Dec 27, 2022 Freddy Wills
Memphis -7 -115 2.5% play Memphis has lost close games to the good teams on the schedule and beat up on some of the bad teams. Utah State was -0.8 ypp differential this season, while Mmephis was +0.1. Memphis went 4-1 vs. teams with a -0.2 YPP or more winning those games by 16, 21, 12, and 24 while losing on the road to Miss State. They also went 4-1 vs. non top 80 offenses, andDec 26, 2022 Freddy Wills
Colts +3.5 2.2% playDec 26, 2022 Freddy Wills
New Mexico State +3.5 3.3% play Both of these teams are lucky to be in a bowl, but it’s more surprising that New Mexico State is here, and you have to give Jerry Kill credit. Kill is also 16-10-1 ATS vs. the MAC over his career. New Mexico State ranks 100th in ypp vs. an average opp defense ranking 65.1, while Bowling Green is 108th vs. 65.5. Pretty even, despite New MexiDec 25, 2022 Freddy Wills
Broncos -160 3.5% playDec 25, 2022 Freddy Wills
Dolphins -3 -120 2.5%Dec 24, 2022 Freddy Wills
Steelers -130 3% playDec 24, 2022 Freddy Wills
Cowboys / Eagles Over 47 5.5% NFL PODDec 24, 2022 Freddy Wills
Giants/ Vikings Over 47.5 3.3% playDec 24, 2022 Freddy Wills
Saints +8.5 / Panthers +8.5 3.3% Teaser playDec 24, 2022 Freddy Wills
Bills / Bears Under 40.5 2.2% playDec 23, 2022 Freddy Wills
Wake Forest -135 2% playDec 23, 2022 Freddy Wills
Lafayette +7 2.2% play I certainly do not trust Dana Holgorsen in a bowl game he’s 2-7 ATS, but for some reason they are favored by more than a TD. Houston has the better YPP differential, but vs. a weaker schedule, and the Sun Belt has been performing well in bowl season. Houston will have Nathaniel Dell for the bowl game at WR, but how much effort, or how much of the gamDec 22, 2022 Freddy Wills
Jets -1.5 2.2% playDec 22, 2022 Freddy Wills
Air Force +3.5 2.2% play We will find out real quick who wants to be here, as it’s going to be 20 degrees with 20 mph winds in Fort Worth. One thing is for sure the service academies always get up to play Power 5 schools and bowl games. I can’t say for sure if Baylor is motivated for this game after a disappointing season going 6-6, and playing in their state of Texas at TCU&rsDec 21, 2022 Freddy Wills
Western Kentucky +160 1%Dec 21, 2022 Freddy Wills
Western Kentucky +4 2.2% / Western Kentucky +160 1% Western Kentucky has a defensive player opting out of the portal coming back to play, and their star QB Austin Reed opting out of transfer portal and coming back to play so this game clearly matters to Western Kentucky is the way I’m taking it. C-USA has not done great vs. the Sun Belt, but South Alabama has never won a bowl game, anDec 20, 2022 Freddy Wills
Toledo /Liberty Under 54.5 3.3% playDec 20, 2022 Freddy Wills
Eastern Michigan +4.5 2.2% play I think this line is just a tad inflated because there is a stigma about the MAC Conference, and San Jose State clearly has a fabulous QB in Chad Cordeiro, but the MWC is 7-8 vs. the MAC. SJSU is 1-2 vs. the MAC and when we are looking at similar teams to Eastern Michigan that San Jose State has played we look at Utah State they were +1.5 on the road and lostDec 18, 2022 Freddy Wills
Bucs +3.5 1.1% free playDec 18, 2022 Freddy Wills
Raiders -123 4% play Raiders seem to be getting healtheir and getting Renfrow and Waller back for this game while the Patriots offense is without Stevenson again, a big loss in my opinion. Raiders also hav ea top 10 run defense if you can believe it, and the Patriots this year just 1-4 vs. top 15 epa run defenses losing to Miami, Baltimore, Minnesota, and Buffalo. Jets rank 16th, andDec 18, 2022 Freddy Wills
Lions +110 3% play - at bovada - hedging off Jets due to Zach Wilson news. This essentially becomes a 2% play on the JEts. We gave out Jets -1 as the MAX NFL POD that will stand. You can get + on the ML in several spots with the Lions. I"m in shock that Zach Wilson is playing based on MIke White practicing and his interviews. Scenarios Jets win by exactly 1 - PUSH -3%Dec 18, 2022 Freddy Wills
Cowboys / Jaguars Over 47.5 3.3% playDec 18, 2022 Freddy Wills
Steelers +8.5 / Cardinals +7.5 2.2%Dec 18, 2022 Freddy Wills
Bears +9 2.2% playDec 18, 2022 Freddy Wills
Jets -1 5.5% NFL POD Really likes the Jets to get back in the win column on Sunday. They nearly defeated and certainly out played from a yardage perspective two 10 win teams on the road the last two weeks. Mike White got banged up, but he will play through it and I don't see it being an issue. The Lions are one of the hottest teams, but after 3 straight home games in the dome th
