...]

3% Thursday Night Late Action - #Boise vs. #SandiegoSt *Guaranteed or $ back 32-23 +$17,108 L 55 3%

Sep 21, 2023 Freddy Wills

San Diego State +7 3.3% play SD State value here is a home dog after a brutal start of the season due to the tough schedule they have played *UCLA, Oregon State, and a very good MAC Ohio team.  They welcome in Boise State to kick off the Mountain West season, and really what is Boise State at this point?  I just have not been impressed.  They are a one dimensional offense led by Ta
[Read More...]

Thursday Night Prop Action

Sep 21, 2023 Freddy Wills

Paris Campbell (NYG) Longest Reception U15.5 yards -150 1% play
[Read More...]

5.5% MAX NFL POD - Guaranteed or $ BACK 92-52 +$187,605 L 144 NFL

Sep 17, 2023 Freddy Wills

Patriots +3 -115 5.5% MAX NFL POD
[Read More...]

3.5 % NFL Play Sunday 5-2 on sides Start Season - 59-38 Last 97 NFL picks in Septmeber! 172-117 59.5

Sep 17, 2023 Freddy Wills

Bears +3 -120 3.5% play
[Read More...]

3% play Bengals vs Ravens

Sep 17, 2023 Freddy Wills

Bengals -3 -115 3% play
[Read More...]

3% NFL Teaser Guaranteed or $ BACK 140-107 +$69,337 L 247 All Sports Teasers

Sep 17, 2023 Freddy Wills

Titans +8.5 / Steelers +8.5 3.3% play
[Read More...]

1% Free NFL Play - Chiefs vs. Jaguars

Sep 17, 2023 Freddy Wills

Chiefs -3 -120 1.2% free play
[Read More...]

3% Total of the Week - #Ravens vs. #Bengals - 69-52 +$52,093 L 121 All Sports Totals

Sep 17, 2023 Freddy Wills

Ravens / Bengals Under 45.5 3.3% play
[Read More...]

NFL Prop of the Week

Sep 17, 2023 Freddy Wills

Geno Smith Over 13 rushing yards 1.15 play
[Read More...]

3% Total of the Week - Akron vs. Kentucky

Sep 16, 2023 Freddy Wills

Akron / Kentucky U48.5 3.3% play
[Read More...]

SEC Game of the Week 3% Premium Play #Florida vs. #Tennessee 18-10 +$20,231 L 28 3% rated NCAAF

Sep 16, 2023 Freddy Wills

Florida +7 -123 3% play / Florida +205 0.3% play     Joe Milton, the Tennessee QB is not someone I want to back on the road at night in the SEC as a favorite.  Florida line value here after they looked awful in week 1 opener at Utah, a very tough place to play.  This is a huge game for Billy Napier and the Florida Gators who rarely are home under dogs.  I expect they wi
[Read More...]

3% SEC vs. ACC Showdown Premium Play - 226-177 +$91,270 L 403 3% rated sports

Sep 16, 2023 Freddy Wills

Georgia Tech +18 3.3% play Ole Miss has Alabama on deck and they beat Tech 42-0 last year so it is fair to say that this is a huge look ahead spot.  Georgia Tech should have beaten Louisville in their first week.  Ole Miss dominated Tulane, which I think this line is giving them a lot of credit for, but Tulane was without their starting QB and leader Michael Pratt who was a game time de
[Read More...]

site design / logo © 2008 - 2025 freddywills.com